NY JETS (1 - 0) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 1) - 9/21/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NY JETS vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
NY Jets are 4-7-2 ATS in their last 13 games on the road
Indianapolis is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
New York at Indianapolis
NY Jets 7-3 ATS after scoring 30 > pts
Indianapolis 4-2 ATS L6 in MNF
NFL Week 2
Jets (1-0) @ Colts (0-1) -- Jets took advantage of Browns' lousy QB situation last week, getting five turnovers in 31-10 win, but over last three years, Indy is 6-0-1 vs spread in game after they lost as a favorite. Colts are 10-7-1 as home favorites since '12, but covered only one of last five as a favorite in home opener. Jets won three of last four series games; two of four were playoff games; they're 3-2 in last five visits here. Since 2011, Jets are 9-14-2 as road underdogs, 2-11-2 outside the AFC East. Last five years, under is 24-16 in Colt home games. Not sure why Indy is letting Pagano coach as free agent, but it ain't helping- they had a -3 turnover ratio last week, lost to a QB making his first NFL start.
Armadillosports.com
MNF - Jets at Colts
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
The Colts put together one of the most disappointing efforts in Week 1, while the Jets surprised many people by cruising past the Browns by 21 points. Will a return to Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday night turn things around for the defending AFC South champions or will New York fly to a 2-0 start?
Indianapolis fell behind Buffalo, 24-0 and never recovered in a 27-14 defeat, as Andrew Luck’s opening day record dropped to 1-3. Luck connected on a pair of late touchdowns and threw for 243 yards, but the running game never got off the ground with just 64 yards rushing. T.Y. Hilton hauled in a team-high 88 yards for the Colts, but is listed as questionable for Monday’s game after suffering a bruised knee in the fourth quarter at Buffalo.
The Jets crushed the Browns, 31-10 to easily cash as 3½-point home favorites, as Ryan Fitzpatrick threw two touchdown passes in his New York debut. Fitzpatrick spread the ball around as four receivers caught at least two passes, while Brandon Marshall picked up 62 yards and a touchdown in his first game in a Jets’ uniform. The contest finished ‘over’ the total of 39½, as the final touchdown came with 10:38 remaining.
The Colts and Jets are meeting up for the first time since Luck’s rookie season of 2012, when New York dominated Indianapolis, 35-9 at Met Life Stadium. The Jets intercepted Luck twice, while rushing for 252 yards on Indianapolis, who was held out of the end zone. For the exception of Luck, many of the top offensive players in that game are no longer on either of these teams, as Mark Sanchez and Tim Tebow combined to throw for 105 yards. New York is making its first trip to Indianapolis since the 2010 playoffs, when the Jets escaped past the Colts, 17-16 as one-point underdogs in the Wild Card round.
Since 2012, the Colts have compiled a solid 14-5 SU and 11-6-2 ATS record as a home favorite, including a 7-2 SU and 6-2-1 ATS mark last season. Indianapolis failed to cover its home opener of 2014, falling on a last-minute field goal to Philadelphia (also on Monday night), 30-27 as three-point favorites. All three home openers have been decided by four points or less with Luck under center, including a 21-17 victory over Oakland in 2013 as 11-point ‘chalk.’
The Jets lost their first six road games last season before December victories at Tennessee and Miami. New York is riding a four-game skid in away openers since 2011, but the last two defeats at New England and Green Bay were decided by seven points or less. In the last three seasons, the Jets have put together a 5-2-2 ATS record as a road underdog of seven points or more, while winning just three times, which includes a Monday night triumph at Atlanta in 2013.
VegasInsider.com handicapper Joe Nelson says the underdogs may be worth a look on Monday, “While Fitzpatrick is not the long term answer for the Jets, he is very familiar with Chan Gailey’s offense and had a steady performance in Week 1 against a good Cleveland defense, aided by a strong running game for New York behind Chris Ivory and Bilal Powell. Run defense may again be an area of weakness for the Colts as the Bills rushed for 147 yards last week, but the Colts have been a far better performer on both sides of the ball at home in recent years.”
Nelson points out that even a loss for Indianapolis isn’t a season-killer, “For the Colts, an 0-2 start might sound devastating, but the division does not appear to be one that will require a great record to win as Indianapolis rattled off five straight wins to take command of the AFC South last season after losing the first two games.”
