NFL betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, October 23rd, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
WASHINGTON (3 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 1) - 10/23/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
NFL Week 7
Redskins (3-2) @ Eagles (5-1) — Redskins lost their last six weeknight games. Eagles won six of last nine weeknight games. Eagles (-1) won 30-17 at Washington in Week 1, snapping 5-game series skid; Redskins won 38-24/27-22 in last two visits here. Each defense scored a TD in that first meeting. Philly had extra prep time after Thursday win in Charlotte; they’ve won four games in row, covering last three. Eagles are 2-0 at home, winning by 3-27 points- only one of their last four wins was by more than five points. Redskins won three of last four games, are 1-1 on road (over 1-0-1)- they scored 26+ points in their three wins, 17-20 in losses. Washington is 8-3 vs spread in last 11 games as a road underdog.
Armadillosports.com
High-powered Eagles host Redskins
StatFox.com
The Eagles will be trying to improve to 6-1 when they face the division rival Redskins on Monday Night Football.
The Redskins are coming off of a tough win over the 49ers last week, but they can’t possibly be very happy with the way that they played in that one. San Francisco has not yet won a game this season and Washington blew a big lead to let the 49ers back into that game. The Redskins will need to make sure they play a much cleaner game here, as they are going up against an Eagles team that has looked like one of the best in the NFC thus far. Philadelphia most recently faced a very good Carolina team and won 28-23 as a three-point road underdog on Thursday night. The Eagles have now won four straight and they have covered in each of their past three. They also happened to have dominated the Redskins when these teams met in Week 1. Washington was a two-point home underdog in that game and Philly ended up winning 30-17. The Redskins have, however, won-and-covered in four of the past five meetings with the Eagles, so perhaps they’ll get back on track here. One trend that stands out when looking at this game is the fact that Washington is 42-25 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to seven points since 1992. The Redskins are, however, a lousy 2-11 ATS versus teams allowing 7.5 yards per punt return or fewer under head coach Jay Gruden.
The Redskins will be trying to really pick up some momentum with a victory on Monday, but it’s not going to be easy to beat this Eagles team. If Washington can’t key in on Philadelphia’s weapons in the passing game then this game could get out of hand early. The main concern will be finding a way to stop Zach Ertz. He has been a matchup nightmare all season, so the Redskins will need to find a way to cover him. Sending extra safety help over the top might be the only way to do that. On offense, the Redsins will need QB Kirk Cousins (1,334 hards, 9 TD, 2 INT) to continue to play at a high level. Over the past three weeks, Cousins has thrown for seven touchdowns and just one interception. He is avoiding costly mistakes and the offense has had no trouble moving. The impressive thing is that the team is doing that without a running game. That might not be as easy against a good Philly defense, but Washington will just need to figure out a way.
The Eagles have been one of the most surprising teams in the league thus far, as they look like they are absolutely ready to contend. Not many expected them to be much more than a wild card contender this year, but it might be time to start taking them seriously. The big reason this team has been so good has been the play of QB Carson Wentz (1,584 yards, 13 TD, 3 INT). Wentz is only in his second season in the league, but he already looks like a Top 10 quarterback. Over the past two weeks alone, Wentz has thrown for seven touchdowns and just one pick. He has a cannon for an arm, but he also makes good decisions with the ball. Look for him to have a big game here, as he threw for 307 yards with two touchdowns the first time he faced Washington this year. And when Wentz does go to the air, look for TE Zach Ertz (34 rec, 405 yards, 4 TD), WR Nelson Agholor (20 rec, 321 yards, 4 TD) and WR Alshon Jeffery (24 rec, 317 yards, 2 TD) to be the ones he is throwing to. Ertz has been a monster this season, but Jeffery is due for a big game soon. He is far too talented to continue to take a backseat moving forward.
Monday Night Football Betting Preview: Redskins at Eagles
Covers.com
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5, 49)
When the Philadelphia Eagles step onto the field for Monday's prime-time clash against the visiting Washington Redskins, they will own the best record in the NFL and have a chance to take total control of the NFC East. The Eagles have ripped off four consecutive victories to open a two-game lead on the Redskins as they vie for a sweep of the season series.
Philadelphia won its first three games last season under rookie quarterback Carson Wentz before going into a tailspin, but the team seems better equipped to continue its success this time around. "Having a year together with this team, under Coach, myself, everything, we're just built differently," Wentz told reporters. "We have a different character makeup in that locker room, and we just have a bunch of guys that believe that, no matter the situation, we can find a way to win a ballgame." Washington, which won five straight in the series before dropping a 30-17 decision to the Eagles in the season opener, held on for a 26-24 victory over winless San Francisco last weekend after building an early 17-point lead. The Redskins' only other loss was a 29-20 setback at then-unbeaten Kansas City, which also handed Philadelphia its only defeat.
