NFL betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, Septembth, 2016 from various handicappers and websites.
PHILADELPHIA (7 - 9) at CHICAGO (6 - 10) - 9/19/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
PHILADELPHIA vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
Philadelphia at Chicago
Philadelphia: 0-3 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game
Chicago: 27-24 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less
StatFox Super Situations
PHILADELPHIA at CHICAGO
Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) off a road loss, in September games 102-56 since 1997. ( 64.6% | 40.4 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )
MNF - Eagles at Bears
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
The Eagles and Bears wrap up Week 2 of the NFL card at Soldier Field in Chicago on Monday night. Both these teams aren’t expected to be playoff squads in the NFC, but Philadelphia is hoping that its building a solid quarterback situation with rookie Carson Wentz. The Bears finished last season at 6-10, the third straight year in which Chicago has failed to bust the .500 mark.
LAST WEEK
Philadelphia put together an impressive season opening victory over Cleveland, 29-10 to cash as four-point home favorites. Wentz completed 22-of-37 passes for 278 yards and two touchdowns. Ryan Mathews rushed for 77 yards and a touchdown, while Jordan Matthews hauled in seven receptions for 114 yards and a touchdown for Philadelphia. The Eagles finished last season with a 3-5 SU/ATS record at Lincoln Financial Field, but improved to 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in the past six season openers.
Chicago jumped out to a 14-10 advantage at Houston in Week 1, but the Bears fell short in a 23-14 setback at NRG Stadium. Houston covered as a 5½-point favorites, as the Texans held the ball for over 36 minutes, compared to nearly 24 minutes for the Bears. Jay Cutler put together an average performance by throwing for 216 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. The bright spot offensively for Chicago was wide receiver Alshon Jeffery, who pulled in 105 yards through the air after playing in nine games last season (807 yards, 4 TD’s).
SOLDIER STRUGGLES
The Bears haven’t defended their home field very well, losing seven of eight contests at Soldier Field in 2015. Dating back to December 2014, Chicago owns a dreadful 1-10 SU and 3-8 ATS in the last 11 games in the Windy City. The only home victory in John Fox’s first season as Bears’ head coach came in a 22-20 triumph over the Raiders as three-point underdogs, as Chicago kicked a field goal in the final seconds for the win. In 10 of the 11 games in this disastrous stretch, the Bears have allowed at least 20 points, while being listed as a favorite only twice (losing to Washington and San Francisco in 2015).
FLY EAGLES FLY
Philadelphia has profited as a road underdog the last three seasons, posting an 8-5 ATS record. The Eagles picked up away victories in this role against the Jets, Patriots, and Giants, while their final four road contests of 2015 all sailed OVER the total. Since 2009, Philadelphia has won six of its previous seven road openers, with the lone loss in this stretch coming at Atlanta as three-point favorites last season, 26-24.
MONDAY NIGHT MAGIC
Under Chip Kelly, the Eagles compiled a strong 4-1 SU/ATS record in Monday night contests since 2013. Kelly is long gone to San Francisco, but the Eagles won two of those games in the away ‘dog role at Washington in 2013 and Indianapolis in 2014. The Bears have won seven of their last nine Monday nighters since 2011, as five of those victories came away from the Windy City. The last time Chicago hosted a Monday night contest came in 2014, losing a 31-15 decision to New Orleans.
SEESAW BATTLES
The Bears and Eagles have split their last four matchups since 2009. Philadelphia ripped apart Chicago in their previous meeting in 2013 at Lincoln Financial Field, 54-11 as 2½-point favorites. The Eagles racked up over 500 yards in that blowout, as Nick Foles threw two touchdown passes, while LeSean McCoy rushed for a pair of scores. Philadelphia is making its first trip to Soldier Field since 2010 when the Eagles dropped a 31-26 decision as three-point road favorites. Cutler tossed four touchdowns as Chicago built a 31-13 advantage before Philadelphia scored 13 points in the final quarter to make the score closer.
LINE MOVEMENT
Chicago opened up as 2½-point favorites when lines were released by CG Technology in late April and there hasn’t been great movement since then. The Bears have jumped to three-point favorites, but the juice is -115 or -120 at many books currently. The total is sitting at 42½ at most outlets, as Chicago had only one total at 42½ or lower last season, which was an UNDER against Denver in a 17-15 defeat on a 41 total.
