BALTIMORE (6 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 6) - 11/24/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) against AFC North division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NY JETS (2 - 8) at BUFFALO (5 - 5) - 11/23/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NY JETS are 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
NY JETS are 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-2 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home
New Orleans is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
NY JETS vs. BUFFALO
NY Jets are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games on the road
NY Jets are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
NY Jets at Buffalo
NY Jets: 36-20 UNDER in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games
Buffalo: 11-1 ATS off a road loss
Baltimore at New Orleans
Baltimore: 60-40 UNDER off a home win
New Orleans: 0-8 ATS in home games off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite
NY Jets @ Buffalo
The Jets are 2-7 ATS this season, 2-5 ATS road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 3-7 ATS on the road when the total is 38½ to 42 points, 9-16 ATS when the total is 35½ to 42 points and 2-6 ATS in weeks 10 through 13. New York is 9-4 Over versus divisional opponents. The Bills are 1-4 ATS at home, but 37-22 ATS at home with a total of 38½ to 42 points and 8-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. Buffalo is 8-2 Under this season, 7-2 Under in November and 6-3 Under after 2 or more losses, but they’re 52-32 Over as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points. In this series 4 of the last 5 meetings have gone Over the total.
Baltimore @ New Orleans
The Ravens are 22-15 ATS as road dogs of 3 points or less, 12-6 ATS playing on Monday night, 7-3 ATS playing in November and 8-3 ATS versus NFC opponents. Baltimore is 4-1 Over on the road this year, but 14-7 Under after a bye week, 14-6 Under on turf and 9-4 Under versus losing teams. The Saints are 4-0 ATS home favorites of 3 points or less, 13-8 ATS at home overall, 5-2 ATS after 2 or more losses and 23-15 ATS at home with a total of 49½ or more, but they’re also just 6-18 ATS versus AFC North opponents and 3-7 ATS in weeks 10 through 13. New Orleans is 24-13 Over at home with a total of 49½ or more.
NFL Week 12
Ravens (6-4) @ Saints (4-6) — Captain Obvious reports the Saints miss Darren Sproles; they averaged 5.9/6.2 ypa in last two games, their 2nd/3rd worst showings of year. Saints lost last two home games, are now 1-6 when allowing 24+ points, 3-0 when they allow less. NO allowed 144/186 rushing yards in last two games. Baltimore won Super Bowl in last visit here; they’ve won four of last five post-bye games, are 2-3 on road this year, winning at Browns (23-21), Bucs (48-17). AFC North teams are 8-1-1 vs NFC South teams this year. NFC South non-divisional home favorites are 4-5 vs spread; AFC North underdogs are 6-2. Bye week should help Raven offense that converted only 7 of 26 third down plays in last two games. Good stat on Baltimore; they’ve scored 10+ points in second half of every game this year.
Jets (2-8) @ Bills (5-5) — Weather biggest story this week; college game Wednesday was postponed due to huge snowfall in western NY. Bills won four of last five series games, winning 43-23 (+3) in Swamp four weeks ago; Jets turned ball over six times (-6) in that game. Jets lost 28-9/37-14 in last two visits here; they're 1-4 in last five post-bye games losing 28-7/37-14 in last two. Gang Green is 2-2 as road dog, losing away games by 7-2-31-14 points. Bills are 1-2 as favorites this year, 6-9 in last 15 when favored; they lost 17-13/22-9 in two post-bye games, scoring no TDs/four FGs on last six drives in red zone. Eight of ten Buffalo games stayed under total. How much has weather desrupted the Bills' preparation this week?
Armadillosports.com
Monday Night Football: Jets vs. Bills, Ravens at Saints
By Covers.com
New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills (-1.5, 41.5)
With historic levels of snow blanketing Western New York, the Buffalo Bills were forced to switch the date and venue for Sunday's scheduled home game against the New York Jets. The NFL announced Thursday that the matchup between the AFC East rivals will be moved to Detroit on Monday night after nearly six feet of snow pounded Buffalo - with another two-plus feet expected before the weekend. It will be the second trip to Detroit this season for the Bills, who beat the Lions 17-14 on Oct. 5.
The Jets are searching for their first road victory and went into the bye week with some positive momentum after snapping an eight-game skid with a win over the Pittsburgh Steelers on Nov. 9. Both Buffalo and New York have made quarterback changes this season, and Michael Vick’s turnover-free performance against the Steelers gave the Jets something around which to build. “I don't want to let my teammates down, I don't want to let myself down,” Vick told ESPN New York of the opportunity to start again. “I set high expectations for myself and I'm just trying to fulfill that and have fun doing it as the same time."
