NFL betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, October 31st, 2016
MINNESOTA (5 - 1) at CHICAGO (1 - 6) - 10/31/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota at Chicago
Minnesota: 9-2 ATS in road lined games
Chicago: 31-49 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4
StatFox Super Situations
MINNESOTA at CHICAGO
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) mistake-free team (<=1.25 TO/game committed) against a team with <=1.25 TO/game forced, after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers 45-7 over the last 10 seasons (86.5% | 0.0 units) 2-1 this year. (66.7% | 0.0 units)
MINNESOTA at CHICAGO
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (CHICAGO) after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games 67-31 over the last 5 seasons. (68.4% | 32.9 units) 0-1*this year (0.0% | -1.1 units)
NFL Week 8
Vikings (5-1) @ Bears (1-6) — Trap game for Minnesota coming off first loss of year; they’re 2-1 on road, with wins at Tennessee (25-16), Carolina (22-10). Vikings had only 7 points in four trips to red zone in Philly, a red flag; they’re 3-2 as road favorites under Zimmer, 1-1 this year. Chicago lost last three games by 6-1-16 points, losing last home game 17-16 to Jaguars when they led 13-0 in 4th quarter. Bears are 3-10 in last 13 games as a home underdog, 1-0 this season. Home side won seven of last eight Viking-Bear games, with Minnesota 5-2 in last seven. Vikings’ 23-20 win here LY was their first win in last eight visits to Windy City. NFL-wide, home underdogs are 10-2 vs spread in divisional games. Under is 5-1 in Viking games, 4-2-1 in Chicago games.
Armadillosports.com
NFL Week 8 Essentials
By Tony Mejia
VegasInsider.com
Minnesota at Chicago: After three straight nights in the spotlight hosting the World Series, the Windy City will be on center stage once more thanks to this Monday night game, and as with the goings-on in Wrigley, you need to be aware of what Mother Nature is up to before picking aside, particularly on the total. Wind gusts should affect this contest, which sees the Vikings looking to avoid consecutive losses after faltering against the Eagles. Mike Zimmer, who has only had one losing streak of two games since taking the Minnesota gig, called out his offensive line for awful play in Philadelphia and is counting on a better effort. Jerick McKinnon, who took over for Adrian Peterson and gives the Vikes offense a different look as an option QB, is questionable with an ankle injury, the same ailment afflicting key safety Andrew Sendejo. Jay Cutler (thumb) returns to the Bears lineup after missing a month of action and is 8-5 against Minnesota despite a three-game losing streak. He’s thrown 26 touchdowns, but has only beaten Zimmer once. He many have RB Jeremy Langford back from a significant ankle injury, so Chicago should have a decent combination in play with him and rookie Jordan Howard available, but that’s likely to depend on whether starters Jake Long and Josh Sitton are back up front. Both were brought on board to stabilize a shaky offensive line, a prerequisite for beating Minnesota.
Monday Night Football Betting Preview
By Covers.com
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (+4, 40.5)
Their perfect record now a thing of the past, the Minnesota Vikings look to get back on track when they visit the Chicago Bears on Monday night in a matchup of NFC North rivals. The Vikings opened the season with five consecutive wins prior to their bye week but absorbed their first loss in a 21-10 defeat at Philadelphia last week.
Minnesota coach Mike Zimmer would not blame the bye week for stemming his team's momentum, instead pointing to a sea of mistakes that included four turnovers, six quarterback sacks and a kickoff return for a touchdown allowed. "So if you're going to do those things, you have no chance to win," Zimmer said. Chicago, which has dropped three in a row and six of seven, has a burgeoning soap opera building. Jay Cutler, who suffered a thumb injury in Week 2, is poised to return to the starting lineup amid a published report that Bears coach John Fox told friends that he is "done" with the veteran quarterback after this season.
WEATHER REPORT: Conditions will be cloudy with temperatures in the mid-50's and a zero percent chance of precipitation. There will also be a 10 mph cross-wind blowing off the water.
LINE HISTORY: The Vikings opened the week as five-point road favorites. The spread got as high as 5.5 before beginning it's downward tumble in the Bears' direction - ultimately settling in at 4 as of Sunday evening. The total opened at 41 an came down a 1/2 point to 40.5. View complete line history here.
