NFL Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Thursday 11/28/19

Bears (5-6) @ Lions (3-7-1)— Chicago is 5-0 when they allow 15 or fewer points, 0-6 when they allow more than 15; Bears lost five of last seven games, are 2-2 SU in true road games. Under Nagy, Chicago is 4-4 ATS as a road favorite, 1-1 TY. Bears’ last five games went under total. Detroit lost its last four games, none by more than 8 points; they’re 2-3 SU at home- since 2011, Lions are 7-16-1 ATS as a home underdog, 2-2 TY. Detroit scored 16+ points in nine of 11 games TY. Lions (+6.5) lost 20-13 in Chicago three weeks ago, despite outgaining Bears 357-226; Chicago won last three series games, by 7-12-7 points- their win here LY snapped a 5-game losing streak at Ford Field. Favorites are 4-0-1 ATS in last five series games.

Bills (8-3) @ Cowboys (6-5)— Buffalo is 7-0 when it scores 17+ points, 1-3 when they don’t; Bills won four of five road road games, with lone loss 19-16 (+3) in Cleveland. Under McDermott, Bills are 9-6-2 ATS as a road underdog, 2-0-1 TY. Three of their last four games went under. Dallas didn’t score TD in rain in Foxboro LW, after scoring 14 TD’s on 41 drives in previous four games. Cowboys are 0-4 TY vs teams with winning record; they’re 3-2 SU at home, 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite, 3-2 TY. Five of their last seven games went over. Dallas won three of last four series games, winning 44-7/10-6 in last two played here (last one in ’11). NFC East non-divisional home favorites are 3-6 ATS this season; AFC East road dogs are 4-4-1.

Saints (9-2) @ Falcons (3-8)— Atlanta (+13.5) stunned their rivals 26-9 in Superdome three weeks ago, sacking Brees six times; not often Saints play a game without scoring a TD- that was Saints’ only loss in last nine games. NO won its last four road games; they’re 9-3 ATS in ;last dozen games as a road favorite, 1-0 TY. Three of their last four road games went over. Atlanta laid an egg at home LW, after they had won couple in row; Falcons lost their last four home games- they’re 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a home underdog, 2-1 TY. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Falcons are 6-5 in last 11 series games; Teams split last eight series games played here. Underdogs are 7-3 ATS in last 10 series games.

Thursday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Bears (-3, 39) at Lions – 12:30 PM EST

These two struggling NFC North squads kick off Week 13 at Ford Field and play on Thanksgiving for the second straight season. Chicago (5-6 SU, 3-8 ATS) won for the second time in three weeks after holding off the Giants at Soldier Field, 19-14 on Sunday. The Bears failed to cover as six-point favorites as New York scored a late touchdown to get within the number, but Chicago posted 16 third quarter points to erase a 7-3 halftime deficit.

The Bears won in spite of rushing for 65 yards on 26 carries and quarterback Mitchell Trubisky getting intercepted twice. Chicago dropped to 1-6 ATS the last seven games, but the only positive note for the Bears is they have allowed 17 points or less in three consecutive contests, while hitting the UNDER in five straight games. However, the Bears have not won a game away from Soldier Field since a Week 3 blowout of the Redskins, 31-15 as five-point favorites.

The Lions (3-7-1 SU, 4-7 ATS) remain at the bottom of the NFC North after losing their fourth consecutive game in Sunday’s 19-16 setback to the Redskins. Washington picked up only its second win of the season in spite of not scoring an offensive touchdown as the Lions held the Redskins to four field goals and a kickoff return for a score. However, quarterback Jeff Driskel was intercepted three times and Detroit managed to lose even though it rushed for 175 yards.

Detroit lost its fourth straight road game and slipped to 0-3 ATS this season when listed as a favorite. The last time the Lions covered a game came in the Week 6 Monday night setback at Green Bay, 23-22 as 3 ½-point underdogs, as Detroit is riding an 0-6 ATS stretch the previous six weeks. To makes matters worse, the last home cover came in a Week 4 loss to Kansas City, while the only home ATS win for Matt Patricia’s team in a victory occurred in Week 2 against the Chargers.

