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NFL Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Sunday 12/22/19

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(@shazman)
Posts: 60777
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Sunday 12/22/19

 
Posted : December 22, 2019 9:50 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60777
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

NFL
Long Sheet
Sunday, December 22

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DETROIT (3 - 10 - 1) at DENVER (5 - 9) - 12/22/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 147-185 ATS (-56.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
DENVER is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (6 - 8) at LA CHARGERS (5 - 9) - 12/22/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 151-189 ATS (-56.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OAKLAND is 37-66 ATS (-35.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 41-85 ATS (-52.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 24-47 ATS (-27.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 35-62 ATS (-33.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 4-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS is 4-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (5 - 9) at ATLANTA (5 - 9) - 12/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
ATLANTA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (10 - 3) at TENNESSEE (8 - 6) - 12/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against NFC South division opponents since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 55-30 ATS (+22.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY GIANTS (3 - 11) at WASHINGTON (3 - 11) - 12/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 63-99 ATS (-45.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 93-125 ATS (-44.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 93-125 ATS (-44.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 93-125 ATS (-44.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 26-50 ATS (-29.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (8 - 6) at NY JETS (5 - 9) - 12/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY JETS are 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY JETS are 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CINCINNATI (1 - 13) at MIAMI (3 - 11) - 12/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
MIAMI is 49-71 ATS (-29.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
MIAMI is 63-88 ATS (-33.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MIAMI is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (5 - 9) at INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 7) - 12/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 121-91 ATS (+20.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 85-58 ATS (+21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALTIMORE (12 - 2) at CLEVELAND (6 - 8) - 12/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (7 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (7 - 7) - 12/22/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
DALLAS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (4 - 9 - 1) at SEATTLE (11 - 3) - 12/22/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 72-43 ATS (+24.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (10 - 4) at CHICAGO (7 - 7) - 12/22/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 54-80 ATS (-34.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 
Posted : December 22, 2019 9:51 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60777
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

NFL
Trend Report
Sunday, December 22

Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 8 games
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
New Orleans is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Orleans's last 13 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee

Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games at home
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games on the road
Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing Atlanta

Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 4-19 SU in its last 23 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Cleveland is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Cleveland is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Baltimore is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Indianapolis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Indianapolis is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 8 games at home
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Indianapolis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis

Miami Dolphins
Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Miami is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
Miami is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Cincinnati
Miami is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games
Cincinnati is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Miami
Cincinnati is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Miami
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami

New York Jets
NY Jets is 7-16-1 ATS in its last 24 games
NY Jets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
NY Jets is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games
NY Jets is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Jets is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 7 games at home
NY Jets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Jets's last 16 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Jets is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 16 games when playing NY Jets
Pittsburgh is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets

Washington Redskins
Washington is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games
Washington is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Washington is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games at home
Washington is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing NY Giants
Washington is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Washington is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games
NY Giants is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Giants's last 9 games on the road
NY Giants is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Washington
NY Giants is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing Washington
NY Giants is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
NY Giants is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington

Denver Broncos
Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Denver is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Denver's last 23 games
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Denver is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 13 games at home
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Denver is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Denver

Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Chargers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games
LA Chargers is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
LA Chargers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games at home
LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
LA Chargers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing Oakland
LA Chargers is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oakland
LA Chargers is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Oakland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
Oakland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Oakland is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers

Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Seattle's last 23 games
Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Seattle is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
Arizona is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Arizona is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle

Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Philadelphia is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing at home against Dallas
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

Chicago Bears
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games
Chicago is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Kansas City's last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago

 
Posted : December 22, 2019 9:52 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60777
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Sunday's Games
Lions (3-10-1) @ Broncos (5-9)— Detroit lost its last seven games; they were outscored 38-3 in 1st half the last two weeks. Under Patricia, Lions are 6-4-1 ATS as road underdogs, 2-2-1 TY- they lost their last five road games SU, scoring 3 TD’s on 36 drives in last three. Over is 8-4 in their last dozen games. Denver is 2-1 with rookie QB Lock starting; they won three of last four home games. Broncos are 2-7-2 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite, 1-1 TY; they’ve run ball for 90 or fewer yards in their last four games, were outscored 79-19 in 2nd half of their last five games. Teams split last four series games; favorites covered last three. AFC West non-divisional home favorites are 4-8 ATS; NFC North road underdogs are 3-5.

