NFL Betting News and Notes Sunday, October 26

NFL Week 8 First Look
By Stephen Nover

Here are my early thoughts on the NFL Week 8 card:

Chargers-Broncos (Thursday): Have to sift through the injury situation the Chargers have in their secondary, but no team has played the Broncos tougher in Denver recently than San Diego. The Chargers are 8-0-1 in their last nine visits to Denver. In last year's regular season game in Denver, the Chargers held the Broncos to a season low in points and yards in winning, 27-20. Denver averaged 24 points in three games against San Diego last season.

Lions-Falcons (London): The Falcons have a horrible defense and their beat-up offensive line can't protect Matt Ryan. The Lions have been winning with defense not offense. Detroit seems to have more poise and discipline under Jim Caldwell. I'm not expecting Calvin Johnson to play with the Lions having a bye the following week.

Vikings-Buccaneers: Lovie's been a disaster. I can't stand coaches who install their system no matter what the personnel and talent is. That's not the mark of a good coach. Hard to get behind the Vikings either. Teddy Bridgewater is breaking in the hard way behind a bad offensive line and not having much weapons.

Bears-Patriots: The Bears are bickering. Taking to the road may be the best thing for them. They are 3-1 SU and ATS away from home. The Patriots gave up 218 yards rushing to the Jets last week and rushed for only 63. That was their first game without Jerod Mayo and Stevan Ridley.

Rams-Chiefs: Jeff Fisher is may be the best 'dog coach when it comes to outright stealing a game with trickery. That's what he did against the Seahawks yesterday. The vastly superior Seahawks outgained the Rams by 191 yards, had more first downs and longer time of possession. But Fisher's special teams caught the Seahawks with their pants down numerous times to pull out a victory. I don't think the Rams contain Jamaal Charles and the Chiefs won't be sleeping on special teams.

Seahawks-Panthers: I'm not sure the Seahawks were as focused as they should have been against the Rams because of the Percy Harvin trade. The Seahawks have some punk rather than professional in them. It starts with Pete Carroll. The Panthers are paying the price for not paying the price to sign good defensive backs. They have allowed 38, 30, 24, 37 and 38 points in their last five games.

Bills-Jets: Well at least now the Bills won't have to keep figuring out how to use C.J. Spiller. I'm not a Kyle Orton fan, but E.J. Manuel could not have made that winning touchdown pass against the Vikings.

Dolphins-Jaguars: I'm thinking under here. The Jaguars held the Browns to 69 yards rushing on 30 carries and the Dolphins befuddled Jay Cutler at Solider Field. Blake Bortles isn't Blaine Gabbert nor Chad Henne, but he does have 12 turnovers in his first four starts.

Texans-Titans: Have to wait on this one. The Texans have covered five of the last six in the series, including the past three in Tennessee. Early word is that Jake Locker will be ready to start.

Ravens-Bengals: The Ravens are playing much better than the Bengals, but I'm not going to discount the Bengals' 10-0-1 SU, 10-1 ATS mark in their last 11 home games plus possibly getting back A.J. Green this week.

Eagles-Cardinals: The Eagles are perceived as good, but they have been out-gained on the season. The Cardinals have won 12 of their last 15 games.

Colts-Steelers: We knew Andrew Luck was good. But is Indy's defense good, too? T.Y. Hilton has the second most receiving yards in the NFL right now.

Raiders-Browns: The Browns were caught in a bad spot yesterday against the Jaguars. No excuses for them if they lose at home to the Raiders.

Packers-Saints: Aaron Rodgers is on an insane 17-to-0 touchdown-to-interception ratio since Week 2.

Redskins-Cowboys (Monday): The Redskins will need the Robert Griffin III of old to keep up with Dallas. I just hope the Redskins have stopped putting out trading feelers for Kirk Cousins. That's more offensive to me than their team nickname.

NFL Week 8

Lions (5-2) vs Falcons (2-5) (London) — Atlanta is in freefall, losing last four games while allowing 31.8 ppg (13 TD’s on 41 drives); they allowed 9+ yards/pass attempt in four of last six games, losing all four road games by 10+ points (average score, 31-16). Detroit won four of last five games, scoring two TD’s in last 3:38 to stun Saints at home last game; they’ve held four of last five opponents to 17 or less points. Atlanta is 2-5 this season when scoring less than 37 points. Lions won two of three road games, with favorite covered all three games; over last 10+ years, they’re 6-9-2 as road favorites, but 2-0 this season. Falcons won last three series games, by 13-7-13 points. NFC South teams are 2-12-1 SU in non-divisional road tilts, 3-8-1 vs spread. NFC North non-divisional favorites are 3-5.

Vikings (2-5) @ Buccaneers (1-5) — Minnesota lost last three games, scoring total of 29 points (two TD’s on last 37 drives); they scored 34-41 points in only two wins- they’re 1-5 without Peterson. Vikings are 1-3 on road, 0-2 outdoors, scoring 13 ppg outside. Buccaneers won last six series games, with four of six by 11+ points; Vikings lost last six visits to Tampa, with last win in ’97. Tampa Bay allowed 85 points in last two games before its bye; they’re 7-12-1 in last 20 games as home favorite, 0-2 this year- they’re 0-3 SU at home this year, losing by 6-2-31 points and two of those three games were against backup QB’s. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 3-5-1 vs spread, 3-2 at home. Last four Buc games went over total; five of seven Viking games stayed under.

Bears (3-4) @ Patriots (5-2) — After being 4-10-1 as road underdog from 2011-13, Bears are 3-1 this year; visitor won six of seven Chicago games this season, with Bears 3-1 SU on road - they led late at Carolina before turning ball over on last three drives and losing 31-24. Chicago lost three of last four games overall, turning ball over nine times (-6) in three losses. Bears are 3-0 this season when allowing 20 or less points, 0-4 when allowing 23+- they’re +7 in turnovers when they win, -8 in losses. Patriots covered four of last five vs NFC teams; they won last three games with Chicago by 3-4-29 points. Pats are 0-2 as home faves this year, 21-15 in last 36 as non-divisional HF. NFC North non-divisional road dogs are 4-4; AFC non-divisional home faves are 0-6 vs spread. Last four Patriot games went over total.

