Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Sunday 12/30/18
Cowboys (9-6) @ Giants (5-10)— Cowboys clinched NFC East, have home playoff game next week, so this is meaningless for them. Dallas won three of its last four games; they’re 2-5 on road this year- they’re 5-4 vs spread as underdogs this year. Giants are 4-3 in last seven games, scoring 27+ points in five of those games; they were outscored 47-16 in second half of last three games. NY is 1-0-1 as a favorite this season. Dallas won 8 of last 10 series games, winning four of last six series games played here; Cowboys won first meeting 20-13 in Week 2, outrushing Giants 132-35. Three of last four Dallas games stayed under total; six of last seven Giant games went over.
Raiders (4-11) @ Chiefs (11-4)— KC needs win here to clinch AFC West and first-round bye, as well as home field edge thru AFC playoffs. Chiefs (-15) nipped Raiders 40-33 (-15) in Oakland four weeks ago; KC led 19-7 at halftime- they won seven of last eight series games, winning last five meetings here, four by 8+ points. Short week for Raiders after they beat Denver Monday; Oakland is 1-6 on road this season, 2-5 as road underdogs. KC is 2-3 in its last five games after a 9-1 start; Chiefs are 6-1 SU at home this year, but 0-4 vs spread in last four- they’ve given up 174.3 rushing yards/game in four games since their bye. Chiefs’ last five games, Oakland’s last three road games went over the total.
Panthers (6-9) @ Saints (13-2)— Teddy Bridgewater gets nod at QB for New Orleans, who clinched #1 seed in NFC; this game means nothing to them. New Orleans (-6) nipped Carolina 12-9 in Monday night slugfest two weeks ago, but Newton is out now and backup Heinecke (left elbow) was banged up. Rookie Allen (4-4 for 38 yards LW) would get nod if Heinecke can’t go. Panthers lost last seven games (1-6 vs spread), dropping last four road tilts (they were favored in three of those). Saints don’t need this game, so proceed with caution; NO covered four of its last five home games. Last four Carolina games stayed under the total; Panthers stayed under their team total six of last seven weeks. Under is 5-1 in Saints’ last six games.
Jets (4-11) @ Patriots (10-5)— New England needs win here to clinch #2 seed and bye next week in playoffs. Patriots ran ball for 215 yards in 27-13 (-9.5) win at Swamp Stadium in Week 12; NE had 10 plays of 20+ yards, gained 498 yards for game. Patriots are 13-2 in last 15 series games, winning last seven played here (41-3/26-6 last two years). Jets lost eight of their nine games; they’re 3-4 vs spread on road this year, two of five road losses by more than 7 points. Patriots split their last six games (2-4 vs spread); with WR Gordon gone, NE ran ball for 273 yards vs Buffalo LW. NE is 5-2 as home favorites this year, with five wins by 12+ points. Seven of last eight Patriot games stayed under total; last four Jet games went over.
Eagles (8-7) @ Redskins (7-8)— Eagles need win here and Viking loss to make playoffs; they beat Washington 28-13 (-6.5) four weeks ago, converting 7-13 on 3rd down, outgaining Skins 436-235. Philly won last three series games, by 13-10-15 points, after losing previous five in series- they lost three of last four visits here. Foles threw for 471 yards LW in 32-30 win over Houston; they won four of last five games, scoring 30-32 points vs Rams/Texans last couple games. Eagles are 2-4 in true road games, scoring 34-30 points in the wins; they’re 2-7 when they score less than 25 points. Redskins are playing their #4 QB; they lost five of last six games. Four of last five Philly games went over total; four of last six Redskin games also went over.
Lions (5-10) @ Packers (6-8-1)— Detroit led 24-0 at half, held on for 31-23 home win over Green Bay in Week 5; Packers threw for 423 yards, outgained Lions 521-264, but lost three fumbles (-3 in turnovers). Lions are 6-4 in last ten series games after a 1-15 skid; they won two of last three visits here, after an 0-24 drought. Lions lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 2-5 SU on road, 3-2 as road underdogs- Detroit got shut out in second half of last two games. Green Bay is 4-0-1 this season when they score 29+ points, 2-8 when they don’t; Packers are 5-1-1 at home this year, 3-3 as home favorite. Eight of last nine Detroit games, six of last nine Packer games stayed under the total.
