Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.
NFL
Week 4
Trend Report
Dallas vs NY Giants
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
NY Giants is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
LA Rams vs Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
LA Rams is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Minnesota vs Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games on the road
Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Jacksonville vs Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Houston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Jacksonville
New Orleans vs Atlanta
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Cincinnati vs Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Carolina's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Carolina's last 14 games
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Indianapolis
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 8 games at home
Denver vs NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets's last 8 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Jets's last 12 games at home
Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
Washington vs Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Washington
New England vs San Francisco
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 8 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home
Kansas City vs LA Chargers
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games at home
Cleveland vs Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Cleveland's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games at home
Buffalo vs Baltimore
Buffalo is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Tennessee vs Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tennessee's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tennessee's last 15 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Seattle vs Detroit
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 4
Thursday’s game
Cowboys (-4.5) @ Giants
Cowboys (1-2)
Cowboys lost their last two games, giving up 44-28 points.
Cowboys were outrushed 464-119 in those games.
Last three years, Dallas is 11-4 ATS coming off a loss.
Team total: over 3-0
Opponents’ team total
ver 2-1
Last 3+ years, Dallas is 11-4 ATS as a road favorite.
QB Prescott is 76-48 as an NFL starter.
Last three years, Dallas is 6-3 ATS in NFC East road games.
Last two games, Cowboys allowed 14.2/12.1 yards/pass attempt.
Over is 3-0 in Dallas games this season.
Giants (1-2)
Giants scored six TD’s on 19 drives while splitting last two games.
Giants gave up two TD’s, 7 FG’s on opponents’ last 20 drives.
Team total: under 2-1
Opponents’ team total: under 2-1
Giants have been outscored 34-9 in second half of games.
Under Daboll, Giants are 8-5-1 ATS coming off a win.
Since 2018, Giants are 7-11 ATS in NFC East home games.
QB Jones is 24-39-1 as an NFL starter.
Opponents are only 14-38 on third down.
Dallas won seven in row, 13 of last 14 series games.
Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in last seven visits to the Garden State
Under is 4-0 in last four meetings played here.
Best NFL Week 4 betting trends
The trend: The Cowboys are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite.
The trend: Pittsburgh games have an average combined score of just 25.6 points this season.
The trend: The Vikings have gone Under the first half total in 15 of 20 games since the start of last season.
The trend: The Broncos have covered the first quarter spread in 17 of their last 22 games.
The trend: The Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after a loss.
The trend: The Saints have gone Under in 18 of their last 24 divisional matchups.
The trend: The Bears have gone Under in 10 of their last 13 games.
The trend: The Eagles are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games in the first half.
The trend: The Bengals have gone Over in seven of their last nine games.
The trend: The 49ers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games
The trend: The Commanders have allowed at least 28 points in nine of their last 12 road games.
The trend: The Chiefs are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games.
The trend: The Raiders have gone Under their team total in 14 of 20 games since the start of last season.
The trend: Buffalo has gone Over its team total in all three games to open the season
The trend: The Dolphins are 0-6 ATS in their last six games and have gone Under in five straight.
The trend: These teams have combined for 68, 93, and 80 points in their last three games against each other , SEA@DET
Top NFL Things To Know
Dog Eat Dog
Historic Start
Underdogs of 7+ points start the season 4-0 SU — the first time dogs of 7+ are above .500 SU through three weeks since 1956.
Raiders (+9) over Ravens
Patriots (+8) over Bengals
Bucs (+7.5) over Lions
Commanders (+7.5) over Bengals
For the first time in over 70 years, the biggest underdog in each of the 1st 3 weeks all won outright.
Wk 3: Commanders (+7.5) over CIN
Wk 2: Raiders (+9) over BAL
Wk 1: Patriots (+8) over CIN
NFL underdogs of 6+ points are now 8-5 SU and 12-1 ATS through three weeks — covering the spread by 9.3 PPG. The best start ATS for "big dogs" in history.
Tough Start
Fade Has Worked
The betting public (51%+ of tickets) is 17-30-1 ATS this season, with a $100 bettor down $1,453 – the 2nd-worst start for the betting public through two weeks since 2003 (ahead of just 2018).
Public by week:
+ Week 3: 6-10 ATS
+ Week 2: 5-10-1 ATS
+ Week 1: 6-10 ATS
Looking overall at how the public fared ATS in the NFL last year, they went 139-115-9 ATS, with a $100 bettor up $1,063 — the best single regular season for the public in the Bet Labs database dating back to 2003.
We already have five teams 0-2 ATS this year when listed as a public side: SF, LAR, LV, HOU, CIN
Perfectly Flawed
Undefeated Dogs
We have three 3-0 teams in Week 4 all listed as underdogs: Seahawks, Bills, Vikings
3-0 SU teams who are listed as underdogs in their 4th game have struggled lately, going 2-9 SU, 3-7-1 ATS last decade, including 6-19 SU, 9-15-1 ATS last 20 years.
La La Land
Rams Off Emotional Win
Rams are coming off a massive comeback vs. 49ers last week. Their 14-point comeback was their largest since Week 2, 2012 vs Washington, breaking a 59-game losing streak when down 14. In that Week 2 game in 2012, Sean McVay was Washington’s TE coach and Kyle Shanahan was their offensive coordinator.
Rams became the 4th team this season to overcome a 14-pt deficit – Bills, Bears and Dolphins in Week 1.
Teams coming off a 14+ pt comeback in their previous game are 51-68 SU (43%) and 49-70-1 ATS (41.2%), including 70-49-1 (59%) to the under in their next game since 2016.
When that team came back from 14+ down, they are 24-49 SU, 30-44 ATS when playing on the road in their next game over the last decade.
Jaguars had the worst loss of Week 3, losing by 37 pts to the Bills. In the last 20 years, teams that lose by 30+ pts and are underdogs of 4 pts or more in their next game are 89-50-3 ATS (64%).
Teams to lose by 35+ pts, are 76-47-6 ATS (62%) in their next game. When those teams are +4 or higher in their next game, they are 50-19-2 ATS (73%).