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NFL Betting News and Notes Thursday, September 19

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(@blade)
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KANSAS CITY (2 - 0) at PHILADELPHIA (1 - 1) - 9/19/2013, 8:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KANSAS CITY vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games

Kansas City at Philadelphia
Kansas City: 14-5 Under off an Under
Philadelphia: 0-8 ATS in home games

 
Posted : September 17, 2013 8:17 pm
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NFL Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles

The NFL gets off to an early start Thursday with a matchup between Philadelphia Eagles and visiting Kansas City Chiefs. Chip Kelly's crew tries to rebound from a 33-30 loss suffered on home field to the Chargers. Meanwhile, Andy Reid returns to his former stomping grounds looking stay perfect with the surprising Chiefs who've already matched last seasons win total after nipping Cowboys 17-16. Reid knowing the players on the Eagle squad better than anyone, got figure Chiefs have a slight edge. The betting market isn't convinced opening the fast-paced Eagles 3-point favorite. A dicey number with home favorites of 3.5 or less a vig-losing 4-4-1 ATS this season. Some other long-term negatives trends that Philadelphia must contend with on Thursday. Since 2011, the team has an 0-7-1 ATS home record following a game in which they allowed =>27 points, 0-3 ATS stretch after a loss as a home favorite. On the other side, Chiefs despite past woes are a profitable 7-2 ATS since 2008 taking 3.5 or less in enemy territory.

 
Posted : September 17, 2013 8:45 pm
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NFL Week 3

Chiefs (2-0) @ Eagles (1-1) — Reid coached Philly for the last 14 years, was fired LY, now he returns home at 2-0 for just second time as a HC.. Eagles on short week for second week in row; Monn-Sun-Thurs start is tough scheduling spot, though last two games were at Linc. KC won its first two games without turning ball over (+4) and allowing just 108 yards on 39 rushes. Philly defense allowed 53 points in its last six quarters; Chargers were 10-15 on 3rd down last week and gained 539 yards. Eagles are now 6-13 vs spread in last 19 games as home favorite, 6-11 in last 17 vs AFC teams- they won last three series games, by 13-6-20 points, but AFC West teams are 7-1 vs spread in non-divisional games thru first two weeks of season. Chiefs were 2-6 as road dogs LY, after being 21-13 the five years before that. Weird doing trends for this game, since all the Eagle trends actually refer to the Chiefs’ new coach.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : September 18, 2013 9:19 am
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Chiefs at Eagles
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

There will be plenty of interest in Philadelphia on Thursday night as Andy Reid makes his triumphant return to the sidelines at Lincoln Financial Field. However, the former Eagles' coach will be the visitor for the first time after getting fired by Philadelphia in January and taking over as the head man in Kansas City a few weeks later. The Chiefs look to improve to 3-0 with a victory, while the Eagles try to get on track after their defense was shredded by San Diego.

Kansas City cruised past hapless Jacksonville in the season opener, 28-2 as 3½-point road favorites, but obviously had a tougher time in Week 2. The Chiefs' home opener went back and forth against the Cowboys, but Kansas City held off Dallas, 17-16, to equal its win total from a season ago in just the second week of the season. However, the Chiefs couldn't cash as three-point favorites, while finishing 'under' the total of 45 by holding the Cowboys to three field goals, including two of 50 yards or more.

The Eagles made waves in Week 1 with their fast tempo in a 33-27 victory over the Redskins, even though the final score was misleading. Philadelphia led Washington, 26-7 at the half as Chip Kelly's offensive approach tired the Redskins out, while LeSean McCoy carried the load on the ground with 184 yards rushing. The Eagles scored plenty of points this past Sunday against the Chargers, but San Diego torched Philadelphia's defense for 539 yards in a 33-30 triumph as 7½-point road underdogs.

Philadelphia racked up more than 500 yards of offense, but the Eagles allowed 33 first downs and McCoy was limited by San Diego's defense to only 53 yards on the ground. Also, the Bolts controlled the clock by owning nearly a 2/1 edge in time of possession (40:17). The Eagles have eclipsed the 'over' in each of the first two games, improving to 7-1 to the 'over' in regular season contests since last November. However, Philadelphia owns a dreadful 1-8 ATS record the last nine games at Lincoln Financial Field.

The Chiefs struggled in the role of a road underdog last season by covering just twice in eight opportunities, while losing six times by double-digits. After posting a 5-0 ATS mark as an underdog of three points or less in 2011, the Chiefs failed to cash in three chances last season when receiving three points or fewer. Since 2010, Reid has put together a 7-4 ATS record as an away 'dog, including a 3-3 ATS mark as a road 'dog of three points or less.

