NFL betting trends, odds and predictions Monday, October 3rd, 2016.
NY GIANTS (2 - 1) at MINNESOTA (3 - 0) - 10/3/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games against NFC North division opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS vs. MINNESOTA
NY Giants are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Minnesota
NY Giants are 2-3-2 ATS in their last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against NY Giants
NY Giants at Minnesota
New York: 73-41 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3
Minnesota: 11-2 ATS in games played on turf
NFL Week 4
Giants (2-1) @ Vikings (3-0) – Giants’ three games were decided by total of six points; they beat Saints without scoring offensive TD, then lost 29-27 at home to Redskins LW, blowing 21-9 lead, allowing TD plays of 44-55 yards. Minnesota’s defense/special teams have three TDs, making up for offense (three TDs) that is getting used to new QB Bradford (beat Giants twice LY while with Eagles). Vikings are 9-2 as home favorite under Zimmer; Giants are 4-6-1 in last 11 games as a road underdog- they passed for 690 in two home games last two weeks, should enjoy climate inside dome. Minnesota allowed total of 40 points in three games; they gained only 284-211 yards in last two games, but lead NFL with a +8 turnover margin.
Armadillosports.com
NFL Week 4 Essentials
By Tony Mejia
VegasInsider.com
N.Y. Giants at Minnesota: This is a great test for both teams, who would each be undefeated if Manning hadn’t been so careless in the second half against Washington. Few teams have more weapons than the Giants, but the Vikings have shut down Mariota, Aaron Rodgers and Newton, surrendering an average of 13.3 points per game while putting a fierce, attacking defense on display. Surviving the loss of Adrian Peterson will be a week-to-week ordeal, but they should be ok here considering Sam Bradford knows the Giants well and Minnesota should benefit from a tremendous homefield advantage at the new U.S. Bank Stadium. New York has lost its last three games in Minneapolis and has surrendered over 40 points in each of the last two setbacks. That has to be disconcerting for the Giants considering they enter this game with depth issues in the secondary due to injuries.
MNF - Giants at Vikings
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
The Vikings are the only 3-0 squad left in the NFL as the Giants invade U.S. Bank Stadium to close out Week 4. Minnesota has won each of the past two weeks as an underdog against NFC playoff teams from last season, as the Vikings are seeking their first 4-0 start since 2009. Meanwhile, New York looks to rebound after melting down in the second half of a home defeat to Washington in Week 3.
LAST WEEK
The Giants stormed out to a 2-0 start with a pair of victories by a combined four points against the Cowboys and Saints. However, New York couldn’t hold onto a 21-9 lead in last Sunday’s 29-27 home defeat to Washington as 3½-point home favorites. Eli Manning put up 350 yards through the air for New York, but the Giants’ quarterback was intercepted twice, including getting picked off in the final minutes of regulation. Odell Beckham, Jr. recorded his first 100-yard receiving game of the season, posting 121 yards on seven catches, but the Giants’ wideout has yet to score a touchdown in 2016.
Minnesota keeps rolling in spite of quarterback Teddy Bridgewater and running back Adrian Peterson sidelined. The Vikings capitalized off a Week 2 home underdog victory over the Packers to knock off the Panthers last Sunday. Minnesota cashed outright as six-point underdogs in a 22-10 triumph at Carolina, as the defense held the defending NFC champions scoreless in the final three quarters. The Vikings barely busted the 200-yard mark offensively, but received another non-offensive touchdown thanks to a 54-yard punt return for a score by Marcus Sherels.
HOME COOKING
The Vikings are playing their second game at brand new U.S. Bank Stadium, but Minnesota has fared well at home since the start of 2015. Minnesota posted a 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS record last season, while going 10-3 SU/ATS since November 2014 at home. The defense has been terrific in this stretch for the Vikings, limiting nine of the last 11 opponents to 18 points or less, while the UNDER has cashed eight times.
REVENGE MODE
The Giants were embarrassed the last time they faced the Vikings in December 2015, falling 49-17 as seven-point underdogs. Minnesota picked off Manning three times, while Beckham sat out due to a one-game suspension. Peterson rushed for 104 yards and a touchdown, as the Vikings relied on kicker Blair Walsh to connect on five field goals. The Giants have lost each of their past three road meetings with the Vikings since 2008, but New York did knock off Minnesota in a neutral site affair in 2010 when a snowstorm destroyed the room of the Metrodome.