Rams (2-4) @ Chiefs (3-3) — Young Rams hit road after facing top two rivals at home last two games, upsetting Seattle last week; they’ve either won or had 14+-point lead in each of last five games. St Louis is 2-0 as road dogs this year, 11-7 as road dogs overall under Fisher, winning at Tampa, losing 34-28 at Philly in game they trailed 34-7. Chiefs split pair of home games, with dogs winning both SU; they’re 5-18-1 as home favorites since ’07, 2-6 under Reid. KC ran ball for 154+ yards in each of its wins; they’re 0-3 when rushing ball for less than that. Chiefs held San Diego to 251 yards in upset win last week. Road teams won six of last eight games in this intrastate series. NFC West non-divisional underdogs are 2-4 vs spread; AFC West non-divisional home faves are 5-2. Last four Ram games went over total.

Seahawks (3-3) @ Panthers (3-3-1) — Defending champs lost last two games, allowing 58 points; they’ve allowed 28+ points in all three losses this year, are 1-2 on road, winning 27-17 in Washington, losing at San Diego/St Louis- they allowed 20 or less points in all three wins, but had terrible special teams game last week. Carolina is 1-3-1 in last five games after 2-0 start, with losses by 18-28-21 points; they’ve allowed 17 TD’s on foes’ last 43 drives. Seattle struggled but won on this field last two years, 16-12/12-7; Carolina scored 14 or less points in last five series games. Hawks are 6-4 in last ten games as road favorite, 1-2 this year. Panthers won two of three home games; they’re 5-5 as home dogs under Rivera. Carolina is 3-0-1 with positive turnover ratio; they’ve been -2/-1/-1 in their three losses.

Bills (4-3) @ Jets (1-6) — Home side won last five series games; Bills lost last four visits here, by 31-4-20-7 points. Buffalo turned ball over nine times (-7) in last two games, but pulled game out last week vs Vikings, when Orton threw TD pass with 0:01 left; he is major upgrade over younger Manuel. Orton led game-winning TD drive late in two of his three starts; Bills are 4-0 when allowing 20 or less points, 0-3 when they allow more. Jets lost last six games, giving up 24+ points in all six; they’ve also lost four of last five post-bye games. Gang Green has only three takeaways in seven games (-9); they ran ball for 218 yards in tough 27-25 loss last week in Foxboro and had extra three days to recover from that. Not sure if newly-acquired WR Harvin will play big role here or not. Six of seven Buffalo games stayed under total.

Dolphins (3-3) @ Jaguars (1-6) — Jags got first win last week after getting first cover week before; they’re 7-20-1 as home underdog since ’10, 1-2 this year, but have played better since rookie QB Bortles became starter- they ran ball for 185 yards in win over Browns last week, winning field position (by 12 yards) for first time all year. Miami won last two road games by 24-13 points; win at Oakland was first in four tries as road favorite under Philbin. Miami ran ball for 137+ yards in four of six games. Over last three years, Jaguars are 2-6 vs spread in game following a win. Miami won 24-10/14-10 in last two visits here. AFC East non-divisional favorites are 1-7 vs spread; AFC South non-divisional dogs are 5-5. Last three Jax games stayed under total; three of last four Miami games went over.

Texans (3-4) @ Titans (2-5) — Houston started 2-0 this year and last; other than those four games, they’re 1-18 in last 19—how long before they start playing Mallett at QB, seeing as they traded a draft pick for him? Road game here on short week for Texans after bizarre meltdown Monday night when they allowed 24 points in 2:54 after they led 13-0. Texans are 3-2 in last five visits here, 3-1 in last four series games overall. Houston lost last three games, all by 7 or less points; they’ve lost last three road games, including OT game at 6-1 Dallas. Texans covered once in last five games as road favorite. Titans’ last three games were decided by total of five points; they’re 3-7-1 in last 11 games as a home underdog. NFL-wide, home underdogs are 5-7 vs spread in divisional games.

Ravens (5-2) @ Bengals (3-2-1) — Rematch of Cincy’s 23-16 (+1.5) win in Week 1, when Bengals blew 15-0 lead, only to score winning TD on 77-yard pass to Green with 4:58 left; he had 131 receiving yards in that game, is expected back here after being hurt (toe), missing couple games. Teams split season series three of last four years- Ravens lost four of last five visits here. Cincy is 0-2-1 after 3-0 start and a bye; they’re 2-0-1 at home, winning by 14-26 points, tying Panthers. After allowing 33 points in first three games, they allowed 107 in next three. Baltimore won five of six games since Week 1 loss, with last three wins all by 22+ points; they’ve won two of three on road, losing 20-13 at 5-2 Indy. Ravens are 4-0 if they turn ball over less than two times; they won field position last two weeks by 16-11 yards.

Eagles (5-1) @ Cardinals (5-1) — Arizona is 3-0 at home, with wins over Chargers, 49ers; they’ve held opponents to 72.5 rushing yards/game despite having some injuries on defense. Redbirds are 4-2-1 as home favorites under Arians. Eagles won last two games before their bye; they’ve 13 offensive TD’s, seven more on defense/special teams this year. Philly split pair of road games that were decided by total of 8 points- they won 30-27 at Indy, lost 26-21 at 49ers. NFC East underdogs are 5-7-1 in non-divisional games, 3-3 on road; NFC West favorites are 8-5, 3-5 at home. Four of six Cardinal games stayed under total. Philly (-3.5) beat Arizona 24-21 in its post-bye game LY, that one was at home. Home coming game of sorts for Eagle QB Foles, who played college ball in Tucson for Arizona.

Colts (5-2) @ Steelers (4-3) — Over last 10+ years, Steelers are 6-1 as home underdogs, with only non-cover LY vs Bears in Week 3; Pitt on short week after comeback win Monday nite, when they scored 24 points in 2:54 after trailing 13-0 early. Steelers are 2-1 at home, with games decided by 3-3-7 points. Indy won five games in row since 0-2 start (lost to Denver/Philly); they’re 3-0 vs spread on road, losing by 7 at Denver, winning at Jax/Houston. Pitt won 11 of last `13 series games, but teams haven’t met since ’11, so this is Luck’s first series game. In their last two games, Steelers allowed 11.7/7.9 ypa to Browns/Texans, red flag going up against prolific Colt offense that averaged 7.6+ in four of last five games. Pitt allowed 26+ points in all three losses; Colts scored 26+ in five of last six games.

