NFL Betting News and Notes Week 8

Betting Recap - Week 7
October 24, 2016
By Daniel Dobish
VegasInsider.com

National Football League Week 7 Results

Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 6-7-1
Against the Spread 5-8-1
Home-Away
Straight Up 7-6-1
Against the Spread 6-7-1
Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 6-8

The largest underdogs to win straight up

Chargers (+5, ML +190) at Falcons, 33-30 (OT)
Colts (+4, ML +170) at Titans, 34-26
Eagles (+3, ML +130) vs. Vikings, 21-10

The largest favorite to cover

Bengals (-11.5) vs. Browns, 31-17
Packers (-7.5) vs. Bears, 26-10
Patriots (-7.5) at Steelers, 2716

Lion Not Cryin

The Detroit Lions won and covered their third straight game with a 20-17 result against the Washington Redskins. The Lions have averaged 28.5 points per game (PPG) in their four victories, and 18.7 PPG in their three losses. They hit the road for a Week 8 game with the Houston Texans, looking for their first road victory since Week 1. They're 0-2 SU/ATS in their past two forays from Ford Field.

Road Raiders

The Oakland Raiders picked up an impressive 33-16 win against the Jacksonville Jaguars, improving to 4-0 SU/ATS away from the Black Hole this season, equaling their road win total from the past two seasons combined. The Raiders were 0-8 SU on the road in 201 and 4-4 SU/6-2 ATS in 2015. Over their past 12 road games the Raiders are an impressive 10-2 ATS. Oakland is back in the Sunshine State in Week 8 when they'll meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The 'over' is 3-1 in their past four road outings.

Total Recall

The 'over' was in the minority for the first time this season, going 6-8 in Week 7. In six games between AFC squads the 'over' went 4-2 with one game to play Monday between the Houston Texans and Denver Broncos. In six NFC battles the 'under' ended up 5-1. In AFC vs. NFC games, the 'over/under' split 1-1. Through the first seven weeks of NFL action the 'over' is 57-49 (with one game remaining).

In the four games with the lowest total lines, all four hit the 'under' in Week 7. Minnesota-Philadelphia (39), Baltimore-N.Y. Jets (40.5), Seattle-Arizona (43) and N.Y. Giants-Los Angeles (44.5) went under, with the Ravens and Jets under by just a half-point. The game between the Seahawks and Cardinals went to overtime, but was the lowest total score of the season in a 6-6 tie, the first in Seahawks franchise history.

In the five games with the highest total lines, the 'over' cashed in just two of those outings. The San Diego-Atlanta (52.5) game had the highest total, and ended up cashing early in the fourth quarter. The AFC South Division battle between Indianapolis-Tennessee (48.5) also hit the 'over' thanks to a 27-point final quarter. However, the only other game with a total over 50, the New Orleans-Kansas City (51) ended up just missing the mark.

The 'under' easily finished 2-0 in two primetime games in Week 7 with one to go. Officially, the 'over' is 9-12 (42.9%) through 21 games under the lights. In 2015, the over finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games. In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56%) in 2013.

Injury Report

Bills RB LeSean McCoy (hamstring) aggravated his hamstring injury in the loss in Miami and left for good in the third quarter.

Browns QB Cody Kessler (concussion) left in the first half of the Week 7 game in Cincinnati due to concussion, so rookie QB Kevin Hogan was forced into duty.

Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles (knee) entered the game dealing with swelling in his surgically-repaired knee, and he was limited to just one touch in the team's win against the Saints.

Falcons RB Tevin Coleman (hamstring) was forced to leave the team's overtime loss against the Chargers due to a hamstring injury.

Redskins CB Josh Norman (concussion) suffered concussion in the team's loss in Detroit, his second career head injury.

Looking Ahead

The Jaguars and Titans do battle in Nashville on Thursday night. The Titans have won their past two home meetings with the Jaguars, and they're 4-1 SU over the past five in Nashville. However, Tennessee is just 1-4-1 ATS in their past six home games against Jacksonville, last covering Dec. 30, 2012. Over the past 11 meetings the Titans are just 1-8-2 ATS. Tennessee opened as a 3 1/2-point favorite.

The Bills host the Patriots looking for the season sweep, as they blanked the Pats in Foxboro 16-0 back on Oct. 2. However, an injured QB Jacoby Brissett started that one, not QB Tom Brady. The Bills have dropped four straight home games against the Patriots, last winning Sept. 25, 2011. New England opened as a 5 1/2-point road favorite.

The Broncos host the Chargers, looking for revenge after losing 21-13 in Week 6 on Thursday Night Football. In the past five home games against Chargers the Broncos are 4-1 SU, but they're 1-4 ATS during the span. In fact, over the past 13 home meetings the Broncos are a dismal 1-8-4 ATS. Denver opened as a 6 1/2-point favorite.

The Eagles travel to Jerry World to battle the Cowboys. Philly has made themselves right around in the Metroplex, winning three straight in Dallas, and five of the past six regular season meetings on the road. Over the past 14 meetings the Eagles are just 5-9 ATS, although they have covered four of their past five trips to Big D.

The Bears host the Vikings on Monday Night Football. Chicago has won seven of the past eight meetings at Soldier Field, going 6-2 ATS during the span. The Bears are 8-5 SU/ATS over the past 13 meetings in the series.

Opening Line Report - Week 8
By Marcus DiNitto
VegasInsider.com

Of the 13 games on the NFL’s Week 8 card, seven feature early point spreads within a half-point of a field goal. In fact, none of the games have a line of a touchdown or more. The betting numbers are indicative of the parity throughout the league.

Here’s a look at the opening lines for the entire slate. The point spreads listed are the Las Vegas consensus as of about 11 p.m. ET Sunday night, with early moves and differences between sports books noted. We asked Nick Bogdanovich, director of trading at William Hill U.S., to chime in.

Thursday, Oct. 27

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-3.5)

If the NFL is hoping for a boost to its sagging prime time ratings, a Jaguars/Titans game probably isn’t the answer. But there’s point spread on it and it’s an isolated game, so it has our attention. It’s interesting to note that the Titans went off as bigger favorites at home over the Colts on Sunday than they opened for this home game against Jacksonville.

Sunday, Oct. 30

Washington Redskins at Cincinnati Bengals (-3)

CG Technology opened Cincinnati -6 on Sunday, but the number was down to a field goal after less than an hour of wagering. While the Bengals won Sunday and the Redskins lost, the early move is in sync with the way these teams have been trending overall. Washington is 4-1 in its last five games, Cincy is 2-4 over its last six.

Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons (-3 even)

Despite the Falcons’ second straight loss (33-30 at home to the Chargers in OT), the betting market still has some faith in them, making Atlanta the favorite against NFC heavyweight Green Bay. The Falcons could be had for -2.5 vs. the Packers at some bet shops Sunday night.

Green Bay is dealing with a depleted backfield, a situation worth a half-point to a point to the betting number, according to Bogdanovich.

Bogdanovich, though, isn’t too concerned about Green Bay having to reach deep into its running back pool.

“This week, I think, will be better than last week, when they basically had (no running game),” he said. “They’re learning to adjust playing without a work horse. … It’s nothing they can’t win with.”

Detroit Lions at Houston Texans (-3 even)

The Lions’ win over the Redskins on Sunday was their third straight, but all were at home. Next week, they visit a Texans team that is 4-0 SU (3-0-1 ATS) at NRG Stadium this season.

Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) at New Orleans Saints

CG Technology opened Seattle -3 with an immediate move to -3 (-120). The Westgate hung Seattle -3.5.

New England Patriots (-5.5) at Buffalo Bills

Sunday’s earliest line on this AFC East clash was New England -4 at CG, but once things settled, the number ranged from 5 to 6 around Las Vegas. That may be as good as it gets for favorite bettors.

Three weeks ago, a Tom Brady-less Pats team was shutout at home by the Bills, so this shapes up as prime revenge spot.

“I think the game’s going up,” Bogdanovich said. “Buffalo shut ‘em out in Foxboro, now New England is rolling and Buffalo’s coming off a clunker (a 28-25 loss at Miami). I see this game closing 7.”

With LeSean McCoy’s (hamstring) status uncertain, Bogdanovich said he hung New England -5.5 “with a gimpy McCoy” factored in. The Bills star is worth 1.5 to 2 points to the betting line, Bogdanovich estimated. There are not many running backs in the NFL with kind of value.

“Their offense is built around him and he’s one of the better running backs in the league,” Bogdanovich said. “It’s an important injury for them for sure.”

New York Jets (-3) at Cleveland Browns

The Jets opened -2 with an immediate move to -3 at CG Technology, as the still-winless Browns may have to use their fourth starting quarterback of the season, rookie Kevin Hogan.

Oakland Raiders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1)

This will be the second trip to Florida in as many weeks for Oakland, which handled the first one well, beating Jacksonville 33-16 at 2-point dogs to run its record to 5-2 (4-3 ATS). The Bucs, meanwhile, are 3-3 after their win at San Francisco, but they’ve dropped both of their home games (Los Angeles, Denver).

Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) at Indianapolis Colts

There was a pretty even mix of -2.5s and -3 evens for this AFC matchup. The Chiefs usually get it done as road chalk, going 5-1 ATS in their last six opportunities in the role. But, while Indy has been a picture of mediocrity this season, they are an astounding 10-1 SU and 11-0 ATS when getting points at home dating back to 2011.

San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos (-6.5)

Here’s another divisional revenge game, as the Chargers handed the Broncos their first loss of the season two weeks ago in San Diego. The Bolts were 3-point dogs in that 20-13 win.

While San Diego is 3-4 SU, they are a bankroll-building 5-2 ATS after its win in Atlanta on Sunday.

“They’re definitely a bet-on team,” Bogdanovich said. “They’re in every game, and they’re usually a dog. Super live on the road. At home, half the fans are on the other side. … They’re competitive. They could be undefeated with any kind of luck.”

How Denver, losers of two straight, performs Monday night against the Texans may have a significant effect on next Sunday’s number.

Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers (-1)

With Carolina coming off a bye week, the Westgate opened the Panthers as 1.5-point favorites over Arizona next week, indicating there is still a fair amount of respect for the defending NFC champs despite their 1-5 start.

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (-4.5)

Speaking about respect, the betting market is giving plenty of it to Dallas, which opened at a healthy number against a tough divisional rival in next Sunday’s prime time offering.

“I think they should,” Bogdanovich said when asked if handicappers are believing in Dallas. “They can run the ball well and the quarterback is making good decisions and their defense is playing solid. And it’s still a nice home field down in Dallas.”

Coming off a bye to face a team that just played the physical Minnesota defense, this is a “great spot” for the Cowboys, Bogdanovich added.

“They’re getting (the Eagles) at a good time,” he said,

Monday, Oct. 31

Minnesota Vikings (-4.5) at Chicago Bears

CG opened Minnesota -5, the Westgate went -4, and the two books met in the middle. Surely, there’s a number bettors would take, but the Bears have done nothing to inspire handicapping confidence this season, going 1-6 both SU and ATS this season. The Vikes, on the other hand, have been the best bet in the NFL the last two seasons, their loss as favorites in Philly on Sunday notwithstanding. Minny is 5-1 ATS this year after going 13-3 ATS last season.

NFL Week 8

Redskins (4-3) @ Bengals (3-4) — Jay Gruden was a Bengal assistant from 2011-13, so he knows Cincy QB Dalton well. Washington had 3-game win streak snapped in Detroit LW by TD with 0:16 left. Skins are 2-1 on road, with three games decided by total of 11 points- they’re 9-10 as road dogs under Gruden, 2-1 this year. Washington has only one takeaway (-4) in last three games. Bengals ran for 271 yards in rout of hapless Browns, ending 1-4 skid; Cincy is 29-17-2 in last 48 games where spread was 3 or less points, but 0-3 this year- they won last three games vs Redskins, all by 7 points; Washington is 1-3 in Queen City, with last visit in ’08, lone win in ’91. Five of Washington’s last six games were decided by 7 or less points. AFC North non-divisional home favorites are 4-3 vs spread; NFC East underdogs are 6-3.

Packers (4-2) @ Falcons (4-3) — First road game in six weeks for Packers, who had three extra prep days after beating Bears last Thursday, but are 1-8 vs spread in last nine games as a road underdog. Pack split its first two road games, beating Jags 27-23, losing by 3 at Minnesota. Green Bay is 5-10 in last 15 games with spread of 3 or less points- they won last four games vs Atlanta, winning last two 22-21/43-37. Pack won three of last four visits here, but last trip here was in 2011. Falcons lost 26-24/33-30 last two weeks, after a 4-1 start; they’re 1-2 at home this year- road team covered six of their seven games. NFC North non-divisional underdogs are 4-3 vs spread; NFC South favorites are 2-5. Six of seven Atlanta games went over total; last three Packer games stayed under.

