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NFL Betting News and Notes Monday, September 15

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PHILADELPHIA (1 - 0) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 1) - 9/15/2014, 8:35 PM

Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

PHILADELPHIA vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Indianapolis is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

Philadelphia at Indianapolis
Philadelphia: 40-16 ATS when they gain 400 to 450 total yards
Indianapolis: 13-49 ATS when they allow 8 or more net passing yards/attempt

Philadelphia @ Indianapolis

The Eagles are 12-21 ATS overall, 6-10 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 4-9 ATS versus AFC South opponents, 2-6 ATS in September and 0-3 in domes. However, Philadelphia is 21-14 ATS playing on Monday Night. The Eagles are 9-4 Over playing as an underdog, 8-3 Over on the road with a total of 49½ or more and 9-3 Over versus AFC South opponents. The Colts are 22-13 ATS overall, 13-4 ATS at home, 9-4 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 18-10 ATS at home with a total of 49½ or more, 14-5 ATS in domes and 14-9 ATS playing on turf. Colts are 10-5 Under playing as a favorite, but 17-9 Over versus NFC East opponents. In this series Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS and the Over is 5-1 as well.

 
Posted : September 14, 2014 5:19 pm
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NFL Week 2

Eagles (1-0) @ Colts (0-1) -- Underdogs are 8-2 vs spread in Colts' non-divisonal home games under Pagano (5-5 as home favorite); Indy is 9-0-1 vs spread in game following a loss the last two years. Philly was down 17-0 at half to Jags last week, but stopped turning ball over and won/covered 34-17, getting defensive TD in last 2:00. Since '07, Iggles are 19-7 as road underdogs. Colts won four of last five series games; this is Philly's first visit here since '06. Eagles won last five road openers, scored 31+ points in five of last six- they're 9-4 as underdogs in road openers. Colts won eight of last 11 home openers, but covered one of last four as favorite in HO's; they covered five of last six Week 2 home openers.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : September 14, 2014 5:21 pm
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MNF - Eagles at Colts
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

The Eagles play their second straight interconference game to start the season, as Philadelphia hopes to duplicate its second half against Jacksonville and not repeat its first half effort that put them in a 17-0 hole. Indianapolis hopes to finish a possible comeback on Monday night, not to fall behind by 24 points like it did at Denver last Sunday night, as the Colts try to get into the win column.

Both the Eagles and Colts showcase terrific young quarterbacks fresh off playoff appearances last season, as Andrew Luck has been tremendous off a loss in his short career. Coming off last Sunday’s 31-24 defeat to the Broncos as eight-point underdogs, the Colts enter Monday’s action with a perfect 10-0 straight-up and against the spread record since 2012 off a loss. In this span, Indianapolis has knocked off San Francisco, Denver, and Green Bay in this situation, while the Colts have won five of their past seven games against NFC opponents.

The first half was pretty forgettable for the Colts at Sports Authority Field in Week 1, as Peyton Manning burned his former team for three touchdowns in the second quarter to give the Broncos a commanding 24-0 lead. Indianapolis scored a late first half touchdown to cut the deficit to 24-7 at halftime, but couldn’t convert on a fourth-and-goal in the opening minutes of the third quarter to get within 10 points. The Colts limited the Broncos to just seven points in the second half, as Indianapolis’ comeback ultimately came up short in the seven-point setback.

Philadelphia entered the season opener as the largest favorite on the board, laying 10 points against Jacksonville. The Jaguars put a scare into the Eagles by jumping out to a 17-0 advantage at halftime, but Philadelphia scored two quick touchdowns in the third quarter to trim the lead down to three heading into the fourth quarter. Jacksonville backers still felt good with eight minutes remaining in regulation and the game tied at 17-17, as Nick Foles hit Jeremy Maclin on a 67-yard touchdown strike to give the Eagles the lead for good. A late defensive touchdown by the Eagles gave Chip Kelly’s team the fortunate cover in a 34-17 triumph, while the 34 points in the second half also cashed the ‘over’ of 49.

