Wednesday 11/25/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL& NCAAF games.
NFL betting tips for Week 12: Bet Now or Bet Later
Jason Logan
The Dallas Cowboys offense showed signs of life in Week 11, and just might be starting to get a rhythm again heading into a Thanksgiving clash with Washington.
Anyone who comes from a big family knows timing is everything when enjoying your Thanksgiving.
Want hot mashed potatoes and gravy? You’d better act quick and beat the rush.
Eyeing that comfy armchair next to the fire? Get Uncle Leo another beer and wait it out until he has to go pee, then swoop in and usurp the throne.
Such skill and strategy are also needed to get the best of the NFL betting odds in Week 12. Here are our top NFL betting tips for the spreads and totals to bet now, and which ones you should bet later.
Houston Texans (-2.5) at Detroit Lions: Bet Now
The Lions playing on Thanksgiving Day is an NFL tradition, much like betting against Detroit is becoming a weekly tradition for football bettors. The Lions limp into the holiday off a 20-0 shutout loss to Carolina and a former XFL castoff second-string QB. They've failed to cover in three of their past four games, with the lone ATS win coming by a half a point versus Washington.
Houston, on the other hand, looked pretty good against the Patriots. We all knew QB Deshaun Watson could play, but the Texans defense made the big difference in Week 11 as well—something we haven’t seen much of this season.
Houston also covered the spread for the second straight week and if you’re buying a ticket on the Texans train this Thanksgiving, get it now because the price is going up. Houston is just under a field goal fave on the road in Detroit as of Sunday night and this line will likely swing to -3 by mid-Monday...if not sooner.
Baltimore Ravens (+3) at Pittsburgh Steelers: Bet Later
This AFC North rivalry has more drama than the debate over macaroni and cheese being a Thanksgiving dish (it is BTW, 100 percent). The Ravens have dropped two straight games and three of their last four, posting a 1-3 ATS mark in that span. In fact, Baltimore has only covered the spread once in its last five outings.
Pittsburgh was responsible for one of those losses, knocking off the Ravens 28-24 as a 4-point road underdog on November 1. The Steelers have still not tasted defeat this season, bringing a perfect 10-0 SU record and an 8-2 ATS count back to Heinz Field, where they have played just one time since October 25.
This spread opened Pittsburgh -2.5 Sunday night and quickly jumped to -3 with the field goal spread heavily juiced (there are some -3.5 popping up out there). If you’re siding with Baltimore to bounce back in this divisional dance, wait it out and see if that extra vig becomes an extra half-point or more.
Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills (Over 52.5): Bet Now
Two of the NFL’s strongest arms square off in this Week 12 shootout at Orchard Park. This total opened at 51.5 and has quickly jumped to 52.5 with one-sided play on the Over. And with the way these teams can sling it: why not?
Justin Herbert passed for 366 yards and three touchdowns in a win over the New York Jets (OK, not that impressive) and outside of a bad day versus Miami in Week 10, has posted big-time numbers for a rookie passer. He’s pushed L.A. to 30 or more points in six of his last seven starts (the other game had 29 points) and the Chargers have gone Over the total in each of those seven outings.
Josh Allen and the Bills enjoyed a bye in Week 11. Buffalo hit a bit of an offensive skid between Weeks 5 and 8 but got its groove back with 30 and 44-point efforts in its last two outings. Granted, the Bills defense hasn’t pushed back much, allowing 30-plus in those last two games (both went Over), but neither has the Bolts’ stop unit—the Chargers just gave up 28 points to New York.
The extended forecast for Buffalo is calling for cold and rain on Sunday, so keep an eye on how that changes throughout the week. But if you’re calling for these sides to sizzle the scoreboard Sunday, take the Over now because it’s likely going to keep on climbing.
Washington Football Team at Dallas Cowboys (Over 48): Bet Later
America’s Team on America’s holiday is like ice cream on hot apple pie. Except this year, someone put raisins in the apple pie and that ice cream is soy-based. Yuck. That’s how most people view the Dallas Cowboys right about now, despite their upset win over Minnesota in Week 11.
The short week allows the Cowboys to hold that momentum, especially on offense where they showed flashes of brilliance and some bubbling chemistry with QB Andy Dalton under center this past Sunday. Dallas scored more than 20 points for the first time since Dak Prescott went down – a good sign for Over backers – and you know this defense is going to surrender points, no matter who they’re facing.