Raiders (6-8) @ Chargers (5-9)— This is last game Chargers play in their temporary soccer stadium home. Oakland lost its last four games, outscored 78-9 in 2nd half; they’re 1-5 SU in true road games TY, 5-15-1 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog, 2-3 TY. Four of their five road losses were by 18+ points. Chargers lost four of last five games; they turned ball over seven times in LW’s hideous 39-10 home loss to Minnesota. LA is 2-4 SU at home TY, 2-9 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite, 0-4 TY. Oakland scored on an 18-yard run with 1:02 left to beat Chargers 26-24 (+1.5) in first meeting, their first series win in last five tries; Raiders had five sacks, two takeaways (+2)- they lost last two visits to Carson, 26-10/30-10.

Jaguars (5-9) @ Falcons (5-9)— Both teams posted upset wins on road last week. Jags scored two TD’s, FG on last three drives to upset Raiders LW after trailing 16-3. Jaguars lost five of last six games, gaining 262 or less TY in LY’s three games- they were outscored 65-6 in first half of last three games. Jacksonville is 4-7-1 ATS in last dozen games as a road dog, 3-3 TY. Falcons won four of last six games, covered five of last seven; they’re 2-5 SU at home TY, 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite, 0-2 TY. Three of their last four games went over. Atlanta won three of last four series games, winning 41-14/21-14 in last two played here. AFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 9-5-1 ATS; NFC South favorites are 6-8-1 ATS, 4-7-1 at home.

Saints (11-3) @ Titans (8-6)— Tennessee is tied for last Wild Card slot; Saints are fighting for first round bye in playoffs. NO won nine of last 11 games, winning last five on road; they’re 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite, 2-0 TY. Saints are 8-0 TY when giving up less than 26 points. Tennessee won four of its last five games; they outscored last four foes 101-35 in 2nd half. Titans are 4-3 SU at home TY; they’re 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a home underdog. Seven of their last eight games went over the total. Titans won three of last four series games; teams split last two meetings played here. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 6-8-1 ATS, 2-1 on road; AFC South underdogs are 10-10 ATS, 4-2 at home.

Giants (3-11) @ Redskins (3-11)— Giants (-3) outgained Washington 389-176, scored defensive TD in their 24-3 home win in Week 4, when rookie Haskins relieved starter Keenum. Teams split last six series games; Giants won four of last six visits here. Haskins is now the Redskins’ starter, going 2-4 in last six games; Washington scored 23.7 ppg in last three games, scoring 8 TD’s on last 31 drives. Over last 11 years, Skins are 12-21 ATS as a home favorite, 0-1 TY. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Giants snapped a 9-game losing skid LW; they lost their last five road games. Big Blue’s only road win was 32-31 at Tampa Bay when Bucs missed short FG at end. Giants are 14-7 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog, 4-2 TY.

Steelers (8-6) @ Jets (5-9)— Pittsburgh won seven of last nine games after a 1-4 start; they were held to 7-10 points in last two losses. Rookie Hodges is 3-1 as a starter; Pitt allowed 17 or fewer points in last four games- they’re 3-3 SU on road TY, 4-9 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite, 1-1 TY. Jets won four of last six games after a 1-7 start; they’re 5-0 when they score 22+ points, 0-9 when they don’t. Jets scored 30 ppg in winning their last three home games. Over last 11 years. they’re 22-12-2 ATS as a home underdog, 3-2 TY. Steelers won three of last four series games; underdogs won four of last five meetings played here SU. AFC North non-divisional road favorites are 4-2; AFC East underdogs are 11-10-1 ATS, 5-4 at home.

