NFL: Betting Recap - Week 9

Betting Recap - Week 9
November 5, 2018
By Joe Williams

College Football Recap - Week 10

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 9 Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 6-6
Against the Spread 6-6
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 6-6
Against the Spread 6-6
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 5-7
National Football League Year-to-Date Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 86-45-2
Against the Spread 62-69-2
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 78-53-2
Against the Spread 63-67-2
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 65-68

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Saints (+2, ML +105) vs. Rams, 45-35
Falcons (+1.5, ML +105) at Redskins, 38-14
49ers (+1.5, ML +110) vs. Raiders, 34-3
Steelers (+1.5, ML +100) at Ravens, 23-16

The largest favorite to cover
Bears (-10) at Bills, 41-9
Chiefs (-8.5) at Browns, 37-21
Panthers (-6) vs. Buccaneers, 42-28
Patriots (-5) vs. Packers, 31-17

Looking California...

-- The Los Angeles Chargers went up to the Pacific Northwest and topped the Seattle Seahawks, 25-17. The Bolts have managed a 3-1 SU/ATS record in four road games this season. The 'under' has connected in back-to-back games for the first time in 2018, too. After a 1-3 ATS starts, the Chargers are a solid 3-1 ATS over the past four contests.

The Bolts will face the Oakland Raiders in Week 10. They topped the Raiders 26-10 to easily cover a five-point spread as the 'under' hit in the first meeting back on Oct. 7 in Carson. L.A. heads into that battle 17-8-1 ATS in the past 26 road games, while the Raiders are just 3-8-2 ATS in the past 13 against teams with a winning record and 4-10-1 ATS in the past 15 vs. AFC foes. The Chargers are 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings with the Raiders, while going 11-4 ATS in the past 15 trips to the Bay Area. The road team is also 6-2 ATS in the past eight in this series.

...Feeling Minnesota

-- The Minnesota Vikings rebounded from last week's loss at home to the New Orleans Saints, topping the Detroit Lions 24-9. It was just the second game against a divisional foe this season, as the Vikings moved to 1-0-1 SU/1-1 ATS. After a 5-0 ATS run, the Lions have failed to cover in back-to-back games for the first time this season while the 'under' has also hit in two straight for the Silver and Honolulu Blue for the first time in 2018.

The Vikings are 3-2 SU/2-2-1 ATS in five games at home this season and they have yet to cover in back-to-back contests in their home building. One thing that is constant, however, is the 'under'. Minnesota has cashed the under at home in four of their five games at U.S. Bank Stadium in the Twin Cities this season.

Total Recall

-- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers hit the 'over' again in their divisional road battle against the Carolina Panthers, losing 42-28. The Bucs moved to 7-1 on over results so far this season, the most overs in the NFL so far. Also in the NFC South, the over is 6-2 for the Atlanta Falcons, hitting again in the 38-14 victory on the road against the Washington Redskins.

-- If you watched the Duke-Miami (Fla.) college football game, you saw torrential rains and the field at Hard Rock Stadium in terrible shape on Saturday night. It was a quick turnaround with a 1:00 p.m. kickoff between the New York Jets-Miami Dolphins (43), as the turf was less than ideal. There were zero offensive touchdowns (and one defensive score) in the 13-6 win for the home side, easily hitting the 'under'.

-- The lowest total on the board, Chicago Bears-Buffalo Bills (38) connected as the Bears were able to take care of the 'over' themselves, winning 41-9. The second- and third-lowest totals on the board, the N.Y. Jets-Miami (43) and Oakland Raiders-San Francisco 49ers (44) each cashed the 'under'.

-- Three of the four highest totals on the board cashed in Week 9. The highest total was in the Los Angeles Rams-New Orleans Saints (57.5) battle, and they combined for 80 points. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Carolina Panthers (55.5) and Kansas City Chiefs-Cleveland Browns (51.5) each hit the 'over'. The only game with a listed total over 50 points to not go over was the Green Bay Packers-New England Patriots (56) battle on Sunday night.

-- The 'under' went 2-0 in the first two primetime games in Week 9, with the Monday night game between the Tennessee Titans-Dallas Cowboys (40.5) still pending. Overall for the 2018 season the 'over' in primetime games is 12-15 (44.4%). The 'under' has cashed in seven of the past eight battles on Sunday Night Football.

Officially, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 games under the lights in 2017.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the over finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Injury Report

-- Seattle Seahawks RB Chris Carson (hip) was the only major offensive player to leave Sunday's action and fail to return.

Looking Ahead

-- The Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears will do battle at Soldier Field. The Lions arrive with a 5-2-1 ATS mark over their past eight inside the division even after failing to cover in Minnesota in Week 9. However, they're just 3-9 ATS across the past 12 against winning teams. The Bears are 4-1 ATS in the past five home games, and 5-1 ATS in the past six against losing teams, including their 41-9 throttling of the Bills on Sunday. The under is 5-1 in the past six meetings in Chicago, and 4-1 in the past five meetings overall in this series.

-- The Jaguars head to Indianapolis looking to get well against the Colts. They have had a lot of success in the RCA Dome and Lucas Oil Stadium over the years. Jacksonville is 7-1 ATS in their past eight following a bye week, although they're 0-4 ATS over the past four overall and 1-5 ATS in their past six following a straight-up loss. Indy is 2-7 ATS in their past nine inside the division, and 4-10-1 ATS in the past 15 following a straight-up win. They're 8-3 ATS in the past 11 following a bye week, and 32-13 ATS in the past 45 against losing teams. The under is 5-1 in the past six divisional games for both the Jags and Colts. For Jacksonville, the under is 12-4 in their past 16 against AFC opponents, too. In this series, Jacksonville has covered six straight meetings, and they're 8-3 ATS in the past 11 in Indianapolis. The under is 7-0 in the past seven in Indy, while going 11-3 in the past 14 meetings in this series, too.

-- The Bills travel to New Jersey to battle the Jets, who were awful in their Week 9 loss in Miami. Buffalo was equally poor at home. In fact, both of these teams combined for 15 total points on Sunday. The Bills are 3-8 ATS in their past 11 divisional games, while going 0-6 ATS in the past six on the road against teams with a losing home record. The Jets are 10-3 ATS in the past 13 at home, but just 1-3-1 ATS in the past five inside the division. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the past five in this series, with the over going 6-2 in the past eight meetings at MetLife Stadium.

-- The Seahawks travel to meet the Rams, who are certain to be angry after their first loss of the season. The home team is 8-3 ATS in the past 11 meetings in this series, with the Seahawks 1-5 ATS in their past six trips to L.A. (and St. Louis). The under is 12-5 in the past 17 meetings, and 6-2 in the past eight in L.A/St. Louis, although the over hit in the meeting earlier this season in Seattle.

-- The Cowboys and Eagles will do battle on Sunday night. Remember, the under is 7-1 in the past eight games on SNF. The under is also 7-1 in the past eight for Dallas against NFC foes, and 4-0 in the past four divisional games. The under is 23-6 in their past 29 on the road, too. For Philly, the under is 4-0 in their past four at home and 13-5 in their past 18 following a bye. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings in this series, although the Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in the past six in Philly, with the road team cashing in 10 of the previous 13 meetings. The under is 4-1 in the past five in Philly, and 7-3 in the past 10 overall in the series.