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NFL Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Sunday 1/5/25

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : January 5, 2025 6:00 am
(@shazman)
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NFL Dunkel Week 18

 
Posted : January 5, 2025 6:04 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60871
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NFL

Week 18

Trend Report

Carolina vs Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Carolina

Washington vs Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Washington

Chicago vs Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chicago's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Jacksonville vs Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville

Buffalo vs New England
Buffalo is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games

NY Giants vs Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
NY Giants is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants

New Orleans vs Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Houston vs Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tennessee's last 8 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Houston

San Francisco vs Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Kansas City vs Denver
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing Denver
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Seattle vs LA Rams
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Rams is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Seattle

LA Chargers vs Las Vegas
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games
Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers

Miami vs NY Jets
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

Minnesota vs Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

 
Posted : January 5, 2025 6:06 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60871
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 18

Sunday’s games
Texans
@ Titans (-1.5)
Texans (9-6)
Houston has clinched AFC South/#4 seed- they play at home next week.
Texans are 7-5 in one-score games (decided by 8 or less points).
Texans are 4-6 in last ten games, after a 5-1 start.
Houston is 2-7 when it gives up more than 20 points.
Team total: under 8-6-1
Opponents’ team total: under 6-4-1 last eleven

Texans are 4-4 SU/3-5 ATS on road this year.
Texans are 2-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Houston is 7-6 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
Texans are 18-15-2 ATS in last 35 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Houston is 8-3 ATS in last 11 AFC South road games.
Again, Texans play next week; no idea how long starters play.

Titans (3-13)
Titans are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS last five games, giving up 29.4 ppg
Tennessee is 1-12 ATS in its last thirteen games.
Levis is 5-15 as an NFL starter.
Titans scored 31-20-32 points in their three wins.
Team total: under 9-6-1
Opponents’ team total: over 9-4-3

Titans are 1-6 SU/0-7 ATS at home this year.
Since 2018, Tennessee is 13-19 ATS as a home favorite.
Eight of their last nine losses were by 7+ points.
Tennessee is minus-16 in turnovers this season.
Tennessee is 2-10 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
Titans are 0-7 when they give up 300+ yards.
Titans are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games with spread of 3 or less points.

Tennessee (+8) upset Texans 32-27 in Houston in Week 12.
Levis threw for 278 yards in that game.
Houston won four of last six series games.
Texans won/covered their last three visits to Nashville.
Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.

Panthers @ Falcons (-7.5)
Panthers (4-12)
Carolina lost five of last six games, is 6-2 ATS in last eight.
Six of their last eight games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Last four weeks, Panthers gave up 236-209-211-206-202 rushing yards.
QB Young is 5-22 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 8-7-1
Opponents’ team total: over 11-5

Carolina is 7-15-2 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
Panthers are 2-6 SU/3-5 ATS as a road underdog TY.
Carolina is 10-20-1 ATS last 31 games as a road underdog
Over is 12-4 in Carolina games this year.
Carolina is 1-11 when they give up more than 22 points..
Panthers are 3-7-1 ATS in last eleven NFC South road games.

Falcons (7-7)
Falcons need a win/Tampa Bay loss to win NFC South
Rookie QB Penix split first two NFL start (W34-7/L24-30 OT)
Atlanta lost five of its last seven games (2-5 ATS)
Falcons are 7-1 when they score more than 21 points.
Atlanta scored 22+ points in seven of its eight wins.
Team total: under 6-4 last ten
Opponents’ team total: over 7-5-1 last 13

Atlanta is 4-4 SU/3-5 ATS at home this year.
Falcons are 2-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Atlanta is 6-16-1 ATS in last 23 games as a home favorite
Falcons are 10-14-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss.
Atlanta is 5-3 ATS in last eight NFC South home games.
Six of Falcons’ last eight games stayed under the total.