Bengals (1-12) @ Dolphins (3-11)— Redskins/Dolphins favored in same week? Oy. Cincy lost its last two games, outscored 34-9 in 2nd half. Obviously they’re better with Dalton at QB, but he threw four picks vs NE LW. Bengals are 12-4 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog, but they are 0-6 SU in true road games TY. Miami won two of last three home games, covered three of last four; they’re 3-1-2 ATS in last six games as a home favorite (0-0 TY). Dolphins scored only 18 points on last eight red zone drives- they covered seven of last ten games overall. Four of their five games went over. Teams split last eight meetings; Bengals won last two, 27-17/22-7. Teams split last two meetings played here. AFC North non-divisional road underdogs 6-3 ATS.

Panthers (5-9) @ Colts (6-8)— Rookie QB Grier gets first NFL start here, for team that lost its last six games and already fired its coach. Carolina is minus-8 (1-9) in turnovers the last three weeks; QBs making their NFL debut TY are an amazing 9-3-1 ATS. Last four Panther games went over total. Short week for Indy after their no-show in Superdome Monday nite; Colts allowed 9.3/10.2 yards/pass attempt in last two games. Indy allowed 36.3 ppg in last three games; Colts allowed 774 PY in last two games- Winston torched them for 459 yards in Week 15. Carolina won three of last four series games; Panthers won last two visits here, by 8-3 points. NFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 6-8 ATS; AFC South home favorites are 4-7.

Ravens (12-2) @ Browns (6-8)— Browns (+7) averaged 10.5 yards/pass attempt, upset Ravens 40-25 in Baltimore back in Week 4; Ravens haven’t lost since. Baltimore won its last ten games, covering seven of last eight; they’ve scored 31 TD’s on last 63 drives. Ravens covered four of five games as a road favorite TY; they’re 9-12 ATS in last 21 games as a double digit favorite, 2-2 TY. Browns won their last four home games, are 7-16-1 ATS in last 24 games as a home underdog, 0-1 TY. Cleveland allowed 451-445 TY in last two games; they’re 0-4 giving up 400+ TY. Three of their last four games went over. Cleveland won last two series games, after losing 19 of previous 21 meetings. Ravens won four of last five visits to Cleveland.

Cowboys (7-7) @ Eagles (7-7)— First place in NFC East is on line here. Cowboys are 7-0 when they score 31+ points, 0-7 when they don’t; Dallas ran ball for 263 yards in its easy win over the Rams LW- they ran ball for total of 294 yards in previous three games, all losses. Cowboys are 3-4 SU on road TY, 20-13 ATS in last 33 games as a road underdog, 1-0 TY. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Eagles outscored opponents 47-13 in 2nd half of last two games, both wins; since winning Super Bowl two years ago, Philly is 4-10 ATS as a home favorite, 2-4 TY. Cowboys ran ball for 189 yards, had four takeaways (+3) in 37-10 thrashing of Eagles in Week 7. Cowboys won five of last six series games; they won six of last seven visits to Philly.

Cardinals (4-9-1) @ Seahawks (11-3)— Seahawks are playing to maintain slim lead in NFC West, and first round bye that should come with it. Seattle (-5) won 27-10 at Arizona in Week 4; their fourth straight series win, first of the four that was by more than six points. Cardinals covered last four trips to Seattle, winning three of them SU. Arizona snapped a 6-game skid by beating Browns LW; they’ve covered five of six road games TY, surprising considering they’ve played rookie QB all year. Redbirds are 7-3 ATS in last 10 games overall. Seattle won six of its last seven games; they’re 6-11-1 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite, 2-4 TY. Seahawks have 13 takeaways in their last four games (+7). Four of their last six games went over.

