INDIANAPOLIS (5 - 3) at NY GIANTS (3 - 4) - 11/3/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 30-55 ATS (-30.5 Units) in November games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
INDIANAPOLIS vs. NY GIANTS
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 10 games
NY Giants are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games at home
Indianapolis at NY Giants
Indianapolis: 24-10 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less
New York: 72-37 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games
Indianapolis @ NY Giants
The Colts are 27-15 ATS overall, 12-5 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 15-6 ATS as a favorite, 24-10 ATS as road favorites of 3 or less, 12-8 ATS on Monday night, 17-10 ATS on turf, 13-3 ATS versus losing teams and 10-3 ATS in weeks 5 through 9. Indianapolis is 23-15 Over as a road favorite of 3 or less, 7-3 Over when the total is 49½ points or more, 18-9 Over versus NFC East opponents and 51-34 Over versus NFC opponents overall. Colts are however, 10-6 Under versus losing teams. The Giants are 8-14 ATS as home dogs of 3 points or less, 4-9 ATS versus AFC South opponents, 11-16 ATS after a bye week, 30-55 ATS in November and 2-7 ATS versus AFC opponents, but 6-3 ATS after 2 or more losses. New York is 13-5 Under when the line is 3 points or less, 23-16 Under overall, 7-3 Under when the total is 49½ or more, 19-9 Under after a bye week and 10-2 Under versus winning teams, but they are 9-3 Over after a divisional game and 6-1 Over off a divisional loss
NFL Week 9
Colts (5-3) @ Giants (3-4) — Giants went 2L/3W/2L so far this year, losing 27-0/31-21 in last two games vs division rivals; they’ve scored 30+ points in all three wins, are 0-4 when scoring less than 30, with all four losses by 10+ points. Big Blue won last five post-bye games, with three of last four of those wins by 14+ points; Giants are 8-10 in last 18 games where spread was 3 or less points. Colts are 10-7-1 in such games under Pagano, 2-2 this year. Colts gave up 51 points, 522 passing yards to Steelers last week; 51-34 loss snapped their 5-game win streak. Indy split its four road games, losing at Denver/Pitt; they’re 5-8 vs spread in last 13 non-divisional road games. Giants covered three of last nine vs AFC teams. Over is 5-2 in last seven Indy games, 3-1-1 in last five Giant games.
Armadillosports.com
Giants listed as home dogs
By Sportsbook.ag
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (5-3) at NEW YORK GIANTS (3-4)
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Indianapolis -3, Total: 50.5
The Giants look to get back to .500 with a home victory over the Colts on Monday night.
Indianapolis was blown out in Pittsburgh last week, losing 51-34 in a game that it allowed 639 yards of total offense. The Giants, meanwhile, are coming off their much needed bye week following lopsided road losses to division foes Philadelphia (27-0 defeat) and Dallas (31-21 loss).
These teams last met Sept. 19, 2010 when the Colts beat the Giants 38-14 as 4.5-point home favorites. Peyton Manning was still Indy's signal-caller in that game. The Colts are allowing just 99.3 rushing yards per game (9th in NFL) this season, and New York will not have top RB Rashad Jennings (knee). Indianapolis is 7-0 ATS after a doublt-digit loss over the past three seasons and is also 14-3 ATS after covering the spread in two of their previous three games during that time.
New York is, however, 4-2 ATS after two straight double-digit losses over the past three years.
WR Reggie Wayne (hand) is questionable for the Colts, but it looks like RB Trent Richardson (hamstring) will be able to play after not logging a single snap last week. For the Giants, S Antrel Rolle (foot) and DT Cullen Jenkins (calf) are both questionable.
The Colts had won five straight games SU and ATS before running into an unstoppable Pittsburgh offense last week. The Indy defense was miserable in that game, but has been solid on the season as a whole. The club is good against the run, but after allowing Ben Roethlisberger to throw for over 500 yards, they’re now surrendering 252.9 passing yards per game (21st in NFL).
QB Andrew Luck (2,731 pass yards, 22 TD, 9 INT) threw for 400 yards and three touchdowns in the loss to Pittsburgh, but he did throw two interceptions. It’s becoming apparent that the Colts won’t win games unless Luck is mistake free. He’ll need to be more careful against the Giants, but he should be able to have plenty of success against their mediocre secondary. WR T.Y. Hilton (53 rec, 866 yards, 2 TD) has now surpassed 100 receiving yards in three straight games and four of the past five contests. He has two touchdowns over the past three weeks and will be Luck’s go-to-guy whenever he is on the field.
