Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 11/12/18
MNF - Giants at 49ers
November 11, 2018
By Kevin Rogers
LAST WEEK
The Giants (1-7 SU, 3-5 ATS) are fresh off the bye as their nightmare season crosses over to the second half on Monday. New York suffered its fifth consecutive loss its last time out in a Week 8 home setback to Washington. The Redskins held off the Giants, 20-13 as New York was limited to less than 20 points for the sixth time this season, while dropping their 20th game in the last 24 opportunities since the start of 2017.
The final score against Washington is partially misleading as the Giants didn’t reach the end zone until 17 seconds remained in regulation. Eli Manning hooked up with Evan Engram on a two-yard touchdown connection, but it was too little, too late as the Giants dropped to 0-4 SU/ATS at Met Life Stadium in 2018. Second overall pick Saquon Barkley was limited to 38 yards rushing on 13 carries as the former Penn State star has racked up 50 or fewer yards on the ground four times in the last five games.
The 49ers (2-7 SU, 3-6 ATS) are feeling good about themselves after smashing Bay Area rival Oakland, 34-3 to end a six-game slide. San Francisco turned to third-string quarterback Nick Mullens as the former Southern Mississippi standout diced up the Raiders’ defense for 262 yards and three touchdown passes. Running back Raheem Mostert scored his first NFL touchdown on a 52-yard scamper as the 49ers won at home for the first time since Week 2 against Detroit.
BLUE ROAD BOOM
For whatever reason, the Giants have put together a more competitive effort off a home loss this season. Since losing at Dallas in Week 2, New York has covered in three straight road contests, including two coming off home losses. The Giants routed the Texans in Week 3 as 6 ½-point underdogs for their only win of the season, while cashing in close losses to the Panthers and Falcons. In fact, New York has cashed in three straight opportunities off an ATS loss.
SALTY CHALK
The 49ers have not fared well in the favorite role this season as Kyle Shanahan’s team owns an 0-3 ATS record when laying points. San Francisco opened as a favorite against Oakland, but that line flipped with the news of Mullens starting. The Niners failed to cash in a Week 2 victory over the Lions, while losing twice to the Cardinals in the favorite role.
SERIES HISTORY
It’s been a long time since there has been major importance placed on the Giants and 49ers, two teams that accounted for five Super Bowl wins in the 1980’s. Last season, the Niners were listed as a three-point home underdog against the Giants as San Francisco picked up its first win of the season following an 0-9 start in a 31-21 triumph. San Francisco erased a 13-10 second quarter deficit by scoring three consecutive touchdowns, as quarterback C.J. Beathard tossed a pair of touchdowns in the win.
These two squads did hook up in the 2011 NFC Championship game at Candlestick Park as the Giants edged the 49ers in overtime, 20-17 to reach the Super Bowl and ultimately beat the Patriots. Since then, the two teams have split four matchups, while the Giants are seeking their first win in the Bay Area since 2012.
MONDAY NIGHT LIGHTS
The Giants are appearing on Monday night football for the second time in four weeks after scoring a late touchdown to grab the backdoor at Atlanta in Week 7. New York owns a 2-6 record in its past eight appearances on Mondays dating back to 2014, as its last road win in this spot came at Miami in 2015. San Francisco is also playing a Monday nighter for the second time in 2018, as the 49ers blew a late lead in a three-point loss at Green Bay in Week 6. Amazingly the 49ers have covered in 12 of 13 times on Monday night dating back to 2008, but this is the first time they are favored since pulling off a 14-point victory at St. Louis in 2014.
HANDICAPPER’S CORNER
VegasInsider.com NFL expert Joe Nelson checks in on this contest as San Francisco will likely ride out the rest of the season with Mullens under center, “Mullens is the story in this otherwise easily overlooked Monday night game that ESPN would surely love to have a re-draw of. He was undrafted in 2017 after starting 41 games over four seasons for Southern Miss. He posted good numbers his junior and senior seasons leading winning teams and compiling many records at the program. He spent last season on the practice squad and has been on the active roster since Jimmy Garoppolo’s injury. Beathard had been productive for the 49ers but with 12 turnovers in five games, Mullens has a chance to earn the job for the rest of the season ahead of a Week 11 bye week.”
On the flip side with the Giants, the numbers for Manning haven’t been as bad despite their record, “Manning remains the starting quarterback for New York despite only eight touchdowns in eight games though his numbers are better than might be expected, completing over 68 percent of his passes and throwing only six interceptions in 315 attempts. He has been sacked 31 times as the offensive line has been the big issue for New York, making a productive first half for Barkley look even more impressive. Manning ranks 22nd in the league in QB Rating and 29th in QBR and many Giants fans will point out that the team has provided a lot of fourth quarter production in losing efforts as the numbers could be worse,” Nelson notes.