Chiefs (10-4) @ Bears (7-7)— Chiefs won/covered their last four games, allowing total of only 28 points in last three; they outscored last three opponents 56-10 in first half. KC is 13-7 ATS in last 20 games as a road favorite, 3-2 TY. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Chicago won three of last four games; they’re in a Packer/Viking sandwich here. Bears won their last three home games, are 10-2-2 ATS in last 14 games as a home underdog, 1-0 TY. Six of their last eight games went under. Teams split last four series games; underdogs covered last three. Teams split last four series games played here. AFC West non-divisional favorites are 7-12 ATS, 3-4 on road; NFC North underdogs are 6-7 ATS, 3-2 at home.

 
Posted : December 22, 2019 9:53 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60777
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Topic starter
 

NFL
Dunkel
Sunday, December 22

Jacksonville @ Atlanta

Game 461-462
December 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
120.208
Atlanta
137.455
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 17
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 7
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-7); Under

Cincinnati @ Miami

Game 469-470
December 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
123.290
Miami
120.279
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 3
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
Pick
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
Under

New Orleans @ Tennessee

Game 463-464
December 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
136.366
Tennessee
138.551
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 2 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 3
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(+3); Over

Carolina @ Indianapolis

Game 471-472
December 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
122.947
Indianapolis
127.682
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 4 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 7
46
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+7); Over

Pittsburgh @ NY Jets

Game 467-468
December 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
131.885
NY Jets
125.493
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 6 1/2
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-3); Under

NY Giants @ Washington

Game 465-466
December 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
124.891
Washington
122.925
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
42
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(+2 1/2); Over

Baltimore @ Cleveland

Game 473-474
December 22, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
141.859
Cleveland
134.343
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 7 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 10
48
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+10); Over

Oakland @ LA Chargers

Game 459-460
December 22, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
119.554
LA Chargers
128.202
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 8 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 6
46
Dunkel Pick:
LA Chargers
(-6); Under

Detroit @ Denver

Game 457-458
December 22, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
121.968
Denver
131.636
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 9 1/2
34
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 6 1/2
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-6 1/2); Under

Dallas @ Philadelphia

Game 475-476
December 22, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
131.171
Philadelphia
132.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+2 1/2); Under

Arizona @ Seattle

Game 477-478
December 22, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
127.958
Seattle
133.065
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 5
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 10
51
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+10); Under

Kansas City @ Chicago

Game 479-480
December 22, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
142.608
Chicago
130.056
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 12 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 5
45
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-5); Over

 
Posted : December 22, 2019 9:55 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60777
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Best spot bets for the NFL Week 16 odds: Home for the holidays could be bad for Broncos
Jason Logan

Denver doesn’t have a great history when laying the lumber in Mile High, going just 2-7-2 ATS in those spots since 2017, and is a 6.5-point favorite hosting Detroit in a tough schedule spot in Week 16.

Checking off that long Christmas list isn’t the only shopping you should do this week. If you’re betting the NFL odds for Week 16, be on the lookout for good deals going against teams walking into tough situational spots this weekend.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gift wraps his favorite spot bets for Week 16, including his top lookahead, letdown and schedule spots.

LETDOWN SPOT: NEW YORK GIANTS AT WASHINGTON REDSKINS (-2.5, 42)

After an uncomfortable (but necessary) move to replace veteran QB and two-time Super Bowl champ Eli Manning with rookie passer Daniel Jones back in Week 3, the Giants were able to give Eli a proper sendoff last Sunday.

With Jones out with an injury, Manning was thrust back under center and picked up a win over Miami in what could be his final game inside MetLife Stadium. It was a fitting ending to his polarizing career, but the catch is that it isn’t over yet. New York still has two more games to play, starting in Washington this week (then closing versus Philadelphia at home in Week 17).

Jones could return for Sunday but there’s a good chance its Manning again, leaving the rookie to take the reigns the following week in the season finale. It’s strange to find a team ripe for a letdown off a victory against the Dolphins, but with the feel-good finish to last Sunday’s festivities, the G-Men could come into D.C. a little flat. The Redskins are playing their best football of the season with a 3-1 ATS mark over their last four games, including a bad beat for Washington bettors in the dying seconds of Sunday's loss to Philadelphia.