RB Ahmad Bradshaw (371 yards, 2 TD) should be in for a big game, as he’ll have extra incentive running against his former team. Bradshaw had six carries for 35 yards and a touchdown against the Steelers and also caught seven passes for 52 yards in that game.
QB Eli Manning (1,573 pass yards, 14 TD, 5 INT) threw four interceptions in the opening two weeks of the season, but he’s had just one since then. He’ll look to pick apart the same defense that allowed Roethlisberger to do whatever he wanted just a week ago.
When Manning is throwing, he’ll often target his rookie WR Odell Beckham Jr. (10 rec, 106 yards, 3 TD). Beckham Jr. is this team’s No. 1 receiver now that WR Victor Cruz is out for the season. He caught four passes for 34 yards and two touchdowns in the Giants’ last game. TE Larry Donnell (33 rec, 332 yards, 4 TD) remains a big part of this offense as well. He had seven catches for 90 yards in the Giants’ last game and should be able to find success against the Colts over the middle.
Defensively, the New York has struggled as of late. The team allowed 29.0 PPG in the two weeks heading into the bye and will need to improve, or Andrew Luck will really pick them apart.
Monday Night Football: Colts at Giants
By Covers.com
Indianapolis Colts at New York Giants (+3, 50.5)
The bye week came just in time for the New York Giants, who will attempt to halt a two-game skid when they host Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts on Monday night. Back-to-back road losses to division rivals Philadelphia and Dallas dropped the Giants below .500 and they face a steep climb to get back into the playoff picture in the NFC. "We've got nine games to play as well as we can possibly play," New York coach coach Tom Coughlin said. "I think anybody in that locker room can do that."
The Colts were riding high with a five-game winning streak, but it came to a screeching halt in a 51-34 loss at Pittsburgh last week. Indianapolis had allowed 17 points or fewer four times during its five-game run and was coming off a shutout before its defense was shredded by Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers, allowing six touchdown passes and more than 500 yards through the air. "Just like a great win, you can't let a loss like this linger," Colts coach Chuck Pagano said. "There's a team sitting and waiting and licking its chops in New York right now who's going to be well-rested."
LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Giants +3 and it has held at that number. The total has also held firm at 50.5.
INJURY REPORT: Colts - WR Reggie Wayne (elbow), LB D'Qwell Jackson (Probable, toe), CB Vontae Davis (Questionable, knee), LB Erik Walden (Doubtful, hip), S LaRon Landry (eligible, suspension). Giants - T James Brewer (Questionable, back).
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-40s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow across the field at 6 mph.
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Colts (-4.25) + Giants (+1) + home field (-3.0) = Colts -2.25
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Indianapolis coming off first loss in six games and are road favorites in New York for a second-straight week. 15-2 ATS last 17 games following a loss. The Giants are coming off their bye week but gained ground in the division with Dallas and Philadelphia losses. 4-9-1 ATS L14 games following a bye week." Covers Expert Matt Fargo.
WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Indianapolis has been one of the top most popular NFL bets this season, so we opened Colts -3.5, whereas many other shops opened them -3. We are going to need the Giants to cover in a big way, as 84 percent of cash and 88 percent of bets are backing the Colts on the spread." Mike Jerome, TopBet.eu.
ABOUT THE COLTS (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS, 6-2 O/U): Indianapolis has a pair of familiar faces in the lineup in ex-Giants Hakeem Nicks and Ahmad Bradshaw. While Nicks has been a non-factor at wideout despite playing in the league's top passing attack, Bradshaw has been an integral part of the offense while sharing time with Trent Richardson in the backfield, rushing for a pair of scores while tying for the team lead with six scoring receptions. Reggie Wayne (elbow) is expected to return to the lineup after missing last week's game and will provide a boost to Luck, who leads the league with 2,731 passing yards and is tied with predecessor Peyton Manning with an NFL-best 22 TDs. The Colts led the AFC in total yards allowed until surrendering a whopping 639 to Pittsburgh.
