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NFL Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Week 12

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : November 19, 2024 6:08 am
(@shazman)
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NFL

Week 12

Trend Report

Pittsburgh vs Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Minnesota vs Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Chicago is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Tennessee vs Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee

Kansas City vs Carolina
Kansas City is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
Kansas City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Carolina's last 13 games at home

Detroit vs Indianapolis
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Detroit

New England vs Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 9 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 6 games
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing New England

Tampa Bay vs NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Giants's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games at home

Dallas vs Washington
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Denver vs Las Vegas
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

Arizona vs Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

San Francisco vs Green Bay
San Francisco is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games
Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against San Francisco

Philadelphia vs LA Rams
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LA Rams is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

Baltimore vs LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

 
Posted : November 19, 2024 9:57 am
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NFL
Weather Report
Thursday, November 21

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Posted : November 21, 2024 7:31 am
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 12

Thursday’s game
Steelers
(-3.5) @ Browns
Steelers (8-2)
Steelers won/covered their last five games.
Pittsburgh won last two games by total of three points.
Since 2021, Steelers are 4-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Team total: over 4-1 last five
Opponents’ team total: under 7-3

Steelers are 15-7-1 in its last 23 games coming off a win.
Pittsburgh is 8-4 ATS in last dozen AFC North road games.
Last six games, Steelers are +9 in turnovers.
Last five games, Pittsburgh outscored opponents 84-34 in 2nd half.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Steelers won without a TD last week; they kicked 6 FG’s on 12 drives.

Browns (2-8)
Cleveland lost seven of its last eight games.
Browns are 1-4 SU/ATS at home this season.
Cleveland scored 18 or fewer points in 9 of 10 games.
Browns are 6-2 ATS in last eight AFC North home games.
Team total: under 9-1
Opponents’ team total: over 6-4

Browns are 6-4-1 ATS last 11 games as a home underdog.
Last four games, Browns ran ball for 77-80-79-66 yards.
Cleveland is 13-7-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Cleveland allowed 20+ points in nine of ten games.
Browns threw for 320+ yards in two of last three games.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Home team won seven of last eight series games.
Steelers are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to Cleveland.
Over is 3-1 in last four series games.

 
Posted : November 21, 2024 7:32 am
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NFL Dunkel Week 12

 
Posted : November 21, 2024 7:34 am
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Top NFL Things To Know​

Header First Logo

Double Trouble​

Big Favorites Thrive
Double-digit favorites are a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS this season, marking the first time they’ve been undefeated outright through 11 weeks since 2004 (8-0) and only the second time in the past 40 years.

It’s also the first time since 1950 that double-digit favorites have been undefeated ATS through 11 weeks. This season is tied for the fewest double-digit favorite games through 11 weeks since 1950.


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A Season To Forget​

Titans Betting History
The Titans are 1-9 against the spread this season, worst record in the NFL…

That is the worst mark for any team thru 11 weeks since the 2007 Ravens & just the second 1-9 ATS start thru 11 weeks in the last 30 years

Titans 1-9 ATS Start Among Worst in NFL History Image
Titans 1-9 ATS Start Among Worst in NFL


Header First Logo

Regular Dog​

Purdy's Streak Broken
Brock Purdy has made 37 career starts entering this week. He’s only been listed as an underdog once, against the 49ers in the 2022-23 playoffs where he got hurt and Philly won 31-7. Purdy has gone his first 31 career regular season starts as a favorite, with that streak now breaking this week vs. Packers.

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Header First Logo

A Different Era​

Passing The Game Bye
Teams to throw for 300 or more passing yards this season are just 16-20-2 ATS (44.4%). Over a full season, that would be the lowest ATS mark since 2003 and the 3rd-lowest in the Wild Card era.

This season, when a team throws for 200 yards or less, they are 73-68-2 ATS. Only five seasons have ended a year above .500 ATS for sub-par passing teams.


