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NFL Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Monday 10/14/19

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 10/14/19

 
Posted : October 14, 2019 7:14 am
(@shazman)
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Detroit at Green Bay (8:15 p.m. ET - Mon.): The Monday Night Football game this week will have the rested Lions, coming off of their bye, facing the red-hot Packers, coming off a 34-24 win at Dallas to show they're still a power in the NFC. The Lions could easily be 4-0 at this point, if not for a Week 1 meltdown late, settling for a tie on the road against the Cardinals. They also had some late-game issues in the Week 4 battle against the Chiefs, falling 34-30. The 'over' has connected in three of their four games to date, posting 27 or more points offensively in each of those games. The outlier is a 13-10 win over the Chargers in Week 2. It was an outlier defensively, too, as they have given up at least 24 points in three of their four contests.

The Packers struggled offensively in a divisional battle to open the season, winning 10-3 in Chicago. They also saw the 'under' cash in Week 2, another divisional battle and win against the Vikings. However, they're averaging 29.3 PPG over the past three outings while yielding 24.8 PPG, seeing the 'over' hit in each of those three. The last time these teams met in Lambeau Field was Dec. 30, 2018, but the Packers rested an ailing QB Aaron Rodgers, so the Lions 31-0 win and 'under' result can mostly be discounted. They met Oct. 7 last season, with the Lions winning 31-21 in an 'over', and that is a little more of what to expect.

While it's still early, be aware that teams off the 'bye' this season have watched the 'under' go 2-0 in their games with the 49ers and Jets going low last week. As mentioned above, Detroit will be playing with rest and Miami will as well.

 
Posted : October 14, 2019 7:19 am
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Lions (2-1-1) @ Packers (4-1)— Detroit hasn’t played in 15 days; all four of their games were decided by 4 or fewer points, all covered by the underdog. Under Patricia, Lions are 5-2 ATS as road underdogs- three of their four games this year went over. Detroit has nine takeaways in four games (+3); they’re 7-2-1 ATS in last ten games on natural grass. Green Bay has 11 takeaways (+9) in its four wins, zero (-2) in the one loss; Packers are 22-13-2 ATS in last 37 games as a home favorite. Detroit won last four series games, scoring 30+ points in all four; they won four of last five visits here, winning 30-17/31-0 in last two. NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 5-10 ATS so far this season.

 
Posted : October 14, 2019 7:20 am
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NFL
Trend Report
Monday, October 14

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Green Bay is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Detroit
Green Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games when playing Detroit
Green Bay is 14-7 ATS in its last 21 games when playing at home against Detroit
Green Bay is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Detroit is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Detroit is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Detroit is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Green Bay

 
Posted : October 14, 2019 7:21 am
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NFL
Long Sheet
Monday, October 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (2 - 1 - 1) at GREEN BAY (4 - 1) - 10/14/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 111-82 ATS (+20.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 195-140 ATS (+41.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : October 14, 2019 7:22 am
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Detroit @ Green Bay

Game 275-276
October 14, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
133.821
Green Bay
135.077
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 1
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 5
47
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+5); Over

 
Posted : October 14, 2019 7:23 am
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