ABOUT THE GIANTS (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS, 4-3 O/U): New York had won three in a row and rolled up a staggering 105 points in the process, but it was shut out in Philadelphia and unable to keep pace with Dallas prior to the bye week. With leading rusher Rashad Jennings (knee) set to miss his third straight game and leading receiver Victor Cruz lost for the season in the debacle against Philadelphia, rookie first-round pick Odell Beckham Jr. figures to play a bigger role after hauling in a pair of TD passes from Eli Manning versus Dallas. Manning led the league in interceptions (27) last season and threw five more in the first four games, but he hasn't been picked off in the last three. Rookie running back Andre Williams rushed for 110 yards in the past two games while subbing for Jennings.
TRENDS:
* Colts are 15-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
* Colts are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Monday games.
* Under is 4-1 in Giants last five home games.
* Giants are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a bye week.
COVERS CONSENSUS: According to Covers Consensus, 69 percent of wagers are backing the Giants.
MNF - Colts at Giants
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Two teams looking to bounce back from road losses in their last game hook up at Met Life Stadium to wrap up Week 9 of the NFL slate. The Colts’ defense was shredded at Pittsburgh last Sunday to halt a five-game winning streak, while the Giants return to the field following the bye week trying to reach the .500 mark and somewhat get back in the NFC playoff picture.
Indianapolis (5-3) put together five consecutive victories following an 0-2 hole to start the season, but the Colts were blitzed in a 51-34 defeat at Pittsburgh as five-point road favorites. Chuck Pagano’s team allowed 28 points in the second quarter alone, while yielding 522 yards passing to Ben Roethlisberger. Indianapolis had given up 41 points combined in the three previous games, as the Colts lost as a road favorite for the first time in eight tries with Andrew Luck under center.
The Giants (3-4) will be happy not to see a divisional rival this week after losing back-to-back games at Philadelphia and Dallas. The roller-coaster ride for Tom Coughlin’s crew will make any fan dizzy, starting 0-2, followed by three consecutive wins, and now in the midst of two straight losses. Back in Week 7, the Giants erased an early 7-0 deficit as Eli Manning tossed a pair of touchdowns to take a 14-7 lead. The Cowboys responded with three unanswered scores to grab a 28-14 advantage, as Dallas finished off New York, 31-21 to cash as 4½-point favorites.
Manning struggled all last season with interceptions, throwing 27 picks, while the Giants began 0-6 in 2013. New York lost its first two games this season to Detroit and Arizona, as the former top pick in 2004 was intercepted four times. However, Manning has thrown just one interception in the past five games, while tossing 11 touchdown passes.
Luck has led the Colts to at least 24 points in seven of eight games this season, as the lowest total scored by the Colts came in a 20-13 home win over the Ravens back in Week 5. Since 2012, Indianapolis has compiled an excellent 11-1 SU/ATS record off a loss, as the only defeat in this stretch came back in Week 2 at home to Philadelphia.
These teams are meeting up for the first time since September 2010, when the Colts routed the Giants, 38-14 as four-point favorites. Peyton Manning outdueled his brother by throwing for 255 yards and three touchdowns, as Indianapolis jumped out to a 24-0 lead. Luck is facing the Giants for the first time in his short career, while the Colts are visiting New Jersey for the first time since a 26-21 victory in 2006.
The Giants are back at home for the first time in nearly a month, as New York looks to improve to 3-1 at Met Life Stadium. After losing to the Cardinals back in Week 2, the Giants put together a pair of impressive efforts in double-digit victories over the Texans and Falcons. Last season, New York failed to win (or cover) in three losses in the role of a home underdog, as its last cover when receiving points at home came back in 2011 in a 38-35 loss to Green Bay as seven-point ‘dogs.
The ‘over’ run in primetime is slowing up a bit following a 20-4 record through the first 24 night games. The ‘under’ cashed in the past two primetime contests (Washington/Dallas and New Orleans/Carolina), but the ‘over’ is 6-3 in Monday night affairs. Home teams have won just four of nine games on Monday this season, while home ‘dogs are 1-2 SU/ATS to wrap up the week with the Chiefs being the lone team in this role to win and cover in Week 4 against the Patriots.
From a totals perspective, the Giants are 4-3 to the ‘under,’ while two of their three home games have finished ‘under’ the total. The Colts are a strong ‘over’ club, hitting in six of eight contests, while all four road games have cashed the ‘over.’ In three games with a total listed at 50 or higher, Indianapolis is 2-1 to the ‘over.’