LOOKAHEAD SPOT: ARIZONA CARDINALS AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-9.5, 50.5)

When playoff position is changing with every win and loss, it’s tough to single out a proper lookahead spot in Week 16. The Seahawks are our default selection this week, giving almost 10 points to the visiting Cardinals with a massive matchup against the 49ers set for Week 17.

Seattle took over the top seed in the NFC with its win over Carolina and San Francisco’s folly against Atlanta in Week 15. The Seahawks stuck to their trend of making bettors sweat it out a little more than they’d like, beating the Panthers 30-24 as 6-point home chalk (despite holding a 30-10 lead in the fourth quarter). On the season, all but one of Seattle’s 11 victories have come by one score (eight points or less) and four of those have been by a field goal or fewer.

The only comfortable win for Seahawks bettors was a 27-10 victory over Arizona back in Week 4. But with Seattle looking ahead to the 49ers and perhaps pulling some starters if they get up, this big spread opens the backdoor for Cardinals bettors (Seahawks getting outscored 11.3 to 6.7 in the fourth quarter over their last three games). The underdog is also 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine head-to-head meetings between these NFC West rivals.

SCHEDULE SPOT: DETROIT LIONS AT DENVER BRONCOS (-6.5, 38)

Everyone wants to be home for Christmas. Hell, there’s even a classic Xmas song about it. But when it comes to the Broncos return to the Mile High City to play Detroit in Week 16, a trip home could bring with it extra baggage. And, as dear Vegas wiseguy once told me, not all home games are a good thing.

Denver is gassed after being on the road for four of its last five games, including back-to-back away tilts at Houston and Kansas City heading into Week 16. All that time spent in practice, on planes and in hotels makes prepping for the holidays extra tough. With family coming to town, players are arranging accommodations and tickets, and off-field distractions can compound when you have a losing team already frustrated with the way things are operating. Pile on the bad press and media blitz around the Broncos’ future, and Denver could have a Clark Griswold-sized Xmas melt down on Sunday.

The Broncos have been a solid bet at home, going 4-2 ATS as hosts this season, but are rare home favorites to the Lions this Sunday, giving 6.5 points. Denver doesn’t have a great history when laying the lumber in Mile High, going just 2-7-2 ATS in those spots since 2017.

 
Posted : December 22, 2019 9:56 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60777
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Topic starter
 

NFL Betting Stats heading into Wk 16:

Road Teams: 124-94-6 ATS
Home Teams: 94-124-6 ATS

Favorites: 100-118-6 ATS
Underdogs: 118-100-6 ATS
Home Faves: 56-80-5 ATS
Home Dogs: 38-44-1 ATS

Road Faves: 44-38-1 ATS
Road Dogs: 80-56-5 ATS

O/U: 110-114

NFL's Top ATS Teams:

1. Bills 9-4-1 ATS
t2. Steelers 9-5 ATS
t2. Chiefs 9-5 ATS
t2. Saints 9-5 ATS
t2. Rams 9-5 ATS
t2. Packers5-1 ATS
t7. Niners 8-5-1 ATS

NFL's Worst ATS Teams:

32. Bears 4-10 ATS
31. Chargers 4-8-2 ATS
t30. Jets 5-9 ATS
t30. Bengals 5-9 ATS
t30. Eagles 5-9 ATS
t30. Lions 5-9 ATS
t26. Bucs 5-8-1 ATS
t26. Browns 5-8-1 ATS

 
Posted : December 22, 2019 9:57 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60777
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Tech Trends - Week 16
Bruce Marshall

Saturday, Dec. 21

HOUSTON at TAMPA BAY (NFL, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Texans 9-3-1 vs. spread away since early 2018. Bucs have won last 4 SU but 0-5 vs. spread at Tampa TY. Bucs also on 12-3 “over” run since late 2018.
Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Texans, based on “totals” and team trends.