Jaguars (5-10) @ Texans (10-5)— Houston needs win here and Patriot loss to jump up to #2 seed and first round bye. Texans (+5) won 20-7 at Jacksonville in Week 7; they had 16-yard edge in field position, in game where yardage was only 272-259, Texans. Houston is 12-4 in last 16 series games; Jaguars lost three of last four visits here. In their last four games, Jaguars scored two TD’s on 38 drives; they scored TD on special teams/defense in last two games. Jags are 2-5 in true road games, 1-2-1 as road underdogs. Houston won 10 of last 12 games with losses by total of five points; Texans are 3-4 vs spread as home favorites this season. Three of last four Jax games stayed under total; four of last six Houston games went over.
Browns (7-7-1) @ Ravens (9-6)— Ravens need win here to clinch AFC North and get home game in playoffs next week. Baltimore is 18-3 in last 21 series games, but lost 12-9 in OT at Cleveland in Week 5; Ravens didn’t score TD in game, kicking two FG’s in three trips to red zone. That was Mayfield’s first win as NFL starter- he threw for 304 yards. Cleveland has chance for winning season; they’ve won five of last six games, as Williams auditions for HC job. Browns are 3-3-1 as road underdogs this year. Ravens won five of last six games, covering last five; they’re 4-3 as a home favorite. Under is 3-0-1 in last four Cleveland games, 3-1 in Ravens’ last four. Under is 4-0-2 in Browns’ opponents’ total the last six games.
Falcons (6-9) @ Buccaneers (5-10)— Atlanta (-3.5) won first meeting 34-29 in Week 6, in game where Bucs outgained them 512-416. Falcons won last four series games; they’re 4-2 in last six visits to Tampa Bay. Average total in last five series games is 57.8. Atlanta won its last couple games, allowing 14-10 points; they’re 2-5 SU on road, 1-3 as road underdogs. Falcons are 4-1 when they allow 20 or less points, 2-8 when they allow more. Tampa Bay lost its last three games; they’re -22 in turnovers in their 10 losses, +4 in their wins. Bucs are 4-3 at home this year. 1-1-1 as home favorites- they were outscored 45-10 in second half of last three games. Five of last seven Falcon games stayed under total;
Dolphins (7-8) @ Bills (5-10)— Bills (+4.5) lost 21-17 at Miami four weeks ago, despite running ball for 198 yards and outgaining Dolphins 415-175. Buffalo is still 7-4 in last 11 series games, with four of last five decided by 6 or fewer points. Bills won five of last six series games played here. Miami is 4-8 in its last dozen games after a 3-0 start; Dolphins lost their last six road games, are 2-5 as road underdogs. In their last four games, Miami converted 7-37 third down plays. Buffalo lost three of its last four games; they’re 3-4 at home this year, 0-2 as home favorites. Bills are 1-10 when they allow more than 14 points. Under is 4-2-1 in last seven Miami games, 3-1 in Buffalo’s last four.
Bengals (6-9) @ Steelers (8-6-1)— Pitt needs win here and a Cleveland upset over the Ravens to make the playoffs. Steelers won 28-21 (+2.5) at Cincinnati in Week 6, outgaining Bengals 481-275. Cincy lost last seven series games, losing 24-16/29-14 in last two visits to Pittsburgh. Cincy lost eight of its last ten games overall; they’re 2-5 on road this year, but 5-2 vs spread as road underdogs. Pittsburgh lost four of its last five games; they’re 4-3 at home, winning four of last five. Pitt is 3-3 as home favorite this year. Steelers’ last three losses were all by three points, as Tomlin continues to struggle with game management. Over is 5-2-1 in Bengals’ last eight games; four of last six Steeler games stayed under.
Bears (11-4) @ Vikings (8-6-1)— Minnesota makes playoff with win here or an Eagle loss; Bears can get first round bye if they win and Rams get upset by SF. Chicago won/covered eight of last nine games; in their last three games, they allowed only one offensive TD on 31 drives. Chicago is 4-3 SU on road, 1-0 as road underdog. Minnesota won its last two games, allowing one TD on 22 drives; Vikings won/covered their last three home games. Bears (-2.5) beat Vikings 25-20 in first meeting in Week 11, outrushing Minnesota 148-22 and scoring a defensive TD in only their 2nd win in last eight series games. Chicago lost its last six visits to Minnesota. Four of last five Viking games, last three Chicago games stayed under total.
Chargers (11-4) @ Broncos (6-9)— To win AFC West and get first round bye, Chargers need win and Raiders to upset KC. Broncos upset Bolts 23-22 in LA in Week 11, when Chargers messed up clock management while trying to kill clock late in game. Denver won 12 of last 15 series tilts; Chargers lost last five trips to the Mile High City. LA won four of last five games; they’re 6-1 SU on road, with one loss to Rams in Coliseum- they’re 7-0 outside of LA, with last two road wins by total of four points. Short week for Denver after dismal Monday showing in Oakland; Broncos are 3-4 at home this year- six of those seven games were decided by 7 or fewer points. Under is 5-3-1 in Chargers’ last nine games; 6-1 in Bronco home games.