POWER RANKINGS: Redskins (0) - Eagles (-3) + home field (-3) = Eagles -6
LINE HISTORY: The Eagles opened as 5.5-home chalk and early money on the road team has brought that number down a full-point to 4.5, where it currently stands. The total hit the betting board at 48.5 and has been bet up at an even 49.
INJURY REPORT:
Washington - OT Trent Williams (Probable, Knee), LB Ryan Anderson (Probable, Back), LB Mason Foster (Questionable, Shoulder), G Tyler Catalina (Questionable, Concussion), RB Rob Kelley (Questionable, Ankle), S Deshazor Everett (Questionable, Hamstring), CB Bashaud Breeland (Questionable, Knee), S Stefan McClure (Questionable, Knee), CB Josh Norman (Doubtful, Ribs), OT Jonathan Allen I-R, Foot), K Dustin Hopkins (I-R, Hip).
Philadelphia - DT Beau Allen (Probable, Foot), DT Destiny Vaeao (Probable, Wrist), DE Brandon Graham (Probable, Shoulder), LB Jordan Hicks (Probable, Ankle), RB Wendall Smallwood (Probable, Knee), OT Lance Johnson (Probable, Concussion), DT Tim Jernigan (Questionable, Ankle), CB Ronald Darby (Questionable, Ankle), S Jaylen Watkins (Questionable, Hamstring), LB Nigel Bradham (Questionable, Upper Body), WR Mack Hollins (Questionable, Leg)
ABOUT THE REDSKINS (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U): Quarterback Kirk Cousins had his worst performance in the season opener, but he is coming off a strong three-game stretch and leads the NFC with a 106.4 passer rating. Running back Rob Kelley is dealing with an ankle injury, which could mean the bulk of playing time will go to rookie Samaje Perine and Chris Thompson, who already has recorded two 100-yard receiving performances and made four catches for 52 yards and a touchdown in Week 1. With wideouts Terrelle Pryor and Jamison Crowder continuing to struggle, the tight-end tandem of Jordan Reed and Vernon Davis has combined for 29 catches. Linebacker Preston Smith has registered 4.5 of the team's 15 sacks, including one in the season opener.
ABOUT THE EAGLES (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS, 4-2 O/U): Wentz entered the weekend fifth in passing yards (1,584) with 13 touchdowns and three interceptions, and during the four-game winning streak has thrown nine scoring passes against only one pick. Moving to the slot has provided a boost for third-year wideout Nelson Agholor, who has recorded four catches and a TD reception in each of the last two games. However, Wentz's top target is tight end Zach Ertz, who hauled in a pair of touchdown passes last week and has been a nemesis for the Redskins - evidenced by an eight-catch, 93-yard performance in Week 1. Philadelphia ranks No. 1 in the league against the run, allowing an average of 65.7 yards, but is surrendering a generous 273.5 passing yards.
TRENDS:
* Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
* Over is 8-0 in Redskins last 8 games following a ATS loss.
* Over is 9-2 in Eagles last 11 vs. NFC East.
* Redskins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
CONSENSUS: The home fave Eagles are picking up 55 percent of the action on the spread and Over is grabbing 64 percent of the totals selections.
MNF - Redskins at Eagles
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
LAST WEEK
The Redskins (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) built a commanding 17-0 lead over the winless 49ers, but San Francisco scored 17 unanswered points to even the game at 17-17. Washington scored the next nine points, including a Kirk Cousins seven-yard touchdown run to take a 26-17 advantage. San Francisco cut the deficit to 26-24 and had an opportunity to win it on the final drive, but came up short.
Washington failed to cash as 12-point favorites in the two-point triumph, its first opportunity laying points this season. Cousins produced a 330-yard effort through the air, while throwing two touchdown passes and running for the game-winning score. Running back Chris Thompson hauled in his second receiving touchdown in three weeks, while racking up 138 all-purpose yards. Washington dropped to 5-5 ATS in its last 10 games in the favorite role, including 0-3 ATS in its past three as a favorite at FedEx Field.
The class of the NFC currently resides in Philadelphia as the Eagles (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) won their fourth straight game, 28-23 at Carolina. The Eagles overcame a 10-3 deficit led by a pair of touchdown strikes from Carson Wentz to tight end Zach Ertz to take an 18-10 halftime advantage. Wentz hooked up with Nelson Agholor on a 24-yard connection to start the fourth quarter to give Philadelphia a commanding 28-16 cushion as the Eagles held on for the five-point win.