INJURIES:
Vikings - WR C. Patterson (questionable), CB M. Sherels (questionable), TE M. Pruitt (questionable), WR J. Wright (questionable), WR L. Treadwell (questionable), RB J. McKinnon (out), DT S. Floyd (out), RB A. Peterson (out), QB T. Bridgewater (out).
Bears - QB J. Cutler (probable), G J. Sitton (questionable), WR C. Meredith (questionable), LB D. Trevathan (questionable), LB P. McPhee (questionable), RB J. Langford (questionable), CB T. Porter (questionable), WR E. Royal (doubful), G K. Long (doubtful), WR M. Wilson (questionable), QB B. Hoyer (out), WR K. White (out), CB K. Fuller (out), LB L. Houston (out), LB L. Barrow (out).
ABOUT THE VIKINGS (5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS, 2-4 O/U): Injuries to top running back Adrian Peterson and along the offensive line are stagnating Minnesota, which ranks 31st in total offense (299.2 yards) and 30th in rushing (74.3). Quarterback Sam Bradford had six touchdowns and zero interceptions in his first four starts but was picked off once and lost a pair of fumbles last week against his former team. One of his new favorite targets, wideout Cordarrelle Patterson, has 16 receptions and two touchdowns over the last three games but missed practice Thursday with a concussion. Still, the Vikings rely on a defense that is limiting foes to an NFL-low 14.0 points.
ABOUT THE BEARS (1-6 SU, 1-6 ATS, 3-4 O/U): Backup quarterback Brian Hoyer suffered a broken arm and third-stringer Matt Barkley appeared totally overmatched in last week's 26-10 loss at Green Bay. While Fox denied the report by the Chicago Tribune, insisting there's "absolutely no truth" to it, Cutler acknowledged: "He doesn't have a choice, I guess, at this point." The most pressing issue facing Fox and Cutler is how to jump-start an offense that is averaging a league-low 15.9 points per game and ranks 25th in the NFL in rush with an average of 87.9 yards. Chicago's defense sits 20th in the league, permitting an average of 24.1 points per game.
TRENDS:
* Vikings are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games.
* Vikings are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Monday games.
* Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
* Under is 12-3-1 in Vikings last 16 road games.
* Under is 5-1 in Bears last 6 vs. NFC North.
CONSENSUS: The road favorite Vikings are picking up a big 79 percent of the point spread betting action. Under is grabbing 57 percent of the totals wagers.
MNF - Vikings at Bears
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
The opposite ends of the NFC North spectrum meet up in Chicago on Halloween night as the Vikings try to rebound from its first loss of the season when they face the Bears. Minnesota won its first five games before getting tripped up at Philadelphia last week, while Chicago is just trying to be competitive following a dreadful 1-6 start.
LAST WEEK
The Vikings were rolling along with a perfect 5-0 record heading into Philadelphia, but Sam Bradford’s return to the City of Brotherly Love was anything but friendly. Bradford and the Vikings fell to the Eagles, 21-10 as 2½-point favorites as Philadelphia held to Minnesota to its lowest point total of the season. The Eagles intercepted Bradford once in the end zone, while the Vikings could only muster 282 yards of offense. Bradford outgained rookie counterpart Carson Wentz, 224-138, but Minnesota’s only touchdown came in the final minute on a Cordarrelle Patterson catch from Bradford in garbage time.
The quarterback carousel for Chicago landed on former USC standout Matt Barkley after Brian Hoyer left the game in the first half with a broken left arm in a 26-10 setback at Green Bay. The Bears actually led the Packers, 10-6 thirty seconds into the third quarter on a fumble recovery in the end zone, but were outscored, 20-0 the rest of the way. Aaron Rodgers torched the Chicago defense for three touchdown passes in the second half, while Barkley was intercepted twice and racked up only 81 yards through the air. Chicago’s offense continues to struggle, scoring 17 points or less in six of seven contests this season.