MONDAY STRUGGLES
New York has had a case of the Mondays the last five seasons, putting together a 3-5 SU/ATS record since 2011 under the Monday night lights. In 2015, the Giants split a pair of Monday contests, but they were throttled as a road underdog at Philadelphia last October, 27-7. The Vikings haven’t been much better on Mondays, losing five straight since December 2009, including a 20-3 drubbing at San Francisco in last season’s opener.
HANDICAPPER’S CORNER
VegasInsider.com handicapper Joe Nelson points out Minnesota’s incredible success under their third year head coach, “Mike Zimmer probably has NFL Coach of the Year locked up already given the hurdles the team faced with the revolving quarterbacks and the loss of the team’s most notable player in Adrian Peterson. Since taking over in 2014, Zimmer’s Vikings are 27-9 ATS and you can add an 11-2 ATS mark in the preseason for the Vikings under Zimmer for an over 77 percent proposition supporting this team since the start of the 2014 season.”
New York will step up against a defensive foe as Nelson highlights the inferior defenses that “Big Blue” has faced, “The Giants have played three down-to-the-wire games this season to sit at 2-1, but they have faced defenses that rank 25th, 30th, and 31st in yards per play. This will be a big step up in class for an offense that produces yards but not always points with the Vikings rating as the best defense in the NFL in many categories at this point.”
PROPS
NEW YORK
Eli Manning Attempts 45 or More Passes 7/2
Eli Manning Over 2.5 Interceptions Thrown 5/1
Eli Manning Over 325 Passing Yards 2/1
Eli Manning Throws 28 or More Pass Completions 3/2
Eli Manning to Throw 3 or More TD Passes 2/1
Odell Beckham Over 125 Receiving Yards 9/4
Odell Beckham Over 150 Receiving Yards 6/1
Odell Beckham to Record 8 or More Receptions 5/4
MINNESOTA
Sam Bradford Attempts 45 or More Passes 7/1
Sam Bradford Over 1.5 Interceptions Thrown 2/1
Sam Bradford Over 300 Passing Yards 2/1
Sam Bradford Throws 25 or More Pass Completions 5/4
Sam Bradford to Throw 3 or More TD Passes 4/1
Stefan Diggs Over 100 Receiving Yards 7/4
Stefan Diggs to Record 7 or More Receptions 6/5
FUTURES
Minnesota began the season at 20/1 odds to win Super Bowl LI at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook. However, that number has dipped to 10/1 following the 3-0 start. The Giants started the campaign at 40/1 odds, as the 2-1 start has helped improved those numbers down to 30/1.
Monday Night Football NFL Betting Preview
By Covers.com
New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings (-4, 43)
Losing their starting quarterback on the eve of the regular season appeared to be an ominous omen for the Minnesota Vikings, who instead have overcome the adversity and are stamping themselves as a legitimate Super Bowl contender. The Vikings go for the fourth victory in as many games when they host the New York Giants on Monday night.
Minnesota has been among the league's biggest early-season surprises following a season-ending injury to quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, following a Week 1 win at Tennessee with impressive victories over Green Bay and Carolina. "I don’t know if they’re the best defense in the league but they’re one of them," Giants star receiver Odell Beckham Jr. said of a unit that has permitted only 40 points. "They’re a great defense through in and throughout from the back and the front. All the way around, they’re a great team.” New York eked out a pair of narrow victories over Dallas and New Orleans before blowing a 12-point lead in a 29-27 home loss to the Washington Redskins. The mercurial Beckham drew unwanted headlines after the game when Giants coach Ben McAdoo admonished him for not controlling his emotions.
LINE HISTORY: The Vikings opened the betting week as 3.5-point home favorites for this Monday night matchup with the New York Giants. The Vikings' spread quickly went up early in the week - peaking at -5 on Thursday and Friday - but money has come in on the Giants and the line is currently (Sunday evening) at -4.
The total opened at 43.5 and dropped by 1/2 point during the week to hit the current number of 43. Check out the complete line history here.