Cardinals (3-12) @ Seahawks (9-6)— Seahawks won five of last six games; they’re 5-2 SU at home, 3-1-1 as home favorites- they ran ball for 196 ypg the last four weeks. Arizona lost its last three games by combined score of 93-26; Cardinals are 3-4 as road underdogs this year. Seattle needs win to get #5 seed and avoid going to windy Chicago (probably) next week. Seahawks (-3.5) won 20-17 in Arizona in Week 4, running ball for 171 yards even though they were 0-10 on 3rd down conversions. Teams are 3-3-1 last seven times they met; last six meetings were all decided by 6 or fewer points. Arizona won 34-31/26-24/39-32 in last three visits here. Six of last seven Seattle games went over total; under is 3-1 in Arizona’s last four.
49ers (4-11) @ Rams (12-3)— Rams need win to get #2 seed in NFC and get next week off; they beat 49ers 39-10 (-9.5) in Week 7, with +4 turnover margin. LA won only four of last six series games, but Rams rested 20 starters in SF’s win here in Week 17 LY. 49ers are 0-7 SU on road, with four of seven losses by 8+ points; they’re 2-4 as road underdogs- their last three games (all at home) were all decked by 6 or fewer points. Niners scored only one TD on 19 drives in their last two games. Rams are 3-8 vs spread in last 11 games, losing two of last three SU; they ran ball for 269 yards in rout of Arizona LW. LA is 6-1 SU at home, 3-4 as home favorite this year. Under is 6-3 in 49ers’ last nine games, 3-1 in Rams’ last four.
Colts (9-6) @ Titans (9-6)— Mariota is banged up; Titans signed Austin Davis as #3 QB, have to check Mariota’s status- Cassel is #2 QB. Winner plays a playoff game next week; loser starts preparing for the draft. Colts (-1.5) thrashed Tennessee 38-10 at home in Week 12, their 17th win in last 20 series games. Indy won five of last six visits here. Indy won eight of last nine games, rallying back from down 14-0 at home to nip Giants LW. Colts are 3-4 on road, 4-3 vs spread. Tennessee won last four games, allowing total of 25 points in last three, giving up 2 TD’s on 27 drives). Titans are 6-1 SU at home, 2-2 as home favorites. Under is 4-1-1 in Colts’ last six games, over is 4-1 in Tennessee’s last five games.
NFL
Long Sheet
Week 17
Sunday, December 30
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DALLAS (9 - 6) at NY GIANTS (5 - 10) - 12/30/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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OAKLAND (3 - 11) at KANSAS CITY (11 - 4) - 12/30/2018, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 4-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CAROLINA (6 - 9) at NEW ORLEANS (13 - 2) - 12/30/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NY JETS (4 - 11) at NEW ENGLAND (10 - 5) - 12/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHILADELPHIA (8 - 7) at WASHINGTON (7 - 8) - 12/30/2018, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DETROIT (5 - 10) at GREEN BAY (6 - 8 - 1) - 12/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 110-80 ATS (+22.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 192-138 ATS (+40.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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JACKSONVILLE (5 - 10) at HOUSTON (10 - 5) - 12/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CLEVELAND (7 - 7 - 1) at BALTIMORE (9 - 6) - 12/30/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ATLANTA (6 - 9) at TAMPA BAY (5 - 10) - 12/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 32-54 ATS (-27.4 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MIAMI (7 - 8) at BUFFALO (5 - 10) - 12/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
MIAMI is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) in December games since 1992.
MIAMI is 58-84 ATS (-34.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MIAMI is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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INDIANAPOLIS (9 - 6) at TENNESSEE (9 - 6) - 12/30/2018, 8:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CINCINNATI (6 - 9) at PITTSBURGH (8 - 6 - 1) - 12/30/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CHICAGO (11 - 4) at MINNESOTA (8 - 6 - 1) - 12/30/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
CHICAGO is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.
