Betting Recap - Week 3
By Daniel Dobish
VegasInsider.com
National Football League Week 3 Results
Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 7-8
Against the Spread 3-12
Home-Away
Straight Up 11-4
Against the Spread 9-6
otals (O/U)
Over-Under 11-4
The largest underdogs to win straight up
Bears (+7, ML + ) vs. Steelers, 23-17 (OT)
Jets (+5.5, ML + ) vs. Dolphins, 20-6
Saints (+5.5, ML+ ) at Panthers, 34-13
The largest favorite to cover
Chiefs (-3) at Chargers, 24-10
Falcons (-3) at Lions, 30-26
Titans (-2.5) vs. Seahawks, 33-27
K.C. Sunshine
The Kansas City Chiefs started out hot early in Sunday's game with the Los Angeles Chargers, winning and covering for the third time in as many outings this season. The Chiefs have been getting amazing production from RB Kareem Hunt, who is the first rookie to roll for 100 or more yards from scrimmage in his first three NFL games since Matt Forte accomplished the feat in 2008 with the Chicago Bears. The defense has been getting better, too, allowing just 10 points Sunday after 27 in Week 1, and 20 in Week 2. The 'under' result on Sunday was the first of the season after going 0-1-1 through the first two contest.
Buffalo Brothers
The Buffalo Bills used another strong defensive effort in Week 3, topping the Denver Broncos by a 26-16 score. The Bills have allowed just two touchdowns and eight field goals through three games, and they're a perfect 3-0 ATS on the season. The 'over' result in Sunday's game was the first after two 'under' results. Next up is a trip to face the unbeaten Atlanta Falcons in their brand new palace. The Falcons have covered two in a row after narrowly missing a cover in Week 1. The Falcons won a controversial game on the road against the Detroit Lions on a stop at the goal line.
Total Recall
Sunday Night Football was a low-scoring affair, as the 'over' was never threatened in Oakland-Washington (53.5). In fact, Raiders QB Derek Carr didn't even eclipse 100 passing yards until garbage time in the fourth quarter. It was a stark contrast to the barn burner between L.A. Rams-San Francisco (40) on Thursday night, as the teams combined to double the total.
Three games -- Baltimore-Jacksonville (38.5), Denver-Buffalo (39.5) and the L.A.-San Francisco (40) game had totals with a line of 40 or lower, and all three of those games cashed 'over', In fact, the Jaguars hit the over by themselves, as the 'over' is now 10-3 in the past 13 games played in the United Kingdom. Tampa Bay-Minnesota (41), Seattle-Tennessee (41.5) and Cleveland-Indianapolis (42) were the next three lowest totals on the board, and they all hit the 'over', too.
The Miami Dolphins and Ravens apparently didn't get the memo, as Week 3 was supposed to be a high-scoring weekend. Baltimore scored just seven overseas, while the Dolphins turned in the lowest total, six points, in a shocking loss to the New York Jets. The Dolphins have started a big sluggish after having their Week 1 game canceled due to Hurricane Irma, averaging just 12.5 PPG on offense while the defense has given up 18.5 PPG.
The 'over/under' is 5-5 through the first 10 primetime games of the 2017 season with Monday's total still pending. Officially, the 'over' finished 27-24 (52.9%) through 51 games under the lights in 2016. In 2015, the over finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games. In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56%) in 2013.
Injury Report
Buccaneers LB Lavonte David (ankle) was carted off in Minnesota due to a left ankle injury. X-rays were negative, but reports say he was on crutches after the game.
Eagles RB Darren Sproles (arm) suffered a broken arm in Sunday's victory againts the Giants and he will have an MRI on Monday to determine the severity of the injury. He might be headed for the Reserve/Injured list as a result.
Jets RB Matt Forte (toe) exited Sunday's game against the Dolphins early due to a toe ailment.
Panthers WR Kelvin Benjamin (knee) left Sunday's game against the Saints due to a knee injury, but early reports indicate he escaped major injury.
Raiders WR Michael Crabtree (chest) was forced out of the Sunday Night battle against the Redskins after taking a hard shot to the sternum.
Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin (groin) was forced out of Sunday's game in Tennessee after suffering a strained groin.
Looking Ahead
The Bears meet the Packers at Lambeau Field on Thursday night. While Chicago is 5-0 ATS over their past five against teams with a winning record, they're just 2-7 ATS in their past nine road games and 1-5 ATS in their past six appearances on a Thursday. Chicago is also 3-10 ATS in their past 13 meetings with the Packers, while the favorite is 10-3 ATS across the past 13 in this series.
The Ravens will host the Steelers, as both teams look to rebound after Week 3 losses. Baltimore is 10-1 ATS in their past 11 against AFC North teams, and 5-1 ATS in their past six at home. Pittsburgh is 0-4-1 ATS in the past five meetings in this series, although the underdog is 4-0-1 ATS during the span. The 'under' is also 3-1-1 in the past five meetings.
The Bengals look to stay hot against the number on the road when they meet the Browns. Cincinnati is 12-5 ATS in their past 17 on the road, including a cover at Green Bay in Week 3. The Browns are 2-8 ATS in their past 10 at home, 5-15-1 ATS in their past 21 against AFC foes and 3-12-1 ATS across the past 16 inside the division. Cincinnati has covered five straight in the series, the favorite is 4-0 ATS in the past four and the under has hit in each of the past four meeting at First Energy Stadium.
The Titans won and covered for the second straight game in Week 3, and they look to make it four in a row against the Texans in Houston. The Titans are just 4-21-3 ATS in their past 28 against teams with a losing overall record. TheTexans are 8-3-1 ATS in their past 12 inside the division, but just 1-4 ATS across their past five at home. The favorite has hit in six straight in this series, and the over is 5-1 in the past six meetings in Houston.
The Lions look to rebound at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis against the Vikings. The Lions hope to change their luck at a new venue, as they're just 3-7-2 ATS in their past 12 visits to the Twin Cities. The under is 4-0 in the past four meetings in Minneapolis, and 6-1 over the past seven overall in the series.
After a horrific performance in D.C., the Raiders look to rebound against the Broncos in Denver in Week 4. The road team is 12-5-1 ATS in the past 18 in this series, but the favorite is 8-1-1 ATS in the past 10 overall between the AFC West rivals. The Raiders are also just 2-8-1 ATS in the past 11 in this series, and 1-3-1 ATS in the past five trips to the Mile High City.