NFL betting trends, odds and predictions for Thursday, December 22nd, 2016.
NY GIANTS (10 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 9) - 12/22/2016, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 5 games on the road
NY Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Giants at Philadelphia
New York: 14-3 ATS in road games off 2 consecutive home wins
Philadelphia: 1-5 ATS revenging a road loss against opponent
NFL Week 16
Giants (10-4) @ Eagles (5-9) — New Jersey won eight of last nine games, is 2-3 in true road games, winning 20-19 at Dallas, 27-13 in Cleveland- they’re 1-0 as road favorite. Eagles lost five in row, nine of 11 since a 3-0 start; they’re 4-2 at home, but lost 27-13/27-22 in last two home tilts. Philly is 4-5 as an underdog; they lost last two games in final 2:00. Giants (-2.5) won first meeting 28-23 in Week 9, snapping 4-game series skid; they were outgained 443-302, but Eagles scored only 20 points on six trips to red zone-= NY had two TD drives of less than 35 yards. Giants lost five of last seven visits here. Underdogs are 6-3 vs spread in NFC East divisional games this season. Last six Giant games stayed under the total; Eagles’ last three games went over.
Armadillosports.com
Thursday Night Football Betting Preview: Giants at Eagles
By Covers.com
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (+2.5, 41.5)
The New York Giants' road to their first postseason berth in five years could reach its intended destination on Thursday, as they travel down Interstate 95 to visit the NFC East-rival Philadelphia Eagles. The Giants have won two in a row overall, but their mediocre 3-3 mark away from home leaves a bit to be desired as they attempt to capture their first playoff berth since their magical 2011 season when they went on to win Super Bowl XLVI.
Eli Manning threw two of his season-high four touchdown passes to Odell Beckham Jr. in New York's 28-23 victory over Philadelphia on Nov. 6 and has tossed multiple scoring strikes in six of his last seven contests. Beckham reeled in a one-handed gem for a touchdown in Sunday's 17-6 triumph over Detroit and joined John Jefferson and Randy Moss as the lone players in NFL history with at least 1,000 receiving yards and 10 TD catches in each of their first three seasons. Manning and Beckham could be in for a big day against cellar-dwelling Philadelphia, which has dropped five in a row overall and has allowed two passing scores in each of its last four games. Rookie Carson Wentz failed to throw for a touchdown in the first meeting with the Giants and for the fourth time in seven games in the Eagles' 27-26 setback to the Ravens.
POWER RANKINGS: Giants (-2.5) - Eagles (2.5) + home field (-3) = New York Giants -2
LINE HISTORY: The Giants opened as three-point road favorites and Wednesday the books increased the spread to the key number of 3. The total opened at 42 and came down slightly to 41.5. View the complete line history here.
WEATHER REPORT: The weather will be decent (for this time of year) in Philadelphia on Thursday night. Clear skies, temperatures in the mid-30's and 8-11 mph winds.
INJURIES:
Giants - S N. Berhe (Questionable, concussion), T W. Beatty (Questionable, leg), LB J. Casillas (Questionable, knee), T M. Newhouse (Questionable, shoulder), LS Z. DeOssie (Questionable, hamstring), DE O. Odighizuwa (Questionable, knee), LB K. Robinson (Questionable, shoulder), CB J. Jenkins (Questionable, back), DE J. Pierre-Paul (Out For Season, hernia), QB R. Nassib (I-R, elbow), RB S. Vereen (I-R, tricep), RB O. Darkwa (I-R, leg), S D. Thompson (I-R, foot), S M. Thompson (I-R, knee), FB N. Whitlock (I-R, foot), LB J. Thomas (I-R, knee), FB W. Johnson (I-R, stinger), TE M. LaCosse (I-R, knee).
Eagles - RB D. Sproles (Probable, concussion), TE B. Celek (Probable, stinger), WR J. Matthews (Probable, ankle), T H. Vaitai (Questionable, knee), G A. Barbre (Questionable, hamstring), CB N. Carroll (Questionable, undisclosed), G I. Seumalo (Questionable, ankle), DT T. Hart (Out Indefinitely, ankle), RB K. Barner (I-R, hamstring), RB W. Smallwood (I-R, knee), LS J. Dorenbos (I-R, wrist), G M. Tobin (I-R, knee), CB R. Brooks (I-R, quadricep), LB J. Walker (I-R, knee), DE A. McCalister (I-R, calf).