Washington is coming off a 20-9 win over Cincinnati, marred in part by the injury to Joe Burrow. However, the Football Team has put up respectable numbers on offense in the past four weeks, averaging 23 points per game, including a 25-3 victory over Dallas at home.
This Over/Under hit the board at 48 and we’re starting to see money on the Under shift the juice toward a dip in the total. If you like what you saw from the Red Rocket and the Cowboys weapons, put a pin in that Over bet and see how low this number goes before Turkey Day.
NFL
Long Sheet
Week 12
Thursday, November 26
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HOUSTON (3 - 7) at DETROIT (4 - 6) - 11/26/2020, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 151-191 ATS (-59.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
DETROIT is 47-70 ATS (-30.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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WASHINGTON (3 - 7) at DALLAS (3 - 7) - 11/26/2020, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 70-102 ATS (-42.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
DALLAS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
DALLAS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BALTIMORE (6 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (10 - 0) - 11/26/2020, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 100-72 ATS (+20.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.
PITTSBURGH is 108-80 ATS (+20.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-2 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Sunday, November 29
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LAS VEGAS (6 - 4) at ATLANTA (3 - 7) - 11/29/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LAS VEGAS is 59-86 ATS (-35.6 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 45-85 ATS (-48.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
LAS VEGAS is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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ARIZONA (6 - 4) at NEW ENGLAND (4 - 6) - 11/29/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 274-214 ATS (+38.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 274-214 ATS (+38.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 90-51 ATS (+33.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 202-156 ATS (+30.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 134-94 ATS (+30.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 131-94 ATS (+27.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 92-60 ATS (+26.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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NY GIANTS (3 - 7) at CINCINNATI (2 - 7 - 1) - 11/29/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 43-66 ATS (-29.6 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games off a win against a division rival since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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CLEVELAND (7 - 3) at JACKSONVILLE (1 - 9) - 11/29/2020, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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CAROLINA (4 - 7) at MINNESOTA (4 - 6) - 11/29/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 127-96 ATS (+21.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 87-60 ATS (+21.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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TENNESSEE (7 - 3) at INDIANAPOLIS (7 - 3) - 11/29/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 128-164 ATS (-52.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA CHARGERS (3 - 7) at BUFFALO (7 - 3) - 11/29/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS are 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 131-98 ATS (+23.2 Units) in road games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 131-98 ATS (+23.2 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
LA CHARGERS are 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MIAMI (6 - 4) at NY JETS (0 - 10) - 11/29/2020, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW ORLEANS (8 - 2) at DENVER (4 - 6) - 11/29/2020, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 6) at LA RAMS (6 - 3) - 11/29/2020, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS are 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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KANSAS CITY (9 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (7 - 3) - 11/29/2020, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 67-45 ATS (+17.5 Units) in November games since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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CHICAGO (5 - 5) at GREEN BAY (7 - 3) - 11/29/2020, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 119-86 ATS (+24.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 203-149 ATS (+39.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Monday, November 30
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SEATTLE (7 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (3 - 6 - 1) - 11/30/2020, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NFL
Week 12
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Trend Report
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Thursday, November 26
Houston @ Detroit
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 11 games at home
Detroit is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Washington @ Dallas
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing Washington
Baltimore @ Pittsburgh
Baltimore
Baltimore is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Baltimore is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Sunday, November 29
Carolina @ Minnesota
Carolina
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Tennessee @ Indianapolis
Tennessee
Tennessee is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Arizona @ New England
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
New England
New England is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Cleveland @ Jacksonville
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Miami @ NY Jets
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Jets's last 10 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing Miami
Las Vegas @ Atlanta
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Las Vegas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
NY Giants @ Cincinnati
NY Giants
NY Giants is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Giants is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
LA Chargers @ Buffalo
LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 9 games on the road
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo's last 10 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco @ LA Rams
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 5 games
New Orleans @ Denver
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Kansas City @ Tampa Bay
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago @ Green Bay
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 12 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay
Green Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Green Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
Monday, November 30
Seattle @ Philadelphia
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 12 games at home
121HOUSTON -122 DETROIT
HOUSTON is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games after an upset win since 1992.