Raiders (0-6) @ Browns (3-3) — Despite all the optimism this fall, Browns are still in last place in NFC North, albeit with .500 record; they’ve won five of last seven games with Oakland, winning last two here by 6-14 points, but hard to lay lot of points with favorite whose wins are by 2-1-21 points- dogs covered four of their six games. Raiders are 0-6 but 1-0-1 vs spread as road dogs, losing by 5 at Jets, 7 in Foxboro- they also lost 38-14 to Miami on neutral London field. Browns are 4-0 vs spread when they’ve run ball for 122+ yards; only once in six games has Oakland held team under 116. Browns are 4-8-2 in last 14 games as home favorite; Raiders are 14-10-1 in last 25 games as road dog. AFC North non-divisional home favorites are 4-1-1. AFC road underdogs are 6-1-1.

Packers (5-2) @ Saints (2-4) — Pack won last four games (3-0-1 vs spread), scoring 36.3 ppg with a +8 turnover ratio; both their losses came in only games on artificial turf, on which they’re 4-10 vs spread in last 14 games. Desperate Saints barfed up game in Detroit last week, blowing 23-10 lead with 3:45 left; they’re -8 in turnovers this year, with no games on plus side. No is 2-0 at home, but against QB’s Cassel, Glennon, not exactly Elway/Marino. Home side won five of last six games in this series, with average total of 62.7 in last seven series games. Pack lost last two visits here 35-20/51-29- their last win on Bourbon Street was in ’95. Since ’09, NO is 11-9-1 in games where spread was 3 or less points, 1-2 this year. Green Bay is 2-5-1 in last eight such games, 1-1-1 this season.

Redskins (2-5) @ Cowboys (6-1) — Trap game for red-hot Dallas, winners of last six games; they’re 8-3 in last 11 games vs rival Redskins, winning four of last five played here, but three of those four losses were by 3 or less points. Washington snapped 4-game skid last week; they’re 1-2 as road underdogs this year, losing away games by 11-3-10 points- they’re 2-7 overall in last nine games as road dog. Cowboys won last six games (5-1 vs spread); they’re 5-11-1 as home favorites under Garrett, 1-1 this year- they scored 30+ points in four of last five games. Redskins covered in only one of their five losses, with four of five defeats by 10+ points. Four of last five Dallas games, four of last six Redskin games went over total. Coming into this week, over was 19-4 in primetime games this season.

Armadillosports.com

Sunday's Top Action
By Sportsbook.ag

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (5-2) at PITTSBURGH STEELERS (4-3)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Indianapolis -3, Total: 49

The sizzling-hot Colts seek a sixth straight victory when they visit the up-and-down Steelers on Sunday afternoon.

While Indianapolis stretched its winning streak to five games (SU and ATS) with a 27-0 victory at home against the Bengals last week, Pittsburgh continued its pattern of alternating wins and losses with a 30-23 home victory versus the Texans.

Since 1992, the Steelers are 8-2 SU (5-5 ATS) in this series, including 6-1 SU (4-3 ATS) when hosting the Colts. Five of these seven games played in Pittsburgh have gone Over the total. The most recent matchup between these two teams was a 23-20 Steelers’ road victory on September 25, 2011. Pittsburgh was a 10.5-point favorite in that game.

Indianapolis is 7-0 ATS versus teams that rush for at least 4.5 yards per carry over the past three seasons, and is also 13-4 ATS when playing teams that allow at least 5.65 yards per play in that time. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, is 20-7 ATS versus teams that pass for at least 7.5 yards per attempt since 1992.

WR Reggine Wayne (elbow) is expected to mis this game for Indianapolis. RB Trent Richardson (hamstring) and Arthur Jones (ankle) are questionable for the Colts, while the Steelers have three key defenders listed as questionable in LB Ryan Shazier (knee), S Shamarko Thomas (hamstring) and NT Steve McLendon (shoulder).

The Colts put on a dominant display last week, beating the Bengals 27-0 in a game that their defense was just relentless. They lost the turnover battle in the game, giving up two fumbles with zero takeaways. Even with that, Indy still got the shutout against a solid Bengals offense, holding its opponent to 1-of-13 on third-down conversions.

QB Andrew Luck (2,331 pass yards, 19 TD, 7 INT) has arguably been the league’s best quarterback this season and he should be in for a big game against the Steelers. This matchup has all the makings of a shootout, and Luck will have no problem moving the ball for his offense.

RB Ahmad Bradshaw (336 rush yards, 1 TD) should be in for an expanded role in this game, as RB Trent Richardson (358 rush yards, 2 TD) is dealing with a hamstring injury. Bradshaw has been one of Luck’s most productive red-zone options, catching six touchdowns on the year despite his small size. WR T.Y. Hilton (47 rec, 711 yards, 1 TD) has been on a tear recently, as he's caught 16 passes for 330 yards and a touchdown over the past two games. He has not had a game with less than 80 receiving yards over the past five weeks.

Pittsburgh is coming off of a solid performance against the Texans, winning 30-23 after trailing 13-0 in the first half.

One issue the Steelers are going to have is defending this Colts team. Pittsburgh has allowed 27.0 PPG over the past two games, and it is a middling defense, allowing 230.9 passing yards per game (13th in NFL) and 114.1 rushing yards per game (17th in NFL). The Colts have a balanced attack and could give this Steelers unit a lot of trouble.

Offensively, QB Ben Roethlisberger (1,858 pass yards, 10 TD, 3 INT) will need to come to play. He was good in the win over the Texans, outside of one lost fumble, throwing for 265 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions in the game. He’ll look to his go-to-guy WR Antonio Brown (50 rec, 719 yards, 5 TD) early and often.

This game could, however, come down to how effective RB Le’Veon Bell (599 rush yards, 1 TD) is running the football. Bell was explosive in the win over the Texans, catching eight passes for 88 yards and a touchdown. He had 57 yards rushing on 12 carries. Bell’s ability to run the football will open things up for Roethlisberger to pass, but it will be tough for him to get it going between the tackles against a good Colts defense.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (3-3) at CAROLINA PANTHERS (3-3-1)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Seattle -5, Total: 45

Two teams desperate for a victory will collide on Sunday as the Seahawks head east to take on the Panthers.