Falcons (-6) ran for 198 yards, won 38-20 at Carolina in Week 6.
Teams split their last eight meetings.
Panthers are 2-2 SU/3-1 ATS in last four visits to Atlanta.
Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Saints @ Buccaneers (-14)
Saints (5-11)
New Orleans lost its last three games, outscored 79-29.
Saints were outrushed 593-309 in their last four games.
New Orleans is 2-11 when it scores less than 35 points.
Saints are 0-10 when they give up 20+ points.
Team total: under 8-2 last ten
Opponents’ team total: under 5-2 last seven

Saints are 2-5 SU/ATS on road this season.
Saints are 16-7-1 ATS last 24 games as a road underdog.
New Orleans is 2-8 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
#3 QB Rattler is 0-6 as an NFL starter.
Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.
Saints are 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 NFC South road games.

Buccaneers (9-7)
Tampa Bay clinches NFC South with a win here.
Bucs are 5-1 since their bye, scoring 30-26-28-40-24-48 points.
Bucs have seven wins by 15+ points.
Tampa Bay is 4-4 SU/5-3 ATS at home this year.
Bucs are 19-17 ATS in last 36 games coming off a win.
Team total: over 13-3
Opponents’ team total: over 9-7

Bucs are 4-4 SU/5-3 ATS at home this season.
Tampa Bay is 5-2-1 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
QB Mayfield is 51-55 as an NFL starter, 19-16 with Buccaneers.
10 of Tampa Bay’s last 13 games went over the total.
Bucs held last seven opponents under 100 yards rushing.
Tampa Bay is 2-5-1 ATS in last eight NFC South home games.

Bucs (+3.5) won 51-27 in New Orleans in Week 6.
Tampa ran ball for 277 yards, outgained Saints 594-303
Tampa Bay won four of last five series games.
Saints won five of last six visits to Tampa.
Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Bills (-3) @ Patriots
Bills (13-3)
QB Allen will start, isn’t expected to play very long.
Buffalo will host a playoff game next week.
Trubisky is 31-28 as an NFL starter.
Bills won 10 of their last 11 games (8-3 ATS)
Buffalo scored 30+ points in10 of last 11 games.
Buffalo gave up 35-23-44 points in its losses (11-0 allow less than 23).
Bills are +24 in turnovers, +9 in last five games.
Team total: over 13-3
Opponents’ team total: under 9-7

Buffalo is 3-1 ATS as a road favorite TY.
Bills are 18-13 last 31 games as a road favorite
Bills are 8-4 ATS TY in games coming off a win.
QB Allen is 81-38 as an NFL starter.
10 of last 11 Buffalo games went over the total.
Buffalo is 7-4 ATS in last 11 AFC East road games.
Bills are 19-6-1 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or less points.

Patriots (3-13)
New England gets first pick in draft if they lose this game.
Patriots are 0-6 SU/2-4 ATS in last six games.
New England led 14-0 at Buffalo two weeks ago, wound up losing 24-21.
Patriots outgained the Bills 379-324 in that game.
Patriots are 1-13 SU when they allow more than 10 points.
Team total: under 8-6-1
Opponents’ team total: over 5-1 last six

NE is 12-24-1 ATS in last 37 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 32-52 SU since Tom Brady left town.
Patriots are 2-4-1 ATS as a home underdog this year.
Rookie QB Maye is 2-9 as an NFL starter.
Over is 6-1 in their last seven home games.
Patriots are 2-9 in last 11 games as a home underdog.

Bills (-14) beat New England 24-21 two weeks ago.
Patriots led 14-0, outgained Buffalo 379-324
Buffalo won eight of last ten series games.
Bills are 3-1 SU/ATS in last four visits to Foxboro
Over is 6-3 in last nine meetings.

Jaguars @ Colts (-5)
Jaguars (4-12)
Jaguars split their last four games, are 6-3 ATS in last nine.
Jaguars are 1-11 if they allow more than 16 points.
Last six games, Jaguars are minus-7 in turnovers.
Team total: under 9-7
Opponents’ team total: over 6-6 last 12 games
Jaguars are 3-9 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.

Jaguars are 4-3 ATS as a road underdog this season.
Jaguars are 18-26-1 ATS last 45 games as a road underdog
Jaguars are 2-12 if they score less than 32 points.
Jaguars are 1-11 if they give up 18+ points.
Backup QB Jones is 20-29 as an NFL starter.
Four of their last five games stayed under the total.
Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in last eight AFC South road games.