LINE HISTORY: When lines for this rescheduled game came out, oddsmakers had the Bills -2.5 but they are now -1.5. The total opened 41.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Jets (+5.0) + Bills (-1.0) = Bills -6.0
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Jets have to play four of their final six games on the road with the two home games coming against Patriots and Dolphins. The Bills playoff chances took a big hit with loss at Miami and it looks like an 8-8 record is the best they can do. 6-0 ATS L6 after gaining 250 or less yards." Covers Expert Matt Fargo.
ABOUT THE JETS (2-8 SU, 2-7-1 ATS, 5-5 O/U): Vick got a chance in relief against Buffalo on Oct. 26 and went 18-for-36 with an interception and a pair of lost fumbles in a 43-23 setback. The former No. 1 overall pick was better in a loss to the Kansas City Chiefs the following week before breaking out with a pair of touchdown passes as New York ended its eight-game slide against Pittsburgh. “Everything that goes along with this position is difficult and I think I just like the challenge,” Vick told ESPN New York. “I look forward to each and every day I get up, and one thing I'll never do is never take it for granted again."
ABOUT THE BILLS (5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS, 2-8 O/U): Buffalo had to estimate its injury report on Wednesday due to practice being canceled, and quarterback Kyle Orton was estimated to be a limited participant with a toe injury. The rest of the Bills were busy taking to social media with their snow experiences, hoping to ease the sting of back-to-back losses in which the team managed a total of 22 points. Orton, who is not expected to miss the game, is completing under 60 percent of his passes in the last two games and has just one scoring pass in that span after tossing four TDs in the win over the Jets on Oct. 26.
TRENDS:
* Over is 6-0 in Bills last six Monday games.
* Underdog is 19-9 ATS in their last 28 meetings.
* Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs. AFC.
Baltimore Ravens at New Orleans Saints (-3, 50.5)
The New Orleans Saints have appeared to be the most talented team in the muddled NFC South Division. However, after consecutive losses at the Superdome, the Saints are fortunate to find themselves in a tie for first place with the Atlanta Falcons. New Orleans can't afford to let any more home games slip away when it hosts the Baltimore Ravens on Monday night.
The Ravens are also locked in a playoff battle in the tight AFC North. Currently in third place, Baltimore snapped a two-game slide by beating Tennessee last time out. The Ravens hope their bye last week will help recharge their bodies for the stretch run and they've beaten the Saints in four of their five all-time meetings, but New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees has won his last six Monday night games.
LINE HISTORY: The Saints opened -3.5, briefly went to -4 and are currently -3. The total opened 49.5 and is up to 50.5.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Ravens (-2.75) + Saints (+0.75) + home field (-3.0) = Ravens -0.5
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Ravens dropped a couple spots despite being off this past week. At New Orleans this week and they have the easiest remaining schedule of the four AFC North teams. New Orleans has lost two straight at home and has never lost three straight home games under Sean Payton. Host Baltimore Monday night where they are 5-1 ATS L6." Covers Expert Matt Fargo.
ABOUT THE RAVENS (6-4 SU, 5-4-1 ATS, 5-5 O/U): After a blazing start Joe Flacco has struggled recently, throwing five touchdown passes and five interceptions over the past four games. Running back Justin Forsett continues to have a breakout season with 721 yards rushing, ranking a surprising seventh in the NFL. Teams from the the AFC North are 8-1-1 against their counterparts from the NFC South this season.
ABOUT THE SAINTS (4-6 SU, 4-6 ATS, 7-3 O/U): Rookie receiver Brandin Cooks (53, receptions, 530 yards) was lost for the season after undergoing thumb surgery during the week. The sure-handed Cooks' loss will be felt by Brees, who leads the league completing 69.55 percent of his passes. New Orleans, which ranks third in passing offense, hasn't lost three straight games at home since it dropped six in a row in 2005.
TRENDS:
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Ravens are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games.
* Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last six Monday games.
MNF - Ravens at Saints
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Heading towards Thanksgiving week, NFL fans receive a major treat with a pair of games on Monday night to close out Week 12. Granted, one of the games involves the Jets, but it’s just another contest to bet on against the Bills in Detroit. We’ll take a look at that AFC East battle, while Baltimore and New Orleans is the showcase game down in the Big Easy.