Luck is playing in his fourth Monday night game of his career, posting a 1-2 SU/ATS record, with the lone victory coming over the Giants as a three-point road favorite last season. The Jets have slumped to a 1-4 SU record in their last five Monday night contests since 2012, but have covered three times in the underdog role.
The underdog-‘under’ combination came through in both Monday night games in Week 1 with the Falcons and 49ers cashing at home. The ‘over’ hit in 12 of 18 Monday contests last season, while the ‘over’ is 2-3 in five primetime games so far in 2015.
The Colts are currently seven-point home favorites at most sports books, while the total is hovering between 46½ and 47. The game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST and can be seen nationally on ESPN.
SNF - Seahawks at Packers
By Sportsbook.ag
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (0-1) at GREEN BAY PACKERS (1-0)
Sportsbook.ag Line: Green Bay -3.5, Total: 49
NFC titans clash at Lambeau Field on Sunday night when Russell Wilson and the conference champion Seahawks square off with Aaron Rodgers and the Packers in an NFC Championship rematch.
Coming off a tough road loss in St. Louis, Seattle is trying to avoid its first 0-2 start since the 2011 campaign in which the team finished 7-9, and out of the playoffs. The Seahawks have won the past three meetings with Aaron Rodgers and the Packers, but those have all come in the Pacific Northwest, including last year's postseason when they erased a 16-0 halftime deficit to win the NFC Championship. Green Bay has won the previous five meetings in Wisconsin going back to 1999, and holds a 10-8 SU mark against Seattle all-time.
Russell Wilson will be making his first appearance back in the state where he played collegiately for the Wisconsin Badgers. After not scoring an offensive TD through three quarters against division rival St. Louis, Wilson found new TE Jimmy Graham for a 7-yard touchdown in the 4th. The Seahawks got a pair of scores from their defense and special teams and was +2 in the turnover department but still lost the game. Wilson was sacked a league-high six times in Week 1, and despite new career-marks in attempts and completions, Seattle lost its first game to an NFC opponent since Week 6 of last season (also at St. Louis). Wilson will look to continue one trend though, as he’s 10-1 ATS as an underdog in his career.
RBs Marshawn Lynch and Fred Jackson combined for 86 of Seattle’s 124 rushing yards in the game, but Lynch was unable to convert on 4th & 1 in overtime and St. Louis escaped with the victory. Since 1992, Seattle is 69-34 ATS when rushing for 125+ yards in a game, including the three straight wins over Green Bay.
The loss of defensive coordinator Dan Quinn to Atlanta loomed large in Week 1 for the Seahawks. After having the top scoring defense in the NFL three years running, Seattle surrendered 34 points to the Rams, the second-most of any team in the opening week (Tampa – 42). This could be a good sign though, as the 'Hawks are a robust 13-3 ATS since 1992 the week after scoring and allowing 30+ points.
Without question, the absence of three-time Pro Bowl SS Kam Chancellor was also glaring against the Rams. His presence gives the secondary a swagger that they were clearly missing in Week 1, as the Rams outgained Seattle 352-343. Since 2011, Chancellor hadn’t missed a start for his team whose defense was ranked in the top-10 every season in points allowed. Combining his holdout with the departure of 2014 starting CB Byron Maxwell, and Rodgers could have a field day against Seattle’s secondary this Sunday. Green Bay is 7-4 ATS against Seattle since 1992 and the club is 5-1 straight up against the 'Hawks at Lambeau.
Flash back to January 18 of this year, Green Bay went to the locker room with a 16-0 lead over the defending Super Bowl champs in the NFC title game, holding them to 49 total yards in the half. The Packers forced four turnovers, ran 16 more plays, and gained almost 150 more yards before the break. Their fatal flaw was not finishing Seattle when they had the chance. Kicker Mason Crosby was the best Packer on the field that day, going 5-for-5 FG for the game, but his first two kicks were both from inside the 20-yard line. Both drives had first & goal at the 7-yard line, and both drives saw the Pack get within inches of the end zone only to settle for three points. This was despite a solid rushing average of 4.5 yards per carry in the game.
In the past three years, Green Bay is 7-0 ATS when it averages 4-to-4.5 yards per rush. Seattle pulled out all the stops in that game, scoring its first TD on a fake punt and using an onside kick after their second score to set up the third. In Aaron Rodgers’ career, Seattle is the only NFC team to hold him to just one touchdown pass per game (4 TD in 4 regular-season meetings). Good news for Packer fans, Rodgers gets this meeting at home where he is 45-10 in his career with nearly 6 TD passes to every interception for his career.
