Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 9/30/19
Bengals (0-3) @ Steelers (0-3)— Third road game in four weeks for Bengals, who covered eight of last ten tries as a road underdog- they lost first two road games by total of five points. Bengals have yet to run ball 20 times in a game; they’ve turned ball over eight times (-4), were outscored 38-10 in first half of last two games. Steelers are 0-3 for first time since 2013, losing last two games by total of six points. Pitt has converted only 9-35 on third down; they completed only two passes LW that went more than one yard downfield, in Rudolph’s first NFL start. Pitt won last eight series games, winning 28-21/16-13 LY; Bengals lost last three visits here, by 8-15-3 points.
Dunkel's Highlighted Game
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh - Monday September 30, 2019
The Cincinnati Bengals come into Monday night’s contest with a Dunkel road rating of 125.041. Cincinnati is 7-18-1 ATS in its last 26 games versus Pittsburgh. The Pittsburgh Steelers have a Dunkel home rating of 132.190. Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last five Monday games. Pittsburgh has a Dunkel O/U home rating of 45.219. The Steelers have gone over in 12 of their last 16 home games. Dunkel’s Pick: Pittsburgh (-4; Over).
NFL
Long Sheet
Monday, September 30
CINCINNATI (0 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (0 - 3) - 9/30/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 108-80 ATS (+20.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NFL
Trend Report
Monday, September 30
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 16 games at home
Pittsburgh is 13-5-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
TOTAL TO BET LATER: OVER 43.5 CINCINNATI AT PITTSBURGH
In rare air for a primetime matchup, those leaning towards the Over for Monday Night Football’s AFC North war between Cincinnati and Pittsburgh may want to wait it out. Most weeks, a night game means blind backing for the Over from the public, but this rivalry isn’t selling the points like it should.
The Steelers are without QB Ben Roethlisberger and looking to backup Mason Rudolph to keep them competitive. The reviews are still out on the former Oklahoma State gunslinger, but he did show flashes of big-play potential on both TD strikes last Sunday and Pittsburgh put up 20 points despite having the football for less than 24 minutes in Week 3.
The Steelers defense is the real issue. Pittsburgh has allowed 28.3 points per game through the first three weeks and has been torched for almost 303 passing yards an outing (second most in the NFL). The Steelers have allowed 15 passing plays of 20 or more yards in those contests and take on the Bengals' up-tempo attack that thrives on the big plays (14 passing plays of 20-plus).
Cincinnati got off to a slow start at Buffalo in Week 3 but snapped out of it just in time to score 17 second-half points and cover the +6 in the loss. There’s a lot of potential for this Bengals offense – something that can’t be said for the defense. Between missed tackles and giving up 6.4 yards per play, Cincy sits 27th in points allowed at 27.7 per game. With two piss-poor defenses, the prospect for points, and lots of them, is great.
This one goes against the traditional MNF grain (as well as the Under trend in this divisional rivalry: 2-5 O/U last seven meetings), but wait to see if this continues to drop (fell from as high as 44 to as low as 43 at some spots) and be the Over later in the Week 4 finale.