Seattle is mired in a two-game losing skid, leaving St. Louis with a disastrous 28-26 loss last week. Carolina was even worse last week, getting blown out 38-17 in Green Bay to fall to 1-3-1 SU in the past five contests.

These teams are meeting for the third straight season with the Seahawks winning and covering in both of the previous defensive battles in Charlotte, prevailing by scores of 16-12 and 12-7.

Panthers QB Cam Newton had a lot of difficulty throwing against the Packers last game, completing only 54.8% of his passes with just one touchdown and an interception. He could have a lot more trouble going up against the Seahawks. Seattle happens to be 15-3 ATS after gaining six or more yards per play in its previous game over the past three seasons, but Carolina is 6-0 ATS in home games after the first month of the season over the past two years. QB Russell Wilson is 2-0 (SU and ATS) versus the Panthers in his career.

The potential absences of Seahawks CB Byron Maxwell (calf) and S Kam Chancellor (ankle) would certainly help Newton if they don’t end up playing on Sunday, but Carolina has a larger volume of injuries with RB DeAngelo Williams (ankle) out, and LB Chase Blackburn (knee), LB Jason Williams (hip), G Trai Turner (knee), RB Fozzy Whittaker (thigh) and CB Bene Benwikere (ankle) among those listed as questionable.

The Seahawks have slipped as of late, losing two straight games SU and ATS. QB Russell Wilson (1,291 pass yards, 10 TD, 2 INT) played one of the better games of his career in last week’s loss to the Rams, throwing for 313 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions. Wilson also rushed seven times for 106 yards and a touchdown in the game, making him the first quarterback in NFL history to rush for 100+ yards and throw for 300+ in the same game.

Wilson now gets to face a secondary that allowed Packers QB Aaron Rodgers to throw for 255 yards and three touchdowns without even breaking a sweat. This same Carolina defense is also allowing 137.6 rushing yards per game (26th in NFL), so this could be a big afternoon for RB Marshawn Lynch (420 rush yards, 3 TD). Lynch rushed just 18 times for 53 yards in the loss to the Rams, so the Seahawks could make more of an effort to pound the rock in this one.

In the first game the Seahawks played since trading WR Percy Harvin, WR Doug Baldwin (23 rec, 310 yards, 1 TD) caught seven passes for 123 yards and a touchdown against the Rams. Baldwin should be in for a huge game against this porous defense. Seattle’s defense, meanwhile, allows only 238.5 passing yards per game (15th in NFL) and 85.5 rushing yards per game (6th in NFL). They have, however, allowed 29.0 PPG over their past two contests.

The Panthers didn’t stand a chance in Green Bay as they were getting dominated from the opening kickoff. Their defense was unable to get any big stops, allowing four touchdowns to the Packers in the first half alone. They’ll need to turn around quickly and prepare for the dual-threat attack of QB Russell Wilson. This defense has struggled against both the pass and rush on the year, and now faces a quarterback who can shred them doing both.

QB Cam Newton (1,472 pass yards, 8 TD, 3 INT) is also a great dual-threat quarterback, but he has been miserable against the Seahawks in his career, throwing for an average of 133.0 yards per game with just one touchdown total in two losses. When he does throw on Sunday, he’ll be looking for his dangerous duo of TE Greg Olsen (41 rec, 493 yards, 5 TD) and WR Kelvin Benjamin (34 rec, 477 yards, 5 TD). Olsen caught all eight of his targets for 105 yards in the loss to the Packers. He’s been getting open frequently this season and has emerged as one of the top tight ends in the entire NFL. Benjamin had missed a lot of practice during the week and still caught three passes for 61 yards and a touchdown. He should be feeling much better heading into this meeting with the Seahawks.

Carolina’s running back situation has been an issue on the season, so they are eagerly awaiting the return of DeAngelo Williams (ankle), which is not going to happen until next week at the earliest.

CHICAGO BEARS (3-4) at NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (5-2)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: New England -6, Total: 50.5

The struggling Bears hit the road on Sunday to take on the red-hot Patriots seeking a fourth straight victory.

Chicago QB Jay Cutler was a disaster in his team's 27-14 loss to the Dolphins, throwing a pick while also losing a fumble in a game where he couldn’t get his offense going.

Meanwhile, New England QB Tom Brady threw for 261 yards and three touchdowns in a 27-25 win over the Jets. He will now get to tee off against a Bears defense that was burned by Ryan Tannehill last week for 277 passing yards on 8.7 YPA.

The last two games played between these teams in New England have gone Under the total, and the last time these teams met was Dec. 12, 2010, when the Patriots won 36-7 in Chicago as three-point road favorites. Cutler threw two picks in that game and the Bears had just 185 yards of total offense.

New England is 11-2 ATS off a division game over the past three seasons, and also benefits from the Bears being 1-9 ATS off a non-conference game in that time.

Chicago is 6-4 ATS versus AFC teams over the past three seasons though.

Both teams will be short-handed on defense for this matchup, as the Bears list four defenders as questionable -- LB Lance Briggs (ribs), CB Kyle Fuller (hip), S Chris Conte (shoulder) and LB Jon Bostic (back). The Patriots will be without top DE Chandler Jones (hip) for the next month, and have two offensive linemen questionable with head injuries with G Dan Connolly and C Bryan Stork.

Chicago will come into this game hungry for a victory, as it can’t afford to fall to 3-5 in a tough division. QB Jay Cutler (1,866 pass yards, 14 TD, 7 INT) looked horrible against the Dolphins, but he can redeem himself with a victory over the Pats.

That won’t be easy though, as New England is allowing an NFL-low 208.0 yards per game through the air. This means the gameplan should feature a heavy dose of star RB Matt Forte (448 rush yards, 3 TD), who should be in for a big afternoon against a defense that is allowing 126.3 rushing yards per game (24th in NFL). Forte also has 52 receptions for 436 yards and two touchdowns through the air. Designed passes to Forte should be prevalent in this game as the Patriots should have trouble defending short passes without LB Jerod Mayo (knee, IR).

WRs Alshon Jeffery (33 rec, 504 yards, 2 TD) and Brandon Marshall (31 rec, 349 yards, 5 TD) will be Cutler’s top receivers in this one. Marshall was heated after the Bears lost to the Dolphins, so expect him to come into this game with tons of emotion.

