NFL betting trends, odds and predictions for Thursday, November 9th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
SEATTLE (5 - 3) at ARIZONA (4 - 4) - 11/9/2017, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE @ ARIZONA
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arizona's last 13 games when playing at home against Seattle
NFL Week 10
Seahawks (5-3) @ Cardinals (4-4) — Seattle ran ball better (148 yards) in 17-14 home loss to Redskins, Brown’s first game as their new LT; they outgained Skins 437-244, but committed 16 penalties for 138 yards- they’ve been penalized 358 yards in last three games. Seahawks are 2-2 on road, 1-0 as road favorite- they’ve held six of eight foes to 18 or less points. Arizona is 0-3 vs spread this year in game following a win; they’re 2-1 at home, losing to Dallas by 11. Road teams are 4-0-1 in last five series games; Seattle is 3-0-1 in last four visits here, holding Arizona to 6 points in each of last three- teams tied 6-6 here in an ugly game LY. Six of last seven Arizona games, three of last four Seattle games stayed under the total.
Armadillosports.com
NFL Week 10
Seahawks (5-3) @ Cardinals (4-4) — Seattle ran ball better (148 yards) in 17-14 home loss to Redskins, Brown’s first game as their new LT; they outgained Skins 437-244, but committed 16 penalties for 138 yards- they’ve been penalized 358 yards in last three games. Seahawks are 2-2 on road, 1-0 as road favorite- they’ve held six of eight foes to 18 or less points. Arizona is 0-3 vs spread this year in game following a win; they’re 2-1 at home, losing to Dallas by 11. Road teams are 4-0-1 in last five series games; Seattle is 3-0-1 in last four visits here, holding Arizona to 6 points in each of last three- teams tied 6-6 here in an ugly game LY. Six of last seven Arizona games, three of last four Seattle games stayed under the total.
Armadillosports.com
Seahawks, Cardinals meet on Thursday night
StatFox.com
The Seahawks will be trying to bounce back from a bad home less when they take on the Cardinals in Arizona on Thursday.
Seattle was an eight-point home favorite against Washington last week, but the Redskins ended up winning 17-14 thanks to a late drive that resulted in the touchdown that got them to 17. Seattle had taken a 14-10 lead late in the game, but was unable to get off the field for the win. The Seahawks now face a banged up Cardinals team on Thursday, so they have to be thinking that this is a great opportunity for them to get back in the win column. They desperately need that, as they do not want the Rams to start running away with the division now. The Cardinals, meanwhile, can get themselves back into postseason talks with a win on Thursday. Arizona is without both QB Carson Palmer (Arm) and RB David Johnson (Wrist) until something like Week 16 or 17, but the team is still at the .500 mark and was able to earn a road victory over San Francisco last week. If the Cardinals can take this one at home then they’ll be 5-4 with some winnable games remaining on the schedule. It’s worth noting that the Seahawks are 7-0 ATS on Thursday nights under head coach Pete Carroll, but the Cardinals are 10-2 ATS as a home underdog of seven points or fewer under head coach Bruce Arians.
The Seahawks are coming off of a rough loss, but they won’t let it get to them too much. They know that this is a winnable game on Thursday, so expect them to be prepared and ready to go here. QB Russell Wilson is a guy that should be in for a pretty big game here, as Seattle has really relied on Wilson as of late. Over the past three weeks, Wilson has thrown for nine touchdowns and only three picks. He did, however, throw two picks against Washington last week and must do a better job of taking care of the football on Thursday. The Cardinals don’t have much offensively right now, so turnovers are really the only things that can put Seattle in a bad position here. It would, however, help Wilson and this passing game if the Seahawks could get anything from their running backs. RBs Thomas Rawls and Eddie Lacy have not been cutting it for Seattle, as the two of them combined to rush for just 59 yards on 15 carries last game. This is a team that used to thrive with its rushing attack, and Pete Carroll knows that he needs to find somebody he can trust there.