New York has won and covered four of its past six games on Monday night since 2009, including a dominating 23-7 victory over Minnesota last season. Luck is appearing in only his second Monday night contest in his career, as the Colts fell at San Diego last season, 19-9, while being listed as a road favorite against an NFC opponent for the first time since 2010.
Indianapolis is listed as a three-point favorite, but you have to lay -120 at several books on -3. Several books have the Colts sitting at 3½, while the total is set between 50 and 51 depending on the outfit. The game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST and can be seen on ESPN.
NFL Football: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Indianapolis Colts at New York Giants
Indianapolis Colts currently sit at 5-3 (6-2 ATS) after having a five-game winning streak come to a screeching halt last week in a 51-34 loss at Pittsburgh. Although, Monday Night Football has been cruel to the Colts as they've lost three in-a-row, a couple of very telling football betting stats leap out in favor of Indy. The squad has flourished in the situation they find themselves tonight as they're 6-0 ATS off a two touchdown spanking, 15-2 ATS following a loss the previous effort. Luck's gang are also 10-3 against the betting line as chalk of 3.5 or less including a perfect 4-0 ATS on the road. Meanwhile, G-Men off a much needed bye week look to halt a two game slide that has the team at 3-4 SU/ATS on the campaign. The status as underdog in front of the home folks has not worked well for G-Men as they're 0-3 ATS of late. Yet, another knock against Giants, they've been among the worst NFL picks during the month of November posting a 4-10-1 ATS record. One final bit of league-wide football handicapping research that weighs heavy in favor of Colts. A road fave off a loss playing the second of a B-2-B road swing cash at at sparkling 75.7% clip (28-9-1 ATS).
Colts vs. Giants Betting Preview and Pick
By: Larry Hartstein
Sportingnews.com
The Colts (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS) put two eye-popping streaks on the line Monday when they visit the well-rested Giants (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) at MetLife Stadium (8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN). Indy is 15-2 ATS off a straight-up loss, and 15-2 ATS in its last 17 games against losing teams.
The Colts gave up a ridiculous 522 passing yards in last week’s 51-34 loss at Pittsburgh. New York had a bye week to stew over a two-game losing streak in which it was outscored 58-21. Andrew Luck leads the league with 2,731 passing yards and is tied for the NFL lead with 22 passing touchdowns. Eli Manning has gone three straight games without an interception but isn’t taking many chances downfield.
This game marks the return of former Giants Ahmad Bradshaw and Hakeem Nicks to MetLife. These teams haven’t played since 2010.
The Line: Colts -3.5 Total: 51
Line movement: The line opened Indy -3.5 and has bounced between that number and -3 with increased vig. Totals have ranged from 50.5 to 51.5. For updated spreads and totals, visit our live odds page.
Trends that matter: The OVER is 5-0 in the Colts’ last five road games and 8-2 in the Colts’ last 10 games overall. … The Giants are 19-42-2 ATS in their last 63 November games. … The Colts are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Monday night games. … The Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs. winning teams.
Colts will go back to the run: Indy averaged 34 carries during its five-game losing streak, then had just 10 rushes in the embarrassment at Pittsburgh. Trent Richardson’s return from injury will enable Indy to rotate backs and become balanced again. Although Richardson averages just 3.5 yards per carry, he’s the inside runner the Colts need to complement Ahmad Bradshaw.
Giants’ O-line overmatched: The Giants have failed to open holes for their running backs and to give Manning a clean pocket the past couple weeks. Starting RT Justin Pugh gave up a whopping four sacks in the shutout loss at Philly but played much better in the defeat at Dallas. Still, this is a unit that could be vulnerable to a Colts defense that has 21 sacks, tied for ninth.
Injuries that matter: Giants RB Rashad Jennings will miss his third straight game with a knee injury, giving rookie Andre Williams another start.
Giants MLB Jon Beason aggravated his foot injury in the Week 7 loss at Philly and is out for the year.
Colts RB Trent Richardson will return from his hamstring injury and share carries with Ahmad Bradshaw.
Colts WR Reggie Wayne (elbow) missed Week 8 but is expected to play.
Weather: The temperature will be in the low 50s, with 5 mph winds and zero chance of rain. Visit Weather Underground for the up-to-the-minute forecast:
The Linemakers lean: The Giants have beat up on bad teams and have looked like a bad team themselves when matched up against good teams. The Cowboys, Eagles, Cardinals and Lions have all handled New York easily, while the G-Men's wins are against Atlanta, Washington and Houston. Look for Andrew Luck to come out fired up and angry and get the win here. The play is on Indianapolis.
Indianapolis Colts at New York Giants Preview
Atssportsline.com
Opening and Current Odds: Indianapolis opened as a 3-point betting odds favorite and remained there. The total opened at 49.5 and moved to 50.5.
Weather: Partly cloudy. West wind 4-9. Gametime temperature: 49.
Key NFL Trends
Indianapolis is
13-3 ATS last 16 following an ATS loss.
8-3 ATS last 11 Monday games.
5-0 last 5 matchups on the under bet on the road.
New York Giants are
4-9-1 ATS laste 14 following a bye week.
1-6 ATS last 7 after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
6-14 last 20 matchups on the under bet following a bye week.
2-6 last 8 matchups on the under bet in Week 9.
NFL Key injuries
Indianapolis
DE Arthur Jones (ankle) is out.
LB Erik Walden (hip) is out.
S LaRon Landry (suspension served) is out.
New York Giants
RB Rashad Jennings (knee) is out.
LB Jon Beason (toe) is on the injured reserve.
DT Cullen Jenkins (calf) is qustionable.
WR Victor Cruz (knee) is on the injured reserve.
The Colts need to get a pass rush
Andrew Luck has put up some major points but couldn't elevate his team in their 51-34 loss at Pittsburgh last week. All Luck has done is throw for 2,731 yards and 22 touchdown passes. He anchors the top offense in football, which produces 542.3 yards per game. Luck's biggest problem has been turning it over, which includes bad ball security. Last week, he put up his second-career 400-yard passing game, completed 26-of-45. T.Y. Hilton has been his favorite target this year, as he led the Colts with six catches for 155 yards and a score.
But the loss was mainly on the defense and that halted their five-game winning streak. Hilton will get some help as Reggie Wayne is back after missing last week's game with an elbow injury.
The defense actually led the AFC in total yards allowed before allowing 639 against Pittsburgh. The pass defense was sliced-and-diced by Ben Roethlisberger, who passed for franchise records of 522 yards and six touchdowns.
The Colts were hampered by an injury to their best cornerback in Vontae Davis, who went down with a knee injury in the first quarter. He practiced on Thursday and is expected to play Monday night. Safety LaRon Landry was expected back after missing four games due to a PED suspension, but is not expected to play.
Giants can still make a run
Dallas fell to 6-3 after losing at home to Arizona, while Philadelphia is 6-2. But both teams have injured quarterbacks. The New York Giants could make a move back to a contender if they can get a win and get back to 4-4.
Against Dallas, quarterback Eli Manning played well, completing 21-of-33 for 248 yards as rookie Odell Beckham Jr., caught two of Manning's three TD passes.
The Giants do miss WR Victor Cruz, who is out for the year with a knee injury. Beckham is now starting for Cruz, who had 23 catches for 337 yards and one score before the injury.
The leading receiver for Manning is tight end Larry Donnell, who has 33 catches for 332 yards and four TDs. The Giants' running game has been stagnant with a knee injury to Rashad Jennings, who has 396 yards rushing and two TDs with a 4.4 yards per carry average. Rookie Andre Williams hs 280 yards rushing with two scores, but is averaging just 3.1 yards per carry.
Manning has 1,573 passing yards with 15 TDs and just five INTs. He's been sacked 13 times and has completed 64.9 percent of his passes. He has gone three straight games without an interception.
The offense averages 332.7 yards per game, which ranks 23rd in the league. The defense surrenders 384.4 yards per game to rank 27th. They have just 13 sacks overall led by DE Jason Pierre-Paul with 3.5. Cornerback Prince Amakumara leads with 11 passes defensed and has three interceptions.
Analysis: The Giants have to get to Luck and try to force him into mistakes, or this will be a very long night for the defense. The Giants are 22-33-1 straight up on Monday night football, while head coach Tom Coughlin is 0-6 in his career against the Colts.