MINNESOTA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
CHICAGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CHICAGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA CHARGERS (11 - 4) at DENVER (6 - 8) - 12/30/2018, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ARIZONA (3 - 12) at SEATTLE (9 - 6) - 12/30/2018, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 11) at LA RAMS (12 - 3) - 12/30/2018, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
LA RAMS is 190-239 ATS (-72.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 190-239 ATS (-72.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS is 147-190 ATS (-62.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 66-102 ATS (-46.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
__________________
NFL
Week 17
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Trend Report
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Sunday, December 30
Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans
Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 9 games when playing New Orleans
Carolina is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Carolina is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
New Orleans is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 12 games at home
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing Carolina
New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
New Orleans is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Carolina
New Orleans is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 2-7-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Jacksonville is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Jacksonville is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston
Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Jacksonville is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston Texans
Houston is 6-12-2 ATS in its last 20 games
Houston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games at home
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Detroit is 7-16-2 ATS in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Detroit is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Green Bay's last 9 games
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Green Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
Green Bay is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Detroit
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Atlanta is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 4-7-2 ATS in its last 13 games
Tampa Bay is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Dallas's last 24 games
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 11 games on the road
Dallas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Giants is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games
NY Giants is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
NY Giants is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Giants's last 19 games at home
NY Giants is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
NY Giants is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing Dallas
NY Giants is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
NY Jets is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games
NY Jets is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing New England
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 9 games when playing on the road against New England
New England Patriots
New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New England is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New England's last 8 games
New England is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 7 games at home
New England is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 9 games when playing at home against NY Jets
Miami Dolphins
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Buffalo is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Buffalo's last 13 games
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Buffalo's last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Miami
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Chicago is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Chicago is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 14 games when playing Minnesota
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Vikings
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 17-7-1 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Minnesota is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games at home
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago
Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Oakland is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Oakland's last 21 games
Oakland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Oakland is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 12 games at home
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Kansas City is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Oakland
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 7-17-1 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Cleveland is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Cleveland is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Baltimore's last 13 games
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games on the road
Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Philadelphia is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Washington
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Philadelphia's last 23 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Redskins
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Washington is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Washington is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Washington's last 23 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Arizona is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Arizona's last 25 games on the road
Arizona is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games
Seattle is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
Seattle is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games
San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
LA Rams is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
LA Rams is 0-3-2 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Rams is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 6 games at home
LA Rams is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
LA Rams is 6-14-1 SU in its last 21 games when playing San Francisco
LA Rams is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
LA Rams is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 9 games
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Chargers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 7 games on the road
LA Chargers is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Denver
LA Chargers is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 12 games when playing Denver
LA Chargers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver Broncos
Denver is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Denver is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games
Denver is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
Denver is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
Denver is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 12 games when playing LA Chargers
Denver is 3-8-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
Indianapolis is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 11 games on the road
Indianapolis is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Tennessee
Indianapolis is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Tennessee
Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Tennessee is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Tennessee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games at home
Tennessee is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Indianapolis
Tennessee is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing Indianapolis
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Tennessee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
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Tech Trends - Week 17
Bruce Marshall
Sunday, Dec. 30
DALLAS at N.Y. GIANTS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
G-Men 1-5-1 vs. line at home this season, Cowboys on 5-1-1 spread run last seven TY. Dallas has won and covered last three meetings. Cowboys “under” 6-1 away TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Cowboys and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
CAROLINA at NEW ORLEANS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Panthers have dropped last seven SU this season (1-6 vs. line in those). Saints however only 1-3 vs. lien last four TY after after nine straight covers previous. Carolina “under” last four TY. Saints 6-1 vs. spread last seven reg season vs. Panthers (though L on Dec. 17).
Tech Edge: “Under” and Saints, based on “totals” and team trends.
N.Y. JETS at NEW ENGLAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Jets 7-3-1 vs. spread last 11 in series, though Pats covered first 2018 meeting at MetLife on Nov. 25. Last five “under” in series, Belichick “under” 14-6 in reg season since late 2017.
Tech Edge: “Under” and Jets, based on “totals” and team trends.
DETROIT at GREEN BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Lions have lost last five TY though 2-3 vs. line in those. Detroit also “under” last six this season. Lions have won and covered last three in series.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.
JACKSONVILLE at HOUSTON (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Jags won last week at Miami but still just 2-7-2 vs. line last 11 this season. Texans 5-2-2 last nine on board this season. Jags “under” 3-1 last 4 TY.
Tech Edge: Texans and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
ATLANTA at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Falcs have won SU last four meetings (3-1 vs. line in those games). Atlanta on first two-game win/cover streak of season entering finale. Bucs 3-1-2 vs. spread last six games TY. “Overs” 4-1 last five in series.
Tech Edge: Slight to “over” and Falcons, based on “totals” and series trends.
MIAMI at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Dolphins 1-5 SU and vs. line last six at Orchard park, only win was with Matt Moore at QB in 2016. Moore also won at Buffalo in 2011, so he’s only Miami QB to win or cover last seven at Ralph Wilson Stadium. Dolphins 1-5 vs. line last six on road this season.
Tech Edge: Bills, based on series and team trends.
