Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.
NFL
Week 16
Trend Report
Denver vs LA Chargers
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 11 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Chargers's last 11 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games at home
Houston vs Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 13 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Houston
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland vs Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Cleveland's last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Detroit vs Chicago
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Chicago is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Chicago is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
NY Giants vs Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New England vs Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Buffalo is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Arizona vs Carolina
Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games at home
Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Tennessee vs Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Indianapolis is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Tennessee
LA Rams vs NY Jets
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing LA Rams
Philadelphia vs Washington
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Minnesota vs Seattle
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Jacksonville vs Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Las Vegas's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
San Francisco vs Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Miami
San Francisco is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Tampa Bay vs Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
New Orleans vs Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 16
Saturday’s games
Texans (-2.5) @ Chiefs
Texans (9-5)
Houston is 3-1 in last four games; they’ve clinched AFC South.
Texans are 7-4 in one-score games (decided by 8 or less points).
Texans are +16 in turnovers their last nine games.
Houston is 2-5 when it gives up more than 20 points.
Team total: under 7-6-1
Opponents’ team total: under 6-3-1 last ten
Texans are 4-3 SU on road TY, 2-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Texans are 4-10-2 ATS last 16 games as a road favorite.
Houston is 8-11 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 19-12 as an NFL starter.
Texans held three of last four opponents under 100 YR.
AFC South teams are 6-14 ATS in non-divisional games.
Chiefs (13-1)
Star QB Mahomes (high ankle sprain) is hurt; check status
Obviously, these stats mean little in Mahomes doesn’t play.
Carson Wentz (47-46-1 as NFL starter) is Chiefs’ backup QB.
Chiefs ran for less than 100 yards in four of last six games.
Team total: under 9-5
Opponents’ team total: over 5-3 last eight
Four of Chiefs’ last five wins were by 3 or fewer points.
Chiefs are 13-1, but they’re 1-7 ATS last eight games.
Chiefs are 12-22 ATS in last 34 games coming off a win.
Chiefs had six takeaways LW; they had only three in previous eight games.
Chiefs are 10-0 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Under is 4-1 in Chiefs’ last five home games.
AFC West favorites are 15-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Chiefs won six of last eight series games.
Texans are 1-3 SU/ATS in last four visits to Arrowhead.
Over is 4-0-1 in last five meetings.
Steelers @ Ravens (-6)
Steelers (10-4)
Steelers won/covered seven of their last nine games.
Pittsburgh is 8-3 ATS last 11 games coming off a loss.
Last ten games, Steelers are +16 in turnovers.
Pittsburgh is 7-1 when it scores 20+ points.
Team total: over 6-3 last nine
Opponents’ team total: under 7-7
Steelers are 5-3 SU/ATS on the road this season.
Pittsburgh is 9-5 ATS in last 14 NFC North road games.
Pittsburgh was outgained 401-163 in LW’s loss at Philly.
Over is 7-4 in their last ten games.
Wilson is 130-81-1 as an NFL QB, 6-2 with Pittsburgh.
Steelers are 24-13 ATS last 37 games as a road underdog.
Ravens (9-5)
Baltimore is 4-3 in its last seven games, after a 5-game win streak.
Baltimore is 9-0 if they score 27+ points, 0-5 if they score less than 27
Ravens are 5-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Ravens are 2-8 ATS in last 10 AFC North home games.
Team total: over 9-5
Opponents’ team total: over 9-5
Ravens are 8-6 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
Over is 11-3 in Baltimore’s games this year.
Over is 4-2 in Baltimore home games this season.
QB Jackson is 70-28 as an NFL starter.
Ravens are 18-21 ATS in last 39 games coming off a win.
Jackson threw 5 TD passes, averaged 9.8 yards/attempt in LW’s win.
Ravens (-3) lost 18-16 at Pittsburgh in Week 11.
Steelers didn’t score a TD; they kicked six FG’s.
Pittsburgh won eight of last nine series games.
Steelers won/covered their last four visits to Baltimore.
Top NFL Things To Know
Close as Ever
Lamar Going for History
As an underdog of 4 pts or more vs. Ravens, the Steelers are 8-0 ATS in franchise history. Lamar Jackson is 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS vs. Mike Tomlin and the Steelers in his career. Against all other teams, Lamar is 52-39-1 ATS.
In the regular season, when the line is three or more points, the underdog is 23-4-3 ATS in this series last 20 years. The underdog is 16-2-1 ATS since 2015, covering the spread by 5.6 points per game.
Final margin between the Steelers and Ravens since 2020: 2, 7, 7, 3, 2, 3, 1, 5, 4
A New World
Falcons Big Favorites
The Falcons made their move to start Michael Penix Jr. this week and bench Kirk Cousins. The line got up to -10 and directly moved to -8.5 with the news for Atlanta.
In the last 40 years, no rookie QB in Week 10 or later has made his first career start as a favorite of 7 pts or higher. The closest were Lamar Jackson in 2018 and Jim Everett in 1986 as 6.5-pt favorites.
The New Black and Blue
Domination
The NFC North is now 30-10 SU and 26-14 ATS (65%) vs. other divisions this year — the 30-10 mark is the 2nd-best for a full season by any division since 1990 (2002 NFC East), and the ATS mark is the best for any division since the 2019 NFC West.
Need More Than Two
The Worst Betting History
The Titans are 2-12 against the spread this season, the worst mark for any team through 14 games since the 2016 Browns.
2-12 ATS or Worse Thru 14 Games in the Super Bowl Era:
2024 Titans, 2-12 ATS
2016 Browns, 2-12 ATS
2007 Ravens, 2-12 ATS
1987 Benals, 2-12 ATS
Overall, the worst ATS mark for any team since 1990 is the Ravens, who went 3-13 ATS back in 2007. That 2007 Ravens team is also the only squad to start 2-13 ATS for a season, which Tennessee could join Sunday.
Road Advantage
Changing of the Guard
This season, home underdogs are 35-48-3 ATS (42%). Over a full season, that would be the 2nd-least profitable mark for any season since 1990, behind just 2005.
On the other side, road favorites went 7-0 SU last week. They are now 14-1 SU over the last three weeks and 34-8 SU since Week 9.
More Oranges
Can't Hold On
Teams to lead at half are 87-124-3 against the second half spread (41%) this year, the worst season over the last 20 years.
In an over 700-game sample size in the last 3 years, they are just 44% against the second half spread. Only 7 of 32 teams are above .500 2H ATS when having the lead over this sample size. Holding a lead has been hard.
Four for Fighting
NFC Beast
In 2024, the Eagles are 3-0 SU/ATS vs. the NFC East, beating the Cowboys, Giants and Commanders all once.
Eagles haven’t won four consecutive games ATS vs. NFC East since 2011-12 behind Michael Vick.
An Unlikely Streak
Rodgers Goes for No. 9
No QB has had a bigger advantage in the betting world against another opponent than Aaron Rodgers against the Rams.
In his career, Rodgers is 8-0 ATS against the Rams, the most wins without a loss for any QB in the Bet Labs database. The next closest is Tua Tagovailoa being 7-0 ATS vs. Patriots
Best NFL Week 16 betting trends
The trend: The Texans are an NFL-best 12-2 ATS in the first half this season
The trend: These teams have gone Under in eight straight games against each other, Bal vs. Pit
The trend: The Giants are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games
The trend: Over their last nine games, these teams are a combined 14-4 to the Over, NE vs. BUF
The trend: The Lions are 9-0 ATS in their last nine games after a loss
The trend: Cincinnati’s last five home games have had an average combined score of 70.2 points.
The trend: The Titans are 2-12 ATS this season
The trend: The Rams are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games played in December
The trend: The Eagles are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five road games
The trend: The Cardinals are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite
The trend: The first-half total in Seahawks’ home games is 7-1 to the Under
The trend: The Jaguars are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog
The trend: The Dolphins have gone Over in five straight home games
The trend: The Bucs average the most points per game on the road, while the Cowboys allow the most points per game on the road
The trend: The Packers have covered in four straight games as a double-digit favorite