POWER RANKINGS: Giants (+0.5) - Vikings (-3) + home field (-3) = Vikings -5.5
INJURY REPORT:
Giants - DE O. Vernon (Prob Mon, wrist), CB E. Apple (Doub Mon, hamstring), RB R. Jennings (Doub Mon, thumb), CB D. Rodgers-Cromartie (Doub Mon, groin), DT R. Thomas (Out Mon, illness), T. M. Newhouse (Out Mon, calf), S D. Thompson (Out Mon, foot), S N. Berhe (Out Mon, concussion), RB S. Vereen (Elig Week 12, tricep), S M. Thompson (I-R, knee), FB N. Whitlock (I-R, foot), LB J. Thomas (I-R, knee), FB W. Johnson (I-R, stinger), TE M. LaCosse (I-R, knee).
Vikings - TE M. Pruitt (Prob Mon, knee), RB J. McKinnon (Prob Sun, toe), G A. Boone (Prob Mon, hip), FB Z. Line (Ques Mon, undisclosed), C N. Easton (Ques Mon, ankle), TE D. Morgan (Doub Mon, knee), DT S. Floyd (Early Nov, knee), RB A. Peterson (Elig Week 11, knee), T M. Kalil (I-R, hip), QB T. Bridgewater (I-R, knee), DT S. Crichton (I-R, undisclosed), QB T. Heinicke (Elig Week 8, foot), CB J. Price (I-R, knee), S A. Exum Jr (I-R, leg), G M. Harris (Elig Week 8, illness).
ABOUT THE GIANTS (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS, 1-2 O/U): Injuries in both the offensive and defensive backfields could present a daunting obstacle for New York, which lost starting running back Rashad Jennings to a thumb injury in Week 2 and backup Shane Vereen possibly for the season with a torn triceps sustained last week. Quarterback Eli Manning, who was picked off twice while throwing for 350 yards last week, has plenty of receiving options at his disposal with Beckham, Victor Cruz and rookie Sterling Shepard, but Vereen robs him of his top pass-catching threat out of the backfield. Jennings did not do much in practice Friday, raising the possibility that Orleans Darkwa and Bobby Rainey will share the bulk of the carries. New York gave up 296 yards through the air last week and is dealing with myriad injuries in the secondary.
ABOUT THE VIKINGS (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS, 1-2 O/U): After stifling Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers in its home opener in Week 2, Minnesota opened eyes across the league by dominating Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers, snapping their 14-game winning streak at home 22-10. The Vikings took down the reigning NFC champions despite the absence of running back Adrian Peterson, who is sidelined indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a torn meniscus in his knee sustained against the Packers. Quarterback Sam Bradford, who sat out the season opener following his acquisition from Philadelphia, has played superbly in his two starts, throwing for 459 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. Minnesota's defense has permitted only 13 points in the second half, helping to overcome 10-point deficits at Tennessee and Carolina.
TRENDS:
* Giants are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 4.
* Vikings are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
* Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Under is 11-1 in Vikings last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
CONSENSUS: The public is giving a bit of an edge to the home favorite Vikings in this Monday night matchup with 54 percent of the picks. As for the total, 55 percent of the wagers are on the Over.
NFL: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings
No Teddy, No Peterson, No problem. The Minnesota Vikings arguably one of the best defensive teams in the league under coach Mike Zimmer allowing 13.3 points/game put a 3-0 SU/ATS streak on the line when they host New York Giants.
Not difficult making a case for Vikings. Zimmer's squad has held opponents to a lowly 19.6 points/game since his arrival in 2014 and enter a money making 8-0 against the betting line last eight on the field, 17-2 ATS the past nineteen games allowing just 17.5 points/game.
Vikings are handing Giants 4.5 points of offense and if history has anything to say, Boat-Men cash another ticket. Vikings are 8-2 ATS as home chalk of 4.5 or less, have a 12-2 ATS stretch vs the conference, 7-0 ATS streak at home hosting an NFC East opponent. Additionally, Giants are not a peg to hang your hopes on in the situation they find themselves Monday Night. G-Men are 3-6-3 ATS on the road vs an NFC opponent, 2-8-1 ATS away as small pups of +4.5 or less, 0-4 ATS as Monday Night underdogs.