ABOUT THE GIANTS (10-4 SU, 8-5-1 ATS, 3-11 O/U): Veteran Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie could be inserted in the starting lineup in place of fellow cornerback Janoris Jenkins, who was limited in Tuesday's practice due to a balky back. Signed to a five-year deal worth $62.5 million in the offseason, Jenkins has shadowed the opponent's No. 1 receiver while starting all 14 games for New York this season and has missed just four contests in his five-year career. Both Jenkins and Rodgers-Cromartie have a team-best 17 pass deflections in addition to three interceptions, with the latter picking off a pass last week versus the Lions. New York's opportunistic defense has stepped it up by recording at least one turnover in eight straight games.
ABOUT THE EAGLES (5-9 SU, 6-8 ATS, 8-6 O/U): Ryan Mathews continued his hot streak at the expense of the Ravens' top-ranked defense, rushing for a season-best 128 yards on 6.4 yards a carry while collecting his fifth touchdown in six games. Mathews found the end zone in the first meeting with the Giants, but was limited to just 15 yards on five carries while fellow running back Darren Sproles had 57 yards on 13 totes in that contest. Sproles was limited to just 19 carries for 81 yards in his last five games before sustaining a concussion, but the veteran could be closing in on a return after practicing on Tuesday.
TRENDS:
* Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
* Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
* Under is 6-0 in Giants' last 6 road games.
* Over is 7-0 in Eagles' last 7 vs. NFC East.
* Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia.
CONSENSUS: The public is pounding the road favorite Giants at a rate of 72 percent and Over is picking up 60 percent of the totals wagers.
NFL: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
Playing on three days rest isn't ideal for either team, but can be more difficult on the visiting team as they must travel getting even less prep, practice time. This season, Thursday visitors have been on the wrong end of the score board twelve times with five victories while going 6-11 against the betting line. A small a sample to gleen meaningful betting information, so we revved up our trusted NFL betting number crunching machine looking at results from 2012 when games started being broadcasted Nationally.
Road team records remain consistent losers over the span as they put up 36 W's, 50 L's for a 41.8% win rate. However, historically when you add the great equalizer (point spread) roadies have held their own posting a 44-41-1 record against the betting line split between 17-13-1 as chalk, 27-28 in an underdog roll.
What does jump out in the sea of NFL betting stats, road favorites facing a division opponent on Thursday are a cash-stuffing 13-6-1 against-the-spread, 7-3 ATS off a win vs the division rival off a loss.
G-Men fitting that exact situation are currently -3.0 point faves at Bovada.eu (-$1.05), -3.0 chalk at Sports Interaction (-$1.10) and 2.5 point favorites at Bet365.com (-$1.20).
TNF- Giants at Eagles
By Tony Mejia
VegasInsider.com
N.Y. Giants (-3, 41.5) at Philadelphia
The final Thursday night game of the season missed the mark in pitting playoff teams against one another since the Eagles fell off so significantly, but the Cowboys are watching eagerly to see if they can clinch the NFC East and top seed in the conference, while the Giants are hoping to clinch their first playoff appearance since 2011.
New York ranks fifth in the NFC by two games over Tampa and Green Bay and have the second-best record in the conference behind their division rival Dallas. The Giants beat NFC North-leading Detroit 17-6 on Sunday, surrendering their lowest output of the season.
The Giants entered the season projected to be one of the league’s top offensive teams, but it hasn’t worked out that way despite offensive-minded head coach Ben McAdoo calling the shots. Despite the presence of Odell Beckham, Jr., Victor Cruz and terrific rookie Sterling Shepard, New York has relied on its defense for success, struggling in the red zone and keeping teams down on the opposite side of the ball. The most points scored against them this season came in a 29-27 loss to Washington in Week 3. The Giants have beaten high-scoring teams like the Saints and Cowboys by holding them to 13 and 7 points respectively.
Last week’s dominance may have come in part as a result of Matthew Stafford attempting to throw the ball with an injured middle finger all day, but there’s no question that even without Jason Pierre-Paul, New York pressured and pounded the Detroit offense.
The Giants beat the Eagles 28-23 on Nov. 6, the last time a game involving New York has gone over the posted total. The last six games involving the Giants have all gone ‘under.’ Philadelphia has lost five in a row and seven of nine. The Eagles nearly rallied for a win at Baltimore on Sunday despite being down 10 points with roughly five minutes remaining, but failed on a two-point conversion after Carson Wentz reached the end zone on a scramble in the final seconds.
Despite missing running back Darren Sproles, the Eagles were able to dominate the line of scrimmage and ran the ball effectively against the Ravens, one of the top defenses in the league. That bodes well for this one since right tackle Lane Johnson returns after completing a 10-game suspension for PED use. Between him and pro bowler Jason Peters, the Philadelphia offensive line should pose problems for New York. Sproles is slated to return.
