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NFL Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Sunday 10/29/23

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : October 28, 2023 7:38 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 60755
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Sunday’s games
Saints (3-4) @ Colts (3-4)
— New Orleans lost four of its last five games (2-3 ATS)
— Saints have only 10 offensive TD’s on 76 drives.
— Saints outgained last two opponents, 1,141-783.
— Saints are 2-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-3 scoring less than 20.
— Saints have been outscored 16-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Saints are 6-9-1 ATS in last 16 games with spread of 3 or less.
— NO is 7-10-1 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC opponents.
— Under is 6-1 in Saints’ games this season.
— Saints are 16-10-2 ATS last 28 games coming off a loss. 
— NFC South teams are 4-13-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 5-2. Opponents’ team total: under 5-2

— Last four weeks, Colts were outscored 74-37 in first half.
— Backup QB Minshew is 9-18 as an NFL starter, 1-2 TY.
— Colts gave up 31-29-37-39 points in losses; 20-19-16 in wins.
— Indy lost three of its four home games SU TY.  
— Indy has scored 20+ points in all seven games.
— Colts are 1-5 ATS last six games as a home favorite.
— since 2013, Colts are 42-29-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
— Colts are 7-11 ATS in last 18 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Over is 5-2 in Indy’s games this season. 
— AFC South teams are 11-6 ATS outside the division. 
— This is 7th year in row Colts have a different #1 QB
— Team total: over 5-1-1. Opponents’ team total: over 4-3

— New Orleans won last four series games.
— Saints split their last two visits to Indianapolis.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.

Jaguars (5-2) @ Steelers (4-2)
— Jaguars won/covered their last four games.
— Jacksonville outscored last four opponents 66-16 in first half. 
— Jaguars scored 21-23-25-37-31 points in wins, 9-17 in losses.
— Jaguars are 9-16 ATS last 25 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Jaguars are 12-13 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win (3-1 TY).
— Jags are 2-0 in true road tilts: 31-21 (-5) @ Colts, 31-24 (+1) @ Saints.
— Under Pederson, Jags are +13 in turnovers (minus-20 in 2021)
— AFC South teams are 11-6 ATS outside the division. 
— Pederson is 61-50-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— Lawrence is 17-24 as an NFL starter- he won a national title in college.
— Team total: over 4-2-1. Opponents’ team total: under 4-3

— Steelers won/covered four of their last five games.
— Pittsburgh won/covered two of three home games.
— Steelers scored 26-23-17-24 points in wins, 7-6 in losses.
— Last three games, Pittsburgh was outscored 35-6 in first half.
— Steelers have been outgained by 109.8 yards/game this season.
— Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in last nine games decided by 8 or less points.
— Five of six Steeler games stayed under the total.
— Steelers have 11 takeaways in last five games (+7)
— Pitt is 29-15-1 ATS in last 45 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— QB Pickett is 11-7 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 3-2-1. Opponents’ team total: over 3-3

— Steelers won five of last seven series games.
— Jaguars covered their last four visits to Pittsburgh.
— Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.

Texans (3-3) @ Panthers (0-5)
— Houston won three of last four games (4-0 ATS)
— Texans scored 37-30-20 points in wins (9-20-19 in losses)
— Houston outscored last four foes 59-17 in first half.
— Texans are 1-4 ATS in last five post-bye games.
— Opponents have converted 40-86 third down plays.
— since 2016, Houston is 1-5-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Stroud is 3-3 as an NFL starter.
— Texans are 5-9-2 ATS last 16 games against NFC opponents.
— Houston is 13-7-2 ATS last 22 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— AFC South teams are 11-6 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 3-2-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-1

— Carolina lost its first six games (0-5-1 ATS).
— Last two games, Panthers allowed 12 TD’s on 20 drives.
— In Young’s starts. Carolina averaged 3.2/3.8/4.0/5.8/4.4 yards/pass attempt.
— Panthers scored 27 points in game veteran QB Dalton started.
— Panthers are 24-66 on 3rd down in Young’s starts, 10-19 in Dalton’s start
— Opponents are 11 of last 23 on third down plays.
— Carolina is 5-2-1 ATS in last eight games as a home dog (0-1-1 TY).
— Panthers are 4-7 ATS in last 10 games vs AFC teams.
— You’re reading armadillosports com
— Panthers have been outscored 105-52 in second half of games.
— Carolina is 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS in last four post-bye games.
— NFC South teams are 4-13-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 3-3. Opponents’ team total: over 4-2