BUFFALO at NEW ENGLAND (NFL, 4:30 p.m. ET)
Pats are 29-3 SU last 32 in series though Bills have won and covered 3 of last 5 at Gillette Stadium. Bills on 10-4-1 spread uptick since late LY, and 7-1-2 last ten as dog. Buff also “under” 10-3 TY. Note Belichick has had at least one 3-game winless spread streak in 6 of last 7 seasons (including 2019). Belichick “under” 17-5 last 22 reg season.
Tech Edge: “Under” and Bills, based on “totals” and recent trends.

L.A. RAMS at SAN FRANCISCO (FOX, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Rams on 11-5 spread run in reg season since late 2018. Niners, however, 8-5-1 vs. spread TY, and won handily at Coliseum Oct. 13. Rams also “under” 9-5 TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to 49ers and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Sunday, Dec. 22

JACKSONVILLE at ATLANTA (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Jags no wins or covers give of last six TY. Jax “over” Falcs on 5-2 spread uptick.
Tech Edge: Falcons, based on recent trends.

NEW ORLEANS at TENNESSEE (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Saints have won and covered last five on road TY, now 12-3 vs. spread as visitor since LY. Titans 6-2 SU and vs. line since Tannehill took over at QB, also “over” 7-1 run.
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

N.Y. GIANTS at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
G-Men have covered 5 of last 6 meetings including Sept. 29 win at MetLife. NY 10-3 as road dog since LY (4-2 TY). Skins no covers last 3 as chalk dating to 2018. “Unders” 5-1 last six meetings.
Tech Edge: Giants and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.

PITTSBURGH at N.Y. JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Steel on 8-3-1 run spread run TY, 3-1-1 last five away. Tomlin also “under” 11-3 TY and 16-5 last 21 since late LY. Jets 3-2 vs. spread last five at MetLife.
Tech Edge: Steelers and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

CINCINNATI at MIAMI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Cincy 8-2 vs. line last 10 as true visitor, “under” 11-6-2 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: "Under” and Bengals, based on series and “totals” trends.

CAROLINA at INDIANAPOLIS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Panthers fading, 0-6 SU and 1-4-1 vs. line last six TY, no covers last four on road, also on 11-4 “over” run. Though Colts just 1-6 SU last 7 after Saints loss. Indy also “over” 10-6 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Colts and slight to "over," based on team and “totals” trends.

BALTIMORE at CLEVELAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Browns have covered last three in series, including 40-25 win at M&T Bank on Sept. 29. Cleveland also has won 4 in a row SU at home (3-0-1 vs. line those games). But Ravens have won 10 in a row SU since and covered 7 of last 8 TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Ravens, based on recent trends.

DETROIT at DENVER (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Lions on 1-8 spread skid, Denver 7-3 last 10 vs. line & 17-6 "under" run.
Tech Edge: Broncos and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

OAKLAND at L.A. CHARGERS (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Last game in Carson! Chargers 4-10 vs. spread TY, 1-7 vs. spread last 8 in Carson. Bolts had won and covered 4 in a row in series before loss at Coliseum on Nov. 7. Raiders however no covers last five TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Raiders, based on team trends.

DALLAS at PHILADELPHIA (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Eagles 11-21-1 vs. spread in reg season since late 2017, have also lost and failed to cover last four vs. Cowboys. Dallas struggling a bit but 5-6 last ten vs. line TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Cowboys, based on team trends.

ARIZONA at SEATTLE (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Cards had covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 in series prior to loss on Sept. 29. Seattle on 15-7 “over” run.
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

KANSAS CITY at CHICAGO (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Chiefs 5-2 vs. spread away TY, Bears only 2-8 vs. line last 10 TY. Chicago on 16-5 “under” run since late 2018, Chiefs “under” last 4 TY.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Chiefs, based on “totals” and team trends.

Monday, Dec. 23

GREEN BAY at MINNESOTA (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Series “under” 4-1 last five. Vikes 7-3 vs. spread last ten at US Bank, and have won and covered last 3 as host vs. Pack.
Tech Edge: Vikings and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

 
Posted : December 22, 2019 9:57 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60777
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NFL Week 16 betting cheat sheet: Impact injuries, weather, Pros vs Joes and more
Patrick Everson

A shoulder issue isn't expected to sideline Dak Prescott for Dallas' huge game at Philadelphia.