The last time the Eagles and Colts hooked up in 2010, Manning and Michael Vick were the quarterbacks at Lincoln Financial Field. Philadelphia held off Indianapolis, 26-24, but the Colts cashed as 3 ½-point road underdogs thanks to a late touchdown run in the final two minutes of regulation. The Eagles are making their first trip to Lucas Oil Stadium, as Philadelphia lost in its previous stop to Indianapolis at the RCA Dome in 2006 by a 45-21 count.

Last season, Philadelphia put together a 6-2 record on the highway, but somehow allowed a whopping 100 points in the two losses at Denver and Minnesota. The Eagles struggled against AFC foes in Kelly’s first season, losing three of four interconference contests with the lone victory coming at Oakland, a 49-20 rout of the Raiders in which Foles tossed seven touchdown passes to officially nail down the job as Philadelphia’s starting quarterback.

The Colts have dominated at home since Luck became the starting quarterback in 2012, winning 14 of 17 games at Lucas Oil Stadium. This is the first home Monday night contest for Indianapolis since 2010, as the Colts lost their only Monday game last season at San Diego, 19-9. The Eagles have split their last six games on Monday night since 2009, as all three of those victories coincidentally came at Washington, including last season’s season opening victory.

Indianapolis opened as three-point home favorites and that number has stayed pretty steady for most of the week. The total is set between 54 and 54½ at most books, as the Eagles went 4-1 to the ‘over’ in five road games last season with totals listed above 50. The game kicks off at 8:35 PM EST and can be seen nationally on ESPN.

 
Posted : September 14, 2014 6:47 pm
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Monday Night Football: Eagles at Colts
By Covers.com

Philadelphia Eagles at Indianapolis Colts (-3, 54)

Year 2 of the Chip Kelly regime got off to a shaky start for the Philadelphia Eagles, who faced an early 17-point deficit before roaring back with 34 unanswered points in their season-opening victory over Jacksonville. The Eagles will hope for a better jump out of the gate when they visit Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday night. The Colts also dug themselves a big hole in their opener, falling behind by 24 points before a belated rally came up short against Denver.

Philadelphia did earn a spot in the record books in its 34-17 victory, becoming the first team in league history to win by at least 17 points after being shut out at the half and trailing by at least 17. “The big thing is that as a team, we stuck together,” Eagles quarterback Nick Foles said. “My teammates stuck with me and we never wavered." Indianapolis allowed three second-quarter touchdown passes to Peyton Manning before its defense stepped up in the second half and held the Broncos to 87 total yards.

LINE HISTORY: SBGGlobal opened the Colts as 3-point home favorites. The total opened at 53.5 but is now up to 54.

INJURY REPORT: Eagles - T Matt Tobin (Out indefinitely, ankle). Colts - LB Jerrell Freeman (Out, hamstring).

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Eagles (-0.75) + Colts (-2.0) + home field (-3.0) = Colts -4.25

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Eagles fell down 17-0 to the Jags before pulling away and now have a tough test at Indianapolis. Philadelphia now 8-1 L9 regular season games but are 4-10 ATS L14 games after scoring more than 30 points. Colts jump into top 10 spots despite loss at Denver. Three of next four games at home with winnable road game at Jacksonville. Covered seven straight as Monday favorites of 2 or more and Luck is 10-0 ATS off a loss." Covers Expert Matt Fargo.

ABOUT THE EAGLES (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, 1-0 O/U): Now entrenched as the starter after coming off the bench to throw 27 touchdown passes and two interceptions last season, Foles had an interception and lost a pair of fumbles in the first half before regrouping to throw for 183 of his 322 yards and two TDs after intermission to rally Philadelphia. One big positive on offense came from wideout Jeremy Maclin, who had four catches for 97 yards and a score after missing last season with a knee injury. Newcomer Darren Sproles, signed away from New Orleans as a free agent, also made a big impact by rushing for 71 yards and a touchdown. The Eagles' defense also came up big by forcing six straight punts to open the second half, including four consecutive three-and-outs.