Header First Logo

Jerry's Nightmare​

Cowboys Can't Lose Again
The Cowboys have lost five consecutive games both SU and ATS entering this week. That hasn’t happened in Dallas since 2010. The last time they lost 6 straight both SU and ATS? Back in 1988-89, when they lost 7 games SU and ATS.

The Cowboys rarely close as big underdogs against Washington. In the last 20 years, they’ve closed +4 or higher just once – back in 2007 at +9. 2000 is the last time Dallas closed as a double-digit underdog vs. Washington (+10.5 that day).

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Header First Logo

Header Second Logo

All About Halves​

Different But The Same
No team has seen a difference in their 1H and 2H play this year. The Texans are 10-1 against the first half spread, best mark of any team in the NFL. That 10-1 1H ATS mark is the best start for any team in the last 20 years.

Will Levis is 0-5 SU/ATS in divisional games, failing to cover the spread by 8.8 PPG. Since 2003, only two QBs are 0-5 ATS or worse vs. divisional opponents – Will Levis and Zach Mettenberger, both for the Titans.

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Header First Logo

Bo Knows​

Broncos On Their Way
Denver finally did it. With a win total of 5.5, they are now 6-5 SU this season and have eclipsed their preseason win total for the first time since 2015. The Broncos had gone under their win total in four straight years and were 0-7-1 to their win total over since 2016. They had last gone over their win total back in 2015 when they won the Super Bowl with Peyton Manning.


Header First Logo

Header Second Logo

Jim and John​

Harbaugh's On Monday Night
The Harbaugh brothers on Monday Night Football are a combined 20-8 SU and 19-9 ATS as head coaches, both top-10 in ATS profitability. Where they've done the most damage is on the road — the spot for John Harbaugh and the Ravens, where they are 16-5 ATS on MNF.

Chargers aren’t historically great home teams. Entering this matchup, they’ve covered three in a row at home for the first time since the 2014 season. They haven’t covered the spread in 4 straight home games since the 2007 season.

XXX Logo XXX Logo

 
 
Posted : November 23, 2024 9:11 pm
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Best NFL Week 12 betting trends​

The trend: The Cowboys are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games

The trend: The Bucs are 11-3 ATS on the road since the start of last season

The trend: The Panthers have lost by an average of 22 points against teams who currently have a winning record

The trend: The Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games

The trend: The Dolphins are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games when favored by seven or more points

The trend: The Texans are 10-1 ATS in the first half

The trend: The Lions are 18-7 ATS as a favorite since the start of last season

The trend: The Broncos 1st half O/U record on the road + the Raiders 1st half O/U record at home is 9-1 to the Over

The trend: The 49ers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog

The trend: Geno Smith has thrown nine interceptions in six home games this season

 
Posted : November 23, 2024 9:14 pm
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 12

Sunday’s games
Buccaneers
(-5.5) @ Giants
Buccaneers (4-6)
Bucs lost last four games, last three by 5-6-3 points.
Buccaneers are 1-4 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Bucs are 1-6 SU/ATS in last seven post-bye games.
Team total: over 8-2
Opponents’ team total: over 8-2

Bucs are 7-9 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.
QB Mayfield is 46-54 as an NFL starter, 14-15 with Buccaneers.
Six of Tampa Bay’s last seven games went over the total.
Bucs are 2-2 SU on road TY, with both wins in domes.
Bucs turned ball over 8 times in last five games (minus-2).
NFC South favorites are 2-4 ATS in non-divisional games.

Giants (2-8)
Giants benched QB Jones; DeVito (3-3 as starter LY) gets nod here.
Giants lost last five games, last three by 8-5-3 points.
Giants are 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS at home, losing by 22-5-10-25-5 points.
Giants haven’t had a positive turnover ratio in any games TY.
Team total: under 6-4
Opponents’ team total: over 4-0 last four

Last five games, Giants were outscored 61-19 in first half.
Under Daboll, Giants are 8-7-1 ATS as a home underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 14-10-1 ATS coming off a loss.
QB DeVito is 3-3 as an NFL starter.
Under is 7-3 in their games this season.
NFC East dogs are 8-10 ATS in non-divisional games, 0-5 at home.