NFL Week 16 has a quarterback who might not be 100 percent, but he is in no position to sit out. We check in on everything from injury updates to weather to Pros vs. Joes clashes and more, with insights from Eric Osterman, manager at The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

Injury Impact

DALLAS COWBOYS: Quarterback Dak Prescott has an injury to his right (throwing) shoulder, but with the Cowboys and Eagles in a battle for the NFC East title, the Dallas QB can ill afford to rest. “Prescott is going to play, but we expect him to be somewhat limited,” Osterman said. “We’re at Cowboys -1.5, and it had been Cowboys -2.5.”

MINNESOTA VIKINGS: Running back Dalvin Cook (chest) seems unlikely to play, in a key NFC North clash against visiting Green Bay on Monday night. But The SuperBook was prepared for that possibility. “We expected Cook to be out. That line has actually moved in the Vikings’ favor.” Indeed, the Vikings opened -4.5 and reached -5.5 midweek.

HOUSTON TEXANS: Running back Carlos Hyde (ankle), who has 1,030 yards on the ground and is averaging 4.6 yards per carry, is questionable at Tampa Bay. However, Osterman said The SuperBook made no move off that information yet. The Texans are 3-point favorites.

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS: Quarterback Jameis Winston (thumb/knee) is questionable, but oddsmakers believe he’ll play against Houston. “Winston was questionable with the same injury last week and played well, so no move.” The Bucs are 3-point home underdogs.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: Wideout Julian Edelman (knee/shoulder) is questionable, although that seems to be the case every week, so there’s been no adjustment. “We’ve learned to kind of ignore the Pats’ injury report unless there is more tangible evidence of someone being out. They list a lot of guys as questionable every week.” New England is laying 6.5 at home against Buffalo on Saturday.

OAKLAND RAIDERS: Running back Josh Jacobs (shoulder), who has 1,150 rushing yards and averages 4.8 yards per carry, is out for the Raiders’ game at the Los Angeles Chargers. “Jacobs is worth a half-point to the spread and the total. He’s their main source of offense right now.” The Raiders are 7.5-point underdogs, with the total at 45.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS: The defense isn’t as banged up as last week, when several players were out or questionable, but end Dee Ford (quad/hamstring) is among those who won’t play. However, there was no adjustment, and the 49ers are 6.5-point home favorites against the Rams on Saturday night.

Weather Watch

BUFFALO AT NEW ENGLAND: The middle layer of Saturday’s three-game NFL sandwich will be a chilly one, with the temperature around 30 for a 4:25 p.m. ET start. “The total has come down 1.5 points. Some of that move has to do with the weather, but both teams are also a little banged up.” The total actually dipped 2 points, from 38.5 to 36.5, but rebounded to 37 Thursday.

CINCINNATI AT MIAMI: A battle among two of the league’s worst teams could be played in the South Florida rain. There’s an 80 percent chance of thunderstorms Sunday. However, Osterman said that hasn’t yet impacted the total, which sits at 46.

OAKLAND AT LOS ANGELES CHARGERS: There’s a 50 percent chance of rain in L.A. on Sunday. “The total has come down 1.5 points. That’s more to do with Josh Jacobs being out than the weather.” The total is at 45.
Pros vs. Joes

DALLAS AT PHILADELPHIA: “The only game that is Pros vs. Joes is this one. The public has been all over the Cowboys, but the line has come down with concern over Dak Prescott’s shoulder. We got some early sharp money on the Eagles at +3 (-120). We are currently at Cowboys -2.”

Reverse Line Moves

DALLAS AT PHILADELPHIA: A repeat of the Pros vs. Joes, with sharp action coming in on the Eagles, but more money flowing toward the Cowboys for Sunday’s NFC East showdown.