ABOUT THE COLTS (0-1, SU, 1-0 ATS, 1-0 O/U ATS): Luck has already carved out a niche as the master of the comeback during his short tenure in the NFL and he nearly pulled off another, rushing for one score and throwing for a pair of fourth-quarter TDs en route to a 370-yard passing day last week. One unresolved question for Indianapolis is the impact of running back Trent Richardson, a non-factor last season who was limited to 20 yards on six carries after the Colts fell way behind. A bigger issue is replacing linebacker Robert Mathis, who led the league last season with 19.5 sacks but suffered a torn Achilles during a workout in Atlanta. "Tough, tough pill to swallow," coach Chuck Pagano said. "Right now they're still absorbing it, the enormity and shock of it."

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
* Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.
* Over is 6-0 in Eagles last six games in Week 2.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 62 percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are behind the Colts.

 
Posted : September 14, 2014 6:48 pm
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Colts host Eagles on MNF
By Sportsbook.ag

Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-1)

Sportsbook.ag Line and Total: Indianapolis -3, Total: 54

The Colts attempt to avoid an 0-2 start when they host the Eagles on Monday night.

Philadelphia got into trouble in Week 1 with a 17-0 deficit to the 9.5-point underdog Jaguars, but came out a completely different team in the second half, scoring 34 straight points to win 34-17. The club cannot afford to fall behind by that much against Indianapolis, which is a way more talented offense than the Jaguars, so zero points in the second half for Andrew Luck and company is rather unrealistic.

The Colts trailed the Broncos 31-10 early in the fourth quarter of their season opener, but cut the lead to 31-24 with just over three minutes remaining. Luck threw for 370 yards with two touchdowns in the game, but was not able to bring his team back to tie it.

Indy would be wise to ground-and-pound a little against the Eagles, as slowing the game down could disrupt Chip Kelly’s up-tempo offense.

Since 1992, the Colts are 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS (2-1 SU and ATS on road) versus the Eagles. Indianapolis is also 10-0 ATS in the past three seasons at home where the Total is at least 45.5 points. However, the Eagles are 21-14 ATS (60%) on Monday night since 1992.

On the injury front, Indianapolis lost LB Robert Mathis (Achilles) for the season, and might be without four other key defensive players on Monday who are all questionable -- LB Jerrell Freeman (hamstring), CB Greg Toler (ribs), DE Arthur Jones (shoulder) and DB Sergio Brown (shoulder). The Eagles placed a couple of offensive linemen on IR this week (OT Allen Barbre and G Evan Mathis), but there are no other significant injuries to their squad.

The Eagles pressed the snooze button early on against the Jaguars, but finally awakened in the second half. QB Nick Foles was a disaster early on with an interception and two lost fumbles in the first half, but he found his groove early in the third. Foles finished the game with 322 passing yards and two touchdowns, and should have success against a beatable Colts secondary that allowed 6.92 yards per pass attempt last year (21st in NFL).

Last season's rushing champ, RB LeSean McCoy, had 21 carries for only 74 yards (3.5 YPC) against the Jaguars, but did catch six passes for 41 yards in the passing game. New teammate RB Darren Sproles rushed for 71 yards on 11 carries (6.5 YPC) with a touchdown in the game, and also caught four passes for 14 yards. These two backs will see a lot of action against the Colts, whose rushing defense is prone to giving up big plays.

Philly's run defense was excellent versus the Jaguars, allowing only 64 yards on 25 carries (2.6 YPC). Where the Eagles will need to improve is their defense against the pass. They allowed Chad Henne to throw for 266 yards with two touchdowns and zero interceptions in their opener, and Andrew Luck is a far superior quarterback that Henne is, and he will make them pay if they don’t improve their coverage.

QB Andrew Luck did everything he could to bring his Colts team back into the game against Denver in Week 1, but the comeback fell just short. The good news is that Luck was able to make a ton of plays in the passing game and also rushed for 19 yards and a touchdown on five attempts. He should have no problem lighting up a far inferior Eagles secondary. WR Reggie Wayne caught nine passes for 98 yards in his first game since undergoing surgery on a torn ACL. He should be able to repeat his success against Philadelphia’s defense.