Lions (4-3) @ Texans (4-3) — Detroit won its last three games, all at home; they’re 1-2 on road with only win 39-35 at Indy after they blew 21-3 lead. Lions are 9-12 in last 21 games as road dogs, 2-0 this year- they’re 10-9-1 under Caldwell in games with spread of 3 or less points. Underdogs are 6-1 vs spread in Detroit games, all of which were decided by 7 or less points. Home teams are 6-0-1 vs spread in Texans’ games this year; Houston is 3-0-1 as a home favorite, winning home games by 9-7-7-3 points. In Denver loss, Osweiler had 2nd-least passing yards of any QB in NFL history with 40+ attempts. Houston is 2-1 vs Detroit, winning 28-21 in only one played here, in ’08. NFC North non-divisional underdogs are 4-3 vs spread; AFC South favorites are 4-5.

Seahawks (4-1-1) @ Saints (2-4) — Seattle lost 9-3 in LA, tied 6-6 in Arizona; they scored 25.5 pts/game in four wins (4-0 on artificial turf, too). Seahawks are 11-8 in last 19 game as a road favorite, 1-1 this year. Saints allow average of 32.5 pts/game; average total in their three home games (1-2) is 75.0. Since 2013, New Orleans is 3-0 as a home dog; they’re 8-11-2 in last 21 games with spread of 3 or less points. Five of NO’s six games were decided by 6 or less points. Home side won last four Seahawk-Saint games with Seattle winning last three, two of which were playoff games. Seattle is 2-3 here, with last visit six years ago. NFC West teams are 5-10 vs spread outside the division; NFC South underdogs are 6-2. Over is 3-1 in last four games for both teams.

Patriots (6-1) @ Bills (4-3) — First rematch of season finds Pats in revenge mode after 16-0 home loss to Buffalo in Week 4, last week of Brady’s suspension. New England is 28-4 in last 32 series games, winning last four in Buffalo, scoring 38 pts/game. Patriots are 3-0 since Brady returned, scoring 12 TDs on 31 drives (31.7 pts/game)- they’re 2-0 as road favorites this year, after being 4-12 from 2013-15. New England is 6-1 vs spread in last seven pre-bye games. Buffalo had 4-game win streak snapped in Miami; Dolphins ran ball for 256 yards. Bills are 10-2 vs spread in last 12 games as a home underdog (3-1 with Ryan as coach), 1-0 this year. NFL-wide, home underdogs are 10-2 vs spread in divisional games. Five of last six Buffalo games went over the total.

Jets (2-5) @ Browns (0-7) — Fitzpatrick came off bench LW to lead win over Ravens; Jets are 1-3 on road this year, allowing 38 ppg- they’re 12-8-1 in last 21 games as a road favorite. Cleveland is first team since ’76 Bucs (0-16) to use six QBs in first seven games; they signed D-III phenom Callahan off waivers from Saints this week. Browns played five of first seven games on road; they’re 14-16-1 in last 31 games as a home dog, 1-1 this year. Jets won last three series games by 6-11-21 points; they split last two visits here, with most recent visit 10 years ago. Gang Green whacked Browns 31-10 in Swamp LY, in game where QB McCown got KO’d early and Browns turned ball over five times (-4). AFC East non-divisional favorites are 6-2 vs spread; AFC North underdogs are 2-7. Last three Jet games stayed under total.

Raiders (5-2) @ Buccaneers (3-3) — Oakland spent week in Bradenton after win in Jacksonville; this is their fifth game already (out of 8 ) east of Mississippi. Raiders are 4-0 on road this year, but 1-2 as a road favorite the last 11 years- Raiders are 3-1 this season in games with spread of 3 or less points. Bucs gave up 32 pts/game in losing its two home games; they’re 7-20-1 in last 28 games as a home dog, 4-8 in last 12 games (2-0 this year) with spread of 3 or less. Tampa Bay is +6 in turnovers last two weeks, after being -9 in first four games. Oakland is 6-3 in series but lost to Bucs in Super Bowl 14 years ago- they split two meetings here, with last one in ’08. Average total in last four series games, 62.0. AFC West non-divisional road teams are 7-3 vs spread; NFC South home teams are 1-5.

Chiefs (4-2) @ Colts (3-4) — Indy is 13-2 in last 15 series games, with last one a 44-43 win over KC in a playoff game three years ago. Chiefs lost six of last seven visits to Indy. Colts are 2-1 at home, with pair of come-from-behind wins; they’re 8-0 as home dogs under Pagano, 17-13-2 in games with spread of 3 or less points. Chiefs are 9-2 as road favorites under Reid, 1-0 this year; they’re +9 in turnovers the last four games. KC is 14-7 under Reid in games with spread of 3 or less. AFC West teams are 11-7 vs spread outside their division; AFC South teams are 8-10. Over is 6-1 in Indy games; four of last five Chief games stayed under. In Colt games this year, the average second half total has been 31.6. KC averaged 9.3/8.9 yds/pass attempt in two games since their bye.

Chargers (3-4) @ Broncos (-6) — Second rematch of young season; Broncos lost 21-13 in San Diego two weeks ago, in Thursday game that coach Kubiak (migraines) missed. Denver is 9-2 in last 11 series games; Chargers lost last three visits here, by 7-14-7 points. Bolts rallied back from down 27-10 to win LW in Atlanta; San Diego is 5-2 vs spread this year, 3-1 on road- they are 16-7-1 as road dogs under McCoy. All four of their losses this year were by 4 or less points, or in OT. Denver is 3-1 at home this year, with wins by 1-14-18 points; short week for them after Monday night’s win. Broncos are 19-12-1 in last 32 games as a home favorite, 2-1 this year. NFL-wide, home favorites are 6-12-1 vs spread in divisional games this year.