If the Cardinals are going to find a way to beat the Seahawks on Thursday then RB Adrian Peterson must continue to play well for this team. Since being traded to the Cardinals, Peterson has rushed for over 130 yards on two separate occasions. Last week, the 32-year-old rushed for 159 yards in a win over San Francisco. It won’t be as easy to find holes against the Seahawks, but it’s hard to imagine the Cardinals winning without him rushing for at least 80 here. QB Drew Stanton isn’t one of the worst backups in the league, but he’s also not going to go out there and win this one as a passer. His job is to take care of the ball and move the chains as often as possible. Defensively, the Cardinals will probably need to get some pressure on Wilson here. The Seahawks have a miserable offensive line, so Arizona should have no trouble getting to him. The team just needs to make sure it is ready to capitalize on any of his mistakes.
Thursday Night Football Betting Preview: Seahawks at Cardinals
Covers.com
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (+6, 41)
The Seattle Seahawks were fit to be tied after seeing their four-game winning streak come to a halt last week following three missed field-goal attempts and a season-high 16 penalties. Speaking of ties, the Seahawks return to the site of a rare draw last season when they visit the Arizona Cardinals on Thursday.
"Yeah, it's a great challenge, obviously, for Thursday night games. ... I think the biggest thing is the preparation part of it," Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson, who threw multiple touchdown passes for the third straight week and fifth time in six games in Sunday's 17-14 loss to Washington, told reporters. The 28-year-old tossed four scoring strikes in a 34-31 setback against Arizona last season on Christmas Eve after both teams were limited to field goals in a 6-6 tie on Oct. 23, 2016. Adrian Peterson was not a member of the Cardinals for those contests, but the 32-year-old is making up for lost time in a hurry with a career-high 37 rushes for 159 yards in Sunday's 20-10 victory over winless San Francisco. When asked what type of workload is expected for Peterson on the short week, Arizona coach Bruce Arians told reporters, "I would think the same as last week. ... I wouldn't challenge him in any form or fashion by saying, 'You're only going to get 20 (carries)' because I'd probably have to fight him on the sideline."
LINE HISTORY: The Seahawks opened as five-point road favorites and by Wednesday that number was bumped up to 6 points. The total hit betting boards at 42.5 and has been bet down to 41.
POWER RANKINGS: Seahawks (-2.5) - Cardinals (-1.5) + home field (-3) = Cardinals -2.
INJURY REPORT:
Seahawks - TE Jimmy Graham (Probable, Ankle), CB Richard Sherman (Probable, Achilles), DE Dion Jordan (Probable, Knee), CB Jeremy Lane (Probable, Thigh), G Germain Ifedi (Probable, Finger), DE Michael Bennett (Probable, Heel), G Oday Aboushi (Probable, Shoulder), WR Tyler Lockett (Probable, Shoulder), RB C.J. Prosise (Probable, Ankle), DT Sheldon Richardson (Questionable, Oblique), WR Paul Richardson (Questionable, Groin), LB D.J. Alexander (Questionable, Ankle), S Earl Thomas (Doubtful, Hamstring), DE Marcus Smith (Out, Concussion), RB Eddie Lacy (Out, Groin), G Luke Joeckel (Out, Knee), G Rees Odhiambo (I-R, Hand), FB Tre Madden (I-R, Calf), CB Deshawn Shead (Questionable, Knee), DT Malik McDowell (Questionable, Concussion), DE Cliff Avril (I-R, Neck), RB Chris Carson (I-R, Knee), LB Dewey McDonald (I-R, Knee), T George Fant (I-R, Knee), CB DeAndre Elliott (I-R, Ankle).
Cardinals - DL Frostee Rucker (Probable, Shin), LB Karlos Dansby (Probable, Finger), S Budda Baker (Probable, Ankle), WR Chad Williams (Questionable, Back), WR Brittan Golden (Questionable, Groin), RB T.J. Logan (Questionable, Wrist), C Daniel Munyer (I-R, Toe), RB David Johnson (I-R, Wrist), QB Carson Palmer (Out, Arm), LS Aaron Brewer (Out, Hand), LB Markus Golden (I-R, Knee), G Mike Iupati (Out, Tricep), CB Ronald Zamort (I-R, Knee).
ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS, 3-5 O/U): Blair Walsh had reason to hang his head after missing field-goal attempts of 44, 39 and 49 yards versus the Redskins, but coach Pete Carroll didn't want those misfires to lead to the 27-year-old kicker worrying about his job security. "I'm concerned that he had trouble in this game," Carroll said on his 710 ESPN Seattle radio show. "I don't think that that has to do with anything (on Thursday). We'll find out. We'll see him come on back." Doug Baldwin, who made a career-best 13 catches for 171 yards and a touchdown in the last encounter with Arizona, has 22 receptions on 34 targets for 254 yards and two scores over his last three games.
ABOUT THE CARDINALS (4-4 SU, 2-6 ATS, 2-6 O/U): Drew Stanton traditionally has stepped up when called upon, and the 33-year-old did precisely that by extending his winning streak to four starts - albeit spread over nearly three years - by tossing two touchdown passes versus the 49ers. "When Drew steps in the huddle, there is total confidence in the other 10 guys," Arians told reporters. "They know he knows this offense inside and out, and when he gets a hot hand, he can really light you up." J.J. Nelson rolled up 132 receiving yards in his last encounter with Seattle but has made just three catches for 54 yards in his last three overall games.
TRENDS:
* Seahawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
* Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
* Under is 5-0 in Seahawks last 5 vs. NFC.
* Under is 12-3 in Cardinals last 15 home games.
* Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Arizona.
CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the road fave Seahawks at a rate of 55 percent and the Under is picking up 51 percent of the totals wagers.
TNF - Seahawks at Cardinals
By Tony Mejia
VegasInsider.com
Last week's trade for All-Pro left tackle Duane Brown was appropriately greeted with hopeful enthusiasm in Seattle. Although it cost them a 2019 second-rounder and a third and a fifth-round pick in the next draft, players, team officials and fans would've stopped just short of dealing their first-born in exchange for some help up front.
Ever since projected left tackle George Fant was lost in the preseason, the Seahawks have been fighting an uphill battle as they've looked to protect Russell Wilson. Despite wins in five of seven, the offense looked compromised, so being able to plug that hole with an elite option who hadn't even put on a lot of miles this season due to a well-publicized holdout that spilled into the season was more than fortunate.
You would've imagined the improvement would've been immediate given the upgrade, but someone didn't give head coach Pete Caroll and oft-maligned offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell the memo. In fairness, the improvement up front wasn't instant, so Wilson was indeed pressured often, but the game plan was typically conservative outside of a gadget play or wrinkle or two. So it was that the depleted 'Skins managed to hop on their cross-country fresh off a 17-14 comeback win engineered by Kirk Cousins.
Give him all the credit for walking through a door the Seahawks left open via inconsistent offense, but the fact that he solved an Earl Thomas-less defense by driving his team down the field rather quickly through the air in the closing stages means Seattle enters this one with all players feeling the burden of pulling their weight as they open the second half of the season looking up at a Rams team they've already beaten in L.A. and will host on Dec. 17.
It will be interesting to see how the Seahawks handle this road test against the desperate Cardinals in a stadium where they haven't lost since 2012. Last year's game in Glendale produced an ugly 6-6 tie, which begs the question of whether we'll see another low-scoring game where Carroll-led Seattle attempts to stall until the other team makes a mistake. We've seen this group play down to their opponent's level in a 12-9 win over lowly San Francisco, which is what you have to weigh when considering laying nearly a touchdown on the road with a team solely interested in the result, not the style points.
The temptation will certainly be there since the Seahawks are likely coming into this one under the assumption that backup Drew Stanton can't beat them. Although he was effective in his first start in last week's 20-10 road win over the 49ers that Arizona never trailed in, Stanton is a career backup for a reason and doesn't appear to pose much of a threat against one of the NFL's elite defenses. Adrian Peterson has adjusted well to being the focal point of an offense again and brings relatively fresh legs to the table, but he's coming off a 37-carry game on Sunday. The prospect of him having to carry another heavy workload in a short week situation makes my knees hurt in sympathy for his surgically repaired ones.
The 32-year-old Peterson has only carried the ball 30-plus times in consecutive games only once in his career, but he told reporters in Arizona that he felt "fresh and rejuvenated, ready to roll." The plan is for the run game to be Stanton's best friend here, as keepin the ball out of the air appears to be a priority.