These division rivals hooked up at Soldier Field in Week 10 as Chicago held off Detroit, 20-13 to barely cash as six-point home favorites. The Lions announced the morning of the game that veteran quarterback Matthew Stafford would not start due to a back injury, opening the door for Driskel to make his sixth career start. Driskel threw for 269 yards and led Detroit to an early 6-0 lead, but Chicago scored the next 20 points to take control of the game.

Chicago has captured the last three meetings with Detroit since the start of last season, including a 23-16 road triumph on Thanksgiving in 2018 as three-point favorites. Trubisky missed that win due to injury as backup Chase Daniel tossed a pair of touchdowns and Chicago overcame 38 yards rushing for the win thanks to a late Eddie Jackson interception return for a score.

Bills at Cowboys (-6 ½, 45) – 4:30 PM EST

Not many people thought going into the season that Buffalo would own two more wins than Dallas heading into their interconference Thanksgiving matchup. But, that’s the case as the Bills (8-3 SU, 7-3-1 ATS) are in a prime position to capture the top Wild Card spot in the AFC after cruising past the Broncos this past Sunday, 20-3. Buffalo easily cashed as 3 ½-point home favorites, while limiting the woeful Denver offense to nine first downs and 134 yards.

The Bills continue to dominate teams with losing records by improving to 7-2 against these struggling squads, although the only victory against a team with a winning record came at Tennessee in Week 5. Buffalo has excelled on the road this season by posting a 4-1 SU and 4-0-1 ATS mark, while allowing 20 points or fewer in all five away contests. The Bills were blown out by the Eagles in Week 8, but Philadelphia is now considered one of those clubs in the losing record category at 5-6. In the only loss against a team with a winning mark, the Bills covered as seven-point home underdogs against the Patriots in a 16-10 setback in Week 4.

Dallas (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS) owns the worst record of any division leader as the Cowboys still remain atop the NFC East despite falling short at New England on Sunday, 13-9. The Cowboys managed to cover as 5 ½-point road underdogs to move to 4-1 ATS the last five games. New England held Dallas to three field goals in awful weather at Gillette Stadium, while Cowboys’ quarterback Dak Prescott was limited to his lowest passing output of the season with 212 yards.

The Cowboys fell to 0-5 this season when scoring less than 30 points, while not beating a team that currently owns a winning record (Giants twice, Redskins, Dolphins, Eagles, Giants). Dallas went through an eight-year stretch from 2006 to 2013 posting a 7-1 record on Thanksgiving with the lone loss coming by three points to New Orleans in 2010. However, the Cowboys are 2-3 the last five on Turkey Day, but did knock off the Redskins last seasons, 31-23.

Dallas has lost five of its past seven matchups with AFC foes since 2018, while Buffalo is 3-1 in its previous four affairs with NFC opponents. The Bills defeated the Cowboys in their most recent meeting in 2015 in Buffalo, 16-6 as 6 ½-point favorites. The starting quarterback that day for Dallas was Kellen Moore, who is the team’s current offensive coordinator. Buffalo is making only its third appearance on Thanksgiving Day as the Bills try to improve on an 0-2 mark after losing in their last game back in 1994 at Detroit.

Saints (-7, 49) at Falcons – 8:20 PM EST

For the second time this month, New Orleans and Atlanta hook up as the Saints (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS) seek revenge for an ugly 26-9 loss at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The Falcons (3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS) closed as hefty 14-point road underdogs following their bye week (Saints were also off the bye) and were looking to snap a six-game skid. Atlanta did so with a dominating defensive effort as that side of the ball has let the Falcons down all season. The Falcons held the powerful Saints’ attack to 310 yards, while Matt Ryan threw two touchdown passes for Atlanta’s first victory since Week 2 against Philadelphia.

Atlanta’s two-game winning streak came to a crashing halt in last Sunday’s 35-22 home setback to Tampa Bay as 3 ½-point favorites. The Falcons’ defense has struggled all season, but it seemed like they were turning it around after allowing 12 points in road blowouts of the Saints and Panthers. However, Atlanta reverted back to its old ways by yielding 446 yards to a Tampa Bay team that had lost five of its previous six games.