Philadelphia's covering woes at home was mentioned earlier, but this club has won only five of its last 20 games at Lincoln Financial since December 2010. However, the Eagles own a 10-2 mark at home against AFC competition since 2007, while covering just two of their past seven in this situation. The 'over' streak is remarkable at home, sitting at seven straight, while the Eagles' defense has allowed at least 26 points in each of the last seven contests at the Linc.

The AFC has dominated the NFC so far in interconference action through the first two weeks with a 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS record. AFC underdogs own a 3-0-1 ATS record as the Jets, Bills, and Chargers have covered and won outright when receiving points against NFC foes.

The Eagles are listed as three-point favorites at most spots, while the total is set at 51. The game kicks off at 8:25 PM EST and can be seen nationally on the NFL Network.

 
Posted : September 18, 2013 11:11 pm
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Chiefs, Eagles Clash
By Sportsbook.ag

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (2-0) at PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (1-1)

Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Philadelphia -3.5 (even) & 50
Opening Line & Total: Eagles -5 & 51.5

Former Eagles head coach Andy Reid brings his current unbeaten Chiefs team to Philadelphia for a Thursday night showdown.

Kansas City has already matched its win output from last year, holding opponents to 9.0 PPG and 248 total YPG. But Chip Kelly's high-powered Eagles have 31.5 PPG and 477 total YPG this season thanks in large part to RB LeSean McCoy's 356 total yards. Kansas City hasn't beaten Philly since 1998, losing by a combined 94-55 score during three straight series defeats. However, Chiefs QB Alex Smith picked the Eagles apart when he last faced them two years ago, throwing for 291 yards (8.8 YPA), 2 TD and 0 INT. Despite the 2-0 start to the season, Kansas City has not been a good wager after a win streak, going 18-32 ATS (36%) following 2+ straight wins since 1992. However, bettors should also consider that Philly is 0-8 ATS at home in the past two seasons and 0-7 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over this same timeframe. In terms of Andy Reid, he has thrived in the underdog role in all his years in Philadelphia, producing a 40-22 ATS mark (65%) when getting points as an NFL head coach

The Chiefs have shown a very balanced offense under Reid with 117 rushing YPG and 185 passing YPG. QB Alex Smith has not thrown the ball very far down the field though, averaging just 5.7 yards per pass attempt in this conservative West Coast offense that has yet to turn the ball over. On Thursday, Kansas City will try to slow down the Eagles with a run-heavy attack anchored by RB Jamaal Charles. He hasn't found a whole lot of running room this season, evidenced by a 4.1 YPC average that is far below his 5.7 YPC in his career. But Charles still has 132 rushing yards and leads the team in both receptions (11) and targets (16). The Chiefs' top wideout has been WR Dwayne Bowe who has eight catches for 86 yards and a touchdown so far. Kansas City leads the NFL in red-zone efficiency, but has not thrived on third downs, converting just 32% of those chances into first downs. The defense has been outstanding in both of these categories though with a 33% red-zone efficiency (T-2nd in NFL) while allowing opponents to convert a mere 27% of third-down plays. The Chiefs have held opponents to an average of 248 total yards (4.0 per play), including 54 rushing YPG (2.8 per carry), but slowing down Philadelphia will be a much greater challenge.

The Eagles have adopted a break-neck speed of play, snapping off 67.5 plays per game despite a subpar 26:11 time of possession. They average 7.1 yards per play (2nd in NFL), which includes an NFL-leading 9.7 YPA through the air and strong 5.1 YPC on the ground. RB LeSean McCoy has been the workhorse of this offense with 42 rushes for a league-best 237 yards, while producing an impressive average of 19.8 yards per catch on his six receptions. QB Michael Vick has also been a nice fit for this Chip Kelly offense, completing 62% of his throws for 631 yards (NFL-best 10.3 YPA), 4 TD and 0 INT. His No. 1 target is WR DeSean Jackson who has been thrown to 14 more times than any of his teammates, resulting in 16 catches for 297 yards (18.6 yards per reception) and two touchdowns. The Eagles defense has not been nearly as efficient though, surrendering 30.0 PPG and 460 total YPG. This including 360 passing YPG allowed, while giving up the most first downs in the league (29 per game). Not having CB Bradley Fletcher (concussion) will certainly not help the cause for improvement.

Check out more NFL Odds and Props at Sportsbook.ag!

 
Posted : September 19, 2013 10:10 am
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