Cardinals (3-3-1) @ Panthers (1-5) — Home side won last five Arizona-Carolina games; Redbirds lost last three visits here, by 7-11-34 points, including a 49-15 playoff loss. Arizona missed 28-yard FG in OT LW, had to settle for 6-6 home tie with Seattle. Cardinals are 15-4-1 under Arians in games with spread of 3 or less points- they’re 18-8 vs spread on road in Arians era. Carolina lost four of last five post-bye games; they’re 21-17 under Rivera in games with spread of 3 or less (0-3 this year). Panthers lost last four games, despite being favored in all four; they’re 17-8-2 vs spread in last 27 home games, 1-2 this year. Cardinals are 6-3 vs spread in last nine pre-bye games. NFC West teams are 5-10 vs spread outside the division; NFC South home teams are 5-6.

Eagles (4-2) @ Cowboys (5-1) — Dallas won/covered its last five games; did bye sap their momentum, like it did with Eagles/Vikings? Cowboys’ last four wins are all by 7+ points; they outscored last four foes 75-23 in first half. Dallas is 17-35 in last 52 games as a home favorite, 1-1 this year. Eagles ran kick back for TDs in each of last two games, while offense scored only one TD in those games; Iggles survived sloppy games with Minnesota- both teams turned ball over four times. Eagles are 3-0 vs spread as an underdog this season Two rookie QB’s in spotlight on Sunday Night Football; home side lost last six series games. Philly won last three visits here, by 2-23-6ot points. Average total in last five series games, 48.8. NFL-wide, home favorites are 6-12-1 vs spread in divisional games this year.

Vikings (5-1) @ Bears (1-6) — Trap game for Minnesota coming off first loss of year; they’re 2-1 on road, with wins at Tennessee (25-16), Carolina (22-10). Vikings had only 7 points in four trips to red zone in Philly, a red flag; they’re 3-2 as road favorites under Zimmer, 1-1 this year. Chicago lost last three games by 6-1-16 points, losing last home game 17-16 to Jaguars when they led 13-0 in 4th quarter. Bears are 3-10 in last 13 games as a home underdog, 1-0 this season. Home side won seven of last eight Viking-Bear games, with Minnesota 5-2 in last seven. Vikings’ 23-20 win here LY was their first win in last eight visits to Windy City. NFL-wide, home underdogs are 10-2 vs spread in divisional games. Under is 5-1 in Viking games, 4-2-1 in Chicago games.

Armadillosports.com

NFL: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Green Bay at Atlanta

The Atlanta Falcons have one of the best offenses in the NFL, but their defense needs to improve if they want to hold off the Green Bay Packers this Sunday at the Georgia Dome. At press time, Atlanta is holding steady as a 3-point favorite with a total of 53.

The Falcons (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS) are the only winning team in the NFC South heading into Week 8, powered by Pro Bowlers Matt Ryan at quarterback and Devonta Freeman at running back. Ryan leads the NFL with 2,348 passing yards at 14.2 yards per completion; Freeman has rushed for 4.8 yards a carry and already has 26 catches on the season. However, Atlanta is also second-worst in the league with 2,060 passing yards allowed, driving the OVER to a 6-1 record after seven games.

This is good news for Green Bay (4-2 SU, 3-2-1 ATS), especially for QB Aaron Rodgers, who has struggled at times this year. The Packers are also pleased with how well WR Ty Montgomery filled in at running back last week for the injured Eddie Lacy and James Starks, picking up 60 yards on nine carries against the Chicago Bears.

New England at Buffalo

Buffalo Bills tripped up in Miami this past week, upended 28-25 as 2.5 point road favorites face a huge challenge when they host a surly New England squad seething from a 16-0 spanking by Buffalo up in Foxboro. Current odds at Sports Interaction has Patriots -6.5 road favorites but that could inch higher with Bills suffering a slew of injuries including RB LeSean McCoy who is not expected to suit up Sunday (hamstring).

Division road favorites do not come without some risk. However, some teams just have another teams number and that is the case with New England when it comes to Buffalo. In Bill Belichick's era the Patriots are 28-5 vs Bills (19-12-2 ATS). The clincher, Patriots are 14-2 (11-4-1 ATS) in Bills back-yard and an awesome 11-1 straight-up last twelve trips into Buffalo with a sparkling 10-2 record against the betting line. Additionally, letting a team pick itself up is not in Patriots DNA, the squad has won-cashed four straight, six of seven, ten of thirteen vs a team off a loss its previous effort.

Pick Six - Week 8
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

Week 7 Record: 5-1 SU, 4-1-1 ATS
Overall Record: 21-21 SU, 17-24-1 ATS

Review: Following a few poor weeks, we got back on track by cashing in four of six games. Washington couldn't hold onto a late lead in Detroit, while Kansas City pushed against New Orleans at home.

Seahawks (-2½, 48) at Saints

Seattle
Record: 4-1-1 SU, 3-3 ATS, 3-3 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 7/1

The Seahawks failed to reach the end zone for the second time this season in a road divisional game, but didn’t lose at Arizona. Seattle finished in a 6-6 tie with the rival Cardinals, but Arizona outgained Pete Carroll’s squad 443-257. The Seahawks had their three-game winning streak snapped, as Seattle has lost only once this season as it shoots for its second road victory. Russell Wilson has never played at the Superdome, as Seattle is making its first trip to New Orleans since 2010 when the Seahawks lost, 34-19 as 11-point underdogs.

New Orleans
Record: 2-4 SU, 4-2 ATS, 4-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 165/1

The best underdog team in the NFL resides in the Big Easy as the Saints own a perfect 4-0 ATS mark when receiving points this season. New Orleans cashed as seven-point ‘dogs in a 27-21 setback at Kansas City last week, as Drew Brees threw a late touchdown pass to get the Saints within the number. Since losing the first two games in the home favorite role to the Raiders and Falcons, New Orleans is going for its second consecutive home victory after knocking off Carolina as 2 ½-point underdogs in Week 6. The Saints will be searching for their first win over the Seahawks since 2010, as New Orleans has dropped the last three matchups, including two in the postseason.

Best Bet: Seattle -2½

Patriots (-6½, 47) at Bills

New England
Record: 6-1 SU, 6-1 ATS, 5-2 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 14/5

The last time the Patriots and Bills hooked up in Week 4 at Gillette Stadium, Buffalo blanked New England, 16-0 as 3 ½-point underdogs. That was the last (and only) loss suffered by New England and the last time the Patriots played without Tom Brady, who was wrapping up his four-game suspension. Since Brady returned to the lineup in Week 5, the Patriots are 3-0 SU/ATS and the three-time Super Bowl champion has thrown for 1,004 yards and eight touchdowns. New England allowed 45 points the first two weeks of the season, but has given up only 62 points in the past five games (4-1).