The Saints’ offense topped the 31-point mark for the third time in four games since Drew Brees returned from his thumb injury as New Orleans edged Carolina last Sunday, 34-31. After the Panthers missed a go-ahead chip shot field goal, Brees drove the Saints down the field to set up the game-winning boot from Wil Lutz, but New Orleans failed to cash as 10-point favorites. Brees threw for 311 yards, while tossing three touchdowns for the third time in four games to build a commanding four-game edge over Carolina for first place in the NFC South.

New Orleans continues to have a seesaw effect on defense this season and if the trend stays true, expect another low-scoring output from the opposition. Since allowing 27 points to Seattle in Week 3, the Saints have given up 10, 24, 6, 25, 9, 26, 17, and 31 points, so there have not been consecutive rough defensive performances for Sean Payton’s team.

The Falcons slipped to 0-4 in their last four home games since knocking off the Eagles back in Week 2. In 2017 and 2018, Atlanta was not listed as a home underdog once; this season, Atlanta is received points at Mercedes-Benz Stadium three times and have gone 1-2 SU and 2-1 ATS in those contests. Since losing to the Rams in Week 2, the Saints have not dropped a game away from the Big Easy by posting a solid 4-0 SU/ATS record in the past four road contests.

These teams hooked up on Thanksgiving night last season in New Orleans as the Saints took care of the Falcons, 31-17 as 11 ½-point home favorites. Brees tossed four touchdown passes on only 15 completions for the Saints, who have lost two of the past three visits to Atlanta dating back to the 2016 season.

Total Talk - Thanksgiving
Joe Williams

It’s time to talk Thanksgiving totals, and we have an interesting trio of games on tap for your holiday viewing pleasure. Two of the three matchups are divisional matchups, as well as rematches, sandwiching a very intriguing AFC vs. NFC battle in the middle window. Through 58 divisional contests played in this year’s regular season, the ’under’ holds a 31-27. In the two earlier divisional matchups featuring Thursday’s combatants, the ‘under’ hit in both of the first installments.

Chicago at Detroit (FOX, 12:30 p.m. ET)

These teams met back in Week 10 at Soldier Field in Chicago with the Bears posting a 20-13 victory over Detroit. The under (38) never seemed to be threatened in that one despite the fact Chicago quarterback Mitchell Trubisky actually looked like an effective passer in that game. He tossed a season-best three touchdowns passes, easily besting QB Jeff Driskel, who is still filling in for the injured QB Matthew Stafford (back). While Trubisky threw for just 193 yards, his three touchdowns and no interceptions was easily his best ratio in that department, and his 131.0 QB rating was a season high.

The Bears enter this matchup on a 5-0 under run, as the offense continues to look rather slow and methodical, while the defense does its job more often than not. In other words, Chicago Bears football in a nutshell. Since a 25-point outburst, if you can call it that, against the Saints in Week 7, which happened to come after two weeks of studying and a bye, the Bears have posted totals of 16, 14, 20, 7 and 19. The defense was shredded for 36 in that Saints game, and that was by QB Teddy Bridgewater, by the way. Since, they have righted the ship with totals allowed of 17, 22, 13, 17 and 14. Again, Bears football.

There is no reason to believe anything will be different than the first meeting, as the Lions just cannot seem to get out of their own way. They’re coming off of a disappointing 19-16 loss at Washington last week, and many in the Twittersphere are calling for the Ford Family to pull the plug on the Matt Patricia experiment. Others are calling for boycotts of the Lions until they start winning. If that’s the case, Ford Field might be empty for a while.

The Lions had a potent passing attack under Stafford earlier in the season, going for 24 or more points in six of the first eight games, and 27 or more points on five occasions during the span. Since it was discovered Stafford had tiny fractures in his lower back. Driskel has taken over for three games and the results have not been good. While they did hoist up 27 points in a loss to Dallas in Week 11, they had the 13-point effort in Chicago and just the 16 points last week in D.C. The under is 2-1 in Driskel’s three assignments to date. It should be noted that Driskel is dealing with a hamstring injury which limited him in practice both Monday and Tuesday, although Monday’s status was just an estimation. In any event, if he cannot go it would be former Purdue signal called David Blough, engineer of the Ohio State upset last season, getting his first NFL start.