— Carolina won/covered last four series games.
— Teams split last two meetings in Charlotte.
— Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

Eagles (6-1) @ Commanders (3-4)
— Eagles won six of first seven games (4-2-1 ATS)
— Weeks 1-5, Philly ran ball for 163.8 yards/game (80-99 last 2 games)
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 14-13-1 ATS coming off a win.
— Philly won/covered three of its four road games.
— Eagles scored 23+ points in all of their wins, 14 in the loss.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 31-14 SU.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 7-8 ATS as road favorites (3-1 TY).
— Last 3 years, Eagles were 2-7 ATS in NFC East road games.
— Hurts is 31-14 as an NFL starter.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games. 
— Team total: over 4-2-1. Opponents’ team total: under 4-3

— Washington lost four of last five games SU (2-3 ATS)
— Last two games, Commanders are 3-25 on third down.
— Washington is 1-3 giving up 33+ points, 2-1 if they allow less.
— Commanders’ only TD drives last two weeks: 11-47-24-21 yards. 
— Commanders are 1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS at home this season.
— Washington is 9-11-1 ATS in last 21 games as a home underdog.
— Washington is 7-14 ATS in last 21 NFC East home games. 
— Last five weeks, Commanders were outscored 77-37 in 1st half.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 4-4 as NFL starter.
— Washington is 9-12 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
— Team total: 4-3 over. Opponents’ team total: over 5-2

— Eagles (-8) beat Washington 34-31 in OT in Week 4.
— Philly won 10 of last 12 series games.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings.

Rams (3-4) @ Cowboys (4-2)
— LA scored 30-29-26 points in its wins, 23-16-14-17 in losses.
— Rams are 2-1 SU/2-0-1 ATS on road this season.
— Rams are 3-1 when they run ball for 90+ yards, 0-3 when they don’t.
— Rams were outscored 53-24 in 2nd halves of their losses. 
— Under McVay, Rams are 9-8-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— Stafford is 96-108-1 as an NFL starter, 22-15 with the Rams.
— Stafford went to high school in Dallas.
— Rams changed kickers on Tuesday.
— Rams are 22-13-1 ATS in last 36 games coming of a loss.
— Under is 4-1 in Rams’ last five games.
— NFC West teams are 9-4-1 ATS outside their division.
— Team total: under 4-3. Opponents’ team total: under 4-2-1

— Four Dallas wins were by a combined score of 128-30.
— Dallas scored 16-10 points in losses, 40-30-38-20 in wins. 
— Cowboys gave up 222-170 YR in their two losses.  
— Cowboys won their two home games, 30-10/38-3.
— Dallas is 12-5 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite.
— Cowboys are +9 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
— Dallas is 5-2 ATS in last seven post-bye games.
— Dallas allowed 400-421 TY in losses; 171-215-253-272 in wins.
— Last three Cowboy games stayed under the total.
— QB Prescott is 67-42 as an NFL starter.
— NFC East teams are 11-9-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 3-3. Opponents’ team total: under 4-2

— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Rams are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Dallas.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Patriots (2-5) @ Dolphins (5-2)
— Patriots lost three of their last four games. 
— Patriots were outscored 65-19 in first half of those games.
— New England is minus-7 in turnovers this year.
— Last two games, Patriots have 5 offensive TD’s on 17 drives. 
— Since Brady left, NE is 27-30 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— Last 3+ years, Patriots are 5-5 ATS in AFC East road games.
— Mac Jones is 18-21 as an NFL starting QB.
— Last four games, Patriots were outgained by 84 yards/game.
— Patriots are 3-5 ATS in last eight games coming off a win. 

— Under is 5-1-1 in New England games this season.
— Team total: under 6-1. Opponents’ team total: 4-3 over
— Dolphins’ five wins are over teams with a combined 8-25 record
— Miami won/covered five of first seven games, scoring 29 ppg.
— Last four games, Miami is minus-5 in turnovers (2-7).
— Overall, Dolphins have scored 31 TD’s on 73 drives.
— At home, Miami has scored 20 TD’s on 34 drives.
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 7-2 ATS as a home favorite.
— Dolphins are 7-2 ATS in last nine AFC East home games.
— Dolphins are 6-10 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
— Over is 4-3 in their games, 2-1 at home.
— Tagovailoa is 26-15 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 4-3. Opponents’ team total: over 4-3