GAME PROPS – According to Las Vegas Westgate Superbook
Total Gross Passing Yards – Eli Manning
OVER 275 ½ (-110)
UNDER 275 ½ (-110)
Total Touchdown Passes – Eli Manning
OVER 1 ½ (+120)
UNDER 1 ½ (-140)
Total Rushing Yards – Saquon Barkley
OVER 65 ½ (-110)
UNDER 65 ½ (-110)
Total Completions – 49ers
OVER 18 ½ (-110)
UNDER 18 ½ (-110)
Total Touchdown Passes – 49ers
OVER 1 ½ (-110)
UNDER 1 ½ (-110)
LINE MOVEMENT
The 49ers opened up as 2 ½-point favorites at the Westgate Superbook. That number has climbed to three at many books with the juice at -120 or -125, while the Westgate has San Francisco at -3 ½ (Even). The total opened at 43 ½, but is now up to 44 ½ at most books as the OVER is 5-5 on Monday night so far this season.
New York Giants vs San Francisco 49ers Preview
Scheduled Levi's Stadium Santa Clara
The San Francisco 49ers never expected to have a quarterback controversy this season. The New York Giants were hoping they wouldn't, either. Yet, both teams have unsettled situations at the most important position in the game as Nick Mullens prepares to make his second career start when the 49ers host Eli Manning and the skidding Giants on Monday night.
New York has dropped five in a row and is tied for the worst record in football, but first-year coach Pat Shurmur is sticking with two-time Super Bowl champion Manning. "We got to get some wins," Manning told reporters. "We got to get going, and everybody wants it. The team needs it, for the morale and for just the hard work and everything we put in." Mullens was forced into the lineup due to injury but played brilliantly in his NFL debut to help San Francisco end a six-game slide in a 34-3 rout of Oakland on Nov. 1 (as a +1 point home underdog at intertops). "I think everyone saw the way he played. I don't think it was too tough a decision," 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan told reporters. "Our team played really well, and he played well. It was gonna be hard not to give him that opportunity."
TV: 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: 49ers -3.5 O/U: 44.5
ABOUT THE GIANTS (1-7): Despite the presence of an elite wide receiver in Odell Beckham Jr. and a star running back in rookie Saquon Barkley, Manning has failed to help New York generate more than 18 points in five of his eight games and has tossed only eight touchdown passes. Beckham, who leads the team with 61 catches, went into last week's bye with back-to-back performances of at least eight catches and 136 yards, giving him five 100-yard efforts on the season. Barkley has nine receptions in each of his last three games and 58 on the season, but he has been limited to 38 and 43 yards rushing in the past two contests. A sign of the offensive woes: The Giants have allowed 20 points four times and lost each game.
ABOUT THE 49ERS (2-7): Injuries to Jimmy Garoppolo (torn ACL) and backup C.J. Beathard (concussion) opened the door for Mullens, and the undrafted free agent out of Southern Mississippi responded by throwing for 262 yards and three touchdowns while posting a 151.9 passer rating. The victory over Oakland came at a cost as running back Raheem Mostert fractured his forearm after rushing for 86 yards on seven carries, including a 52-yard touchdown. Tight end George Kittle continues to be San Francisco's best offensive threat with at least four receptions in all but one game, while the wide receivers have been spotty at best. The 49ers rank 12th in the league against the run, allowing 102.8 yards per game.
EXTRA POINTS
1. Manning has thrown for 1,022 yards and five TDs in his last three road games.
2. Kittle is second among NFL tight ends with 692 receiving yards.
3. Barkley has recorded at least 100 yards from scrimmage in seven of eight contests.
PREDICTION: 49ers 23, Giants 20
NFL
Long Sheet
Monday. November 12
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NY GIANTS (1 - 7) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 7) - 11/12/2018, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 37-64 ATS (-33.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 35-59 ATS (-29.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 32-10 ATS (+21.0 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NFL
Week 10
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Trend Report
Monday, November 12
New York Giants
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Giants's last 15 games
NY Giants is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
NY Giants is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games on the road
NY Giants is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
NY Giants is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
NY Giants is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
NY Giants is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Francisco's last 12 games
San Francisco is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games at home
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
San Francisco is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Giants
San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
San Francisco is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against NY Giants
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