Overall Detroit has posted 378.5 total yards per game to rank ninth in the NFL, but most of that damage was down with a healthy Stafford. They’re just 18th in rushing yards per game, and 11th in points scored (23.6) and tumbling hard. Defensively they are just 29th in the league with 396.2 total yards per game allowed while yielding 275.5 passing yards per contest. They’re also 24th in rushing yards per game yielded at 120.7.

The under is a perfect 6-0 in Chicago’s past six inside the division, and 13-3 in the past 16 games overall. That includes a 5-2 mark in the past seven on the road, too. For Detroit, the over has hit in four straight at home, but the under is 5-1 in the past six inside the NFC North. The under has connected in six of the past eight meetings in this series, too.

This total opened 41 at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook and it's down to 38 as of Wednesday morning with one-sided action on the under.

Buffalo at Dallas (CBS, 4:30 p.m. ET)

The total for this game opened 45 and held steady before slipping ever so briefly to 44.5, but then it rose back to 45.5 and 46. You can likely continue to expect some fluctuation based upon the low-scoring total the Cowboys posted last week in New England, and based upon sensible bettors understanding Dallas was facing the No. 1 defense in the NFL in the rain and slop, and not to discard their offense too much. Statistically and records-wise, this should be the best matchup of the holiday.

The Bills hit the under in each of their first five games this season, and were actually the last NFL team to see an over result cash in 2019. While the over is 3-3 across the past six games for Buffalo since that 5-0 under run, keep in mind that two of their games came against the defensively-challenged Miami Dolphins, as Buffalo averaged 34.0 PPG in those two contests. Take the two Dolphins games out of the equation and the under is 8-1 for Buffalo in 2019.

The Cowboys haven’t beaten a team above .500 all season, going 0-4 straight up and 1-3 against the spread while splitting the over/under in four outings against winning sides. Meanwhile, the Bills have relished the opportunity to go on the road, going 4-1 SU and 4-0-1 ATS while the under has produced a 4-1 mark. Again, the outlier here was a Nov. 17 trip to Miami where they dropped a season-high 37. In their other four roadies the Bills mustered 17, 28, 14 and 16. While coughing up 16, 14, 7 and 19.

Buffalo’s defense has had it on lockdown all season, ranking third in the NFL in total yards allowed (288.6), passing yards allowed (184.3) and points allowed (15.7). Offensively they have managed to rank a very middling 18th in total yards (352.7) on offense, while posting just 213.5 yards per game through the air to rank 24th. In three games against the NFC East the Bills are averaging 21.7 PPG while yielding 18.0 PPG.

Despite a nary nine points last week in the muck at Foxboro, the Cowboys still rank No. 1 in total yards per game (433.4) on offense and No. 1 in passing yards (303.5). They’re also sixth in the league with 26.8 PPG. Defensively they rank seventh with 19.1 PPG allowed. At home, the Pokes have posted 35, 31, 24, 37 and 24, so the Bills defense likely will have its hands full. Defensively, Dallas is allowed 17, 6, 24, 10 and 28 in five home games, a huge array.

For what it’s worth, the last time these teams met it was a 16-6 Dallas victory back on Dec. 27, 2015. Another note, the Cowboys have scored 31 points in their last four wins on Thanksgiving Day but just 6, 14 and 10 points in their losses. The Team Total on the Cowboys for tomorrow is hovering between 26 and 27.

New Orleans at Atlanta (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)

The oddsmakers are expecting this game to be the highest-scoring battle on the three-game Thanksgiving slate. Of course, they expected that in the first game, too, and the Saints laid an absolute egg. Back in Week 10 the Falcons won outright as 14-point underdogs, shocking New Orleans in a 26-9 stunner. The nine points tied a season low for NOLA, and it marked just the second time the Saints high-octane offense was held out of the end zone this season, and first time with QB Drew Brees under center for an entire game (he left the Week 2 game at L.A. Rams early due to injury).