— Miami (-3) won 24-17 in Foxboro in Week 2.
— Dolphins won four of last five series games.
— Patriots are 1-5 ATS in last six visits to Miami.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Jets (3-3) vs Giants (2-5)
— Jets won last two games, covered last three.
— Jets scored 22-31-20 points in wins, 10-10-20 in losses.
— Jets have been outscored 88-45 in first half of games.
— Jets gained 4.7/5.0/3.4/5.6/5.8/4.1 yards/pass attempt- not good.
— Gang Green is 1-5 ATS in last six post-bye games.
— Last four games, Jets converted 13-59 third down plays.
— Jets are 4-13 ATS in last 17 games as a favorite (0-0 TY).
— Jets have scored seven TD’s, have 20 3/outs on 63 drives.
— Wilson is 10-17 as an NFL starter.
— Jets are 5-9 ATS in last 14 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Jets are 5-11 ATS in last 16 games vs NFC opponents.
— AFC East favorites are 5-3 ATS outside the division.
— Three of their last five games went over the total.
— Team total: over 3-2-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-1

— Giants scored 9-14 points in QB Taylor’s two starts. 
— Giants were 15-35 on 3rd down in those games (26-73 first five games)
— Giants lost four of their last five games, covered last two.
— Giants outscored last two opponents 20-0 in first half. 
— Giants are averaging only 278.4 yards/game this season.  
— Last three games, Giants are +5 in turnovers.
— Giants are 6-1 ATS in last seven games vs AFC opponents.
— Last five games, Giants were outscored 58-15 in second half.
— Last four games, Giants have 3 TD’s, 17 3/outs on 51 drives.
— Giants are 12-9 ATS in last 21 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Under is 6-1 in Giant games this season.
— Team total: under 5-2. Opponents’ team total: over 4-3

— These teams share this stadium; no home field edge for either.
— Jets won last two meetings, 34-27/23-20
— Over is 3-2 in last five series games.

Falcons (4-3) @ Titans (2-4)
— Falcons scored 16 or fewer points in four of last five games.
— Last four games, Atlanta is minus-9 in turnovers (2-11)
— Atlanta is 1-1 in true road games, L20-6 at Detroit, W16-13 @ Tampa.
— Falcons are 4-3, but haven’t led (0-5-2) at halftime yet.
— Atlanta has been outscored 83-46 in first half of games.
— Under Smith, Falcons are 5-9-2 ATS in games coming off a win.
— Ridder is 6-5 as an NFL starting QB, 1-4 on the road.
— since 2019, Atlanta is 3-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— Atlanta is 14-22-2 ATS in last 38 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Falcons are 1-5-1 ATS in last seven games vs AFC opponents.
— Under is 13-2 in their last 15 games overall, 6-1 TY.
— Team total: under 5-2. Opponents’ team total: under 3-2-2

— QB Tannehill was banged up in last game (check status)
— Tennessee won its last seven post-bye games (6-0-1 ATS)
— Titans scored 27-27 points in wins; they scored 15-3-16-16 in losses. 
— Tennessee lost 11 of its last 13 games SU.
— Titans won/covered two of their three home games.
— Titans are minus-3 in turnovers (2-5) so far this season.
— Tannehill is 82-72 as an NFL starter (2-3 in playoffs)
— Last two games, Titans were outscored 28-9 in first half.
— AFC South teams are 11-6 ATS outside the division.
— Five of their six games stayed under total.
— Team total: under 4-2. Opponents’ team total: over 3-2-1

— Falcon coach Smith worked for the Titans from 2011-20.
— Titans won three of last five series games.
— Last four meetings stayed under the total.
— Teams split last two series games played here.

Vikings (3-4) @ Packers (2-4)
— Short week for Vikings after their impressive win Monday.
— All seven Minnesota games have been decided by 8 or less points.
— LY, Minnesota was 11-0 in games decided by 8 or less points. 
— Minnesota has six takeaways in last two games (+4)
— Vikings allowed 13-13-17 points in their wins, 27.3 ppg in losses.
— Vikings are 6-8-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
— Minnesota is 7-9 ATS last 16 NFC North road games. 
— Cousins is 76-70-2 as an NFL starter, 1-3 in playoffs.
— Last three games, Vikings ran ball for only 70-46-74 yards.
— Under is 6-1 in Minnesota games this season.
— Team total: under 5-2. Opponents’ team total: under 4-2-1