123WASHINGTON -124 DALLAS
WASHINGTON is 20-5 ATS (14.5 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=6 yards/play in the second half of the season since 1992.
125BALTIMORE -126 PITTSBURGH
BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. in the last 3 seasons.
251LAS VEGAS -252 ATLANTA
LAS VEGAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 2 seasons.
253ARIZONA -254 NEW ENGLAND
NEW ENGLAND is 24-8 ATS (15.2 Units) in home games as a dog since 1992.
255NY GIANTS -256 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 33-18 ATS (13.2 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. in the second half of the season since 1992.
257CLEVELAND -258 JACKSONVILLE
CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after the first month of the season in the last 2 seasons.
259CAROLINA -260 MINNESOTA
CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
261TENNESSEE -262 INDIANAPOLIS
TENNESSEE is 18-37 ATS (-22.7 Units) in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992.
263LA CHARGERS -264 BUFFALO
BUFFALO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game in the second half of the season since 1992.
NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 12
Texans (3-7) @ Detroit (4-6)
— Texans won two of their last three games, after a 1-6 start.
— Texans lost four of five road games SU, with win at Jacksonville.
— Houston are 0-6 this year when they score fewer than 27 points.
— Texans have only one takeaway in their last four games (-1).
— Under is 5-2 in Houston’s last seven games.
— Texans are 1-3-2 ATS in last six games as a road favorite.
— Detroit lost three of last four games, giving up 30.5 ppg.
— Lions allowed 441.2 ypg in their last three games.
— Detroit was outgained 374-185 in its 20-0 loss at Carolina LW.
— Lions are 6-11 ATS in last 17 games as a home underdog, 0-2 TY.
— Detroit was outrushed 601-303 in its last four games.
— Three of last four Lion games went over the total.
— Lions lost last three Thanksgiving games, by 7-7-4 points.
— Houston won three of four series games, with lone loss in 2004.
— Texans split two visits to the Motor City; last one was in 2012.
Washington (3-7) @ Dallas (3-7)
— Washington split its last four games, after a 1-5 start.
— Smith threw for 879 yards the last three weeks; he started last two games, his first starts since he shattered his leg in 2018.
— Washington is 2-2 inside the division, with losses by 1-3 points.
— Washington is 0-4 SU on road, losing by 15-14-1-3 points.
— Washington is 16-12-1 ATS in last 29 games as a road underdog.
— Under is 4-1-1 in last six Washington games.
— Cowboys lost four of its last five games, but upset the Vikings in Minnesota Sunday.
— Last nine games, Dallas is minus-13 in turnovers.
— Cowboys are 2-8 ATS this year; their three wins by total of 7 points.
— Four of last five Dallas games stayed under the total.
— Cowboys split their four home games, beating Falcons/Giants.
— Dallas is 10-12-1 ATS in last 23 games as a home favorite, 0-3 TY.
— Cowboys (+1) lost 25-3 in Washington five weeks ago; Redskins outrushed them 208-83, outgained them for whole game, 397-142.
— Dallas won 11 of last 15 series games.
— Washington lost its last four visits here, by 5-24-8-31 points.
— Dallas lost four of its last six Thanksgiving games.
Ravens (6-4) @ Pittsburgh (10-0)
— Baltimore lost three of last four games, after a 5-1 start.
— Ravens allowed 17 or fewer points in five of six wins, 34-28-23-30 in losses.
— Baltimore won four of five road games SU this year- the loss was 23-17 in Foxboro.
— Under is 3-2 in Baltimore road games this season.
— Ravens are thin at RB, with couple of guys having COVID issues.
— Ravens are 8-3-1 ATS in last dozen games as a road underdog; this is first time they’re an underdog this season.
— Steelers won first ten games (8-2 ATS), scoring 29.8 ppg.
— Pittsburgh’s home wins this year are by 5-7-9-31-26 points
— Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.
— Steelers are +12 in turnovers this season, +7 in last three games.
— Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— In their last six games, Steelers won field position by 9+ yards five times.
— Steelers (+4) won 28-24 in Baltimore four weeks ago.
— Ravens ran ball for 265 yards in that game, but were -3 in turnovers.
— Pittsburgh has swept Ravens once in the last 11 years.