Chicago’s defense is allowing 247.6 passing yards per game (20th in NFL) and 108.4 rushing yards per game (14th in NFL). The unit has looked solid at times, but it’s hard to trust them coming off of their performance last week.

New England is rolling right now and QB Tom Brady (1,705 pass yards, 13 TD, 2 INT) has been one of the league’s hottest quarterbacks. Since throwing two interceptions against the Chiefs in Week 5, Brady has nine touchdowns and zero picks. He should have no trouble throwing against this extremely beatable Chicago secondary.

One player who has benefited from Brady’s superb play is RB Shane Vereen (259 rush yards, 1 TD). Vereen is another running back, like Forte, who excels when used as a pass-catcher. He had five receptions for 71 yards and two touchdowns in last week’s win over the Jets. The Pats will move him all around the field against the Bears.

TE Rob Gronkowski (31 rec, 409 yards, 4 TD) has continued to improve on a week-to-week basis. Every single game he looks better than the one before, and is starting to look like the elite tight end he was prior to his ACL injury. Gronkowski's improvement will only make Brady and the Patriots better. New England’s pass defense should be ready to go up against the erratic Cutler in this one.

Chicago might try to throw the ball away from New England's shut-down CB Darrelle Revis (1 INT).

Check out more NFL Odds and Props at Sportsbook.ag!

SNF - Packers at Saints
By Sportsbook.ag

GREEN BAY PACKERS (5-2) at NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (2-4)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: New Orleans -1.5, Total: 55.5

The Saints look to get back on track Sunday night when they host the surging Packers.

Green Bay ripped off its fourth straight win (SU and ATS) when it cruised to a 38-17 victory over the Panthers at home last week. Meanwhile, New Orleans allowed two touchdowns in the final 3:38 of the fourth quarter last Sunday to lose 24-23 to the Lions.

These teams last met on Sept. 30, 2012, when the Packers beat the Saints 28-27 as 7.5-point favorites at Lambeau Field. These teams have split wins SU and ATS when playing in New Orleans since 1992, and overall, the Packers are 5-3 SU (4-4 ATS) in this series during that span. Seven of those eight meetings have gone Over the total.

Green Bay is 6-0 ATS in October games over the past two seasons, but New Orleans is 6-1 ATS after a loss by six points or less and 8-2 ATS as a home favorite of seven points or less over the past three seasons.

The Packers could be short-handed in the secondary for this game with CB Sam Shields (knee) and S Morgan Burnett (calf) both listed as questionable. The Saints are more concerned about the health of some offensive stars. TE Jimmy Graham (shoulder) has been limited in practice and remains questionable for Sunday night, while RB Pierre Thomas (ribs) is out 2-to-3 weeks and RB Khiry Robinson is dealing with a forearm injury.

Green Bay has been on a roll recently, winning four straight games and five of its past six contests. QB Aaron Rodgers (1,674 pass yards, 18 TD, 1 INT) is looking like a serious MVP candidate at this point in the season. He’ll now get to face a secondary that has really struggled this year.

New Orleans is allowing 270.5 yards per game through the air (28th in NFL) and things won’t suddenly get easier for them with Rodgers in town. He will frequently be looking for top WRs Jordy Nelson (47 rec, 712 yards, 6 TD) and Randall Cobb (35 rec, 452 yards, 8 TD) in this game. Both of these receivers have caught at least one touchdown in each of the past four games.

One good sign for the Packers is that RB Eddie Lacy (369 rush yards, 4 TD) is starting to turn his season around. After failing to find the end zone in the first three games of the year, Lacy has now scored four touchdowns over the past four games. They’ll need him to be effective going forward in order to open the field more for Rodgers.

This Green Bay defense is allowing only 214.9 passing yards per game (6th in NFL) but has surrendered a miserable 147.9 rushing yards per game (31st in NFL). As long as the Pack is able to slow down Drew Brees, they should have a chance.

Saints QB Drew Brees (1,916 yards, 11 TD, 7 INT) seemingly had his team in a can’t-lose situation last Sunday, but a late interception allowed the Lions to steal a win. Brees now faces the Packers in a must-win matchup on Sunday, but he’s been very good against Green Bay in his career individually. In five games against the Packers, Brees has thrown for 380.8 passing YPG, 14 TD and just 2 INT.

He’ll look to target TE Jimmy Graham (34 rec, 376 yards, 3 TD) often, but the All-Pro tight end was dealing with a lot of shoulder pain in last week’s loss to the Lions. If Graham isn’t feeling healthy enough to contribute, WR Marques Colston (21 rec, 359 yards, 1 TD) will be the beneficiary. Last game, Colston hauled in six of his 11 targets for a total of 111 yards. He has now been targeted 27 times over the past three weeks.

RB Travaris Cadet (16 rec, 134 yards, 1 TD) will step in as Pierre Thomas’ (shoulder) replacement as the Saints’ pass-catching running back. Cadet had six catches for 51 yards against the Lions and should be in for an even bigger workload on Sunday.

This game will, however, come down to the play of New Orleans’ defense. They’ve allowed 31.0 PPG over the past three weeks and will need to find a way to keep Aaron Rodgers from throwing all over them.

Check out more NFL Odds and Props at Sportsbook.ag!

Game of the Day: Lions vs. Falcons
By Covers.com

Detroit Lions vs. Atlanta Falcons (+3.5, 46.5)

The Atlanta Falcons hardly look ready for prime time this season so perhaps a trip overseas is coming at an opportune time as the struggling club attempts to halt a four-game losing streak. The Falcons have dropped all four games by double digits and look to rebound against the Detroit Lions on Sunday morning at London's Wembley Stadium. “We need to worry about this coming week,” Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan said. “We need to prepare better, practice better and play better. We know what to do."

Even though the Falcons are designated the home team, not having to play in Atlanta is a boost for the Lions, who are tied with Green Bay atop the NFC North following last week's dramatic comeback win over New Orleans. Star wideout Calvin Johnson practiced on a limited basis Wednesday and Thursday and Detroit hopes he can rejoin the lineup after missing the past two games with a high ankle sprain. It marks the first international contest for both the Falcons and Lions and will be the first NFL tilt to ever be televised at 9:30 a.m. ET.

LINE HISTORY: The line has had no movement since opening at Atlanta +3.5. The total has dropped only half a point from a 47 point opening to 46.5.