OAKLAND at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Chiefs 0-5-1 vs. line last six and 1-6-1 vs. spread last right TY. But Raiders just 1-6 vs. line last seven away TY. KC “over” 4-0-1 last five TY. Chiefs have covered 4 of last 5 vs. Raiders at Arrowhead after Oakland had fared well on road in series.
Tech Edge: Chiefs and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Surprisingly, Birds just 5-11-2 vs. spread in reg season play since late 2017. Philly has still won and covered last three vs. Skins, though Jay Gruden has covered last two in 2018. last five in 2018. Falcs have covered 5 of last 6 in series.
Tech Edge: Slight to Redskins, based on team trends.
CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Browns 5-1 SU and vs. line last six this season, though Ravens on 4-0-1 spread uptick themselves. Ravens “under” 3-0-1 last four TY, and “unders” last four in series.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.
CINCINNATI at PITTSBURGH (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Bengals on surprise 3-game cover streak at moment, though Steelers have covered 5 of last 7 in series. Steel 0-3-1 vs. line last four as chalk TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Bengals, based on recent trends.
CHICAGO at MINNESOTA (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Bears have won and covered 7 of last 8 TY, though just 3-3 vs. spread last six away. Vikes have won and covered last two since DeFilippo dismissal, and have won last six as series host, covering last3 and 5 of those 6. Vikes “under” 6-2 last eight TY.
Tech Edge: Vikings and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.
L.A. CHARGERS at DENVER (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Bolts 6-1 vs. spread as visitor this season (not counting London neutral game). Denver streaky vs. line this season, but “under” trend since late LY has endured (14-4 “under” last 18 into Oakland on Monday).
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Chargers, based on “totals” and team trends.
ARIZONA at SEATTLE (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Cards faltering down stretch, just 1-5 SU and vs. line last six TY. Meanwhile hawks on 8-2-1 spread surge into finale, and “over” 6-1 last seven. Cards have surprisingly won and covered last three and 4 of last 5 at Seattle since 58-0 loss in 2012.
Tech Edge: Seahawks and slight to “over,” based on recent team and “totals” trends.
SAN FRANCISCO at L.A. RAMS (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Niners 6-1 SU and vs. line in last four games of season for Kyle Shanahan since a year ago. Rams only 3-7-2 last 12 on board this season. Niners actually 5-1 vs. spread last six in series.
Tech Edge: 49ers, based on team and series trends.
INDIANAPOLIS at TENNESSEE (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Andrew Luck is 10-0 SU in games he has started against Titans in career, including 38-10 win at Lucas Oil on Nov. 18. Colts had been “under” five straight prior to Giants game. Titans only 2-4 vs. line last six TY and “under” 10-6 in reg season since late 2017.
Tech Edge: Colts and slight to “under,” based on series and recent “totals” trends.
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Underdogs to Watch - Week 17
Will Dogs Face Uphill Battle in Week 17?
If you’re an NFL betting enthusiast that is looking for underdogs that are offering a great chance to cash in on their Week 17 NFL odds, then you’re going to enjoy the expert betting analysis and predictions that you’re about to get on three Week 17 dogs that look like they’re all going to challenge for the ATS cover at the very least this coming weekend.
While the vast majority of favorites on this week’s schedule have plenty of motivation to win and improve their chances of reaching the postseason, let’s get to my trio of expert Week 17 NFL picks featuring three underdogs that look like they’ll all challenge for the ATS cover in their respective matchups.
NY Jets (4-11) at New England Patriots (10-5)
When: Sunday, December 30, 2018 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
NFL Odds: New England -13.5
Total: 45.5
The New York Jets may have lost two straight games heading into their regular season finale, but they’ve played some very competitive football in each of their last three games. The Jets beat the Bills 27-23 in Week 14 before narrowly falling to Houston 29-22 the following week. While New York fell apart late to lose to Green Bay 44-38 in overtime last weekend, again, they've been very competitive recently if nothing else.
While the Jets are playing well right now, the same definitely can’t be said about Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. Yes, the Pats picked up a 24-12 win over Buffalo last weekend to snap a surprising two-game losing streak, but they didn’t look very good as
Tom Brady was limited to just 126 passing yards with one TD and two picks. Prior to their most recent effort, New England lost to awful Miami 34-33 in Week 14 before falling against Pittsburgh 17-10 the following week.
There’s a reason why 61 percent of public bettors are backing the Jets to cover the chalk in this one and it’s because the Patriots have looked mediocre at best and New York is getting almost two touchdowns.
The Jets have gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and 16-7-3 ATS in their last 26 games in December. New England Patriots are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games against their AFC counterparts and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 dates against the Jets.