Colts (7-9)
Indy is 3-3 SU in last six games, 2-6 ATS in last eight.
Last three games, Colts allowed 31-30-45 points.
Colts are 4-8 when they give up 20+ points.
Last seven games, Colts are minus-7 in turnovers.
Team total: over 8-6-2
Opponents’ team total: over 6-1 last seven

Last two games. Colts gained 458/446 total yards.
QB Flacco is 114-92 as an NFL starter, 1-4 this year.
Colts are 3-0 ATS as a home favorite TY.
Indy is 16-14-1 ATS in last 31 games as a home favorite.
Over is 6-1 in Colts last seven games.
Colts are 5-3 if they score more than 20 points, 2-6 if they don’t.
Indy is 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 AFC South home games.

Jaguars (-3) beat Colts 37-34 at home in Week 5.
Colts threw for 348 yards that game, their most this season.
Jaguars are 4-0 SU/3-0-1 ATS in last four series games.
Jaguars are 1-5 SU/2-3-1 ATS in last six visits to Indy.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.

Commanders (-6.5) @ Cowboys
Commanders (11-5)
Commanders clinched a playoff spot last week- they’re on road next week.
Washington won last four games, scoring 42-20-36-30 points.
Commanders are 3-5 if they give up more than 22 points.
Rookie QB Daniels is 11-5 as an NFL starter.
Team total: over 12-4
Opponents’ team total: under 8-8

Washington allowed 26+ points in all five losses.
Commanders are 4-3 SU/3-4 ATS on road this season.
Washington was held under 300 TY in three of five losses.
Commanders are 5-3 ATS in last 8 games as a road favorite.
Commanders are 22-11-1 ATS in last 34 games coming off a win.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Commanders are 4-7 ATS in last 11 NFC East road games.

Cowboys (7-9)
Dallas won four of its last six games, after an 0-5 skid.
Cowboys are 2-9 when they allow more than 20 points.
Cowboys are 5-4 in games decided by 8 or less points.
WR Lamb has been shut down for the season
Team total: under 8-5 last 13
Opponents’ team total: over 8-3 last eleven

Dallas is 2-6 SU/ATS at home this season.
Cowboys are 2-6 ATS last eight games as a home dog.
Backup QB Rush is 9-5 as an NFL starter.
Cowboys are 18-5 ATS in last 23 NFC East home games.
Over is 10-3 in last thirteen Dallas games.
Dallas is minus-15 in turnovers in its losses, +10 in wins.
Dallas is 2-5 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.

Cowboys (+11) won 34-26 at Washington in Week 12.
Dallas won six of last seven series games.
Cowboys are 8-3 SU/7-4 ATS in last 11 visits to Washington.
Over is 3-0 in last three meetings.

Giants @ Eagles (-3.5)
Giants (3-13)
Giants snapped their 10-game losing skid last week.
Giants are 2-5 SU/ATS on road this year.
LW was Giants’ first game this year with a positive turnover ratio.
Last three weeks, Giants gave up 35-34-33 points.
Team total: under 9-7
Opponents’ team total: over 9-1 last ten

Last 11 games, Giants were outscored 155-67 in first half.
Under Daboll, Giants are 11-10 ATS as a road underdog
This year, Giants are 2-4 ATS as a road underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 9-6-1 ATS coming off a win.
QB Lock is 10-17 as an NFL starter.
Under is 10-6 in their games this season.
Giants are 13-7 ATS in last 20 NFC East road games.

Eagles (13-3)
Eagles have QB injury issues; #3 McKee is likely to get first NFL start.
Eagles have a home playoff game next weekend.
Eagles are 11-1 SU/8-4 ATS in their last dozen games.
Last six weeks, Eagles ran ball for 201.3 yards/game.
Last two weeks, Philly is +7 in turnovers.
Team total: over 9-2 last eleven
Opponents’ team total: under 8-4 last dozen

Philly is 6-1 SU/3-4 ATS at home this season
Eagles are 5-8-1 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
Eagles are 10-13 ATS in last 23 NFC East home games.
Eagles are 7-4 ATS this year in games coming off a win.
Under is 5-2 in their home games this year.
Eagles held 9 of last 12 opponents under 300 TY.

