NFL betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, October 9th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
MINNESOTA (2 - 2) at CHICAGO (1 - 3) - 10/9/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA vs. CHICAGO
Minnesota is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
MINNESOTA @ CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
NFL Week 5
Vikings (2-2) @ Bears (1-3) — Rookie QB Trubisky makes his NFL debut here; he started for one year at North Carolina- UNC went 8-5 LY. Vikings won four of last five games against the Bears,, but lost 8 of their last 9 visits to Chicago, with lone win 2 years ago. Minnesota scored 9-7 points in their losses this year, 29-34 in their wins; they lost 26-9 at Pittsburgh in only road game this season— backup QB Keenum is 10-17 as an NFL starter. Chicago is 1-3, but both their home games were decided by 6 points- they were outscored 47-7 in first half of their last two losses, which is why the QB change was made. Bears are 6-1-1 vs spread in last eight games as road underdogs. Under is 3-1 in both teams’ games this year.
Armadillosports.com
Monday Night Football Betting Preview: Vikings at Bears
Covers.com
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (+3, 40)
The Chicago Bears have made a quarterback change while the Minnesota Vikings hope to follow suit on Monday when the NFC North rivals meet at Soldier Field. Second overall draft pick Mitchell Trubisky will make his NFL debut after offseason acquisition Mike Glennon committed four turnovers in Chicago's 35-14 loss to Green Bay on Sept. 28, while Sam Bradford aims to return after sustaining a knee injury in Minnesota's season opener.
"I feel like I'm ready," the 23-year-old Trubisky said. "I'm excited. I'm just going to take it day by day and prepare as hard as I possibly can for every single look and situation we can get on Monday." Trubisky faces a tall order against an aggressive Vikings' defense, which sacked Matthew Stafford six times in a 14-7 loss to Detroit on Sunday and ranks No. 1 in the league in third-down defense (25.6 percent conversion rate). The Vikings were dealt a brutal blow with the season-ending ACL injury to promising rookie Dalvin Cook in that contest, while Case Keenum completed just 16 of 30 passes for 219 yards. Bradford was limited in his return to practice on Thursday, but coach Mike Zimmer told reporters that "If he's ready to play, he'll play."
POWER RANKINGS: Minnesota (-1.5) - Chicago (5.5) + home field (-3) = Minnesota -1
LINE HISTORY: The Vikings opened as 2-point road chalk and that number has been bet up to 3. The total hit the betting boards at 40.5 and has been bet down to 40.
WHAT SHARPS SAY: “Biggest question up on the air is the status on Vikings’ QB Sam Bradford, who is just 1-2 SU and ATS in his career adjacent the Bears. Meanwhile, backup QB Case Keenum is just 4-8 SU and 3-9 ATS against division foes, including 0-6 ATS as a favorite. The other question is whether Chicago can improve on its 5-12 ATS mark at home of late in Monday night games.” - Marc Lawrence
INJURY REPORT:
Vikings - RB Jerick McKinnon (Probable, Ankle), S Andrew Sendejo (Questionable, Shoulder), DT Shamar Stephen (Questionable, Back), LB Eric Kendricks (Questionable, Illness), G Danny Isidora (Questionable, Knee), QB Sam Bradford (Questionable, Knee), T Rashod Hill (Questionable, Knee), DT Sharrif Floyd (Questionable Week 10, Knee), RB Dalvin Cook (I-R, Knee).
Bears - DE Akiem Hicks (Questionable, Foot), QB Mark Sanchez (Questionable, Neck), C Hroniss Grasu (Questionable, Hand), LB Willie Young (Out For Season, Tricep), LB Danny Trevathan (Eligible Week 6, Possible Suspension), LB Jerrell Freeman (Questionable Week 10, Concussion).
ABOUT THE VIKINGS (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 O/U): Signed to a three-year, $15 million deal, Latavius Murray finds himself thrust into the lead-back role after seeing Cook exit following his non-contact injury. Murray, who rushed seven times for 21 yards after the rookie departed, admitted this week that his ankle is not 100 percent following offseason surgery. While Minnesota lost one impact player, it will see the return of another as Michael Floyd has served his four-game suspension for violating the NFL's substance abuse policy. "I'm just going to be aggressive," the 6-foot-3, 220-pound Floyd said. "I'm an aggressive player. I'm going to go out there and make plays. That's just what I do. That's in me, and that's never going to stop."
ABOUT THE BEARS (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U): Chicago continues to rely heavily on its backfield, with Jordan Howard rolling up four rushing touchdowns while speedy Tarik Cohen ranks fourth among rookies with 331 yards from scrimmage and leads all NFL running backs with 24 receptions. Howard gashed Minnesota's defense in both encounters last season, rolling up 202 yards from scrimmage in a 20-10 win on Oct. 31 and adding 135 yards rushing in the finale. Cohen has 10 more receptions than Kendall Wright, who leads a banged-up wideout corps with 154 yards receiving. Tight end Zach Miller has been limited to just three catches on five targets in the last two games after reeling in 10 receptions in the first two.
TRENDS:
* Vikings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
* Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
* Under is 9-2 in Vikings last 11 games in October.
* Under is 7-1 in Bears last 8 games following a ATS loss.
* Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the road chalk Vikings at a rate of 60 percent and the Under is picking up 51 percent of the totals action.
MNF - Vikings at Bears
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
LAST WEEK
The Vikings (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) have alternated wins and losses throughout their first four games of the season. Minnesota experienced its first home loss following victories over New Orleans and Tampa Bay as the Vikings were tripped up by the Lions last Sunday, 14-7 as 2 ½-point favorites.
Quarterback Sam Bradford remained sidelined with a left knee injury as Case Keenum couldn’t capitalize off a career-day in a 369-yard, three-touchdown effort against Tampa Bay in Week 3. The Lions’ defense limited Keenum to 219 yards, while Minnesota held the ball for only 23:33 as the Vikings lost for the third straight time to the Lions.
Minnesota suffered a huge blow to its backfield as second-round pick Dalvin Cook tore his ACL and is out for the remainder of the season. The former Florida State standout scored Minnesota’s lone touchdown against Detroit, while racking up 444 yards and two scores in his first four games. The Vikings are receiving consistency from their top wideout as Stefon Diggs broke the 90-yard mark for the third time this season by hauling in five receptions for 98 yards.
The Bears (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS) put up their second dud performance away from Soldier Field this season as Green Bay blew out Chicago in Week 4 by a 35-14 count. A brief weather delay couldn’t slow down the Packers’ offense as Aaron Rodgers torched the Chicago defense for four touchdown passes.
Mike Glennon had his final opportunity to retain the starting quarterback job in Chicago, but the former Buccaneer was intercepted twice and lost two fumbles. Chicago dropped to 0-10 SU and 2-8 ATS in its past 10 road games since the start of the 2016 season, while scoring 17 points or less in nine of those contests.
OUT OF HIBERNATION
With Glennon’s struggles, head coach John Fox decided to pull the plug on the free agent signing and start top draft pick Mitchell Trubisky. The former North Carolina Tar Heel will get the Monday night spotlight for his first career start after completing 68% of his passes and throwing for three touchdowns in the preseason. Chicago can use a jolt on offense as the Bears are averaging 306 yards per game, while putting up 188.8 yards per game passing, which ranks 27th in the league heading into Week 5.
PURPLE PAIN
After starting last season with victories at Tennessee and Carolina, the Vikings have been a disaster on the road. Minnesota has dropped six of its past seven away contests, while covering only once, coming in a 25-16 triumph at Jacksonville last December. The Vikings lost all three road games inside the NFC North last season, which is in stark contrast to 2015, when Minnesota defeated all three division rivals on the highway.
SERIES HISTORY
The home teams won each matchup last season, as Chicago knocked off Minnesota in a Monday night affair, 20-10 as 5 ½-point underdogs. The Vikings had lost the previous week at Philadelphia for their first defeat of the season following a 5-0 start, as Minnesota didn’t score its first touchdown until the fourth quarter after falling behind, 20-3. Soldier Field has been the house of horrors for the Vikings, losing eight of the last nine visits to the Windy City, including a 1-3 ATS mark as a road favorite in this span. The home team has owned this series the last five seasons, going 9-1, including Minnesota’s 38-10 rout of Chicago in the 2017 season finale.
MONDAY NIGHT LIGHTS
The favorites have fared well on Mondays this season by compiling a 4-1 SU and 3-1-1 ATS record. Minnesota looks to keep that trend going although the Vikings have struggled in the Monday night spotlight by posting a dreadful 1-7 SU/ATS record since 2009. Six of those defeats came on the road, while twice losing at Soldier Field. Meanwhile, the Bears have dominated on Mondays, going 10-4 SU and 9-5 ATS in their last 14 opportunities dating back to 2009, including eight outright victories in the underdog role.
HANDICAPPER’S CORNER
VegasInsider.com expert Joe Nelson points out that the Bears are a different team when playing at home, “The Bears are 1-3 and Glennon has five interceptions this season as he has completed over 66 percent of his passes and Chicago nearly had an upset over Atlanta in Week 1 that would have the team sitting at 2-2. The lone win came against a formidable Pittsburgh team and the Bears have been impressive in both home games against quality teams.”
On the Vikings’ side, quarterback play hasn’t been the issue in spite of the 2-2 start, “There is some optimism that Bradford could return for the Vikings this week after sitting out the past three games following a great opening week performance. His knee pain persists, but the hope is that it will be manageable. Keenum has played well, yet to throw an interception and currently the #2 ranked player in Total QBR, just ahead of Tom Brady and Matt Ryan while 11th in the league in QB Rating.”
Handicapper Vince Akins provides a strong trend that fades Chicago. “The Bears are 0-15 ATS since December 2011 at home after a game in which they had a rushing touchdown and did not win by 24-plus points.” Last season, Chicago posted an 0-3 SU/ATS record in this situation, which included a home Monday night loss to Philadelphia.
BOOKMAKER’S TAKE
Scott Cooley of BookMaker.eu says the money is currently riding on the road team, “Sharp money has slowly moved this number north as we are currently dealing the key number of -3. At this point, we're expecting Bradford to be under center for the Vikings, and that will likely prompt the play button for the public on that side. Right now, we have 70 percent of the tickets and 72 percent of the money on Minnesota.”