Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 9/10/18
Jets @ Lions— Rookie QB Darnold becomes youngest QB in last 48 years to start in Week 1. Detroit coach Patricia should be familiar with Jet offense from his days coaching Patriots’ defense. Jets are 6-7 vs Detroit, but won three of last four meetings; they’re 4-3 in Motor City, winning last visit here in OT. Since 2014, Detroit is 14-5-2 as home favorites; under is 29-19 in their home games last six years. Under Bowles, Jets are 3-8-3 as road underdogs; under is 15-8 in their last 23 road games. Lions won five of their last seven home openers; over is 6-2 in their last eight. Detroit started season 1-0 six of last seven years. Jets are 15-6 vs spread in last 21 road openers. Patricia is a defensive coach; will Lions try to run ball more, to protect the defense?
Rams @ Raiders— Gruden returns to sidelines after 10 years away. Raiders are 8-5 against the Rams, but lost last meeting 52-0 in St Louis— lot has changed for both sides since. Rams are 2-5 in series road games. Since 2012, Oakland is 10-16-1 as a home underdog- under is 22-9 in their last 31 home games. Rams are 7-5 vs spread as favorites LY, 4-2 on road; over was 7-1 in their road games LY. Raiders lost four of last six home openers, last four of which went over the total. Rams are 2-14 in last 16 road openers, 3-15 vs spread in last 18- they did win their road opener LY. Goff’s dad played for the SF Giants; this is a homecoming for him. Rams signed star DT Donald; Raiders traded their holdout star DE Mack to the Bears.
New York Jets vs. Detroit Lions Preview and Predictions 09-10-2018 in NFL
NFL Previews 7th September 2018 by Gracenote
Jets vs. Lions Preview and Predictions
by Gracenote on 09/07/2018
From the minute the New York Jets selected Sam Darnold with the No. 3 overall pick in this year's draft, it merely was a matter of when, not if, the team handed him the keys to their offense. Darnold impressed New York's brass enough to win the starting job in the preseason and will lead the Jets into Monday's season opener against the host Detroit Lions.
Darnold, who beat out Josh McCown and the since-traded Teddy Bridgewater for the job during the preseason, will make history in his NFL debut, becoming the youngest Week 1 starting quarterback at 21 years, 97 days. "We are trying to help the team win and we feel like he gives us a good chance to win," Jets coach Todd Bowles told reporters. "We're not starting him because he's a rookie and he's not ready, we're starting him because he gives us a chance to win the game." While Darnold represents a changing of the guard in New York, the Lions will be playing their initial game under first-year coach Matt Patricia, who spent the past six seasons as the defensive coordinator for New England. Patricia inherits a team that has posted back-to-back nine-win seasons and features an experienced quarterback in Matt Stafford, but also one that hasn't won a playoff game since 1991.
TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Lions -6.5. O/U: 45 ???????
ABOUT THE JETS (2017: 5-11, 4TH IN AFC EAST): Darnold, the second quarterback taken in the draft, finished the preseason by completing 29-of-45 passes for 244 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. He will look to a wide receiving corps led by Robby Anderson, who paced the team with 941 yards and seven touchdowns last season, Jermaine Kearse (team-high 65 catches), Quincy Enunwa (58 catches in 2016) and quarterback-turned-receiver Terrelle Pryor. New York augmented the running game by bringing in a power back in Isaiah Crowell, who appeared in all 16 games in each of his four seasons in Cleveland, while Bilal Powell will provide a breather and serve as the third-down back. Leonard Williams anchors the defensive line and New York has a solid secondary, but it must improve on a pass rush that ranked 28th a year ago with 28 sacks.
ABOUT THE LIONS (2017: 9-7, 2ND IN NFC NORTH): Stafford has thrown for at least 4,000 yards for seven consecutive years to carry what has been a one-dimensional offense that ranked last in rushing in two of the past three seasons. To that end, Detroit drafted rookie running back Kerryon Johnson from Auburn in the second round and signed LeGarrette Blount, who is one year removed from leading the league with 18 rushing touchdowns. Marvin Jones led the Lions with 1,101 yards and nine touchdowns on 61 catches last season while fellow wideout Golden Tate also surpassed 1,000 yards on 92 receptions. Detroit has a pair of standouts on the other side of the ball in defensive end Ziggy Ansah (12 sacks) and cornerback Darius Slay (eight interceptions) but needs to find another pass rusher for a unit that ranked 27th in 2017.
VIDEO: NFL Week 1 Top Game Previews and Predictions by ScoresAndStats.com
EXTRA POINTS
1. Stafford has recorded four scoring passes and zero interceptions in two career meetings with New York.
2. Crowell is one of six active running backs with at least 600 yards rushing in each of the last four seasons.
3. Lions RB Theo Riddick has registered 186 catches and 10 TD receptions over the last three seasons.
PREDICTION: Lions 23, Jets 20
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Los Angeles Rams vs. Oakland Raiders Preview and Predictions 09-10-2018 in NFL
NFL Previews 7th September 2018 by Gracenote
Rams vs. Raiders Preview and Predictions
by Gracenote on 09/07/2018
Jon Gruden's second stint as coach of the Oakland Raiders was supposed to begin with a matchup between two of the NFL's best defensive players. Oakland squashed that showdown by trading superstar Khalil Mack last weekend and will need to receive phenomenal efforts from his replacements when it hosts the Los Angeles Rams on Monday night.