Eagles outgained Giants 339-119, won 28-3 at Dallas in Week 7
Eagles are 13-3 SU in last 16 series games (4-7 ATS in last 11).
Giants are 0-11 SU/6-5 ATS in last eleven visits to Philly.
Under is 8-3 in last eleven series games.

Bears @ Packers (-10)
Bears (4-12)
Bears are 0-10 SU/3-7 ATS in last ten games.
Chicago was outscored 108-45 in four games without Eberflus.
Bears scored 24+ points in their wins (0-11 score less than 24)
Chicago is 0-11 when they give up more than 18 points.
Team total: under 10-5-1
Opponents’ team total: under 10-6

Bears are 3-4 ATS as a road underdog this year.
Chicago is 12-19-1 ATS in last 32 games as a road underdog.
Last four weeks, Bears scored 11.3 points/game.
Last ten games, Bears are 0-10, despite being +2 in turnovers.
Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.
Bears are 0-10 when they allow 19+ points.
Chicago is 4-7 ATS in last 11 NFC North road games.

Packers (11-5)
Packers split their last four games, after a 9-3 start.
Packers will be on road in the playoffs next week.
Green Bay is 5-4 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Last six weeks, Green Bay scored 31.3 points/game.
Packers held 5 of last 6 opponents to 80 or fewer rushing yards.
Team total: over 11-5
Opponents’ team total: under 11-4 last 15

GB is 4-3 ATS as a home favorite this year,
Packers are 15-10-1 ATS in last 26games coming off a loss.
Green Bay is 10-0 when it allows less than 24 points.
Under is 7-5 in their last dozen games.
Last six games, Green Bay is +7 in turnovers.
Packers are 1-4 ATS in last five NFC North home games.

Packers (-6) won 20-19 at Chicago in Week 11.
Green Bay scored TD with 2:59 left to win that game.
Packers have beaten Chicago 12 games in a row.
Bears are 0-11 SU/2-9 ATS in last 11 visits to Lambeau.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Seahawks (-6.5) @ Rams
Seahawks (9-7)
Seahawks lost two of last three games, have been eliminated.
Seattle allowed 26+ points in losses, 21 or less in wins.
Seattle gained less than 300 yards in five or last seven games.
Seahawks are 4-3-1 ATS this year in games coming off a win.
Team total: over 10-6
Opponents’ team total: over 9-7

QB Smith is 39-43 as an NFL starter, 27-24 with Seattle.
Seahawks wis 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
Seattle is 5-9-2 ATS in last 15 games as a road favorite.
Over is 4-3 in their road games.
Seattle is 5-2 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Seahawks are minus-11 in turnovers in losses, +4 in wins./
Seattle is 7-4 ATS in last 11 NFC West road games.

Rams (10-6)
Rams have home playoff game next week; some starters will sit here.
Rams won nine of their last 11 games, after a 1-4 start.
Rams are 5-0 scoring 26+ points, 4-6 scoring less than 26.
12 of their 16 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
Rams allowed only two TD’s in their last three games.
Team total: under 11-5
Opponents’ team total: under 8-3-1 last dozen

Garoppolo is 47-22 as an NFL starter; this is his first start as a Ram.
Rams are 5-3 SU at home TY, 3-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Rams are 7-4-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.
Last three games, Rams are +4 in turnovers.
Rams are 11-6-1 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Rams are 10-9-1 ATS in last 20 NFC West home games.

Rams (-1.5) won 26-20 in OT at Seattle in Week 9
Rams won six of last eight series games.
Seahawks are 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS in last six visits to SoFi.
Under is 8-1 in last nine series games.