For the 14th season the NFL features a night game on Thanksgiving Day (can you believe it’s been that long?) and the under has connected in each of the past five seasons, with the low side 9-4 overall. Last season’s Thanksgiving Day game featured a total of 61.5, but these teams never threatened that in a 31-17 win by the Saints under the protection of their dome in the Big Easy.

The loss to the Falcons in Week 10 seems to have served as a wake-up call for the Saints, as they have hit 34 points on offense in each of their past two outings, a pair of ‘over’ results inside the division at Tampa Bay and home to Carolina in a game the Saints probably should have lost 34-31 if the Panthers had a reliable kicker. The over is 3-1 in the four divisional games so far for the Saints, and 3-1 in their past four games on the road, too. The Saints have posted 33, 13, 36 and 34 in their past four away from home.

Atlanta has been a Jekyll & Hyde team, and those type of teams are maddening to bettors. They allowed 28, 20, 27, 24, 53, 34, 37 and 27 through their first eight games. So, naturally, everyone expected the Saints to steamroll them with a cornucopia of offense, but they allowed just nine points on the road. Then, the Falcons topped by stuffing Christian McCaffrey and the Panthers in a 29-3 drumming in Charlotte. Naturally, they’d keep it up at home against turnover-prone Jameis Winston and the Bucs last week. Nah, they were trucked for 35. Who will show up this week?

The total is hovering around 48.5 and 49 points as of Wednesday, depending on the shop, and that’s a little less than the first meeting. That’s likely based on the trends of these teams lately, as well as in this season. The under is 7-0-1 in the past eight appearances for New Orleans on a Thursday, and 9-2 in their past 11 against teams with an overall losing record. The under is 4-1 in Atlanta’s past five, and 3-1-1 in their past five Thursday showings. The under is also 4-1 in the past five meetings, and 7-3 in the past 10 battles between the Georgia Dome and the Mercedes-Benz Dome in downtown Atlanta.

We've see the under go 7-5 in the night spot on Thursday's this season and that includes a 5-2 mark to the low side in divisional games.

by: Josh Inglis

COWBOYS VS. THE MAFIA

The Buffalo Bills have faced one team with a winning record this year. Playing the likes of Miami, the New Yorks and Washington hasn’t done them any favors in the power rankings. This Thanksgiving, Josh Allen and boys in blue will head down to Jerry’s World and take on the 6-5 Cowboys.

Dallas loves the play action and sits ninth in the league in PA plays at 27 percent and is getting nine yards per play-action call. The Bills will be up to the challenge as they have the league’s third-best play-action defense. Dallas has played three Top-10 play-action defenses and lost each of those games (Saints, Jets, and Patriots) while not hitting their team total in all three.

Only one team has scored more than 26 points against the Bills this year and Buffalo ranks third in total yards allowed on the road at just over 300. We are taking the Cowboys’ team total Under 26.5, and with the Over currently at -135 that total might slip higher towards game day.

TOOTING TRUBISKY

Do you want to be the talk of Thanksgiving dinner? It all starts with you telling everyone that Mitch Trubisky is a great quarterback all day leading up to the Bears and Lions kickoff at 12:30 pm ET. We all know that Mitchell is a below-average signal caller, but with his career stats versus the Lions, you could look like a genius by tooting the Trubisky horn.

“Mediocre Mitch” has six touchdowns and zero interceptions over his last two games versus the Lions and has averaged 255 yards passing in his four starts against Detroit. That should help his confidence, but also the fact that Matt Patricia’s defense is allowing more passing yards at home than any other team in the league also helps the cause.

Hitting the Over 228.5 Trubisky passing yards prop will get you credibility for the remainder of the football day – and maybe right into Christmas. If you’re really greedy (and deep down, we all are), the Over 1.5 TDs has value at +120.

EASY BREESY

We were tricked about the Atlanta Falcons defense over Weeks 10 and 11. Even though it allowed just 12 points in two games and zero TDs in 10 quarters, Atlanta still gave up 612 yards passing and 63 completions which would put it in dead-last in both of those categories. Jameis Winston and the Bucs proved those two games were anomalies as Tampa Bay passed for 313 yards and put up 35 points.