Gruden, who was given a 10-year, $100 million contract to return to the sideline for the first time since 2008 with Tampa Bay, never even got to meet Mack, a three-time Pro Bowler and the NFL Defensive Player of the Year in 2016 who was a holdout during preseason before being dealt to Chicago - and signed to a six-year, $141 million deal - last Saturday. Oakland's defense was suspect at best with Mack and figures to be considerably weaker when the team meets the Rams, who were able to come to terms with their defensive stud a day before the Raiders parted with theirs. Defensive tackle Aaron Donald, a four-time Pro Bowler who was the NFL's Defensive Rookie of the Year in 2014 and Player of the Year in 2017, inked a six-year, $135 million contract last Friday. Los Angeles is looking to build off a season in which it captured its first division title since 2003 with a first-year coach in Sean McVay and an inexperienced quarterback in the 23-year-old Jared Goff.
TV: 10:20 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Rams -4. O/U: 48.5
ABOUT THE RAMS (2017: 11-5, FIRST IN NFC WEST): McVay stated on Thursday that Donald is ready to face Oakland despite missing the entire preseason due to his holdout. The 27-year-old Donald, who leads all NFL defensive tackles with 39 sacks since 2014, has proven to be a fast starter as he recorded two sacks in the 2015 season opener and one in his 2017 debut. Goff, who led Los Angeles to a league-best average of 29.9 points per game last year, was kept out of all of the team's preseason games and may rely heavily on Todd Gurley, who led the NFL in 2017 with 29 rushing touchdowns en route to being named the Offensive Player of the Year.
ABOUT THE RAIDERS (2017: 6-10, THIRD IN AFC WEST): Derek Carr passed for 3,496 yards and 22 touchdowns last year to join Peyton Manning and Russell Wilson as the only quarterbacks in NFL history to throw for 3,000 yards and 20 scores in each of their first four seasons. Carr lost one of his favorite targets in Michael Crabtree but gained a new one in Jordy Nelson, who was signed to a two-year contract in March after being released by Green Bay - the team with which he recorded at least 1,250 receiving yards in four of nine seasons. Bruce Irvin has been moved from linebacker to defensive end in an effort to compensate for the departure of Mack, while the team also hopes to receive contributions from newcomer Tank Carradine and rookies Maurice Hurst, P.J. Hall and Arden Key.
VIDEO: NFL Week 1 Top Game Previews and Predictions by ScoresAndStats.com
EXTRA POINTS
1. Rams LB Mark Barron (ankle) did not practice Thursday and is questionable for the season opener.
2. Oakland may need to rely on Doug Martin, a two-time 1,400-yard rusher with Tampa Bay, as fellow RB Marshawn Lynch (groin) was limited during Thursday's practice and is questionable for Monday's contest.
3. Los Angeles backup C Austin Blythe is expected to fill in for G Jamon Brown, who will miss the season's first two games due to a suspension.
PREDICTION: Rams 44, Raiders 24
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NFL
Long Sheet
Week 1
Monday, September 10
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NY JETS (5 - 11) at DETROIT (9 - 7) - 9/10/2018, 7:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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LA RAMS (11 - 6) at OAKLAND (6 - 10) - 9/10/2018, 10:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 184-232 ATS (-71.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 184-232 ATS (-71.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 62-97 ATS (-44.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 34-54 ATS (-25.4 Units) in September games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 50-81 ATS (-39.1 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
OAKLAND is 76-105 ATS (-39.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 76-105 ATS (-39.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 76-105 ATS (-39.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
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NFL
Week 1
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Trend Report
Monday, September 10
New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Jets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
NY Jets is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Jets's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games
Detroit is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Rams is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Rams's last 6 games
LA Rams is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
LA Rams is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Rams's last 8 games on the road
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 6 games when playing Oakland
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
LA Rams is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Oakland is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home
Oakland is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing LA Rams
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Rams
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Monday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers
Jets at Lions (-6 ½, 44 ½) – 7:10 PM EST - ESPN
SAM I AM READY
Although Buffalo’s Josh Allen and Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson saw action at quarterback on Sunday, former USC standout Sam Darnold is the first rookie from this past NFL draft to start a regular season contest. Darnold beat out veteran Josh McCown for the starting position looking to improve a Jets’ squad that finished 5-11 last season, capped off by four consecutive losses.
Darnold began the preseason by throwing a touchdown pass in a 17-0 shutout of the Falcons, but the Jets lost the final three exhibition contests. The Jets head to Ford Field coming off a dreadful 1-7 record on the road last season, while picking up only one cover, which came as 16 ½-point underdogs in a 31-19 setback at New Orleans. In case you were wondering, the only victory away from Met Life Stadium for New York came at Cleveland, 17-14.