Teams haven’t met since 2021.
Tampa Bay won last two meetings, 30-10/25-23.
Buccaneers lost three of last four visits here.
Over is 6-1 in last seven series games.

Chiefs (-10.5) @ Panthers
Chiefs (9-1)
Chiefs lost for first time LW; they’re 0-4 ATS last four games.
Kansas City has only one win this year by more than 10 points.
Since 2019, Chiefs are 13-6 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last four games, Chiefs were held to 85.3 rushing yards/game.
Team total: over 4-2 last six
Opponents’ team total: over 3-1 last four

Chiefs are 14-18-1 ATS in last 33 games as a road favorite.
QB Mahomes is 99-26 as an NFL starter.
Chiefs are 10-4 ATS last 14 regular season games vs AFC teams.
Chiefs have only two takeaways in last four games (minus-2).
Chiefs have outscored opponents 116-81 in second half.
Three of Chiefs’ last four games went over the total.
AFC West favorites are 11-4 ATS in non-divisional games.

Panthers (3-7)
Carolina won its last two games, after a 1-7 start.
Panthers are 1-3 SU at home, losing by 23-10-18 points.
Last six games, Panthers are minus-9 in turnovers.
QB Young is 4-17 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 5-4-1
Opponents’ team total: over 7-3

Carolina is 6-4 ATS in last nine post-bye games.
Carolina is 6-6 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Panthers are 1-3 SU at home, losing by 23-10-18 points.
Over is 7-3 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers’ last two opponents are were 9-30 on third down.
Carolina is 6-13 ATS last 19 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC South home underdogs are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.

Chiefs won last three series games, by 2-3-6 points.
Underdogs covered five of last six meetings.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Cowboys @ Commanders (-10.5)
Cowboys (3-7)
Dallas lost last five games, giving up 47-30-27-34-34 points.
Cowboys are 0-7 when they allow more than 17 points.
Last five games, Cowboys gave up 19 TD’s on 52 drives.
Dallas is 11-9 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Team total: under 6-1 last seven
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1 last five

Short week for Cowboys after Monday night’s home loss.
Dallas is 2-6 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
Backup QB Rush is 5-3 as an NFL starter (most starts, 2022).
Cowboys averaged 1.5/5.3 yards/pass attempt in Rush’s two starts.
Under is 4-2 in last six Dallas games.
Dallas is 13-9 ATS in last 22 NFC East road games.

Commanders (7-4)
Washington lost last two games, after a 7-2 start.
Rookie QB Daniels is 7-4 as an NFL starter.
Last two games, Commanders ran ball for only 60-93 yards.
Last six games, Commanders are +5 in turnovers.
Team total: over 8-3
Opponents’ team total: under 6-5

Washington allowed 37-30-28-26 points in their losses.
Last four games, Washington was outscored 67-36 in 2nd half.
Commanders are 2-1 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
Commanders are 3-6-1 ATS in last 10 NFC East home games.
Last four games, Washington gave up 182 rushing yards/game.
Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Dallas won four of last five series games.
Teams split their last six meetings in Washington.
Three of last four series games stayed under the total.

Patriots @ Dolphins (-7)
Patriots (3-8)
Patriots split their last four games (3-1 ATS).
Last four games, New England outscored foes 50-36 in 2nd half.
Last two weeks, Patriots gained 328/382, their 2nd/3rd best weeks TY.
Team total: under 5-4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1 last four

NE is 10-21-1 ATS in last 32 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 32-47 since Tom Brady left town.
Patriots are 6-13 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
Rookie QB Maye is 2-4 as an NFL starter.
Under is 4-1 in their true road games.
Patriots are 6-7 ATS in last 13 AFC East road games.