I’m not expecting Tom Brady to play the entirety of this one, making the Jets a great underdog pick this weekend.
Pick: NY Jets +13.5
Philadelphia Eagles (8-7) at Washington Redskins (7-8)
When: Sunday, December 30, 2018 at 4:25 PM ET
Where: FedExField, Landover, Maryland
NFL Odds: Philadelphia -6.5
Total: 42
Sure, the Philadelphia Eagles have looked fantastic in winning two straight with veteran backup Nick Foles back as the starter for an injured Carson Wentz, but Washington certainly isn’t going to roll over in this divisional matchup and regular season finale and the Redskins have a good enough defense to make this one a close affair if you ask me.
While Philly has put at least 30 on the board the last two weeks and comes into this contest off a thrilling 32-30 win over Houston last weekend, but Washington ranks a respectable 14th in points allowed (22.3 ppg) and they’ve got a running back that chew up the clock in the ageless Adrian Peterson and a veteran quarterback that is pretty careful with the ball in Josh Johnson.
I know Washington has struggled mightily since losing starting quarterback Alex Smith a few weeks back and that they come into this contest off a humbling 25-16 loss against Tennessee last weekend and they’ve beaten Philadelphia three times in their last four home dates against the Birds.
The Skins are also 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss while Philadelphia has gone 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against their NFC East division rivals and 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win. A lot of folks are backing the Birds to win and cover, but I’m thinking a field goal finish is just as likely.
Pick: Washington +6.5
Chicago Bears (11-4) at Minnesota Vikings (8-6)
When: Sunday, December 30, 2018 at 4:25 PM ET
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota
NFL Odds: Minnesota -5
Total: 41
Chicago has won three straight games and eight of their last nine games overall. The Bears come into this contest off a surprisingly difficult 14-9 win over San Francisco last weekend and they beat the Vikings 25-20 in Week 11 to cash in as a 2.5-point home favorite that day. Minnesota has looked a lot better the last two weeks after making a change at the offensive coordinator position. First, the Vikings absolutely crushed Miami 41-41 in Week 15 and then they man-handled Detroit en route to a 27-9 win last weekend.
However, for this season-ending matchup, you should know that Chicago is now the better statistical team on both sides of the ball and it would appear that young signal-caller Mitch Trubisky is now better than Minnesota veteran Kirk Cousins. The Bears ranks ninth in scoring (26.5 ppg) and third in points allowed (18.2 ppg) and I believe their excellence on both sides of the ball will be more than enough to help them cover the chalk against a desperate Minnesota team that needs a win here to punch their ticket to the postseason.
The Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games and have won four of their last six road games outright. Chicago is also an unblemished 6-0 ATS in their last six games against their NFC North division rivals and 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings against the Vikings. I like Minnesota for the outright win, but Chicago has more than enough talent and desire on both sides of the ball to cover the chalk.
Pick: Chicago Bears +5
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Sunday Blitz - Week 17
By Kevin Rogers
GAMES TO WATCH
Bears at Vikings (-5, 40 ½) – 4:25 PM EST
Chicago (11-4 SU, 11-4 ATS) has put together the best turnaround in the NFL by capturing the NFC North title one season after finishing 5-11 and in last place. The Bears still have a shot at clinching a first-round bye with a victory and a Rams’ loss, but Chicago is guaranteed at least one home playoff game after rallying past San Francisco last Sunday, 14-9. Chicago barely cashed as four-point favorites thanks to the Bears’ defense keeping the Niners out of the end zone and taking the lead for good on Jordan Howard’s two-yard touchdown run in the third quarter.
The Vikings (8-6-1 SU, 8-6-1 ATS) control their own destiny for a playoff spot as a win gets them in the postseason. Minnesota is coming off its second consecutive victory after routing Detroit last Sunday at Ford Field, 27-9 to cash as 6 ½-point favorites. The Vikings scored the final 27 points after limiting the Lions to three early field goals, while Kirk Cousins threw a trio of touchdown passes, including two to Kyle Rudolph. However, seven of Minnesota’s eight wins have come against teams owning losing records heading into Week 17.
In their first matchup at Soldier Field in a Week 11 Sunday night showdown, the Vikings fell in a 22-6 hole before scoring two late touchdowns in a 25-20 defeat to the Bears. Chicago held on for the cover as 2 ½-point favorites to avenge a pair of losses to Minnesota from 2017, as the Bears limited the Vikings to 22 rushing yards on 14 attempts. The Bears are listed as a road underdog for the first time since the season-opening one-point loss to the Packers, while posting a 2-1 ATS mark when receiving points.