Dolphins (-1) @ Jets
Dolphins (8-8)
Dolphins are 6-2 in last seven games, after a 2-6 start.
Miami is 1-7 when it gives up 20+ points, 7-1 if they allow less.
Last eight games, Miami ran for 100+ yards once.
Huntley is 5-9 as an NFL starter, 2-2 this year.
Team total: under 8-7-1
Opponents’ team total: over 8-8

Miami is 3-5 SU/4-4 ATS on road this season.
Dolphins are 10-12 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Dolphins are 3-3 ATS TY in games coming off a win.
Miami is 29-20 ATS in last 49 games coming off a win.
Under is 7-1 in their road games this year.
Dolphins are 12-5 ATS in last 17 AFC East road games.

Jets (4-12)
Jets are 2-10 SU/3-9 ATS in last 12 games.
Last two games, Jets scored 9-14 points.
Jets are 3-1 if they allow 17 or less points, 1-11 if they allow 19+.
Jets are 0-8 scoring less than 21 points.
Team total: under 8-4 last twelve
Opponents’ team total: over 9-2 last eleven

Jets are 2-5 SU/ATS at home this season.
Jets are 9-15 ATS last 24 games as a home underdog.
Over is 8-3 in their last eleven games.
Jets are 2-9 SU/3-8 ATS since their coaching change.
Last seven games, Jets allowed 28.9 points/game.
Jets are 4-7 ATS in last 11 AFC East home games.

Dolphins (-6.5) beat Jets 32-26 in OT in Week 14
Miami forced OT with a 52-yard FG with 0:07 left.
Dolphins won nine of last ten series games.
Miami is 4-2 SU/5-1 ATS in last six visits to the Garden State
Under is 6-3 in last nine meetings.

Chiefs @ Broncos (-10.5)
Chiefs (15-1)
QB Mahomes, other starters, are expected to sit this one out.
Backup QB Wentz is 47-46-1 as an NFL starter.
Wentz was in same situation for Rams LY; they won 21-20 (+4) at SF.
Chiefs won their last six games (3-0 ATS last three games)
Last three games, Kansas City is +10 in turnovers.
Chiefs are 10-0 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Team total: under 9-7
Opponents’ team total: over 5-5 last ten

Kansas City is 3-3 ATS as a road favorite this year.
KC is 10-11 ATS in last 21 games as a road favorite.
Chiefs covered their last three games, after an 0-7 spread skid.
Chiefs are 14-22 ATS in last 36 games coming off a win.
Under is 4-1 in Chiefs’ last four games.
Chiefs are 6-8 ATS in last 14 AFC West road games.

Broncos (9-7)
Denver needs win to clinch a playoff spot.
Broncos lost last two games, 34-27/30-24 OT
Denver is 8-2 if they score more than 20 points, 1-5 if they score 20 or less.
Broncos are 1-6 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Team total: over 11-4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 9-7

Denver won/covered last four home games, scoring 34.5 ppg.
Denver is 5-0 ATS as a home favorite TY.
In wins, Broncos are +11 in turnovers; in losses, minus-5.
Denver is 4-2 ATS this year in games following a loss.
11 of Broncos’ last 13 games went over the total.
Denver is ATS in last 14 AFC West home games.

Chiefs blocked FG on last play, beat Denver 16-14 (-7) in Week 10.
Kansas City won 16 of last 17 series games.
Chiefs are 8-1 SU/7-2 ATS in last nine visits to Denver.
Under is 7-4 in last eleven meetings.

Chargers (-4) @ Raiders
Chargers (10-6)
Chargers won their last two games, scoring 34-40 points.
Chargers have a road playoff game next week.
LA is 7-0 scoring 24+ points, 3-6 scoring 23 or fewer points.
Last nine games, Chargers are +5 in turnovers.
Team total: over 9-7
Opponents’ team total: under 9-6-1

Chargers are 5-1 ATS this season as road favorites.
Favorites are 6-2 ATS in their road games this year.
Chargers are 6-3 ATS this year in games coming off a win.
QB Herbert is 40-39 as an NFL starter.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Chargers are 4-6-1 ATS in last 11 AFC West road games.