Dolphins (4-6)
Dolphins won last two games, giving up 15-19 points.
Miami is 0-5 when it gives up 20+ points, 4-1 if they allow less.
Miami is 29-48 on 3rd down last four games, with Tagovailoa back at QB.
Tagovailoa is 35-23 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 6-3-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-1 last four

Miami is 1-4 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Last five weeks, Dolphins outscored foes 53-25 in 1st half, but went 2-3.
Dolphins are 27-19 ATS in last 46 games coming off a win.
Miami is 2-3 ATS TY in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Dolphins are 9-4 ATS in last 13 AFC East home games.

Dolphins (-1) won 15-10 in Foxboro in Week 5.
Miami trailed 7-3 at half; Huntley/Brissett were the QB’s.
Dolphins won six of last seven series games.
New England is 0-4 SU/ATS in last four visits to Miami.
Under is 7-3 in last ten meetings.

Titans @ Texans (-7.5)
Titans (2-8)
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; 31-20 points in wins.
Tennessee is minus-11 in turnovers, with seven takeaways.
Last two games, Titans were outscored 29-10 in first half.
Team total: under 8-2
Opponents’ team total: over 4-3-3

Tennessee is 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
Tennessee has been outscored 146-76 in second half.
QB Levis is 4-12 as an NFL starter.
Tennessee is 1-6 ATS in last seven games coming off a loss.
Titans are 9-6 ATS in last 15 AFC South road games.

Texans (7-4)
Houston is 2-3 in last five games, after a 5-1 start.
Texans have five wins by 6 or fewer points.
Last five games, Texans are 3-3, despite being +11 in turnovers.
Houston is 2-4 when it gives up more than 20 points.
Team total: under 7-4
Opponents’ team total: under 5-1-1 last seven

Short week for Texans after Monday’s win in Dallas.
Texans are 5-14 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.
Houston is 7-10 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 17-11 as an NFL starter.
Texans are 2-6 ATS in last eight AFC South home games.
Texans are 5-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.

Texans won/covered four of last five series games, 17-10/21-19
Tennessee is 4-1 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to Houston.
Under is 5-0 in last five meetings.

Lions (-7) @ Colts
Lions (9-1)
Detroit won its last eight games (7-1 ATS).
Last four games, Lions outscored opponents 67-11 in 2nd half.
Detroit is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS on road this season.
Opponents have converted 21 of last 71 third down plays.
Team total: over 5-2 last seven
Opponents’ team total: under 7-3

Under Campbell, Lions are 7-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Detroit is 12-6 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC opponents.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 20-9 ATS in games coming off a win.
Lions have outscored opponents 47-16 in last 2:00 of each half.
QB Goff is 79-55-1 as an NFL starter, 35-25-1 with Detroit.
NFC North favorites are 16-9 ATS in non-divisional games.

Colts (4-6)
Indy lost 3 of last 4 games, are 6-2-1 ATS in last nine games,
Colts are 2-5 giving up 20+ points.
Colts have played nine games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Team total: under 5-4-2
Opponents’ team total: under 4-2 last six

QB Richardson (6-5 as NFL starter) is back as the starter.
Colts are 6-8 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
Indy is 14-12 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
Colts converted 19 of last 63 third down plays.
Over is 3-2 in Colts home games.
AFC South underdogs are 9-14 ATS in non-divisional games.

Colts are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS in last five series games.
Lions are 1-1 SU/2-0 ATS last five visits to Indy.
Last four meetings went over the total.

Vikings (-3.5) @ Bears
Vikings (8-2)
Minnesota won its last two games, giving up 13-7-13 points.
Vikings allowed 31-30 points in their two losses.
Third straight week on road for Vikings, traditional red flag.
Vikings are 10-3-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Team total: over 6-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 7-3

Minnesota is 7-2-2 ATS in last 11 games as road favorite.
Minnesota has 20 takeaways in 10 games (+3 turnovers).
Vikings are 7-6 ATS in last 13 NFC North road games.
Minnesota gave up 391/386 TY in its two losses.
Vikings are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS on the road this season.
QB Darnold is 28-37 as an NFL starter, 7-2 with Vikings.