Ravens at Saints (-3, 50)
New Orleans didn’t lose a home game in 2013 and started 2014 with a 3-0 record at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. However, the Saints stumbled in back-to-back home losses to the 49ers and Bengals to drop to 4-6 on the season, but are still somehow in first place of the NFC South after the Falcons were tripped up by the Browns on Sunday.
The Saints put up their lowest point total of the season in a 27-10 defeat to Cincinnati as 8½-point home favorites, while allowing Andy Dalton to torch the New Orleans defense for three touchdowns. Drew Brees didn’t a throw an interception for just the third time in 10 games this season, while going three straight contests without eclipsing the 300-yard mark.
The Ravens are fresh off the bye week, as John Harbaugh’s team is right in the thick of the tight AFC North race. Baltimore begins Monday’s action in last place behind Cincinnati (7-3-1), Pittsburgh (7-4), and Cleveland (7-4), but to be fair, the Ravens own a solid 6-4 record and will be a half-game behind the Bengals with a win at New Orleans.
The last time the Ravens took the field, Baltimore held off Tennessee in Week 10 as 10½-point home favorites, 21-7. Justin Forsett rushed for a pair of touchdowns in the win for the Ravens, while Baltimore’s defense limited Tennessee to 210 yards. Baltimore has won four straight home games since losing the season opener to Cincinnati, while snapping a two-game skid following losses to the Steelers and Bengals.
Since 2013, the Saints own a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS at home off a loss, as the only defeat in this situation came last week to the Bengals. However, New Orleans is just 3-6 ATS this season in the role of a favorite, while going 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in the last eight times as a home favorite of 3½ points or less dating back to 2011.
These teams last met in 2010 in Baltimore when the Ravens knocked off the Saints, 30-24 as one-point favorites. New Orleans racked up just 269 yards, as Brees threw three touchdown passes in the loss. Baltimore won its previous visit to the Big Easy back in 2006, blowing out New Orleans, 35-22, as the Ravens returned two interceptions for touchdowns, as the Saints scored two late touchdowns to make the score look closer.
The Ravens have lost in each of their two opportunities as a road underdog this season, falling at Pittsburgh and Indianapolis, while not covering each time. Baltimore is playing on Monday night for the first time since last December, when the Ravens outlasted the Lions, 18-16. The Saints are in the Monday spotlight for the first time this season, while splitting games against the Dolphins and Seahawks in 2013.
Jets vs. Bills (-2½, 42)
Due to most of western New York being snowed in for nearly a week, this AFC East matchup needed to be moved to Detroit’s Ford Field. The Bills barely were able to practice this week due to the conditions, as Buffalo makes its second trip to Detroit this season, beating the Lions, 17-14 in Week 5. Now, Buffalo hopes not to get tripped up by a Jets’ team with nothing to lose.
New York picked up just its second win of the season in a Week 10 home upset of Pittsburgh, 20-13. The Jets snapped an eight-game losing streak as Rex Ryan’s club jumped out to a 17-0 lead behind a pair of Michael Vick touchdown passes. New York managed just 275 yards, but it was enough to pick up its first victory since Week 1 against Oakland, while forcing four Pittsburgh turnovers.
The Bills grabbed a 9-3 third quarter advantage at Miami last Thursday night, but the Dolphins scored the final 19 points in a 22-9 victory. Buffalo was held to 54 yards on the ground, while losing to Miami for the first time in the past four meetings. Doug Marrone’s team dropped to 5-5 on the season, putting a major nail in Buffalo’s playoff coffin with six teams ahead of them for two Wild Card spots in the AFC.
The last time the Bills saw the Jets in Week 8 at Met Life Stadium, Buffalo dominated New York, 42-23 as three-point underdogs. Kyle Orton completed just 10 passes, but four of those went for touchdowns as the former Purdue standout connected with four different receivers for scores. The Jets turned the ball over six times, including four interceptions of Vick and Geno Smith. After losing six straight meetings to the Jets, the Bills have grabbed three of the past four matchups.
Where does the advantage lie in this contest, being played at a neutral site? When the Vikings and Giants met in Detroit back in 2010 after the Metrodome roof collapsed, New York routed Minnesota, 21-3 as 4½-point favorites. Granted, that’s just a one-game sample size, but it’s hard to imagine the advantage lies with the Bills after all the uncertainty and lack of practice all week.