— Last four games, Packers were outscored 63-6 in first half.
— Last four games, Packers outscored foes 62-24 in 2nd half.
— Green Bay converted 14 of last 37 third down plays.
— Last four games, Packers are minus-5 in turnovers.
— Packers are 13-13-2 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
— Green Bay has outscored opponents 41-10 on 1st drive of a half.
— Jordan Love is 2-5 as an NFL starter.
— Packers are 9-4 ATS in last 13 NFC North home games.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Green Bay is 4-6 ATS in last ten games coming off a loss.
— Team total: under 4-2. Opponents’ team total: under 4-2

— Teams split last six series games.
— Vikings are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Lambeau.
— Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.

Browns (4-2) @ Seahawks (4-2)
— Browns won last two games, by total of three points.
— QB Watson has bruised shoulder (check status)
— Last two weeks, Cleveland ran ball for 160-150 yards.
— Last 2 weeks, backup QB Walker was 33-66/370, with no TD’s, 3 INT’s
— Browns gave up 3-3-17-38 points in their wins, 26-28 in losses. 
— Cleveland is 1-1 on road: L22-26 at Steelers, W39-38 at Colts.
— Last two games, Cleveland is only 7-29 on third down.
— under Stefanski, Cleveland is 7-9 ATS as a road dog (0-0 TY).
— Cleveland is 11-19-2 ATS in last 32 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Opponents have converted only 22-80 third down plays.
— Under is 4-2 in Cleveland games the season.
— AFC North teams are 10-6-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 5-1. Opponents’ team total: under 3-3

— Seattle won/covered four of last five games.
— Seahawks scored 37-37-24-20 points in wins, 13-13 in losses.
— Seahawks were outscored 40-6 in second half of their losses.
— Last two games, Seattle converted 12-25 third down plays.
— Seattle is 10-5 ATS in last 15 games vs AFC opponents. 
— Seattle is 5-8 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
— Seahawks are 10-15 ATS in last 25 games after a win.
— Geno Smith is 26-31 as an NFL starter, 14-13 with Seattle.
— Seattle is 20-21 SU last 2+ years, after going 34-18 from 2018-20.
— NFC West teams are 9-4-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 3-3. Opponents’ team total: over 3-3

— Seahawks won four of last six series games.
— Browns lost 30-13/34-7 in last two visits to Seattle.
— Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

Chiefs (6-1) @ Broncos (2-5)
— Chiefs won last six games, by 8-31-3-7-11-14 points (5-1 ATS).
— Chiefs converted 36 of last 65 third down plays.
— KC has outscored opponents 125-45 in first half.
— Chiefs have five takeaways in last two games (+1 turnovers)
— KC is 11-14-1 ATS in last 26 games as a road favorite (2-1 TY).
— Chiefs held five of last six opponents under 5.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Chiefs are 17-24-1 ATS in last 42 games coming off a win.
— Chiefs are 4-5 ATS in last nine AFC West road games.
— Under is 4-2-1 in their games this season.
— Mahomes is 81-20 SU as an NFL starter.
— Team total: under 5-2. Opponents’ team total: under 6-1

— Broncos are 2-5 SU/1-6 ATS so far this season.
— Last three games, Denver scored three TD’s on 29 drives.
— Denver’s two wins are by a total of five points.
— Broncos led four of its seven games at halftime.
— Denver has been outscored 116-72 in 2nd half of games.
— Last five games, Denver was outscored 30-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Last five weeks, Broncos were outgained by 161.6 yards/game.
— Broncos are 11-6-1 ATS in last 18 games as a home underdog.
— Four of last six Bronco games went over the total.
— Russell Wilson is 119-76-1 as an NFL starter, 6-16 with Denver.
— Team total: under 5-2. Opponents’ team total: over 4-3

— Chiefs (-10.5) beat Denver 19-8 at home two weeks ago.
— Chiefs outgained them 389-197 in that game.
— Kansas City won the last 16 series games.
— Chiefs are 7-2 ATS in last nine visits to Denver.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Bengals (3-3) @ 49ers (5-2)
— Bengals won three of their last four games, before their bye week.
— Cincy is 1-2 on road, scoring three points in both losses.
— Bengals haven’t run ball for more than 93 yards in any game TY.
— Last four games, Bengals converted only 15-51 third down plays. 
— Cincinnati is 4-1-1 ATS in last six games as a road underdog. 
— Bengals are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games vs NFC opponents.
— Cincy hasn’t averaged 6.0 yards/pass attempt in any game this year.
— Cincy is 2-6 ATS in last eight post-bye games (2-1 in last three).
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
— Team total: under 5-1. Opponents’ team total: over 3-3