INJURY REPORT: Lions - WR Calvin Johnson (Ques-Ankle), RB Reggie Bush (Doub-Ankle), TE Brandon Pettigrew (Doub-Ankle) Falcons - G Justin Blalock (Prob-Back), DT Jonathan Babineaux (Doub-Foot)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Mike Smith is squarely on the hot seat after a fourth straight loss. The Falcons head to London for a must win game before their bye week. They are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 after scoring 15 or less. Detroit stays atop the NFC North with a come-from-behind win over the Saints and now heads to London for an early start time." - Covers Expert Matt Fargo

ABOUT THE FALCONS (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS, 3-4 O/U): Atlanta came into the season with questions surrounding its defense, but the Falcons have struggled on the other side of the ball - blowing a 10-point second-half lead against the New York Giants in Week 5 and scoring only one touchdown in each of their last two losses to Chicago (27-13) and Baltimore (29-7). Ryan opened the season with a 448-yard, three-TD performance in a win over New Orleans, but he has been limited to one scoring pass in four of the past six games. An already-suspect running game has been further hindered by an injury-ravaged offensive line that is missing four starters. Atlanta is 30th overall in both points (28.4) and total yards (412.1) and has only seven sacks.

ABOUT THE LIONS (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS, 2-5 O/U): Johnson has been a non-factor since his ankle issues cropped up in Week 4, but Detroit has compensated for the superstar receiver's loss with a defense that permits a league-low 290.3 yards and ranks second with 15.0 points allowed. The Lions have also registered 21 sacks and could build upon that total against Ryan, who has been sacked nine times over the past two games. Lions quarterback Matt Stafford has thrown for only nine scoring passes versus six interceptions, but he rallied Detroit with two TD passes in the final 3:38 last week to erase a 13-point deficit against the Saints. Golden Tate had 10 catches for 154 yards and a TD last week and has at least seven receptions in four straight games.

TRENDS:

*Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
*Under is 5-0 in Lions last 5 games following a ATS loss.
*Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
*Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 52.83 percent of Covers users are backing the Lions and 57.4 are backing the over.

Sunday Night Football: Packers at Saints
By Covers.com

Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints (-2.5, 55.5)

The New Orleans Saints will be banking on their home-field dominance when they host the surging Green Bay Packers on Sunday night. The Saints have dropped all four games on the road, including a galling setback last week at Detroit in which they blew a 13-point lead over the final 3:38, but quarterback Drew Brees said it's not time to panic. "There's no must-win games until they're must-win games," Brees said. "It's important. It's really important, but nobody needs that kind of pressure."

Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers adopted a similar mantra to Brees after Green Bay dropped two of its first three, telling the home fans to "relax." Rodgers has guided the Packers to four consecutive wins and has been spectacular in doing so, throwing 13 touchdown passes and zero interceptions to push Green Bay into a tie with Detroit for first place in the NFC North. “We’re 5-2. They’re 2-4," Rodgers said. "They’ve lost some close games. We won a couple close ones. But they’re a good football team."

LINE HISTORY: Since opening at New Orleans -1.5, action has forced the line to jump a full point to NO -2.5. The total market opened at 54 before climbing all the way to 56 and it currently sits at 55.5.

INJURY REPORT: Packers - CB Sam Shields (Doub-Knee), S Morgan Burnett (Ques-Calf), RB James Starks (Prob-Ankle) Saints - CB Patrick Robinson (Prob-Hamstring), TE Jimmy Graham (Prob-Shoulder), CB Keenan Lewis (Ques-Knee)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Green Bay with four straight wins and covers, heads to New Orleans to face the reeling Saints. The Pack are 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games as underdogs prior to their bye week. The Saints are thankfully home for four of their next five games after falling to 0-4 on the road. The Saints are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 at home vs. .667 or better NFC non-divisional opponent." - Covers Experts Matt Fargo

ABOUT THE PACKERS (5-2 SU, 4-2-1 ATS, 6-1 O/U): Rodgers has 18 scoring passes versus one interception - that coming in Week 1 - and is coming off his fourth consecutive games with at least three TD passes in a 38-17 demolition of Carolina. Jordy Nelson has six touchdown catches and is second in the league with 712 receiving yards while fellow wideout Randall Cobb has eight TD receptions. The Packers are averaging 36.3 points during their winning streak despite a slow start by second-year running back Eddie Lacy, who has four touchdowns in the past four contests but has been limited to 48 yards or fewer in five of the seven games. Green Bay is one of the league's worst team's against the run, ranking 31st with an average of 147.9 yards allowed.

ABOUT NEW ORLEANS (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS, 5-1 O/U): The Saints' defense is permitting 27.5 points per game and appear vulnerable to Rodgers and Green Bay's vaunted aerial attack, surrendering 270.5 passing yards while collecting only nine sacks. Brees' inconsistency is reflected in his past three games - he has thrown for over 300 yards in each but has six touchdowns and five interceptions in that span. One major concern is the health of standout tight end Jimmy Graham, who did not have a catch against the Lions while battling a shoulder injury that has limited him in practice this season. Third-down back Pierre Thomas is expected to miss the game with a shoulder injury, leaving Mark Ingram and Khiry Robinson as the primary ball carries.

TRENDS:

*Packers are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
*Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
*Over is 6-0 in Packers last 6 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
*Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 62.1 percent of Covers users are behind with an overwhelming 68.8 percent on the over.

Week 8 Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

Bears at Patriots (-6, 51)

Week 7 Recap:

This Chicago team is very hard to figure out, up one week and down the other. The bad Bears came out last Sunday in a 27-14 home loss to the Dolphins as three-point favorites. Chicago fell behind, 14-0 at halftime, as the Bears own a dreadful 0-3 record at Soldier Field this season.

The Patriots keep rolling along following their third straight win, holding off the Jets last Thursday night, 27-25. New England failed to cover for the second time as a home favorite this season, but the Pats have won five of its past six games since losing at Miami in the season opener.

Previous meeting: New England crushed Chicago at Soldier Field in 2010 by a 36-7 count as three-point road favorites. The Patriots blew the game open by putting up 26 second quarter points, while Tom Brady threw for 369 yards. The last time the Bears visited New England, the Patriots held off the Bears, 17-13 in 2006.