Buffalo
Record: 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS, 5-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 75/1

The Bills began the season with consecutive losses to the Ravens and Jets (who are a combined 7-9), but won four straight games, including three victories over NFC West opponents. Buffalo squandered a 17-6 lead in last Sunday’s 28-25 setback at Miami to fall to 1-2 inside the AFC East, as the Bills were outrushed, 256-67. Running back LeSean McCoy racked up only 11 yards on seven carries, but suffered a hamstring injury that will likely keep him out against New England. The Bills have dropped 11 of the past 12 home matchups with the Patriots since 2004, while allowing New England to score at least 31 points in five of the past six meetings at New Era Field.

Raiders at Buccaneers (PK, 49)

Oakland
Record: 5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS, 5-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 32/1

The Raiders remained in the Sunshine State after cruising past the Jaguars last Sunday, 33-16 as short underdogs. Oakland improved to 4-0 away from the Black Hole as running back Latavius Murray returned to the lineup and scored two touchdowns. The Raiders have won six of their last seven road games since last Thanksgiving, but own a 1-2 SU/ATS record in their past three away interconference contests. In four games with a total of 47 ½ or higher, the Raiders have gone OVER the total in each of those contests, while sailing OVER in three of four road games this season.

Tampa Bay
Record: 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, 3-3 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 165/1

If the Falcons lose and the Buccaneers win on Sunday, Tampa Bay moves into first place in the NFC South at 4-3. Atlanta and Tampa Bay meet up on Thursday night at Raymond James Stadium, but the Bucs need to take care of their second straight Bay Area team on Sunday. Tampa Bay rallied past San Francisco last Sunday, 34-17 as the Bucs accumulated more than 500 yards of offense. The Bucs haven’t performed well at home this season by losing to the Rams and Broncos, while posting a 3-7 SU/ATS record at Raymond James since the start of 2015.

Best Bet: Oakland PK

Cardinals at Panthers (-3, 47½)

Arizona
Record: 3-3-1 SU, 3-4 ATS, 5-2 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 20/1

The last time the Cardinals visited Bank of America Stadium in January, Arizona was blasted by Carolina in the NFC championship, 49-15. The Panthers’ defense intercepted Carson Palmer four times as Arizona failed to make its second Super Bowl in franchise history. A season later, Arizona heads to Charlotte sitting at .500 after finishing in a 6-6 tie against rival Seattle last Sunday night. The Cardinals missed a chip-shot field goal in overtime to win, as Arizona failed to cash as 2 ½-point favorites. Arizona owns a 3-3 SU/ATS record in the Eastern Time Zone since last season, as the Cardinals were blasted at Buffalo back in Week 3.

Carolina

Record: 1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS, 4-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 75/1

The Panthers’ season isn’t over yet, but Carolina needs to go on a winning streak in order for a chance to defend their NFC title. Carolina has won only once with the lone victory coming against dreadful San Francisco in Week 2. The Panthers have lost to the Broncos, Vikings, and Falcons in the favorite role, as Carolina has already lost more games at Bank of America Stadium in the first six weeks than it did all of last season. Carolina hasn’t hosted Arizona in a regular season matchup since 2010 when the Panthers edged the Cardinals, 19-12 as 2 ½-point favorites.

Best Bet: Carolina -3

Chargers at Broncos (-4, 43½)

San Diego
Record: 3-4 SU, 5-2 ATS, 5-2 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 60/1

The Chargers have been the most entertaining watch in the NFL this season with their plethora of close finishes. San Diego erased a 27-10 deficit to shock Atlanta in overtime last week, 33-30 to cash outright as 4 ½-point underdogs. The Lightning Bolts have covered three straight, while six of their seven games have been decided by eight points or less. San Diego goes for the season sweep of Denver after knocking off the Broncos in Week 6 as three-point ‘dogs, 21-13. The Chargers have dropped three straight visits to Sports Authority Field with the last victory in the high altitude coming in 2013.

Denver
Record: 5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS, 4-3 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 14/1

The Broncos rebounded from consecutive losses to the Falcons and Chargers by pounding the Texans last Monday night, 27-9 as 8 ½-point home favorites. Denver rushed for 190 yards, led by C.J. Anderson’s 107 yards and one touchdown, but Anderson will miss Sunday’s action with a knee injury. The Broncos are also beat-up on the defensive end as linebackers Demarcus Ware and Brandon Marshall, along with cornerback Aqib Talib are all questionable. Denver is riding a four-game UNDER streak, while six of its last nine road games have finished UNDER the total.

Best Bet: San Diego +4

Packers at Falcons (-3, 52½)

Green Bay

Record: 4-2 SU, 3-2-1 ATS, 4-2 UNDER
Super Bowl Odds: 11/1

The Packers are playing their first game away from Lambeau Field since Week 2 as Green Bay is fresh off a 3-1 SU and 2-1-1 ATS homestand. After an embarrassing 30-16 home setback to Dallas in Week 6, the Packers rebounded with a 26-10 rout over the short-handed Bears last Thursday night as 7 ½-point favorites. Packers’ quarterback Aaron Rodgers topped the 300-yard mark for the first time this season by torching Chicago for 326 yards and three touchdowns. The Packers have owned the Falcons recently by winning four straight meetings since the 2010 playoffs, including a pair of victories at the Georgia Dome.

Atlanta
Record: 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS, 6-1 OVER
Super Bowl Odds: 22/1

The fast start for the Falcons seems like a memory as Atlanta has dropped two straight since a 4-1 run to begin the season. Atlanta melted down in each of those defeats to Seattle and San Diego, leading by a touchdown in the fourth quarter against the Seahawks and blowing a 17-point lead in an overtime setback to the Chargers. Following last week’s defeat to San Diego, the Falcons dropped to 1-10 ATS in the favorite role under Dan Quinn since the start of 2015. After finishing last season with nine consecutive UNDERS, the Falcons have sailed OVER the total in six of seven games.

Best Bet: Green Bay +3

NFL Week 8 Essentials
By Tony Mejia
VegasInsider.com

This Sunday’s NFL card is the lightest of the regular season, so the joke can be made that the league is taking it easy on its viewership. Oh, we’ll watch, but could use a pick-me-up through a few well-played, competitive games given what we’ve had to sit through of late. With one last game being played in London for 2016, we’re still going to be exposed to a marathon Sunday with 14 consecutive hours of pro football consumption available. Behave responsibly. Here’s what you need to know before wagering on Week 8:

Cincinnati vs. Washington: Corner Josh Norman and TE Jordan Reed traveled with the ‘Skins overseas and are expected to pass through concussion protocol to take the field at Wembley. The biggest draw would be a Norman-A.J. Green matchup, the first meeting between the two. Green leads the NFL with 50 receptions and should get opportunities considering Washington struggles to stop the run and can’t really get away with selling out on coverage. Jeremy Hill ranks 15th in the league in rushing yards (439) and is averaging 5.2 yards per carry after last week’s monstrous 9-carry, 168-yard effort against Cleveland. Tyler Eifert (back/ankle) made his debut last week, so the Bengals offense is whole since tackle Andrew Whitworth has overcome his concussion issues. Cincinnati is hoping to win consecutive games for the first time this season in order to get back to .500, while the ‘Skins attempt to keep pace in the competitive NFC East. Reed, offensive linemen Trent Williams (knee) and Brandon Scherff (shoulder) and CBs Norman and Bashaud Breeland, Norman will likely play, but RB Matt Jones has been ruled out. Rookie Robert Kelley is expected to get the bulk of the carries. Cincy has won three straight meetings against Washington, who hasn't won in this series since 1991.

New England at Buffalo: The last time the Patriots saw the Bills, rookie Jacoby Brissett was gutting it out through a thumb injury as Tom Brady sat the final of his four-game suspension and Jimmy Garoppolo was sidelined by shoulder pain. Buffalo won 16-0. Now that Brady has won all three games since returning, putting up an average of 31.7 points per game, New England will look to avenge its lone loss and get over against a defense that shut it out for the first time since ’06. The Pats have beaten the Bills in eight of the last 10 and are 28-4 against them since Dec. 2000, so they’ll be looking to avoid the first sweep at the hands of their AFC East rival since 1999. Rex Ryan never swept Belichick while with the Jets, but did beat him twice in the same season after splitting the ’10 regular-season meetings before winning an AFC Divisional Playoff. You can count on both coaches pulling out all the stops to get this one, but Buffalo’s realistic hopes for an upset hinge on whether LeSean McCoy and Marcell Dareus make an impact as they try to overcome hamstring injuries. It's not certain they'll even play. Many key Bills missed practices this week, so New England is the healthier team in the rematch.

N.Y. Jets at Cleveland: QB Josh McCown will return to the Browns lineup after breaking his collarbone in Week 2, replacing Cody Kessler (concussion) after working with the starters most of the week. McCown threw for 260 yards and two scores and helped the Ravens out to a 20-2 lead, so he’s certainly capable of helping Cleveland avoid an 0-8 start. WR Terrelle Pryor and standout CB Joe Haden will play, so the Browns are as healthy as they've been in weeks. The Jets will have a major absence up front with center Nick Mangold (ankle) stuck in a walking boot and have tackle Ryan Clady dealing with a shoulder issue, so we’ll see how the offensive line holds up for the next phase of angry Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. the world. RBs Matt Forte (toe) and Bilal Powell (knee) are expected to suit up for New York, which has won three straight over the Browns, last losing in ’07.

Detroit at Houston: The Texans, at least for this week, are hoping that their horrendous play on the road is of no consequence as they look to move to 5-0 at NRG Stadium, taking an AFC South lead into their bye week. Brock Osweiler has had a miserable time in losses at New England, Minnesota and Denver, averaging 4.1 yards per pass and completing just 52.4 percent. He’s been more effective at home, but has still thrown six interceptions, which makes this matchup against a vulnerable Lions defense one Osweiler must perform well in. Top corner Darius Slay will miss this game with a hamstring injury suffered last week, but the Lions should have DT Haloti Ngata back up front. Offensively, they’ll keep Houston’s hands full with RB Theo Riddick and TE Eric Ebron both back from ankle injuries. Only Indianapolis and New Orleans have fewer picks than these two teams, so taking chances in the downfield passing game could be part of both game plans against banged up secondaries. Matthew Stafford has thrown 15 TD passes and just four INTs this season and is on a run of three straight games without being picked off, posting wins over Philly, Washington and L.A. while throwing for 716 yards and eight scores.

Kansas City at Indianapolis: The Chiefs have won 14 of their last 16 regular-season games, the best record in football during that stretch. By comparison, the Colts are 7-9. Although no one is running away with the AFC South, Indianapolis has a tough schedule ahead that features road games against Green Bay, Minnesota and Oakland, so winning tough home dates are a must. There have been 48 or more combined points scored in every Colts game thus far, aided by 20 or more points scored in all but one fourth quarter they’ve been involved in. The Chiefs will have CB Phillip Gaines back after he missed last week’s win with a knee injury, so they’re among the league’s healthiest teams as they return to Indy for the first time since that memorable 45-44 loss in January of 2014 ended Andy Reid’s first season at the helm. The Colts are 6-1 against Kansas City since ’07.

Seattle at New Orleans: Coming off that 6-6 tie in Arizona, the Seahawks haven’t lost since that 9-3 Week 2 setback in L.A. on Sept. 19, finding ways to thrive despite Russell Wilson’s hampered state, injuries across the defense and a porous offensive line. Although they miss him terribly, they’ve also survived the retirement of Marshawn Lynch, who ended the last playoff run these Saints made the last time these teams squared off with two beast-mode TD runs in the NFC Divisional Playoffs. That was three seasons ago. New Orleans has gone 7-9 twice since and is back under .500 again, surrendering a league-worst 32.5 points per game. Drew Brees will likely face a Legion of Boom that will be missing safety Kam Chancellor for a second straight game, but Richard Sherman (leg) is expected to play after being hurt against the Cardinals. The Saints have injury concerns along the offensive line and throughout the defense, so it’s not surprising to see them in a home underdog role again.

Oakland at Tampa Bay: The Bucs rallied from a 14-0 deficit in San Francisco last week, shaking off a groggy start coming off their bye to head back cross-country with a 34-17 win. They’re in search of their first three-game winning streak since 2013 as they host a Raiders squad that was already in Florida when the Bucs left the Bay Area, having beaten Jacksonville and training in-state the rest of the week. Oakland is 5-2 for the first time since ’01, sharing the AFC West lead with Denver. The Raiders are a perfect 4-0 on the road, while Tampa is winless in two outings at Raymond James Stadium and are just 6-23 at home over the past four seasons. Jameis Winston was the Bucs’ grand prize for all of their suffering but has had an inconsistent second season. He’ll be looking to take advantage of a defense that has allowed more passing yards than any in the league, while counterpart Derek Carr hopes to continue a strong run that has seen him throw for a touchdown in every game while being picked off just three times. Dating back to Tampa’s 48-21 Super Bowl XXXVII win, all four meetings between these teams this century have featured at least 50 points.