One area that must improve is the rushing offense. The Colts are a team that likes to pound the ball, but RB Trent Richardson rushed for only 20 yards on six carries against the Broncos. Indianapolis will need to establish the rush early, so that it can slow down the Eagles offense and prevent Luck from carrying too much of a load for his team.

The Colts defense allowed only 102 yards on 32 carries (3.2 YPC) against the Broncos, and if they can do the same against LeSean McCoy and the Eagles then they should be in good shape. Covering the middle of the field will be crucial, because Nick Foles likes to go right at the opposing safeties with deep passes.

Check out more NFL Odds and Props at Sportsbook.ag!

 
Posted : September 14, 2014 6:50 pm
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Eagles vs. Colts Betting Preview and Pick
By: Larry Hartstein
Sportingnews.com

The Colts usually respond well to a loss: They’re 14-2 against the spread in their last 16 games following a straight-up defeat. Indy puts that mark on the line Monday when it hosts the Eagles (1-0) at Lucas Oil Stadium (8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN).

Though the Colts fell at Denver in Week 1, they showed a lot by nearly overcoming from a 24-0 deficit. Philly started slow in its home opener, spotting Jacksonville 17 points, before Chip Kelly’s offense clicked and the Eagles ran away with a 34-17 win.

These teams haven’t played since 2010.

The Line: Colts -3, Total: 54.5

Line movement: The line has stayed steady at most books,although some 3.5s have popped up. The total, meanwhile, is on the rise, opening at 53 and being bet as high as 55 the day before the game. For updated lines around Las Vegas, visit our live odds page.

Trends that matter: Indy is 4-0 ATS its last four home games.

Philly is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 September games.

The OVER is 7-1 in the Colts’ last eight games vs. winning teams.

It’s all on Luck: Indy is so desperate to spark its running game that it just signed Browns castoff RB Dion Lewis. Trent Richardson has no burst, and the Colts don’t want to lean on the brittle Ahmad Bradshaw too much. That leaves it all up to Andrew Luck. The third-year pro can handle the burden – he threw for 370 yards Week 1 – and is even better on the home turf where speedster T.Y. Hilton stretches the field.

No Mathis, no rush: Without OLB Robert Mathis, the Colts struggle to pressure the quarterback. They got one sack and only two QB hits last week against Peyton Manning, so Nick Foles should have time to make his reads.

Foles must be more decisive: Foles missed several open receivers Week 1 and his indecision was “glaring” according to Philly.com. “When you watch it on film, it sort of excites me that it’s correctable,” he said. “It’s not something you look at and say there’s nothing I can do about it.”

Injuries that matter: The Eagles must replace two starting offensive linemen, G Evan Mathis (knee) and RT Allen Barbre (ankle), heading into a noisy, hostile environment.

Colts OLB Cam Johnson (Achilles) is done for the year after his Week 1 injury, thinning a position that already lost 2013 NFL sack leader Robert Mathis.

The Linemakers' lean: This is going to be a fun game to watch between two really good offenses featuring two really good quarterbacks. We're expecting lots of points, and think the total is low. Kenny White likes the Colts to win in a high-scoring "instant classic". While Micah Roberts agrees with the OVER play, he disagrees with White on the side, and likes the Eagles to win on the road.

 
Posted : September 15, 2014 7:57 am
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StatFox Super Situations

INDIANAPOLIS at JACKSONVILLE
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (JACKSONVILLE) after being beaten by the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the first half of the season 42-20 over the last 10 seasons. ( 67.7% | 0.0 units )

INDIANAPOLIS at JACKSONVILLE
Play On - Underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (JACKSONVILLE) in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, bad team from last season (25% to 40%) playing a team that had a winning record last year 49-20 since 1997. ( 71.0% | 27.0 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

 
Posted : September 15, 2014 9:54 am
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