 
Posted : December 22, 2019 9:58 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60777
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Vegas Money Moves - Week 16
December 20, 2019
By Micah Roberts

One of the most popular sides bet by respected money in Sunday’s Week 16 NFL action has been the Titans at home against the Saints.

The Saints are fighting for home field in the NFC while the Titans might already know if their playoff hopes have been wiped away if the Texans win at Tampa Bay, one of three NFL games played on Saturday.

”They took the Titans at +3 and +3 -120, so I moved it to +2 making us the lowest number in the market,” said CG Technology sportsbook director Tony DiTommaso. “I skipped 2.5 just because I wanted to get to where I thought it was going quicker.”

Jason McCormick of Station Casinos and Chris Andrews at the South Point both said the Titans were one of their most bet games by sharp money.

The attraction with the Titans could simply be a matter of taking the home +3, the most key number in the NFL or it could be the Saints playing on a short week coming off an emotional game with Drew Brees passing Peyton Manning for the all-time record in TD passes.

But the possible emotions of the Titans being eliminated has to mean something to the number. We’ll see where the number goes if the Texans win Saturday, something that large money has already bet will happen.

“They bet the Texans at -2 and -2.5 and we’re at -3 (-120) now,” DiTommaso said. “I don’t get the total move in that game. They’ve been betting the Buccaneers under the past few weeks for some reason. We’re looking to stay ahead of the market at 50.5 and we’ll wait for one more large bet on it to drop it lower.”

The Buccaneers have gone over the total in 11 of their last 12 games and their defense allows 31 ppg at home, but the main driving force for the high scores has been Jameis Winston, who has thrown for over 450 yards in his last two starts. All season long Winston throws a bunch of interceptions allowing opponents several short field opportunities and then he throws three or four TD passes, and lately, he’s been winning. The Bucs have won their last four games as Winston auditions for a new contract.

“They (sharp money) laid -5.5 and -6 with the Chargers (vs. Raiders) and also -6.5 with the Broncos (vs. Lions),” DiTommaso said.

Most books have some variation of -7 with the Chargers while MGM books were holding onto -6.5 (-120) as of Friday afternoon. Both teams come in off lousy performances, and once again for the Chargers, home-field at Carson, CA, we can expect the opponent to have the home-field advantage. Expect Raider Nation to have a sea of black in the stands, for whatever that’s worth. Again, there is no home field value to the number. In fact, you could probably add +1 to the Raiders for the home-field.

The Lions have lost seven straight and are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine. The Broncos have looked good in their last three, winning two of them. The 38-24 win at Houston three weeks ago was their most impressive win of the season with the offense, defense, and special teams all playing key roles.

CG books also saw respected money come in on the Steelers (-3 at the Jets) and Bengals (-1 at Miami). “They took +1 and pick with the Bengals,” DiTommaso said. The South Point has also taken sharp bets on the Bengals.

Westgate Superbook VP Jay Kornegay has seen his most sharp wagers on the Steelers, Titans, and Eagles (+3 vs. Cowboys).

Eagles money has forced every book to move with the lowest number being Cowboys -1.5 at MGM books. If the Cowboys win, they’ll win the NFC East. It’s probably the biggest game of Carson Wentz’s NFL career.

The top four public plays are just about the same everywhere. Books will be sweating all the parlays with the Chiefs (-6 at Chicago), Saints, Ravens (-10 at Cleveland), and 49ers (-6.5 vs. Rams).

The Chiefs have won and covered their last four games, while also staying under in all four. That’s a nice two-team, side-to-total parlay at 13-to-5 odds that could be active again with the Bears solid defense and improved Chiefs' defense. But the public weight on this game is something to consider with taking the points and Bears at home. Because it’s going to be the last NFL game posted Sunday night, the risk is going to be one-sided.

“We’re going to need to beat the Chiefs Sunday night and we’ll need the Packers on Monday as well,” said DiTommaso.

The Vikings are 5.5-point home favorites Monday night against the Packers after opening -4.5.

 
Posted : December 22, 2019 9:59 am
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