Philadelphia covered as three-point underdogs, while Wentz delivered multi-touchdown passes for the fourth time this season. The 222-yard effort was the second-lowest total for Wentz throwing this season, but the Eagles improved to 3-1 away from Lincoln Financial Field after winning only one road game last season.
LINCING IT UP
Since Wentz took over as quarterback of the Eagles in 2016, Philadelphia owns an 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS at Lincoln Financial Field, including a 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS record this season. The Eagles have compiled a 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS mark as a home favorite in this span, as the only loss in this role came to the Packers in Week 12 last season. The offense topped the 27-point mark in both home wins this season over the Giants and Cardinals, while finished UNDER the total in seven of the past 10 home contests.
HIGHWAY BARKERS
Under Jay Gruden, the Redskins have profited the last few seasons in the role of a road underdog. Since December 2015, Washington has put together a solid 8-2 ATS and 6-3-1 SU record in the past 10 when receiving points away from FedEx Field. One of those SU/ATS losses came at Kansas City in the late burn of a 29-20 defeat in Week 4. After the Chiefs took a 23-20 lead with four seconds remaining as 6 ½-point favorites, Kansas City recovered a fumble on the final play of the game and returned it for a score to break the heart of Washington backers.
PREVIOUS MEETING
The Redskins won five consecutive matchups with the Eagles from 2014 through last season. However, the Eagles snapped that skid with a 30-17 triumph in this season’s opener at FedEx Field as two-point favorites. Philadelphia jumped out to a 13-0 lead behind a pair of touchdown passes by Wentz before Washington scored 14 unanswered points. Caleb Sturgis knocked down three field goals to give Philadelphia a 22-17 advantage before a late Fletcher Cox fumble return for a score put the game out of reach. Wentz began his second season with a solid 307 yard, two-touchdown performance, while Ertz and Agholor combined for 14 catches and 179 yards.
Washington has won each of its past two visits to Lincoln Financial Field, including a 27-22 victory as two-point favorites last December. Thompson scored the go-ahead touchdown with under two minutes remaining to off-set 314 yards throwing from Wentz. Cousins only threw for 234 yards, but led Washington on a pair of touchdown drives in the third quarter to erase a 13-7 deficit.
UNDER THE LIGHTS
Since 2013, the Eagles have put together a solid 5-2 SU/ATS record in Monday night action, including a split in Wentz’s rookie campaign. Philadelphia has won two of its past three home Monday nighters, but dropped a 14-point decision to Green Bay last season.
Washington is notoriously horrible on Mondays by posting a putrid 2-12 SU and 3-11 ATS record since 2008, including the Week 4 setback at Kansas City. Ten of those losses came at home, while the only road victory in this stretch came at Dallas as a nine-point underdog, 20-17 in 2014.
Favorites have dominated on Mondays this season by going 6-1 SU and 4-2-1 ATS record, as the only underdog to win outright is the Lions back in Week 2 against the Giants. The OVER has hit in four of seven Monday games, while the OVER is 11-8 in primetime action heading into Week 7.
HANDICAPPER’S CORNER
VegasInsider.com expert Joe Nelson points out that Philadelphia’s defense has helped lift them to a 5-1 mark, but teams have thrown on Doug Pederson’s squad, “The Eagles are ninth in the NFL in scoring defense, but 20th in the league in total defense with great run defense numbers but vulnerability against the pass, surrendering 273 passing yards per game, fourth most in the league. Philadelphia’s only loss came to a now 5-2 Chiefs team on the road in a competitive game, but four of five wins came in very close games including narrowly beating Giants and Chargers teams that are a combined 3-9.”
Nelson says this game will go far in determining the NFC East champion, “With the Giants likely already out of the running and Dallas on pace to fall far off last season’s pace, this game will play a huge role in deciding the NFC East champion. Philadelphia could grab a significant division lead with a win this week while securing a key tiebreaker with a series sweep and a 3-0 start in division play. The Eagles have the 0-6 49ers up next on the schedule for a great opportunity to emerge as the clear NFC leader at the midpoint of the season.”
From a trend standpoint, Vince Akins points out a system that favors the OVER as it relates to Cousins, “The Redskins are 12-0 OU since Nov 15, 2015 coming off a game where Kirk Cousins threw at least 35 passes.” Washington barely cashed the OVER in its only opportunity in this spot in Week 2 at Los Angeles, while the Redskins own a solid 9-2-1 SU and 10-2 ATS record in this position.
BOOKMAKER’S TAKE
Scott Cooley of BookMaker.eu says the public is all over the Eagles on Monday, “They always have a big public following, and MNF will command much of it. Right now, the square wagers are weighted toward the Philly side 80-20. That said, the early sharp action came on Washington. We do have smart money on both sides, and it wouldn't surprise me if they are on the Eagles when it's all said and done as well.”