What to watch for: Chicago’s best efforts have been put together on the road this season, winning three of four games on the highway (3-1 ATS). The Bears are 3-1 to the ‘over’ away from the Windy City, while going 5-0 SU/ATS in its past five road games against the AFC. The Patriots have riding a four-game ‘over’ streak, while going 8-8 ATS since the start of 2012 as a home favorite of at least six points.

Seahawks (-5, 44½) at Panthers

Week 7 Recap:

The Seahawks are in the midst of their first two-game losing streak since midway through the 2012 season after getting tripped up at St. Louis, 28-26 as 6½-point road favorites. The Seattle defense has allowed 58 points in the past two losses, but the Seahawks yielded just 275 yards to the Rams last Sunday.

The Panthers were blitzed out of the gate in a 38-17 drubbing at Green Bay, falling behind 21-0 after the first quarter. Carolina failed to cover as 6½-point underdogs, snapping a two-game ATS winning streak. The Panthers’ defense has allowed at least 37 points in four of the past five games, hitting the ‘over’ five straight times.

Previous meeting: The Seahawks topped the Panthers in last season’s opener, 12-7 at Bank of America Stadium. Russell Wilson found Jermaine Kearse on a 43-yard touchdown strike in the fourth quarter to give Seattle the win and cover as three-point favorites. Seattle has won in each of the past two visits to Charlotte, while limiting the Panthers to only 19 points in those contests.

What to watch for: In spite of last week’s defeat, Seattle owns an 8-4 ATS record in the past 12 opportunities as a road favorite (1-2 ATS this season). Since the start of last season, the Panthers have compiled a 9-2-1 ATS mark at home, but Carolina is 4-8 ATS as an underdog in this stretch.

Ravens (-2, 45½) at Bengals

Week 7 Recap:

The Ravens are quietly rolling atop the AFC North at 5-2, as Baltimore routed a beat-up Atlanta squad, 29-7 as seven-point home favorites. Baltimore has taken care of business against NFC foes, posting a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS record, while winning each of those games by at least 22 points apiece.

The Bengals aren’t falling apart at the seams, but the team that was once 3-0 has stumbled to an 0-2-1 record the past three weeks. Cincinnati was blanked at Indianapolis, 27-0, as the Bengals’ defense has allowed 107 points in the last three games.

Previous meeting: The Bengals took care of the Ravens in Baltimore to open the season, 23-16 as one-point underdogs. Cincinnati built a 15-0 halftime lead on five field goals, but the Ravens rallied for 16 unanswered points to take a one-point fourth quarter advantage. Andy Dalton connected with A.J. Green on a 77-yard touchdown pass to give Cincinnati the lead for good, snapping a four-game skid at Baltimore that dated back to 2009.

What to watch for: Cincinnati has won five of its past six home divisional matchups, while going 2-0 SU/ATS last season as a home underdog. The Ravens have dropped four of their last five road games within the AFC North, while playing at Cincinnati outside of Week 17 for the first time since 2010.

Eagles at Cardinals (-1½, 48)

Week 7 Recap:

The Eagles rested comfortably after blowing out the Giants at home in Week 6 by a 27-0 count. Philadelphia improved to 4-0 at Lincoln Financial Field, as the Eagles racked up 448 yards of offense to pick up their second divisional win of the season.

The Cardinals cruised past the Raiders as 3 ½-point road favorites, 24-13 to move to 5-1 on the season. Arizona has limited four of six opponents to 17 points or fewer, as the Cardinals have won five of their past seven games on the road dating back to last season.

Previous meeting: Philadelphia jumped out to a 24-7 advantage over Arizona last December, before the Cardinals eventually lost 24-21. The late rally helped out Arizona backers, as the Cardinals cashed as 3½-point underdogs. Arizona owns a 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS mark against Philadelphia in the past four matchups, which includes a home victory over the Eagles to win the NFC Championship in 2008.

What to watch for: Under Chip Kelly, the Eagles have put together a 7-3 record on the road, including a Week 2 victory at Indianapolis as three-point ‘dogs. The Cardinals are 9-2 in the past 11 games at University of Phoenix Stadium, but are just 4-6 ATS as a home favorite.

Colts (-3½, 49) at Steelers

Week 7 Recap:

The Colts started the season at 0-2, but Indianapolis has stormed back with five straight victories, including a 27-0 rout of Cincinnati. In all five of those wins, the Colts have covered each time, while scoring 27 points in six straight games. Since losing to the Dolphins in Week 2 of the 2013 season, the Colts are nearly automatic at home with a 9-2 record the past 11 games.

The Steelers erased an early 14-3 deficit against the Texans, scoring 21 points in the final two minutes of the half to knock off Houston, 30-23. Pittsburgh has now alternated wins and losses in its seven games this season, while going 1-2 ATS at Heinz Field.

Previous meeting: In the disastrous season of 2011 for Indianapolis, the Colts actually hung around with the Steelers as 10½-point home underdogs in a 23-20 loss. The Colts are making just their second visit to Heinz Field since 2003, knocking off the Steelers as short ‘dogs, 24-20 in 2008.

What to watch for: Indianapolis has been automatic as a road favorite since Andrew Luck took over in 2012, winning and covering all seven times in the role. Under Mike Tomlin, the Steelers own a 5-1 ATS record as a home underdog, while covering and winning against Detroit and Cincinnati last season.

Total Talk - Week 8
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com

Week 7 Recap

The ‘under’ produced an 8-7 record in Week 7 and those results included three ‘over’ tickets in the primetime games. Including the Denver-San Diego outcome from this past Thursday, we’ve had 25 games played under the lights and the ‘over’ has gone 21-4 (84%) in these contests. I asked the Westgate SuperBook Director Jay Kornegay about this current 'over' run and wanted to know if his Las Vegas based shop would adjust.

He answered, “It’s business as usual. We know the general public will be betting the over on these games. If the sharps bet it over, we might move it a little more aggressively knowing the public will also be on that same side.”

It’s more than likely that things will balance out in the second-half of the season. For those keeping track, the ‘over’ went 28-22 in 50 primetime games last season.

Through seven weeks of the regular season, the ‘over’ has gone 56-50.

Back to London

In Week 4 of the regular season the Dolphins dropped the Raiders 38-14 from Wembley Stadium in London. The combined 52 points easily went ‘over’ the closing number of 41.

In that week’s installment of “Total Talk” we mentioned the current total trend in the NFL International Series and we’ll bring it to your attention again.