JAY FOR PLAY
The Bears will turn the ball back over to veteran Jay Cutler after he sat out the last five games with a thumb injury. Cutler is 7-5 against Minnesota since joining the Bears in 2009, but Chicago is 2-11 in his last 13 home starts. In two starts this season, Cutler has thrown for 373 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while the Bears scored 28 points (14 apiece) in losses to the Texans and Eagles.
HOME COOKING
Although the Vikings swept the season series from the Bears in 2015, the home team owns an 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS record since 2011. Minnesota snapped a seven-game skid at Soldier Field with a 23-20 triumph last November as Blair Walsh kicked the game-winning field goal in the final seconds to lift the Vikings. In the next meeting in Minneapolis in late December, the Vikings routed the Bears, 38-17 to easily cash as four-point favorites. Teddy Bridgewater tossed four touchdowns for Minnesota, including a pair to Stefon Diggs. The last time Chicago hosted Minnesota on a Monday night, the Bears tripped up the Vikings in overtime, 36-30 as 8½-point underdogs in 2009.
SOLDIER STRUGGLES
The worst home-field advantage currently in the NFL has to lie with the Bears, who are 2-12 SU and 4-10 ATS since December 2014 at Soldier Field. Chicago edged Detroit as three-point home ‘dogs in Week 4 by a 17-14 count for its only win on the season. Since 2013, the Bears own a dreadful 4-9 ATS record as a home underdog, but Chicago is 7-3 ATS at Soldier Field against Minnesota since 2006.
GETTING DEFENSIVE
The Vikings have been terrific defensively this season in spite of last week’s loss to the Eagles. Minnesota has held all six opponents to 21 points or less, resulting in a 4-2 mark to the UNDER. The Vikings are 2-1 to the UNDER away from U.S. Bank Stadium with the only OVER hitting by one point in the season opener against the Titans in a 25-16 victory. Since 2010, the Vikings have scored 13, 10, 10, 30, 13, and 23 points in six games at Soldier Field, as the UNDER has cashed four times.
HANDICAPPER’S CORNER
VegasInsider.com handicapper Joe Nelson breaks down Mike Zimmer’s dominance against the number since becoming the Vikings head coach back in 2014, “The Vikings are 29-10 ATS under Zimmer, including 14-5 ATS on the road and 11-3 ATS off a SU loss, but this will be the largest road favorite spread for the team in that time. For what it is worth, the Vikings are actually on a 2-10 ATS run on Monday nights going back to October 2006.”
The Chicago offense has struggled to score points, but Nelson points out those numbers may be deceiving, “Chicago has been a much more productive offensive team than most would expect, actually a top 10 yards per play squad, but the successful games came under Brian Hoyer who was injured early in last week’s loss at Green Bay. While the Vikings have some of the top defensive numbers in the NFL, the statistical profile for the Bears is not what you’d expect as Chicago ranks 11th in the league in yards per play on defense.”
PROPS
Minnesota
S. Bradford – Total Gross Passing Yards
229½ - OVER (-110)
229½ - UNDER (-110)
S. Bradford – Total Touchdown Passes
1½ - OVER (+110)
1½ - UNDER (-130)
K. Rudolph – Total Receiving Yards
46½ - OVER (-110)
46½ - UNDER (-110)
Chicago
J. Cutler – Total Completions
21½ - OVER (-110)
21½ - UNDER (-110)
J. Cutler – Touchdown Passes + Interceptions
2½ - OVER (+140)
2½ - UNDER (-160)
Will A. Jeffery score a touchdown?
YES (+180)
NO (-210)
NFL: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears
Playing in front of the home audience usually means something. But, that does not seem to apply to the Chicago Bears. With one win in three attempts at Soldier Field this season Da-Bears own a discouraging 2-12 record last fourteen at home with a money-burning 4-10 record against the betting line. Going back to the beginning of the 2014 campaign Bears have a dreadful 4-15 mark at home cashing just six tickets over the span (6-13 ATS).
On the other side, Vikings the NFL's newest money-making machine at 5-1 against the spread this season are 19-4 ATS the past two seasons including 9-2 ATS in a hostile setting. No surprise Bears opened +6.0 point home dogs at Bovada.lv for this Monday Nighter.