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NFL Divisional Round Trends 1/15 - 1/16

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Saturday, January 15

BALTIMORE (13 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (12 - 4)

Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
BALTIMORE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-2 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

GREEN BAY (11 - 6) at ATLANTA (13 - 3)

Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against NFC South division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against NFC North division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
GREEN BAY is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
ATLANTA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Sunday, January 16

SEATTLE (8 - 9) at CHICAGO (11 - 5)

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 1-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NY JETS (12 - 5) at NEW ENGLAND (14 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 136-103 ATS (+22.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 60-37 ATS (+19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NY JETS are 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY JETS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss against opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-3 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-3 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : January 11, 2011 10:39 pm
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Saturday, January 15

BALTIMORE vs. PITTSBURGH
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore

GREEN BAY vs. ATLANTA
Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Green Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Sunday, January 16

SEATTLE vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Chicago is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games

NY JETS vs. NEW ENGLAND
NY Jets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 12 of the NY Jets last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New England's last 10 games
New England is 13-4 SU in their last 17 games when playing NY Jets

 
Posted : January 11, 2011 10:40 pm
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Saturday, 1/15/2011

BALTIMORE at PITTSBURGH
BALTIMORE: 6-0 ATS Away on grass
PITTSBURGH: 12-3 Over on Saturday

GREEN BAY at ATLANTA
GREEN BAY: 8-1 Under in road games
ATLANTA: 3-18 ATS at home off home win

Sunday, 1/16/2011

SEATTLE at CHICAGO
SEATTLE: 2-12 ATS as road underdog
CHICAGO: 15-5 Over off road ATS Win/SU loss

NY JETS at NEW ENGLAND
NY JETS: 8-1 in road games
NEW ENGLAND: 13-3 Over in all games

 
Posted : January 11, 2011 10:41 pm
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Divisional Playoff Tech Trends
By Bruce Marshall

BALTIMORE at PITTSBURGH... Last four meetings all decided by exactly 3 points. Underdog side is 6-1-1 vs. number last 8 in series. Last three meetings "under" after 6 of previous 7 had gone "over." Ravens 4-2 SU and vs. line in postseason since ‘08, Steelers 7-1 vs. spread in playoffs since ‘05. Tech edge-slight to Ravens and "under," based on series and "totals" trends.

GREEN BAY at ATLANTA... Packers 3-1 vs. line as dog this season, 16-5 vs. spread in role since ‘07, and 19-5 last 24 as dog since late in ‘06 campaign. Falcons, however, are 10-4 as home chalk since last season, and 21-9 overall as chalk since HC Mike Smith arrived in 2008. Pack "under" 11-6 this season. Tech edge-slight to "under," based on "totals" trends.

SEATTLE at CHICAGO... Seahawks just 2-6 vs. line on road this season, and all nine of their losses have been by 15 points or more. Seattle now 3-14 vs. number on road since late in the ‘08 campaign. Seahawks "over" 12-4-1 this season, and "over" 13-5 last 18 as visitor. Bears 6-2 vs. line last 8 in 2010. Tech edge-"Over" and Bears, based on "totals" and Seahawks’ road trends.

NY JETS at NEW ENGLAND... Belichick surprisingly has dropped his last five playoff pointspread decisions, although Patriots roared down stretch this season, covering 10 of last 13. Interestingly, Jets and Patriots have split their regular-season pointspread decisions the past five years, with home teams winning and covering all such games the past two years. Rex Ryan 8-5 as dog since ‘09. Belichick "over" 15-3 last 18 since late in ‘09 campaign, Jets "over" 16-6 last 22 since late ‘09, and these two were "over" in both of their 2010 meetings. Tech edge-"Over," based on "totals" trends.

 
Posted : January 12, 2011 8:22 pm
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