— Baltimore won 26-14/26-23OT in last two visits to Steel City.
NFL Week 12 Injuries, Weather
Patrick Everson
Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow suffered a torn left ACL and MCL in Sunday's loss at Washington and is done for the season. Cincinnati opened +4.5 and moved to +5.5 against the visiting Giants in Week 12.
NFL Week 11 is in the rearview mirror, NFL Week 12 odds are on the board, and several betting factors are already in play. That includes the typical injury information, most notably the devastating injury to Cincinnati Bengals rookie quarterback Joe Burrow.
Week 12 Injuries
Cincinnati Bengals: It's even worse than anticipated for Burrow, who not only tore his left ACL, but also his MCL and had other knee damage, as well, from a hit in Sunday's 20-9 loss at Washington. Obviously, his rookie campaign is done, and he could well miss next season, too. John Murray, executive director of The SuperBook at Westgate, said it's a touchdown drop-off to second-year backup Ryan Finley. "Yep, I'd say thats about right, 6.5 to 7 points, because the backup is so bad. Finley isn’t an NFL QB, and the Bengals' offensive line is terrible."
As such, the Bengals opened +4.5 against the visiting Giants and reached +5.5 Monday morning. The total opened at 43 and dipped to 41.5 Monday morning, then rebounded to 42.5.
Cleveland Browns: Standout defensive end Myles Garrett sat out Week 11 against Philadelphia following a positive COVID test, and Garrett will not play this week at Jacksonville, either. The Browns opened -7 at The SuperBook and dipped to -6.5 Monday.
Baltimore Ravens: Running backs Mark Ingram II and J.K. Dobbins tested positive for COVID and will not be available for Thursday night's game at Pittsburgh. The SuperBook had the Ravens +3.5, but took this game off the board Monday morning after the COVID news, awaiting more clarity on the situation. The game was still off the board Monday night.
Chicago Bears: Quarterbacks Nick Foles (hip) and Mitch Trubisky (shoulder) are both uncertain to be available for the Sunday night game at Green Bay. The SuperBook has yet to post this game, waiting for the Bears to clarify who will be under center before doing so.
Minnesota Vikings: Wideout Adam Thielen was placed on the reserve/COVID list Monday, a day after he had eight catches for 123 yards and two touchdowns in a home loss to Dallas. Minnesota hosts Carolina on Sunday, and this game still hasn't hit the board due to the Panthers' QB situation (see below).
Carolina Panthers: QB Teddy Bridgewater (knee) sat out Sunday's win over Detroit, with P.J. Walker instead leading the victory. It appears Bridgewater will be back this week at Minnesota, but it's not certain yet, so The SuperBook hasn't posted the Panthers-Vikings line.
New England Patriots: Running back Rex Burkhead suffered a serious knee injury, perhaps a torn ACL, in Sunday's loss at Houston. The SuperBook opened the Pats +2.5 at home against Arizona in Week 12, and the line spent about 12 hours at +3 before returning +2.5 Monday morning. However, the total is up to 49.5 from an opener of 48.
Los Angeles Chargers: Running back Austin Ekeler (hamstring), out since getting hurt in Week 4, might return this week, but it's not yet clear. The Chargers opened +5.5 at Buffalo. moved to +6 and back to +5.5 Monday at The SuperBook.
Week 12 Weather
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers: The early forecast calls for a 40 percent chance of showers during the day and a 20 percent chance at night, with the Ravens and Steelers wrapping up a three-game Thanksgiving feast in an 8:20 p.m. ET start. The total opened at 46 and dipped to 45 Monday morning at The SuperBook, before this game came off the board altogether due to the aforementioned Ravens COVID news.
New York Giants at Cincinnati Bengals: There's a 40 percent chance of showers in Cincinnati on Sunday. The SuperBook opened the total at 43 and dipped to 41.5, then ticked up to 42.5 Monday.
Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars: Early in the week, Sunday's forecast shows a 40 percent chance of afternoon rain. However, this total was up to 48.5 by Monday morning, off an opener of 46.5 at The SuperBook.
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers: It'll be cold and perhaps snowy and a little breezy Sunday night at Lambeau Field. The early forecast points to temperatures in the 20s, a 30 percent chance of snow flurries and winds of 10-20 mph.