HE AIN’T LION
Matt Patricia makes his head coaching debut for Detroit following a successful run as defensive coordinator of the Patriots. The Lions lost three of four preseason games, including both contests at Ford Field to the Browns and Giants. In the lone preseason victory at Tampa Bay, the Lions erased a 27-6 deficit to stun the Bucs, 33-30.
Patricia inherits a team that is coming off consecutive 9-7 seasons, but the franchise is seeking its first playoff victory since 1991. The Lions began 2017 with a solid 3-1 record and even owned a 6-4 mark through 10 games. However, Detroit split its final six games as nine wins was not enough to make the postseason for the second consecutive year.
FAST STARTERS
Since losing the infamous Calvin Johnson non-touchdown catch game at Chicago in 2010, the Lions have captured six of their past seven season openers. In this span, Detroit is 4-0 at Ford Field, including rallying from an early 10-0 deficit in a 35-23 victory over Arizona as two-point underdogs in 2017. The Lions are hosting a Week 1 Monday night affair for the first time since 2014, when Detroit blew out the other New York club by beating the Giants, 35-14 as 6 ½-point favorites.
SERIES HISTORY
The last time the Lions and Jets hooked up came back in 2014 at Met Life Stadium as Detroit grabbed a 24-17 triumph as two-point underdogs. Lions’ quarterback Matthew Stafford threw for 293 yards and two touchdowns, while wide receiver Golden Tate hauled in eight receptions for 116 yards. The Jets’ signal-caller that day was Geno Smith, who compiled 209 yards passing to go along with a touchdown and interception as the Lions led by as many as 14 points in the second half.
The Jets won in their most recent trip to Ford Field in 2010 as Mark Sanchez threw for 336 yards in a 23-20 overtime victory. However, Detroit covered as a 5 ½-point home underdog.
LINE MOVEMENT
This game opened with the Lions listed as six-point favorites at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook, but has crept up to 6 ½ points at most outlets. The total opened at 44, but is up to 44 ½ and even 45 at several books. Last season, Detroit cashed the OVER in six of eight games at Ford Field, including three of four times in the favorite role.
Rams (-4 ½, 48) at Raiders – 10:15 PM EST – ESPN
CHUCKY’S BACK
Jon Gruden spent four seasons as the head coach of the Raiders from 1998-2001 as he lead Oakland to consecutive AFC West titles in his final two seasons. Gruden’s final game with the Raiders was the famous “Tuck Rule” game in the playoff overtime loss to the Patriots, which began New England’s dynasty. After a successful run as the analyst on ESPN’s Monday Night Football, Gruden is back in the East Bay looking to restore the Silver and Black to excellence.
The Raiders started 2017 with plenty of promise after beating the Titans and Jets by double-digits. However, Oakland fell apart by losing 10 of the final 14 games, while the Raiders scored 17 points or less in all 10 defeats. Following a 6-2 record at the Oakland Coliseum in their playoff run of 2016, the Raiders slipped to 4-3 at the Black Hole last season, while their other “home” game in Mexico was a 25-point blowout at the hands of the Patriots.
RAMMING AHEAD
In his first season as the head man in Los Angeles, Sean McVay helped ramp up a mediocre Rams’ attack as L.A. scored at least 30 points in eight games. The Rams captured their first NFC West title since 2003 by finishing 11-5 before getting tripped up by the Falcons in the Wild Card round. Quarterback Jared Goff threw 28 touchdown passes compared to seven interceptions, while running back Todd Gurley racked up 1,305 yards on the ground.
The Rams didn’t own much of a home-field advantage at the L.A. Coliseum by going 4-4, but Los Angeles posted a tremendous 7-1 road record, including five wins in the favorite role. However, the Rams put together a 3-2 ATS mark in those five road chalk affairs, but finished OVER the total in all five of those opportunities.
MONDAY NIGHT LIGHTS
Los Angeles is making only its third appearance on Monday night football since 2013. The Rams were last on Monday night two seasons ago following their move from St. Louis as the 49ers blasted Los Angeles, 28-0 in the 2016 opener. In this same stretch, the Raiders own a 1-2 record on Mondays, with their last win coming in Mexico against the Texans in 2016. The last time the Raiders hosted a Monday night affair came in 2012 as they lost to the Chargers in the season opener, 22-14.
SERIES HISTORY
The last time Derek Carr saw the Rams back in 2014, the Raiders were destroyed in St. Louis, 52-0. The Rams jumped out to a 38-0 halftime lead as quarterback Shaun Hill threw two touchdown passes, while running back Tre Mason found the end zone twice. That season, the Raiders finished in last place of the AFC West at 3-13, while this loss was amazingly not the worst in franchise history as they suffered a 55-0 defeat to the Oilers in 1961.
The Raiders beat the Rams in L.A.’s last trip to Oakland in 2010 by a 16-14 count as three-point favorites. The last victory for the Rams on the road in this series came in 2006 by a 20-0 shutout as Steven Jackson rushed for 127 yards and two scores.
LINE MOVEMENT
In early May, CG Technologies released the Raiders as 1 ½-point favorites, but the Rams have flipped to a 4 to 4 ½-point favorite at most books. The total opened at 49 ½ before briefly dropping to between 47 ½ and 48 at many outlets.
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