Drew Brees has averaged 296 passing yards and 31 completions against three Bottom-10 DVOA pass defenses over the last four weeks. We are getting on the Over on Brees’ 26.5 completions - a number he has topped in every game he has finished this year.

ZEKE AND DESTROY

The Bills are 24th in rushing TDs allowed per game this year as they sit 26th in DVOA rush defense. Ezekiel Elliot has just one rushing touchdown in his last four games, so Zeke is due to cross the plane especially with an offensive game plan that should feature the run.

Last year on Thanksgiving, Elliott rushed for 121 yards and scored twice - one rushing and one receiving. He missed the 2017 Thanksgiving Day game but scored four TDs in 2016 - two rushing and two receiving.

We’re putting our money on the Thanksgiving Day money-maker and taking the Over 0.5 Elliott rushing TDs at -104.

TURKEY TIME 6-POINT TEASER

We hit our prime-time six-point teaser last week for +160 and keep things rolling with our holiday version of the three-team, six-point teaser for +160, as well.

Chicago (+3) will face either Jeff Driskel and his injured hamstring or … David Blough. The Bears already have a victory over the Lions in November while the Lions haven’t won by more than four points all year.

Buffalo (+12.5) has had an easy schedule to date with their two most difficult matchups both losses. But QB Josh Allen has traveled well and has his team 4-1 on the road this year with the only blemish a 16-13 loss in Cleveland. It’s tough to get up two TDs versus the Bills’ Top-5 pass defense.

New Orleans (-0.5) has over 1,000 yards of offense over its last three games and will face the Falcons without their No.1 TE and possibly their No.1 WR in Julio Jones. The Falcons were slapped back to reality after getting spanked 35-22 by the Bucs and proving that this is a Bottom-5 defense.

Tech Trends - Week 13
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Nov. 28

CHICAGO at DETROIT (FOX, 12:30 p.m. ET)
Lions have failed to cover last 2 on Thanksgiving, had covered previous 4, but no covers preceding nine on Turkey Day. Detroit no covers last six this season but Bears just 1-6 last seven vs. line. Bears “under” 14-3 since late 2018, and “unders” 6-2 last 8 in series.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

BUFFALO at DALLAS (CBS, 4:30 p.m. ET)
Cowboys just 1-7 last 8 as Thanksgiving host. Bills on 8-3-1 spread run last 12 since late LY, also “under” 9-4 last 11. Buffalo 6-0-2 last 8 as dog.
Tech Edge: Bills and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NEW ORLEANS at ATLANTA (NFL, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Saints on 7-2 spread run, though one L was vs. Falcs three weeks ago. Atlanta 3-1 vs. line last 4 TY after dropping previous five vs. spread. Saints had won and covered three meetings previous to Nov. 10 clash. Falcs “under” 12-7 since mid 2018.
Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.

NFL
Dunkel

Week 13

Thursday, November 28

Chicago @ Detroit

Game 305-306
November 28, 2019 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
129.072
Detroit
124.302
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 5
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 2 1/2
39
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-2 1/2); Under

Buffalo @ Dallas

Game 307-308
November 28, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
129.046
Dallas
137.337
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 8 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 6 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-6 1/2); Under

New Orleans @ Atlanta

Game 309-310
November 28, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
133.985
Atlanta
130.325
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 3 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 7
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+7); Over

NFL

Week 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, November 28

Detroit Lions
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Detroit is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
Detroit is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Chicago
Detroit is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Chicago is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing Detroit
Chicago is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas's last 13 games at home
Dallas is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games
Buffalo is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 11 games
Buffalo is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas

Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing at home against New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
New Orleans is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 12 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 13

Thursday, November 28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (5 - 6) at DETROIT (3 - 7 - 1) - 11/28/2019, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 146-184 ATS (-56.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
DETROIT is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
DETROIT is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (8 - 3) at DALLAS (6 - 5) - 11/28/2019, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (9 - 2) at ATLANTA (3 - 8) - 11/28/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
ATLANTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons