NFL betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, October 16th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 3) at TENNESSEE (2 - 3) - 10/16/2017, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Indianapolis's last 24 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Tennessee's last 24 games when playing Indianapolis
INDIANAPOLIS @ TENNESSEE
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
StatFox Super Situations
INDIANAPOLIS at TENNESSEE
Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TENNESSEE) with a poor passing D - allowing a comp pct of 60% or worse, after allowing 4.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game 29-8 over the last 10 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
NFL Week 6
Colts (2-3) @ Titans (2-3) — Status of Mariota (hamstring) makes handicapping this game dicey. Titans scored 14-10 points in losing their last two games, both on road; they split their two home games. Tennessee is 5-3 vs spread in its last eight games as a home favorite; over is 10-6-2 in their last 18 home games. Indy is 16-1 in its last 17 games with the Titans, winning last 11 in a row; they won last five visits to Nashville, by 6-3-17-2-8 points. Indy is 0-2 on road this season, losing big both times, 46-9 (+3.5) at Rams, 46-18 (+13) at Seattle- their three home games were all decided by 3 points each. Last three Colt games all went over. Colts are 30-65 on 3rd down in Brissett’s four starts, which is good, but winning on road is doubtful until Luck returns to lineup.
Armadillosports.com
Monday Night Football Betting Preview: Colts at Titans
Covers.com
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (-7.5, 48 )
The Tennessee Titans witnessed firsthand last week what life is like without their stud quarterback while the Indianapolis Colts have played under that cloud all season. With Marcus Mariota's availability in question due to a hamstring injury, the Titans aim to snap an 11-game losing skid against the Colts on Monday night when the AFC South rivals meet at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tenn.
"I want to be very smart about how we do this. It's more than this game, it's a lot of games, that we've got to be concerned about," Tennessee coach Mike Mularkey said of Mariota. Mularkey and company couldn't have been too keen on the performance of Matt Cassel, as the Titans mustered just 188 total yards in their lowest scoring output of the season - a 16-10 loss to Miami. Indianapolis has seen its offense take significant strides as Jacoby Brissett has gotten acclimated under center in place of the injured Andrew Luck (shoulder), who does not have an exact timetable to return. Brissett threw for a career-high 314 yards and rushed for a touchdown last week as the Colts collected their second victory against a winless team with a 26-23 overtime triumph over San Francisco.
POWER RANKINGS: Colts (4) - Titans (3) + home field (-3) = Titans -2
LINE HISTORY: The Titans opened as 8-point home favorites and that number jumped slightly to -8.5 before dropping a full point to -7.5 heading into game day. The total hit betting boards at 49 and has dropped one full point to 48 as of Sunday night. View the complete line history here.
INJURY REPORT:
Colts - WR Chester Rogers (Probable Monday, Hamstring), CB Quincy Wilson (Probable, Knee), TE Jack Doyle (Probable, Concussion), CB Nat Hairston (Probable Monday, Quadricep), RB Matt Jones (Probable, Knee), QB Jacoby Brissett (Probable Monday, Wrist), LB Anthony Walker Jr. (Questionable Monday, Hamstring), QB Andrew Luck (Early November, Shoulder), OT Jack Mewhort (Questionable Week 14, Knee), S Clayton Geathers (Questionable Week 7, Neck), WR Krishawn Hogan (I-R, Knee).
Titans - QB Marcus Mariota (Questionable, Hamstring), OT Taylor Lewan (Questionable, Knee), S Johnathan Cyprien (Out, Hamstring), WR Corey Davis (Out, Hamstring), LB Aaron Wallace (Questionable Week 11, Back).
ABOUT THE COLTS (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS, 4-1 O/U): T.Y. Hilton gashed the 49ers with seven receptions for 177 yards last week and looks to continue his assault on the Titans, against whom he had a seven-catch, 133-yard performance last October in a comeback win in Nashville. "This game, it counts double. It's very important. It's something that we understand," the 27-year-old Hilton said. Rookie running back Marlon Mack has shown a burst in Indianapolis' backfield, rushing for a 22-yard touchdown and galloping for a key 35-yard run that set up Adam Vinatieri's game-winning 51-yard field goal in overtime. Veteran Frank Gore, who moved into seventh place in NFL history with 13,304 yards rushing, has four touchdowns in his last three games versus Tennessee.
ABOUT THE TITANS (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U): Tennessee's bread and butter has long been its rushing attack, but DeMarco Murray has amassed just 89 yards on the ground in his last two contests - with Miami limiting the Titans to only 69 yards on 20 carries last week. Murray could get untracked against a Colts'defense that is surrendering an NFL-high 31.8 points per game this season, and the veteran has scored a touchdown in each of the past three encounters with the club. Wideout Rishard Matthews has put his best foot forward at home, reeling in 20 receptions for 272 yards and two touchdowns in the past three games. Matthews, however, has been limited to just six catches for 83 yards in the Titans' back-to-back losses the past two weeks.
TRENDS:
* Colts are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
* Titans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
* Over is 6-1 in Colts last 7 games in October.
* Over is 10-2-1 in Titans last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.
* Colts are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
CONSENSUS: The road underdog Colts are picking up 64 percent of the pointspread wagers and Under is grabbing 52 percent of the totals selections.
MNF - Colts at Titans
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
LAST WEEK
The Colts (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS) have managed to stay competitive even with franchise quarterback Andrew Luck sidelined through five games. Indianapolis has split its last four games since getting blown out at Los Angeles to start the season, while having three of those games decided by three points. The Colts staved off the 49ers last Sunday, 26-23 in overtime to barely cash as one-point favorites. Indianapolis jumped out to a 14-point advantage before San Francisco scored two fourth quarter touchdowns to tie it.
Jacoby Brissett threw for a season-high 314 yards, but didn’t complete a touchdown pass for the first time in three games. Wide receiver T.Y. Hilton torched the San Francisco defense for 177 yards on seven receptions, his second game in three weeks with at least 150 yards receiving. Rookie running back Marlon Mack carried the load on the ground with a career high 91 yards, as no Colt had rushed for over 50 yards in any contest this season.
The Titans (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS) began the season with a 2-1 start, including victories over the Jaguars and Seahawks. Tennessee has gone backwards recently with consecutive losses at Houston and Miami, while scoring only 24 points in those setbacks. After getting blown out at Houston two weeks ago, 57-14, the Titans played without starting quarterback Marcus Mariota at Miami due to a hamstring injury. Mariota’s absence opened the door for veteran Matt Cassel, who could muster only one touchdown pass in a 16-10 defeat to the Dolphins.
Tennessee’s defense put together a strong effort by allowing 178 yards, but the Titans posted 188 yards themselves as they were held to fewer than 16 points for the third time this season. Running back DeMarco Murray continued to struggle as he racked up 58 yards on 14 carries, while the lone highlight of his season has been a 75-yard touchdown run against Seattle in Week 3.
READY TO RETURN
One starting quarterback will come back to the field this week and it’s not Luck. He continues to rehab from off-season shoulder surgery, while his Pac-12 counterpart Mariota will return following the week to recover from a hamstring injury. In his last action, Mariota was held to 96 yards passing in the blowout loss at Houston, while getting intercepted twice. However, the Heisman Trophy winner did rush for two scores, as he has scored as many touchdowns on the ground this season (3) as touchdown passes.
DIVISION WOES
The Titans have split their two games against AFC South opponents in 2017, as Tennessee has won two games or fewer within the division since 2012. The last time the Titans finished at least .500 in the division came in 2011 when they posted a 3-3 mark against the Colts, Jaguars, and Texans. Indianapolis has yet to face a division opponent as three of its next four games come within the AFC South against Jacksonville next Sunday and at Houston in Week 9. Last season, the Colts compiled a 3-3 SU and 2-3-1 ATS mark inside the division.
PREVIOUS MATCHUPS
The Colts have utterly dominated the Titans over the years by capturing 11 consecutive matchups since 2011. Indianapolis is undefeated in its last five visits to Nashville, including a 34-26 triumph last October as four-point underdogs. Luck torched the Titans for 353 yards and three touchdowns, while Hilton hauled in seven catches for 133 yards and a score. Mariota did his part with two touchdown passes, but the Colts scored two late touchdowns, including a defensive score on a Robert Mathis fumble return.
Not only have the Colts owned the Titans from a straight-up perspective, but Indianapolis has covered 10 of the past 11 meetings. The last time Tennessee dethroned Indianapolis came in Week 8 of 2011 at Nissan Stadium, 27-10, the year before Luck was drafted by the Colts as they finished with just two victories.
TOTAL TALK
Indianapolis has been a good team to back from an OVER perspective, but hitting the OVER in four of five games. There is no rhyme or reason behind their high-scoring games, as the Colts have allowed exactly 46 points in losses to the Rams and Seahawks, but have also yielded 23 points or less in two other contests. Tennessee went through a three-game stretch of OVERS prior to its UNDER at Miami last week, as its OVERS came in two games in which they topped the 33-point mark, and the blowout loss at Houston.
UNDER THE LIGHTS
The Colts have struggled on Monday nights over the years, going 2-5 SU and 4-3 ATS since 2011. Coincidentally, both victories came at Met Life Stadium, beating the Giants in 2014 and the Jets last season. The last time the Colts faced the Titans on Monday night came in 2008 when Indianapolis topped Tennessee, 31-21. Tennessee is playing in its third Monday nighter since 2012, beating the Jets five seasons ago, while losing as a seven-point home underdog, 27-24 to Pittsburgh in 2014.