Including the Miami-Oakland outcome, the ‘over’ has now cashed in four consecutive games played from London.

This Sunday, Detroit and Atlanta will play the second of three NFL games in London this season. The total on this game is hovering between 46 and 47 points and this looks like a pass for me. Atlanta’s offense is struggling lately and I can’t see them moving the ball consistently against Detroit’s defense. Despite facing the Falcons dismal defense (412 YPG, 28.4 PPG), the Lions attack is limited without the duties of WR Calvin Johnson and RB Reggie Bush. Atlanta has watched the ‘under’ cash in three straight plus the ‘under’ has gone 5-2 for Detroit this season, which includes a 3-0 mark on the road.

Next Stop: New England

This particular segment has become increasingly popular and I’m more than glad to touch on the “Thursday Night Total” system on a weekly basis, especially when it wins.

For those of you reading “Total Talk” for the first time, the total angle that’s been profitable is very simple to follow. All you have to do is find out who played at home the previous Thursday and play the ‘over’ in their next game, regardless of the venue.

Dating back to last season, the ‘over’ has gone 19-3-1 (86%) in these situations.

This week, the angle applies to the New England-Chicago matchup since the Patriots defeated the Jets 27-25 at home on Thursday in Week 7.

The number has already jumped from 49 to as high as 51 at some shops. The Patriots have seen the ‘over’ go 4-0 in their last four games and Chicago has been better on the road, averaging 26.5 PPG.

New England’s defense is banged up but the unit has been respectable (22 PPG) this season, especially against the pass (208 YPG). Chicago is 1-2 against the weaker trio of the AFC East this season and the defense has allowed 27, 19 and 23 points in those games. Stepping up in class would make you believe the Bears unit could be in trouble Sunday.

Keep in mind that this system will remain in Foxborough for Week 9 since the Broncos visit the Patriots and Denver just played this past Thursday at home.

National TV Matchup

The ‘over’ has cashed in the last two nationally televised games o Sunday, both involving the Cowboys.

Prior to these results, the ‘under’ had gone 5-0 in the late afternoon spot. This week’s national television game heads to Western Pennsylvania as the Steelers host the Colts on CBS. The total opened 48½ and is steadily creeping up.

Pittsburgh is a tough team to figure out, especially on offense. The Steelers put up 30 points last week in their win against the Texans but 14 of those points were gifted. Pittsburgh has watched the ‘over’ go 4-3 this season, 3-0 at home.

Indianapolis is ranked first in total offense (452 YPG) and second in scoring (30.9 PPG) and those numbers improve on the road (464 YPG, 33.7 PPG). The Colts have gone 3-0 to the ‘over’ away from home and they face a Steelers defense that has surrendered 27, 27 and 23 points at home to quarterbacks named Hoyer, Glennon and Fitzpatrick.

Good Luck (pun intended) on Sunday!

Off the Bye

Teams off the bye have seen the ‘over’ go 7-2 in their games and the one observation I’m seeing is that the rest has helped the offensive units.

Last week, the New Orleans and Kansas City both scored 23 points and those results were on the road.

In Week 6, Miami (24) and Oakland (28) were productive off the bye.

Week 5 saw Cleveland (29), St. Louis (28), Arizona (20), Denver (41) Cincinnati (17) and Seattle (27) post quality efforts with rest.

Based on those numbers, we’ve seen teams off rest average 28.8 PPG this season. At home off rest, the number increases to 31 PPG.

This Sunday, we have two teams playing off rest, one at home and one on the road.

Tampa Bay vs. Minnesota
Philadelphia at Arizona

Divisional Matchups

Buffalo at N.Y. Jets: This is the lowest total (40) on the board and it’s not surprising. The Bills (19.3 PPG) and Jets (17.3 PPG) are ranked 27th and 28th in scoring and they both have Top 10 defensive units (YPG). Buffalo has watched the ‘under’ go 6-1 in its first seven games and it’s also banged up offensively. The ‘over’ is on a 4-1 run in this series.

Baltimore at Cincinnati: These teams met in Week 1 and the Bengals captured a 23-16 road win. The combined 37 points fell ‘under’ the closing total of 43.5 but points were left off the board in this game. Cincinnati has scored 24, 33 and 37 at home this season, which isn’t a surprise. Last year, the Bengals averaged 31.6 PPG in nine games on their turf.

Houston at Tennessee: Oddsmakers sent out a total of 43.5 on this matchup and the number has dropped to 41.5. The Titans are starting rookie Zach Mettenberger at quarterback, which could have you leaning ‘under’ in the spot. Especially when you realize Houston just faced Romo, Luck and Roethlisberger. Titans are 5-2 to the ‘under’ this season.

Washington at Dallas: (See Below)

Under the Lights

Green Bay at New Orleans: Highest total on the board (55) in Week 8 and it’s very hard to argue for the ‘under’ in this spot unless you’re going against the consensus. The Packers have seen the ‘over’ go 6-1 this season and that includes a run of four straight tickets. Green Bay has also covered all four games during the current run, which has crippled bookmakers. The Saints have also been a strong ‘over’ (5-1) team this season and it’s offensive tendencies at home cannot be ignored. The last three meetings between the pair have seen combined points of 80, 76 and most recently 55 in their 2012 encounter.

Washington at Dallas: This game opened at 51 and that number has dropped to 49 ½ as of Saturday, which doesn’t surprise me. Dallas has the firepower to light up the scoreboard but the same can’t be said for Washington, especially with Colt McCoy at QB. The Cowboys and Redskins have both seen the ‘over’ go 4-3 this season but this series has watched the ‘under’ go 3-0 in their last three encounters. If you’re looking for a possible ‘over’ angle, you could point to Washington’s defense. The unit has allowed a combined 82 points (Eagles - 37, Giants - 45) in their first two matchups against NFC East squads.

Fearless Predictions

Week 7 didn’t go as planned and if it wasn’t for the gimmick teaser bet, it would’ve been dreadful. The deficit is $300 as we near the midway point of the season. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end

Best Over: Chicago-New England 50.5

Best Under: Miami-Jacksonville 42.5

Best Team Total: Over Tampa Bay 22.5

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100)
Over 41.5 Chicago-New England
Over 40 Indianapolis-Pittsburgh
Under 51.5 Miami-Jacksonville