Monday Night Football Betting Preview
By Covers.com
Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears (-3.5, 42)
Carson Wentz showed he could handle the big stage in his much-ballyhooed NFL debut, but the lights will be even brighter when he leads the Philadelphia Eagles on the road to face the Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football. Wentz, the No. 2 overall pick overall pick out of North Dakota State, earned raved reviews nationally after guiding Philadelphia to a 29-10 win over Cleveland in its season opener.
Wentz was expected to open the season on the bench but was thrust into the starter's role following the abrupt trade of Sam Bradford to the Minnesota Vikings and responded with 278 yards passing and a pair of touchdowns against the Browns. "It looks like Philadelphia's going to be very well rewarded for the risk they took on draft day, giving up a lot of stuff to get this guy," Bears defensive coordinator Vic Fangio said of Wentz. "The guy's very impressive." Chicago was not that impressive in its season opener, failing to score in the second half in a 23-14 loss at Houston. Playing at home is not necessarily an advantage for the Bears, who won only once at Soldier Field en route to a 5-11 record last season.
LINE HISTORY: The Bears opened the week at -2.5 and throughout the week the spread took a couple of half point jumps to leapfrog the key number of -3. The Bears went from -2.5 to -3 late Sunday night (just after the line was released) and moved from -3 to -3.5 on Thursday afternoon.
The total hit the board at 42.5 and was steady for the early part of the week before being dropped to the current number of 42 on Thursday evening. Check out the complete line history here.
POWER RANKINGS: Philadelphia (+3.5) - Chicago (+2.5) + home field (-3) = Chicago -4
KEY INJURIES (for full injury report visit matchup page):
Eagles - WR B. Treggs (Probable Monday, knee), TE T. Burton (Probable Monday, calf), T L. Johnson (Probable Monday, suspension), CB L. McKelvin (Out Monday, hamstring), TE Z. Ertz (Out Monday, collarbone).
Bears - CB K. Fuller (Questionable Monday, knee), S D. Bush (Questionable Monday, hamstring), S H. Jones-Quartey (Questionable Monday, leg), WR M. Wilson (Out Monday, foot).
WEATHER REPORT: The forecast for the Soldier Field area of Chicago is calling for clear skies all day until right around kickoff when there is a slight (15-20 percent) chance of some thunderstorms developing. The temperatures will be seasonal (high 70's) and humidity levels will be high (70-70 percent). Wind will not be a factor at only 5 mph.
ABOUT THE EAGLES (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, 0-1 O/U): While Wentz is the new darling of Philadelphia -- his jersey was the No. 1 seller nationally -- after his starry debut, there are major injury concerns on both sides of the ball for the Eagles. Tight end Zach Ertz, who had six catches for 58 yards, suffered a rib displacement under his collarbone and did not practice again Friday, likely robbing Wentz of a safety valve that hauled in 75 receptions in 2015. Cornerback Leodis McKelvin also did not practice with a strained hamstring, putting further stress on a position where Philadelphia lacked depth after trading Eric Rowe to New England. Jordan Matthews had a big first game with seven catches for 114 yards and a TD.
ABOUT THE BEARS (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS, 0-1 O/U): Chicago's offensive line struggled to protect quarterback Jay Cutler, who was sacked five times and pressured repeatedly while throwing for 216 yards with one touchdown and a costly interception. Speedy wide receiver Kevin White, the No. 7 overall pick in 2015 who missed his entire rookie campaign with a shin injury, had three receptions for 34 yards in his NFL debut and accepted the blame for running the incorrect route on Cutler's pick. The Bears' defense, which ranked in the bottom third of the league against the rush (120.9 yards per game) last season, allowed Houston to control the ball for more than 36 minutes. Alshon Jeffery led the offense with four catches for 105 yards.
TRENDS:
* Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 2.
* Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
* Under is 8-1 in Eagles last 9 games following a straight up win.
* Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
CONSENSUS: The public is supporting the road underdog Eagles at a rate of 63 percent and the Over is picking up the majority of the totals wagers with 68 percent.