In the past two years, the Packers are 7-0 ATS the week after a road game, and they’re 10-2 ATS on grass over the same stretch. RB Eddie Lacy will have to be a major factor this Sunday. In his career, the Packers are 19-6-1 when he averages better than three yards per carry (2-4 when under 3.0).
Since the bye week (Week 12) in 2013, Seattle is 2-7 SU when allowing 100+ rushing yards to the opposition in the regular season. Over that same stretch, Green Bay is 14-2 SU when it eclipses the 100-yard mark on the ground.
Monday Night Betting Preview: Jets at Colts
By Covers.com
New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts (-7, 46.5)
Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts are hoping their second matchup with an AFC East foe goes better than the first. Playing at home should provide an added lift for the Colts, who will try to rebound from a season-opening drubbing in Buffalo when they host the New York Jets on Monday night.
Touted as one of the favorites to reach the Super Bowl, Indianapolis fell behind by 17 points at halftime and never recovered in a 27-14 loss to the Bills. "They beat us pretty bad," Luck said. "You don't let one game necessarily define you, but that doesn't make it any easier of a pill to swallow." The Jets turned in an impressive performance in Todd Bowles' debut as a head coach, pulling away in the second half for a decisive 31-10 victory over the Cleveland Browns. New York has won the past two meetings, including a 35-9 romp in October 2012 in Luck's fifth career game.
LINE HISTORY: The Colts opened favored by a converted touchdown and have remained there all week. The total has been bet down slightly from 47.0 to 46.5.
INJURY REPORT:
Jets - WR D. Smith (probable Monday, ribs), CB A. Cromartie (questionable Monday, knee), RB C. Ivory (questionable Monday, groin), LB L. Mauldin (doubtful Monday, concussion).
Colts - LB J. Newsome (probable Monday, hamstring), LB D. Jackson (probable Monday, toe), WR T. Hilton (questionable Monday, knee), LB R. Mathis (questionable Monday, Achilles), CB D. Smith (questionable Monday, undisclosed), CB G. Toler (doubtful Monday, neck), CB D. Bulter (out Monday, hip).
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Jets (+1.5) - Colts (-2) + home field (-3) = Colts -3.5
ABOUT THE JETS (1-0, 1-0 ATS, 1-0 O/U): New York amassed 154 yards on the ground against Cleveland but there are injury concerns over Chris Ivory (groin), who was limited in practice for a second straight day Friday after rushing for 91 yards and two touchdowns on 20 carries in Week 1. Ryan Fitzpatrick, elevated to starter when Geno Smith had his jaw broken in the preseason, threw for 179 yards with two touchdowns and one interception while Brandon Marshall had six catchesor 62 yards and a score in his Jets debut. New York's defense forced five fumbles and had three sacks but figures to receive a much more stern test from Luck than Johnny Manziel.
ABOUT THE COLTS (0-1, 0-1 ATS, 0-1 O/U): Luck and Indianapolis' offense did next to nothing for nearly three quarters a week ago and could be without top wideout T.Y. Hilton, who has not practiced this week after suffering a bruised knee that was thought to be much more severe. A pair of veteran newcomers both had quiet debuts with the Colts - Andre Johnson had four catches for 24 yards and running back Frank Gore was limited to 31 yards on 10 carries as Indy managed only 64 yards rushing. The Colts have issues on the other side of the ball with starting cornerback Greg Toler to miss a second straight week while his backup, Darius Butler (hip), did not practice Friday.
TRENDS:
* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Jets are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Indianapolis.
* Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.
CONSENSUS: The public is fairly split in this matchup, with 56 percent of wagers backing the Colts at -7.
NFL: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
New York at Indianapolis
Andrew Luck and the Colts stumbled in the opener at Buffalo so there is immediate pressure to perform on the Monday night stage. Teams that lost their season opener on the road then return to the comfort of home field usually bounce back. Over the past three years teams in this scenario are a sharp 17-7 SU with a sterling 14-9-1 ATS record at the betting window. Add to those number Colts 12-3 ATS off a loss with Andrew Luck taking snaps, 4-2 last six under Monday Night light's, Jets on a 3-6-2 ATS skid as road dogs, 8-15-2 ATS the the past 25 taking points in enemy territory the numbers point towards Colts grabbing the cash.