Arizona at Carolina: Only the Browns, Bears and 49ers have a worse record than the Panthers, whose chances to rally in time to defend their NFC title this postseason are on life support. For them, the sky has truly fallen. It just feels like the same has happened to the Cardinals, whose kicking miscues cost them a chance to climb above .500 for the first time all season. As it is, Arizona hasn’t lost since Oct. 2, but are relying heavily on RB David Johnson because QB Carson Palmer hasn’t been able to get comfortable behind his offensive line. That presents an interesting dilemma for this game since the Norman-less Carolina secondary has been so vulnerable. Palmer, who threw four interceptions in a 49-15 loss during his last trip to Charlotte for the most recent NFC Championship, will get speedster John Brown (hamstring) back, but x-factor Michael Floyd is a game-time decision. The Cardinals would love to pick up such a significant road win entering their bye week, allowing them to regroup for the season’s second half feeling like they’re in good shape. Meanwhile, the Panthers come out of their off week looking to prove that their season isn’t over. This should be their Super Bowl. Can Cam Newton win this one? His team is healthier than it has been all season and has won the last two games in this series.

San Diego at Denver: These teams will square off for the second time this month. The Chargers held serve at home on the Thursday night that opened Week 6, pulling out a 21-13 upset. Trevor Siemian returned from a shoulder injury but struggled, leading the offense to just three points through three quarters as San Diego’s defensive line dominated to help snap Denver’s 15-game road winning streak against AFC West opponents. The victory saved the Chargers season and was followed by last week’s OT upset in Atlanta, so they’re looking to get back to .500 if they can pull off the first season sweep of the Broncos since ’10. Both teams harbor significant injury concerns on defense. The defending champs could be without LBs DeMarcus Ware and Brandon Marshall, DT Derek Wolfe and top corner Aqib Talib, who are all game-time decisions. San Diego safety Jahleel Addae, corner Brandon Flowers and LB Denzel Perryman, the reigning AFC Defensive Player of the Week will also be touch and go. The ‘under’ has prevailed in three of the last four games between these teams.

Green Bay at Atlanta: The Falcons have to be a little spooked, looking to avoid a collapse for the second consecutive year. After a 6-1 start last season, they ended up 8-8. After upsetting the defending champs, Atlanta was 4-1, but has since dropped consecutive games and enter this one with its tandem of backs both hobbling. Tevin Coleman will miss the game due to a hamstring injury, while Devonta Freeman will play after overcoming a hip issue. The Packers own the league's top run defense, leading the NFL in fewest yards allowed, yards per carry and rushing TDs allowed. Receiver Randall Cobb and LB Clay Matthews are both questionable with hammy issues, while Packers corners Damarious Randall and Quinton Rollins are likely to miss a second straight. Green Bay is on the road for the first time since Sept. 18, so we’ll see how Aaron Rodgers handles this test and whether his offensive line will give him time to get comfortable on the road. The officiating crew assigned to this one leads the NFL in defensive pass interference calls, so count on deep balls to Julio Jones and Jordy Nelson being a part of this one. The Packers have won the last four matchups with Atlanta, scoring over 40 points in two of the victories.

Philadelphia at Dallas: Another ref-related note highlights the Sunday night clash, since lead official Jerome Boger’s crew has thrown over 20 penalty flags per game, tops in the NFL. We’ll see how that affects the league’s top offensive line, although you figure they would have the advantage at home. The Cowboys rank third in the NFL in rushing yards and first in touchdown runs, riding their offensive front to make life easier for rookies Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott. Even though Tony Romo began practicing, he won’t be a part of this one, but his presence will indeed be felt in the shape of pressure for Prescott to perform. The Eagles defense uncharacteristically used heavy doses of blitzing to dominate previously unbeaten Minnesota last week, so we’ll see what Jim Schwartz has in store in his first game as defensive coordinator against this NFC East rival. Rookie Carson Wentz will get his first look at Dallas’ defense, which will have CBs Morris Claiborne and Orlando Scandrick available. DE DeMarcus Lawrence (shoulder) will be in the lineup too. Philadelphia’s offensive line is already without the suspended Lane Johnson, but will have future Hall of Famer Jason Peters (bicep) in the mix. Dez Bryant, who suffered a hairline fracture in his knee a few weeks back, is also expected to return.

Minnesota at Chicago: After three straight nights in the spotlight hosting the World Series, the Windy City will be on center stage once more thanks to this Monday night game, and as with the goings-on in Wrigley, you need to be aware of what Mother Nature is up to before picking aside, particularly on the total. Wind gusts should affect this contest, which sees the Vikings looking to avoid consecutive losses after faltering against the Eagles. Mike Zimmer, who has only had one losing streak of two games since taking the Minnesota gig, called out his offensive line for awful play in Philadelphia and is counting on a better effort. Jerick McKinnon, who took over for Adrian Peterson and gives the Vikes offense a different look as an option QB, is questionable with an ankle injury, the same ailment afflicting key safety Andrew Sendejo. Jay Cutler (thumb) returns to the Bears lineup after missing a month of action and is 8-5 against Minnesota despite a three-game losing streak. He’s thrown 26 touchdowns, but has only beaten Zimmer once. He many have RB Jeremy Langford back from a significant ankle injury, so Chicago should have a decent combination in play with him and rookie Jordan Howard available, but that’s likely to depend on whether starters Jake Long and Josh Sitton are back up front. Both were brought on board to stabilize a shaky offensive line, a prerequisite for beating Minnesota.

Total Talk - Week 8
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com

Week 7 Recap

The ‘under’ posted a 9-6 record last weekend and bettors saw similar team tendencies continue. The Falcons and Colts both went to the high side again in Week 7 and are now 6-1 to the ‘over’ this season. On the low side, Pittsburgh and New England kept their 5-2 ‘under’ marks in check as the Patriots earned a 27-16 win over the Steelers last Sunday. Other notable ‘under’ clubs include the New York Giants and Arizona, who both have seen the low side go 5-2 as well. Through seven weeks of the regular season, the ‘over’ has gone 55-51-1.