Bears (4-6)
Bears lost last four games, scoring 15-9-3-19 points.
Bears fired their offensive coordinator last week.
Chicago then lost 20-19, getting FG blocked on last play.
Bears were 9-16 on third down LW, an improvement.
Last three games, Bears were outscored 27-9 in second half.
Team total: under 6-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 8-2

Under Eberflus, Bears are 12-8-1 ATS at home.
Under Eberflus, Bears are 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Chicago is 3-10 ATS in last 13 NFC North home games.
Under Eberflus, Chicago is 12-13-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last seven games, Chicago was +9 in turnovers (11-2).

Minnesota is 6-1 SU/5-2 ATS in last seven series games.
Vikings won/covered their last four visits to Chicago
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.

Broncos (-6) @ Raiders
Broncos (6-5)
Denver is 5-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-5 if they score 20 or less.
Last four weeks, Broncos converted 30-55 third down plays.
Broncos are 1-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Team total: over 6-4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 7-4

Denver is 3-3 SU on road this year (underdog in 5 of 6 games).
Denver is 3-6 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.
In wins, Broncos are +6 in turnovers; in losses, minus-6.
Under Payton, Denver is 6-7 ATS coming off a win
Five of Broncos’ last seven games went over the total.
Denver is 4-3 ATS in last seven AFC West road games.

Raiders (2-7)
Raiders are 0-6 SU/2-4 ATS in last six games
Raiders have 20 turnovers in ten games (minus-15).
Raiders are 5-2 ATS last seven AFC West home games.
Team total: over 6-4
Opponents’ team total: over 7-3

Raiders are 13-13-1 ATS last 27 games as a home underdog.
In 4 of last 6 games, Raiders gave up 20+ points, just in 2nd half.
QB Minshew is 17-28 as an NFL starter.
Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.
Last seven games, Raiders averaged 5.8 or fewer yards/pass attempt.
Las Vegas is 17-21-1 ATS in last 39 games coming off a loss.

Raiders (+3) lost 34-18 at Denver in Week 5.
Broncos had lost their previous nine series games.
Denver is 0-8 SU/ATS in last eight road series games.
Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

49ers @ Packers (-2.5)
49ers (5-5)
49ers are 1-4 when they score less than 30 points.
49ers held last three opponents to 292-215-289 yards.
49ers are 0-4 when they gain less than 400 yards.
49ers are 6-3 ATS last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Team total: under 6-4
Opponents’ team total: over 6-3-1

49ers are 11-5 ATS last 16 games as an underdog.
49ers are an underdog for first time this season.
QB Purdy is 26-10 as an NFL starter.
San Francisco is +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
49ers are 2-4 in game decided by 6 or fewer points.

Packers (7-3)
Packers won five of last six games (0-4 ATS in last four).
Green Bay’s last three wins were by 1-3-2 points.
Green Bay outscored last seven foes 107-55 in second half.
Team total: under 3-1 last four
Opponents’ team total: under 7-2 last nine

GB is 9-10-1 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Packers are 19-15-1 ATS in last 35 games coming off a win.
Green Bay blocked FG on last play LW, preserving 20-19 win.
Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
Last four games, Green Bay has a minus-4 turnover ratio.
Last five games, Packers were outscored 47-9 in last 2:00 of half.

San Francisco won four of last six series games. .
49ers are 2-1 SU/3-0 ATS in last three visits to Lambeau.
Over is 9-4 in last 13 meetings.