Raiders (4-12)
Las Vegas won its last two games, after a 10-game skid.
Raiders were +4 in turnovers in those two games
Raiders held five of last seven foes under 100 yards rushing.
Las Vegas is 4-5 when it scores 19+ points, 0-7 when it doesn’t.
Team total: over 9-7
Opponents’ team total: over 9-7

Raiders are 2-5 SU/3-4 ATS oat home this season.
Raiders are 11-4 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
QB O’Connell is 7-9 as a starter, 2-4 TY.
Under is 5-0 in their last five games.
Las Vegas is 1-2 ATS this year in games coming off a win.
Raiders are 15-8 ATS in last 23 AFC West home games.

Chargers (-3) beat Raiders 22-10 at home in season opener.
Home team won last seven series games.
Chargers are 0-3 SU/ATS in last three visits to Las Vegas.
Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.

49ers @ Cardinals (-4.5)
49ers (6-10)
49ers lost six of last seven games, are 1-7 ATS since their bye.
49ers are 1-9 when they score less than 30 points.
Last six weeks, 49ers are minus-10 in turnovers.
49ers are 0-8 when they gain less than 400 yards.
Team total: under 9-7
Opponents’ team total: over 10-5-1

49ers are 2-5 SU/1-6 ATS on road this year.
49ers are 13-11 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
Since 2021, 49ers are 1-3 ATS as a road underdog.
QB Purdy is 27-14 as an NFL starter.
Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
49ers are 11-5-1 ATS in last 17 NFC West road games.
Last two weeks, 49ers ran ball for only 63-81-75 yards.

Cardinals (7-9)
Cardinals lost five of last six games; last two losses were by 6-4 points.
Arizona is 6-2 scoring 24+ points, 1-7 scoring less than 24.
Last five games, they’re minus-6 in turnovers.
In its seven wins, Arizona outscored foes 94-44 in second half.
Team total: over 9-7
Opponents’ team total: under 10-6

Arizona is 3-2 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Since 2015, Cardinals are 15-27 ATS as a home favorite.
Arizona is 3-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
TY, Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Arizona is 5-12 ATS in last 17 NFC West home games.

Cardinals (+7) won 24-23 in Santa Clara in Week 5.
Arizona outscored 49ers 11-0 in 4th quarter of that game.
49ers won/covered four of last five series games.
49ers are 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Arizona.
Last five meetings went over the total.

Vikings @ Lions (-2.5)
Vikings (14-2)
Minnesota won last nine games, scoring 29.9 ppg in last six.
Vikings allowed 31-30 points in their two losses.
Minnesota is 6-1 SU/4-3 ATS on road this season.
Vikings are 9-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Team total: over 11-4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 8-8

Minnesota is 3-0 ATS as an underdog this year.
Vikings are 8-6 ATS in last 14 NFC North road games.
Minnesota is +9 in turnovers this season.
Minnesota gave up 391/386 TY in its two losses.
QB Darnold is 34-37 as an NFL starter, 14-2 with Vikings.
Vikings are 14-4-2 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Vikings are 14-10-2 in last 26 games with spread of 3 or less points.

Lions (14-2)
Detroit won 13 of its last 14 games (10-4 ATS).
Last four weeks, Lions scored 37.5 points/game.
Last three weeks, Lions threw ball for 473-329-287 yards.
Last three weeks, opponents threw ball for 362-323-400 yards.
Detroit is 7-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Team total: over 9-4 last 12
Opponents’ team total: under 9-7

Lions are 3-4 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Under Campbell, Lions are 12-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 23-11 ATS as a favorite.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 22-12 ATS in games coming off a win.
QB Goff is 84-56-1 as an NFL starter, 40-26-1 with Detroit.
Detroit is 9-5 ATS in last 14 NFC North home games.

Winner of this game gets #1 seed and a bye next week.
Loser of this game plays on road next week.
Detroit won 31-29 at Minnesota back in Week 7
Lions won four of last five series games.
Vikings are 0-3 SU/ATS in last three visits to Detroit.
Over is 8-1-1 in last ten series games.

 
Posted : January 5, 2025 6:08 am
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