Things to Watch

The last of the three London games takes place on Sunday with the Redskins and Bengals meeting from Wembley Stadium at 9:30 a.m. ET. The ‘over/under’ has gone 8-8 in the first 16 games played in the NFL International series from the United Kingdom.

As of Friday evening, Atlanta and Green Bay are staring at the largest total of Week 8 at 52½ points. The Falcons scoring defense hasn’t been great but it’s been much worse at home (32.3 PPG) than on the road (25.5 PPG). Other clubs that have struggled at home compared to their numbers as visitors include the Saints (39.3 PPG), Buccaneers (32 PPG) and surprisingly the Broncos (18 PPG).

Seattle’s defense is allowing 8.3 PPG in its last eight regular season road games, which has helped the ‘under’ go 6-2 (75%) in those contests.

According to the VI Matchup Index, the Jets-Browns ‘over’ (44) is the most wagered one-sided total for Week 8 as of Friday.

Coast-to-Coast

I touched on this seasonal trend again in last week's Total Talk and it’s been profitable, so we’ll continue to make uses aware of it in Week 8 and check out not one but two more matchups that are in play this Sunday.

In 2015, West Coast teams playing in the Eastern Time Zone saw the ‘over’ go 11-5 (69%) in those games and that trend has continued this season. The angle went 2-0 last week and it's 8-0 to the ‘over’ on the season. Even though the Oakland-Jacksonville outcome was helped with a meaningless touchdown late, the Chargers and Falcons shattered their high total (53½) with a combined 63 points.

Arizona at Carolina: The Panthers blasted the Cardinals 49-15 in last year’s NFC Championship and that ‘over’ (47) connected easily. Including that result, Arizona is 7-1 to the ‘over’ in last eight NFC road games outside of the division. Carolina is off the bye and has watched the ‘under’ go 2-1 at home but one of those tickets came against the Vikings and Cam Newton was out for the other. The time change move to 1:00 p.m. ET could affect Arizona and it certainly did when the Cardinals visited Buffalo (33-18 loss) In Week 3.

Oakland at Tampa Bay: High total (49) for this matchup and the Raiders defense (430 YPG) is still statistically the worst in the league. What could concern ‘over’ bettors is that T-Bay is running the ball more with a combined 78 attempts the last two games and we all know the 'ground and pound' tempo bleeds the clock. Also, Tampa Bay is off a 34-point effort last Sunday, the third time they eclipsed 30 this season. Unfortunately, the Bucs followed those high-scoring outputs with seven points in each of the following games, both losses.

In case you’re interested, East Coast teams playing in the Western Time Zone have seen the ‘over’ go 4-3 with all three ‘under’ tickets taking place in Arizona.

Divisional Action

The Jaguars and Titans kicked off the divisional action in Week 8 with a high-scoring matchup and bettors should note that all five AFC South games this season have gone ‘over’ the number.

Four more matchups remaining this weekend and two of them are quick rematches.

New England at Buffalo: The Bills blanked the Patriots 16-0 in Week 4 and the ‘under’ (41) easily connected. As most know, QB Tom Brady wasn’t suited up for that loss. Since his return from suspension, the team has averaged 31.6 PPG and gone 3-0. New England has had a knack of scoring at Buffalo in recent seasons, averaging 38 PPG in their last four trips and that production helped the ‘over’ go 3-1. The Bills have seen the ‘over’ go 3-0 at home this season and they lit up the scoreboard with 31, 33 and 45 points. New England’s defense is underrated (15.3 PPG) and it appears the Buffalo won’t have RB LeSean McCoy available.

San Diego at Denver: In the 2014 and 2015 encounters, the two games played at Qualcomm Stadium between the pair went ‘under’ and the two tilts played at Mile High went ‘over’ the number. In the first matchup this season on Oct. 16, San Diego stifled Denver 21-13 at home and the ‘under’ (44½) easily connected. With all that being said, do we play the déjà vu angle on Sunday and lean to the high side? Denver has watched the ‘under’ cash in four straight and the offense won’t have RB C.J. Anderson available in this spot. The Chargers continue to be a great ‘over’ bet (5-2) and it will be interesting to see if their second-ranked scoring offense (29.4 PPG) will be able to score on a Denver defense that's great, but also plagued with injuries.

Under the Lights

All three primetime games went ‘under’ last week and the results were very clear-cut. Including this past Thursday’s outcome between Jacksonville and Tennessee, the ‘under’ has gone 14-9-1 (61%) this season in the night contests.

Philadelphia at Dallas: These teams haven’t seen a total (43) this low since they met in the final game of the 2008 season. A lot of has changed since then as both clubs will be starting rookie QBs and most bettors are aware that the visitor has won six straight in this series and the ‘under’ has gone 4-2 in that span. The matchup between Philadelphia’s fifth-ranked defense (307 YPG) versus the third-ranked offense of Dallas (401.5 PPG) is going to be great to watch and very difficult to handicap. If you consider that a wash, then where will the points come from? Philadelphia is averaging 26 PPG but that number has been skewed, especially when you look at their total offensive yards (322.2, Ranked 28th). If you’re looking for an ‘over’ angle, then you can point to Dallas going 4-0 to the high side in its last four games when playing with rest.

Minnesota at Chicago: The ‘under’ is on a 4-1 run in this series and another low-scoring game is expected Monday with a low total (41) posted. The Bears are ranked last in scoring offense (15.9 PPG) and they’ll be facing the best scoring defense in the Vikings (14 PPG). Minnesota’s offense was held to a season-low 10 points last week at Philadelphia as they had four turnovers and QB Sam Bradford was sacked six times. Chicago QB Jay Cutler is expected to start and he’s easily one of the toughest signal callers to handicap. You just never know what to expect!

Fearless Predictions

For the second consecutive week ($20), I’ve failed to notch a total winner but I connected on the team total and teaser wager fairly easily. We’re still in the black ($410) as we approach the midway point of the season and that’s never a bad thing. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Best Over: Detroit-Houston 45½

Best Under: N.Y. Jets-Cleveland 44

Best Team Total: Indianapolis Over 24½

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100)
Washington-Cincinnati Under 58
Kansas City-Indianapolis Over 41
N.Y. Jets-Cleveland Under 53