Despite losing QB Carson Palmer for the remainder of the season and not expecting All-Pro RB David Johnson back, the Cards have been rejuvenated by Peterson's arrival and a return to health from a Larry Fitzgerald-led receiving corps that's healthier than it has been all season. Arizona begins a stretch of four home games in five outings that will realistically decide whether it factors into the playoff race in an injury-plagued season that will end in Seattle on Dec. 31.
Seattle Seahawks
Season win total: 10.5 (Over -130, Under +110)
Odds to win NFC West: 1/3 to 10/11
Odds to win NFC: 7/2 to 6/1
Odds to win Super Bowl: 8/1 to 12/1
Arizona Cardinals
Season win total: 8.5 (Over -160, Under +140)
Odds to win NFC West: 80/1 to 30/1
Odds to win NFC: 150/1 to 100/1
Odds to win Super Bowl: 300/1 to 200/1
LINE MOVEMENT
Seattle's loss to Washington, combined with the Rams' dominant effort against the Giants, have made it close to an even-money pick to win the NFC West after opening the regular season a 1-to-3 bet. Before the upset, Westgate had those same odds for them before adjusting. The Cardinals were 3-to-1 to start the season and went from 80-to-1 to 30-to-1 after beating the 49ers. See the chart above to monitor the movement from Week 9 to the latest update for Week 10 released Tuesday.
Seattle was 12-to-1 to win the Super Bowl and 8-to-1 to win the NFC before the season began, so they've been kept in that same vicinity despite the inconsistent start. If they win this game, expect a less lucrative figure entering their Monday night home date with the Falcons on Nov. 20.
As far as this matchup is concerned, Seattle was a 7-point favorite when early numbers were released by Westgate last Tuesday, opened at 6 this week and had dipped to as low 5 at CG Technology before heading back in the 5.5-to-6 range. The total opened at 43 at most spots but had been bet down to 41 as of Wednesday evening as the expectation that both teams utilize a conservative, run-heavy approach intensifies.
ODDSMAKER'S TAKE
Scott Cooley of Bookmaker.eu conveyed what his shop is seeing as of Wednesday.
"The wiseguys have faded Seattle regularly this season, for good reason, and they've gone back to the well here for the most part. Currently, we have more than 70 percent of the tickets on the Seahawks, but the money handle favors Arizona 60-40 so the big bets are on the home side," Cooley said. "The under is a popular sharp play as well with 65 percent of the action there."
INJURY CONCERNS
RB Eddie Lacy has been ruled out due to a groin injury, so Thomas Rawls is expected to get the bulk of the work. Due to a short week, there are a lot of players who didn't participate in practices and are therefore considered questionable, but the Seahawks are considering star safety Earl Thomas and DE Marcus Smith doubtful. Other big names like TE Jimmy Graham, WR Paul Richardson, G Rees Odhiambo and DT Sheldon Richardson are also question marks.
The Cardinals are much healthier outside of the aforementioned big names they've lost for the season, which also include LB Markus Golden and G Mike Iupati, but having welcomed back the likes of Tyrell Mathieu, Deone Bucannon, Frostee Rucker and Robert Nkemdiche in recent weeks, the defense is healthier than it has been in weeks.
RECENT MEETINGS (Seattle 5-3-1 SU, 6-4 ATS last nine; OVER 5-4)
12/24/16 Cardinals 34-31 vs. Seahawks (AZ +9, 43.5)
10/23/16 Seahawks 6-6 at Cardinals (SEA +2.5, 43)
1/3/16 Seahawks 36-6 at Cardinals (SEA +6.5, 47)
11/15/15 Cardinals 39-32 at Seahawks (AZ +3, 44.5)
12/21/14 Seahawks 35-6 at Cardinals (SEA -9, 36)
11/23/14 Seahawks 19-3 vs. Cardinals (SEA -7, 41)
12/22/13 Cardinals 17-10 at Seahawks (AZ +9, 42.5)
10/17/13 Seahawks 34-22 at Cardinals (SEA -4.5, 41)
12/9/12 Seahawks 58-0 vs. Cardinals (SEA -10, 36)