Best Bet: Vikings 26, Bears 20
Browns at Ravens (-6, 41) – 4:25 PM EST
One month ago, it seemed like the Steelers would run away with the AFC North title. Following Pittsburgh’s recent meltdown, Baltimore (9-6 SU, 8-7 ATS) is in position to steal the division championship following a 5-1 surge under rookie quarterback Lamar Jackson.
The Ravens have been the ultimate roller-coaster ride in the NFL this season by starting 4-2, dropping three straight, then going on this hot stretch to reclaim the top spot in the North. The most recent win was the most impressive with Jackson under center by beating the red-hot Chargers in Week 16 as four-point underdogs, 22-10, while limiting an opponent to 21 points or less for the fifth time in six weeks.
Cleveland (7-7-1 SU, 9-6 ATS) has definitely turned heads this season following two years of dreadful play and only one win to show for it. The Browns have an opportunity to finish above .500 for the first time since 2007, while trying to close the season with four consecutive wins. Cleveland held off Cincinnati last Sunday, 26-18 as the Bengals scored two late touchdowns to cash as 10-point underdogs. However, the Browns enter Week 17 at 1-3 ATS in their past four chances as an underdog of five points or more.
Best Bet: Ravens 23, Browns 14
Eagles (-6 ½, 42) at Redskins – 4:25 PM EST
The defending champions are on the verge of being a one-hit wonder as Philadelphia (8-7 SU, 6-9 ATS) need a victory and a Minnesota loss to reach the playoffs. The Eagles dug themselves a 4-6 hole before winning four of the last five games to keep their hopes alive at a repeat. Philadelphia held off Houston in a shootout last Sunday, 32-30 at Lincoln Financial Field as Nick Foles continued his magic in place of Carson Wentz by throwing for 471 yards and four touchdowns.
The Eagles seek their fourth division win and a sweep of the Redskins (7-8 SU, 9-6 ATS) as Washington has lost five of six games down the stretch. Washington is down to its fourth quarterback of the season in journeyman Josh Johnson, as he has led the Redskins to a pair of ATS wins against the Jaguars and Titans. After Washington upended Jacksonville in Week 15, the Redskins hung with Tennessee by leading in the fourth quarter prior to allowing two late touchdowns in a 25-16 defeat as 12-point ‘dogs.
In their first matchup at the Linc earlier this month, the Eagles pulled away from the Redskins, 28-13 to cash as 5 ½-point home favorites. Washington captured five straight meetings over Philadelphia from December 2014 through December 2016, but the Eagles are riding a three-game winning streak over the Redskins since the start of last season.
Best Bet: Eagles 21, Redskins 17
SUPERCONTEST PICKS
Kevin Rogers (3-2 last week, 40-38-2 this season)
Redskins +6 ½
Ravens -6
Buccaneers -1
Vikings -4 ½
Rams -10
Chris David (2-3 last week, 50-29-1 this season)
Giants -6 ½
Chiefs -13 ½
Browns +6
Chargers -6 ½
Seahawks -13 ½
BEST TOTAL PLAY
UNDER 45 ½ - Lions at Packers (1-0 last week, 10-6 this season)
Detroit’s offense has been miserable down the stretch as the Lions have been limited to 20 points or less in eight of the past nine games. The Lions are riding a six-game UNDER streak as they travel to Green Bay to face the Packers. Green Bay is seeking consecutive wins for the first time this season following last Sunday’s dramatic overtime triumph over the Jets. The last six matchups between these NFC North rivals have finished OVER the total, but the Packers are 6-3 to the UNDER the last nine games since a 5-1 start to the OVER.
TRAP OF THE WEEK
Although both the Falcons and Buccaneers aren’t headed to the playoffs, Atlanta looks to avoid a 10-loss season with a victory at Raymond James Stadium. From 2013-15, the Falcons didn’t reach the playoffs. Why is that important for this contest? In all three of those season finales, the Falcons lost, including twice in the favorite role. Tampa Bay has covered four of its last five contests, while the Bucs have emerged victorious in Week 17 at home the last two seasons.
BIGGEST LINE MOVE
Although the Bills have not won a home game by more than three points this season, Buffalo went from a 3 ½-point favorite earlier in the week against Miami to a 5 ½-point favorite. The Bills lost to the Dolphins earlier this season, 21-17, while Buffalo owns an 0-2 ATS mark in the chalk role in 2018. Meanwhile, Miami has picked up only one road victory this season, which came back in Week 2 against the Jets, while the Dolphins have covered just one in six away defeats.
BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW
One team has failed to win a road game this season and it’s the San Francisco 49ers. It won’t be easy to break through the win column on Sunday as the Niners face the Rams, who need to win to secure a first round bye in the NFC playoffs. If San Francisco loses, it will mark the third straight season a team has posted an 0-8 record away from home (Cleveland in 2016-17), as the Niners seek their third road cover of the season.
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Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers
Sharp angle: Under (45.5)
Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
On the surface, the betting percentages and line movement look pretty standard for this over/under. The total opened at 44 and currently 70% of bets are taking the over. As a result of this lopsided betting, oddsmakers have adjusted the total up to 45.5.
However, a closer look shows sneaky sharp action on the under. Using our Sports Insights Bet Signals, we’ve tracked four separate steam and reverse line moves on the under.
Early on, sharps hit under 45 once and then under 44.5 twice. Once some late buyback pushed the total back up, that’s when sharps got down hard again on the under 45.5.
Why do sharps love this under?
First, we’re expecting some big crosswinds (13-15 mph) on the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field. Our Bet Labs data shows the under has hit at a 55.5% clip when wind speeds are 10 mph or more, winning more than 60 units since 2003.
Also, this is a classic divisional under. When two teams in the same division play each other, the built in familiarity leads to lower scoring games, especially late in the season. This under matches a profitable Bet Labs PRO system that is 62.1% since 2003.
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins
Sharp angle: Redskins (+7)
Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
This game means much more for Eagles than it does for the Redskins.
The Eagles (8-7) need to win and have the Vikings lose in order to make the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Redskins (7-8) have nothing to play for and start journeyman Josh Johnson under center.
This game opened at Eagles -7 and nearly 80% of bets are laying the points. However, we’ve seen this line remain stagnant throughout the week (it even briefly dipped to -6.5). The fact that it hasn’t moved to -8 or higher signals a sharp line freeze, with oddsmakers worried about Redskins liability.
We’ve tracked seven different steam and reverse line moves on the Skins at either +7 or +7.5, with only one conflicting play on the Eagles.
The Skins are a divisional dog with a low total (41.5) and also find themselves in prime fade the public territory, as they’re only getting 24% of bets (but 32% of dollars). This season, dogs getting less than 30% of bets have gone 61.5% against the spread.
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 47.5 to 45.5)
Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
Public bettors don’t know which way to go with this over/under. But wiseguys have made up their minds.
This total opened at 47.5 and bets are split right down the middle, 50/50. However, we’ve seen this line fall to 45.5. In a vacuum, a line shouldn’t move at all if the bets are even. So what caused this downward movement?
As always, follow the money.
Currently 95% of dollars are taking the under, signaling overwhelming smart money. Early on, sharps steamed the under 47.5. We haven’t noticed any conflicting over moves (or buyback).
This under also matches the Bet Labs PRO Divisional Unders system (62.1% since 2003).
An added bonus for wiseguys sweating the under: Steelers offensive star Antonio Brown may not play due a knee injury.
San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams
Sharp angle: Under (50 to 48.5)
Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
Sharps and squares (casual bettors who bet for fun) seem to be on the same page with this over/under.
The total opened at a relatively high 50. Currently 68% of bets and 86% of dollars are taking the under, evidence of heavy $5 average Joe bets, but also big money from respected players.
Sharps steamed the under 50 and under 49. This overload of sharp action forced Bookmakers to drop the total down to 48.5. The under 48.5 is juiced up to -115, signaling it may fall even further.
Once again, this under matches the profitable Bet Labs PRO Divisional Under system.
An added bonus for under backers: offensive juggernaut Todd Gurley has been ruled out for this matchup.
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans
Sharp angle: Titans (+3.5)
Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
Of all the Week 17 games, this one is by far the most important. The winner punches their ticket to the postseason, the loser goes home. No wonder the NFL flexed this game to primetime.
Despite both teams boasting 9-6 records and the Titans enjoying home field advantage, the public is loading up on Andrew Luck and the road favorite Colts. The sharps see a prime opportunity to capitalize on public bias and buy low on the Titans.
This line opened at Indy -2.5. Heavy public betting pushed this line to the key number of -3 and briefly to -3.5. That’s when wiseguys got down hard on Mike Vrabel’s crew.
We’ve tracked nine separate steam and reverse line moves on the Titans, with the vast majority of moves coming at Tennessee +3.5. This means the hook is critical, with sharps predicting a close game.
The Titans have excellent contrarian value, as they’re only getting 25% of bets in what will be the most heavily bet game of the day on Sunday Night Football.
UPDATE: Marcus Mariota was downgraded to doubtful (stinger) early Sunday morning, pushing the Titans from +3 to +4.5. Blaine Gabbert will start in Mariota’s place.
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