Cardinals (-1) @ Seahawks
Cardinals (6-4)
Arizona won/covered last four games, scoring 28-29-31 in last three.
Cardinals are 5-7 ATS last dozen games coming off a win.
In its six wins, Arizona outscored foes 77-30 in second half.
Team total: over 6-4
Opponents’ team total: under 6-4

QB Murray is 34-41-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Cardinals scored 12 TD’s on their last 34 drives.
Arizona is 13-9 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in last seven NFC West road games.
Cardinals outscored last two opponents 60-15.
In those games, Arizona outscored foes 15-0 in second half.

Seahawks (5-5)
Seahawks lost five of last seven games, after a 3-0 start.
Seattle allowed 26+ points in losses, 20 or less in wins.
Seahawks are 3-8 ATS last 11 NFC West home games.
Team total: over 7-3
Opponents’ team total: over 7-3

QB Smith is 35-42 as an NFL starter, 23-23 with Seattle.
Seahawks are 8-10-1 in last 19 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Seattle is 3-8 ATS in last 11 NFC West home games.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Seattle is 3-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.

Seahawks are 10-3 SU/6-6-1 ATS in last 13 meetings.
Cardinals are 1-3 SU/ATS in last four visits to Seattle.
Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

Eagles (-2.5) @ Rams
Eagles (8-2)
Eagles are 6-0 SU/4-2 in their last six games.
Last six games, Eagles allowed 6 TD’s on 62 drives.
Philly outgained last five opponents, 2,236-1,268.
Team total: over 4-1 last five
Opponents’ team total: under 5-1 last six

Eagles outscored last five opponents 57-26 in first half.
Philly is 5-1 SU/ATS away from home this year.
Last four games, Eagles are +8 in turnovers.
QB Hurts is 44-22 as an NFL starter.
Eagles are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
NFC East favorites are 3-6 ATS in non-divisional games.

Rams (5-5)
Rams won four of their last five games, after a 1-4 start.
Rams are 1-5 scoring less than 26 points, 4-0 scoring 26+.
Eight of their ten games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
Last three games, Rams are only 8-33 on third down.
Team total: under 6-4
Opponents’ team total: under 4-1-1 last six

Rams are 6-3-1 last ten games as a home underdog.
Last five games, Rams are +6 in turnovers.
Rams are 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
Rams are 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
NFC West underdogs are 7-8 ATS in non-divisional games.

Philadelphia won seven of last eight series games.
Eagles won/covered last five road series games.
Over is 3-1-1 in last five meetings.

Monday’s game
Ravens
@ Chargers (-1.5)
Ravens (7-4)
Baltimore split its last four games, after a 5-game win streak.
Baltimore is 7-0 if they score 28+ points, 0-4 if they score less than 28
Ravens are 4-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Ravens lost LW but didn’t give up a TD (Steelers had 6 FGs)
Team total: over 7-4
Opponents’ team total: over 8-3

Ravens are 15-5-1 ATS in last 21 games as a road underdog.
Over is 9-2 in Baltimore’s games this year.
QB Jackson is 68-27 as an NFL starter.
Ravens are 19-5 ATS in last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Over is 5-1 in Baltimore road games this season.
Last six weeks, Ravens threw for 8.8+ yards/pass attempt four times.

Chargers (7-3)
Chargers won/covered their last four games.
LA scored 23+ points in wins, 10-10-15 in losses.
Last seven games, Chargers outscored foes 132-42 in 1st half.
Team total: over 7-3
Opponents’ team total: under 6-3-1

Chargers are 12-9-1 ATS last 21 games as home favorites.
Last six games, opponents are 21-74 on third down.
Chargers are 17-18-4 ATS in last 39 games coming off a win.
QB Herbert is 37-36 as an NFL starter.
Under is 7-3 in their first ten games.
Chargers are 5-12 ATS in last 17 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Obviously, the two head coaches are brothers.
Baltimore won five of last six meetings.
Ravens are won/covered last two road series games.
Last four meetings stayed under the total.

 
Posted : November 23, 2024 9:16 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 60755
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

NFL Weather Report Sunday, November 24

 
Posted : November 24, 2024 8:28 am
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