Philadelphia ranks ninth in the league in rushing, averaging 112.9 yards a game. The Eagles ran for 169 yards against the Ravens, marking the first time the team topped the 100-yard mark in four games. Ryan Mathews took over for Sproles and had his best game of the season, running for 128 yards on 20 carries. New York ranks 30th in the league with 81.2 rushing yards a game, so if Philly can have success moving it on the ground, they should dominate time of possession.
That alone makes this line valid, since most would say that the Eagles should be getting a little more help points-wise given that they’re out of contention and seemingly have little to play for. That said, the NFC East is a beast. Teams beat up one another for sport.
LINE MOVEMENT
The Packers were 4-to-5 to win the NFC North last week, the first time they weren't the listed favorite since Minnesota was +100. After falling to Dallas, Green Bay saw the WestgateLV SuperBook offer up 2-to-1 odds on a division title, the highest payout that's been available on them thus far this season. After losing at home to Jacksonville, the Bears were placed at 200-to-1 to win the North after entering Sunday at 80-to-1. Bettors who faded the that preseason win total for Chicago have to love their position, but Packer-backers have to be a little concerned that the OVER looks so far away. As far as this matchup is concerned, most books set the opening number at Packers -9, though CG Technology went -10. After hovering around 9 and 9.5 all Monday, many bettors took the points and books adjusted, settling in at 7.5 at most books including the WestgateLV SuperBook. There are some -8s are out there. The total appears to have settled at 46.
INJURY CONCERNS
After returning last week, running back Shane Vereen was lost for the remainder of the season after tearing his triceps. Backup quarterback Ryan Nassib also hurt his arm, injuring his elbow. Veteran Josh Johnson is New York's backup now. A very solid secondary is going to be missing saftey Nat Berhe and could be without Janoris Jenkins, who was rightfully made a Pro Bowl corner but is dealing with a back issue.
As stated above, Johnson returns from suspension to help stabilize the offensive line, while Sproles has passes concussion protocol and will participate. Backup RB Kenjon Barber and long snapper Jon Dorembos are still out.
CAN ELI GET GOING?
Former Super Bowl MVP Eli Manning has only thrown for only 239.9 yards per game this season, completing 63.4 percent of his throws. The Giants have struggled mightily in the red zone and it can be argued that many of his 25 touchdown passes have come as a result of someone else's work. Manning has thrown 13 interceptions while completing just 58.1 percent of his passes for an average of 242.4 yards per game along with 44 touchdowns and 26 interceptions. In Week 9, he threw for 261 yards and a season-high four touchdowns despite two interceptions, so maybe he can find a groove entering the playoffs. Philadelphia has given up the 11th most passing touchdowns (23) while picking off 11 passes. The Eagles have recorded an interception in each of their last two games, so this will be a great test for Manning to deliver a key road win.
The Eagles have defeated the Giants in each of the last two games at home and five of seven at Lincoln Financial Field
RECENT MEETINGS (Philadelphia 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS last five; OVER 3-2)
11/16/16 N.Y. Giants 29-23 vs. Philadelphia (NYG -3, 43.5)
1/3/16 Philadelphia 35-30 at N.Y. Giants (NYG -3,5, 50.5)
10/19/15 Philadelphia 27-7 vs. N.Y. Giants (PHI -3.5, 50.5)
12/28/14 Philadelphia 34-26 at N.Y. Giants (PHI -1, 51.5)
10/12/14 Philadelphia 27-0 vs. N.Y. Giants (PHI -1.5, 50)
PROPS
Of the props available below at the WestgateLV Superbook, I'd ride that Siemian TD prop going over. The Chargers have surrendered nine passing touchdowns, allowing four of the five QBs they've faced to throw for multiple TDs.
Will Odell Beckham, Jr. score at TD?: (-135 yes, +115 no)
Carson Wentz completions 23: (+/- 110)
Eli Manning passing yards 254.5: (-110 o/u)
Odell Beckham, Jr. receiving yards 88.5: (-110 o/u)
Eli Manning TD passes 1.5: (-140 over/ +120 under)
Carson Wentz TD Passes/INT 2.5: (+130 over, -150 under)
Total combined sacks 4: (+100 over, -120 under)
First score of game will be: (-140 TD, +120 other)
Total points: Giants 22.5, Eagles 19.5 (EVEN/-110 over, -120/-110 under)