Betting Recap - Week 8
VegasInsider.com
Side Notes
Home teams went 8-3 (San Francisco beat Jacksonville 42-10 from London as the designated road team)
Favorites went 9-2 straight up
The two underdogs to win outright were the N.Y. Giants (+5½, +200) and Oakland Raiders (+2½, +130), who beat the Philadelphia Eagles and Pittsburgh Steelers respectively
Favorites went 7-4 against the spread
The Detroit Lions and Kansas City Chiefs were the two favorites to win but not cover.
Total Notes
The ‘over’ went 7-4
Denver watched the ‘over’ improve to 8-0 on the season
Kansas City saw the ‘over’ cash for just the second time this season
Including today’s result, Oakland has watched the ‘under’ go 4-0 in its four home games
The 'over' is 5-0 the last five games played on Thursday
Trends to Watch
The Eagles are 3-5 on the season and all three wins have come on the road. At home, Philadelphia is now 0-4, three of the losses by eight points or more.
After losing to 49-9 to the Bengals, the New York Jets are 0-4 after a win this season and the offense has been held to 10, 13, 6 and 9 points.
The Jaguars are 0-8 but they won’t lose next week since they’re on bye. In two weeks, they’ll head to Tennessee.
The Chiefs are 2-3 ATS at home and the two covers were closer than the final margin showed against the N.Y. Giants (31-7) and Oakland Raiders (24-7).
The Dolphins have dropped four straight after starting the season 3-0. Miami has allowed 20-plus points in six consecutive games.
Bad Beats
Dallas (ML) – The Cowboys (+140) needed one more first down to seal the game but still held a six-point (30-24) lead with less than a minute left. Detroit QB Matthew Stafford moved the team 80 yards with no timeouts and capped off the victory with a one-yard touchdown plunge.
Under Washington-Denver – The total closed at 58 points. The game was knotted 7-7 at halftime before the Broncos outscored the Redskins 38-14 in the final 30 minutes. The second-half total was 28½ points.
Under Dallas-Detroit – The total closed at 51 ½ points. The Cowboys led 13-7 entering the fourth quarter. The Lions outscored Dallas 24-17 in the final 15 minutes.
Over Miami-New England– The total closed at 46. Miami led 17-3 at halftime and was outscored 24-0 in the second-half by the Patriots. The Dolphins missed a field goal and had one blocked as the Patriots held on for a 27-17 victory.
Washington + 11½ - The Redskins led 21-7 early in the third quarter before the Broncos closed the game with 38 unanswered points.
Favorite-Over Combos
The betting public was able to cash the favorite-over combo in plenty of parlays this weekend.
Carolina 31 Tampa Bay 13 (Over 39)
San Francisco 42 Jacksonville 10 (Over 40)
New Orleans 35 Buffalo 17 (Over 49½)
Cincinnati 49 N.Y. Jets 9 (Over 41)
Denver 45 Washington 21 (Over 58½)
Close Calls - Week 8
By Joe Nelson
VegasInsider.com
Detroit Lions (-3) 31, Dallas Cowboys: While those on the underdog Cowboys still held on in the wild fourth quarter in Detroit, those that played the Cowboys on the money-line (+140) or those on the ‘under’ had a rude finish. Detroit had huge yardage in the game but turnovers were costly and Dallas led just 13-7 entering the fourth quarter. With a 50-yard touchdown pass Dallas took a 27-17 lead with less than seven minutes to go in the game but Detroit would climb within three with a touchdown run with just over three minutes to go, a score that pushed the total ‘over’ as there eventually would be 41 points scored in the fourth quarter. Dallas settled for a field goal playing conservatively to lead by six with a minute to go in the game but Matthew Stafford and the Lions rallied to score with the gutsy final play to steal the win in the final seconds.
Kansas City Chiefs (-7) 23, Cleveland Browns 17: The Chiefs led 13-0 and 20-7 early in this game but the Browns climbed within 10 right before halftime and then scored five minutes into the third quarter to get within three. There was no scoring for nearly 25 minutes of game clock until the Chiefs added a field goal with 17 seconds left after minimally threatening to score at all in the second half.
New Orleans Saints (-10) 35, Buffalo Bills 17: This line was at -12 early in the week before falling late in the week and while the Saints were in control the Bills were within range of the spread most of the way. New Orleans led 28-10 entering the fourth quarter but the Bills punched in a touchdown to get within 11 early in the final frame. The Saints hit another big play after a Buffalo interception to go up 35-17 and while the Bills threatened to add points on the last two possessions, they could not deliver.
New England Patriots (-6½) 27, Miami Dolphins 17: The Dolphins led 17-3 at the half but New England took over in the third quarter, taking a 20-17 lead aided by a missed field goal and a fumble deep in Miami territory. The Patriots got past the spread early in the fourth but Miami appeared to be in position to climb back within at least seven, where the line was most of the week, however a short field goal attempt was blocked. Miami would get another possession but the threat ended with another turnover.
Denver Broncos (-11) 45, Washington Redskins 21: The Redskins led 21-7 well into the third quarter after an interception return touchdown, appearing en route to a major upset. Denver found the end zone to get within seven before the start of the fourth quarter and the Broncos tied the game just four seconds into the final quarter. It would snowball from there as the Broncos scored 24 more points in the fourth quarter, the last score came on a 75-yard interception return touchdown as the Redskins could not cover with a double-digit spread despite the double-digit second half lead.