— 49ers lost last two games, were outgained 786-540, scoring 17-17 points.
— SF scored 30-30-30-35-42 points in 5-0 start (4-0-1 ATS). 
— 49ers have outscored opponents 88-39 in 2nd half.
— First 5 games, SF ran ball for 156.4 yards/game (108-65 last 2 games).
— 49ers are 10-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
— 49ers are 3-0 SU/ATS at home TY, winning by 18-19-32 points.
— 49ers are 7-5 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
— Since beginning of LY, 49ers are +22 in turnovers (+8 TY)
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 12-3 as NFL starter.
— NFC West teams are 9-4-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 4-3. Opponents’ team total: over 5-2

— 49ers won/covered four of last five series games.
— Bengals split last two visits to Santa Clara; underdog covered both.
— 49ers beat Cincinnati in two Super Bowls a long time ago.

Ravens (5-2) @ Cardinals (1-6)
— Last four games, Ravens outscored opponents 77-9 in first half.
— Ravens scored 24+ points in its wins, 19-10 in losses.
— Baltimore defense has allowed only six TD’s on 79 drives.
— Baltimore is 3-8 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite (0-1 TY)
— Ravens are 10-9 ATS in last 19 games vs NFC opponents.
— Ravens are 9-13 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
— Baltimore is minus-5 in TO’s in its losses, +2 in wins.
— Lamar Jackson is 51-21 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— Under is 5-2 in Baltimore games this season.
— AFC North teams are 10-6-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 4-3. Opponents’ team total: under 5-1-1

— Arizona is 0-4 SU/ATS last four games, losing by 19-14-17-10 points.
— Cardinals have been outscored 104-30 in 2nd half of games. 
— Last five games, Arizona gave up 27 ppg.
— Cardinals have lost 17 of last 20 games SU (7-10 ATS in last 17).
— Cardinals are 7-8 ATS in last 15 games vs AFC opponents.
— QB Dobbs is 1-8 as an NFL starter.
— Arizona is 10-8 ATS in last 18 games coming off a loss.
— Last four games, Cardinals allowed 17 TD’s on 53 drives.
— Four of last six Cardinal games went over the total.
— All three Arizona home games went over.
— Team total: over 4-3. Opponents’ team total: under 4-3

— Baltimore won five of last six series games.
— Ravens won two of last three visits to Arizona.
— Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.

Bears (2-5) @ Chargers (2-4)
— Rookie QB Bagent is 31-43/243 passing in his first two NFL games
— Bagent won his first NFL start LW; this is his first road start.
— Chicago lost five of first seven games, beating Raiders, Commanders.
— Last four games, Bears outscored opponents, 68-25 in first half.
— For season, Bears have been outscored 116-74 in second half.
— Bears are 11-30 SU/15-24-2 ATS the last 2+ years.
— First 4 games, Bears were minus-4 in TO’s; they’re +3 last three games.
— Chicago is 6-12-1 ATS in last 19 games as road underdogs.
— Chicago is 2-8 ATS in last 10 games coming off a win.
— Six of their seven games went over the total.
— NFC North teams are 8-11-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 4-3. Opponents’ team total: over 5-2

— Chargers are 0-2 since their bye, losing to Cowboys/Chiefs.
— Bolts scored 27.5 ppg in first four games, 17-17 in last two.
— Chargers lost two of three home games this season.
— under Staley, Chargers are 7-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Bolts are 8-5-3 ATS in last 16 games vs NFC opponents.
— Chargers have five takeaways (+3) in wins, three (minus-1) in losses.
— Herbert is 27-29 as an NFL starter.
— Opponents are 5-25 on 3rd down in LA wins, 21-46 in losses.
— Under Staley, Chargers are 8-8-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Under is 3-0-1 in last four Charger games.
— AFC West teams are 6-13 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 3-2-1. Opponents’ team total: over 3-3

— Bears won three of last five series games.
— Teams split last two meetings in California.

 
Posted : October 28, 2023 7:48 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 60755
Member Moderator
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NFL Weather Report Week 8

 

 
Posted : October 29, 2023 8:25 am
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