HANDICAPPER’S CORNER
VegasInsider.com handicapper Joe Nelson feels this is an important month for the Titans, “If Tennessee is going to make the playoffs this is the key stretch in the season with three of the next four games at home with winnable games vs. the Colts, Ravens, and Bengals in Nashville, plus next week’s game at Cleveland which is ahead of a Week 8 bye week.”
If the Titans stick to the ground game, Nelson believes Tennessee has the advantage, “The Titans have scored just 24 points the past two weeks combined, but this is the league’s second-best rushing team and an above average run defense facing a Colts team that is among the worst ground game teams in the NFL.”
Nelson says this Colts’ team remains competitive in spite of Luck’s injury, “The opener with the Rams was a disaster, but the 2-2 run the past four weeks has featured some promise with three close games and a misleading 46-18 result at Seattle, as that was a tie game with 18 minutes to go. The defense has added some young talent led by Ohio State rookie Malik Hooker who already has three interceptions and Brissett has been capable leading the offense.”
From the trends perspective, expert Vince Akins provides a trend that goes against Tennessee, “The Titans are 0-11 ATS since Dec 14, 2008 as a favorite coming off a game where they allowed no more than 15 first downs.” That record includes a 2-4 SU and 0-6 ATS mark against division opponents, while losing at Jacksonville last season, 38-17.
Titans host Colts on Monday Night Football
StatFox.com
Both the Colts and the Titans will be trying to get back to the .500 mark when the teams meet on Monday Night Football.
Both the Colts and the Titans had hopes of making it to the postseason this year, but injuries have complicated things quite a bit. The Colts have been without QB Andrew Luck (Shoulder) for the first five weeks of the year, and he’s likely to miss this one as well. Luck has, however, started to practice, so he should be back in the next couple of weeks. His team has performed pretty admirably in his absence, so Indianapolis probably feels like it has a shot at making the playoffs upon his arrival. The Titans, meanwhile, were without QB Marcus Mariota (Hamstring) last week. He should, however, be back out there when these teams meet on Monday. Tennessee is also 2-3 and that’s a major disappointment. A lot of people said the Titans were going to be this year’s breakout team, but things haven’t started the way they hoped. They should, however, feel pretty good about earning a victory here. Another thing Tennessee should feel good about is ending an 11-game losing streak to Indianapolis. The Colts have dominated this head-to-head series as of late, but a night game at home should make for one electric atmosphere.
The Colts are likely going to be without Andrew Luck for another couple of weeks, but QB Jacoby Brissett (997 yards, 2 TD) has actually been solid for this team. Brissett doesn’t make many big plays, but he also doesn’t turn the ball over that often. That’s really all Indianapolis can ask out of their quarterback, but he’ll probably also need to do a bit more in this one than he did last week. Brissett did not throw for any touchdowns against a lousy 49ers defense a week ago, and he also threw a pick there. That’s not a good combination, but it’s possible that he’ll turn it around here. The Titans have also struggled defensively, so Brissett must take a few chances here. When the Colts are throwing, it’ll be WR T.Y. Hilton (24 rec. 466 yards, 1 TD) that Brissett is targeting. Even with Luck out, Hilton is on pace for 77 receptions and 1,491 yards. He is an explosive weapon out there for Indianapolis and will be counted on to make plays here. Indianapolis should still, however, do its best to establish the run game. And on defense, a lot of the Colts’ plan will be based on whether or not Mariota is out there. If he is then they’ll need to be ready to stop a very balanced offensive attack. If he’s not then they’ll be able to load up against the run.
The Titans really need QB Marcus Mariota (792 yards, 3 TD, 3 INT) to make his return in this game, as backups Matt Cassel (162 yards, 1 TD) and Brandon Weeden are far from reliable. Cassel has not gotten the job done for Tennessee in his time under center, and the team really isn’t going to want to see what Weeden will do with this offense. The good news is that Mariota did practice a bit this week. That means that he should be out there and if he is then this offense will put up big numbers against this lousy Colts defense. The running game will also be able to get going against this Colts team, so look for both RB DeMarco Murray (273 yards, 1 TD) and Derrick Henry (187 yards, 1 TD) to have their way in this game. Murray can certainly use a big performance after last week’s game, as he really struggled against the Dolphins. This can serve as an opportunity for him to get back on track and build some confidence. On defense, the Titans will need to keep Jacoby Brissett from making plays with his feet. He’s not going to pick them apart from the pocket, but he is dangerous when he is able to get out and run.