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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 4/20/20

 
Posted : April 20, 2020 12:13 pm
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2020 NFL Draft School-Specific First-Round Props
April 18, 2020
By Tony Mejia

2020 NFL Draft Odds & Best Bet Picks
LSU, 'Bama to make up over 30 percent of Round 1
LSU owns a national title and bragging rights over former head coach Nick Saban and Alabama by virtue of November’s 46-41 win in Tuscaloosa, but the Crimson Tide did own an eight-game win streak in the series prior to last year’s conquest.

2020 is a different animal, so even though ‘Bama will have to wait until Nov. 7 to get revenge on the field in Baton Rouge, it can begin to restore its dominance by edging the defending champion in first-rounders selected on April 23.

FanDuel has set NFL Draft odds for five schools who have a chance to send multiple first-round picks.

The total expected to hail from each of the Southeastern Conference’s top West Division powers was placed at 5.5, by far the largest number placed on any school in this draft. Look for Miami’s record of six to be matched in this draft by one of those programs.

Read on for a breakdown NFL Draft school-specific first round odds.

Alabama
Total number of First-Rounders: OVER 5.5 (+102) UNDER 5.5 (-130)

Locks: QB Tua Tagovailoa, WR Jerry Jeudy, WR Henry Ruggs III, T Jedrick Wills.

Possibilities: S Xavier McKinney, CB Trevon Diggs, DT Raekwon Davis

There’s a chance that McKinney and Diggs are both selected along with the Tide’s four offensive standouts who could all be gone inside the Top-15, but a defense that twice surrendered the most points of any team in the Saban era probably won’t get their both of their top defensive backs selected. Davis is a likely second-rounder.
LSU
Total number of First-Rounders: OVER 5.5 (+225) UNDER 5.5 (-310)

Locks: QB Joe Burrow, WR Justin Jefferson, CB Kristian Fulton, T K’Lavon Chaisson.

Possibilities: S Grant Delpit, LB Patrick Queen, C Lloyd Cushenberry, RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, DT Rashard Lawrence

While Alabama will undoubtedly surge ahead in this mini-race with the Bayou Bengals, don’t sleep on the closing speed of the defending champs. Fulton, Chaisson, Delpit and Queen may all hear their names called in the back-half of the first round and Cusheberry is one of the top available centers.
Clemson
Total number of First-Rounders: OVER 2.5 (+225) UNDER 2.5 (-310)

Locks: LB Isaiah Simmons

Possibilities: WR Tee Higgins, CB AJ Terrell, S K’Von Wallace

The Tigers will have a top-five guy in Simmons and could see both Higgins and Terrell selected in the first round. We’ll see whether both will be able to rise up in a crowded crop at both positions.
Ohio State
Total number of First-Rounders: OVER 2.5 (+300) UNDER 2.5 (-450)

Locks: DE Chase Young, CB Jeff Okudah

Possibilities: LB Malik Harrison, CB Damon Arnette, RB J.K. Dobbins, G Jonah Jackson, DT Davon Hamilton

The Buckeyes may end up being the first school to have multiple players selected given how highly Young and Okudah are regarded but the wait for the third player from the school taken could extend into Friday.
Georgia
Total number of First-Rounders: OVER 1.5 (-176) UNDER 1.5 (+138)

Locks: T Andrew Thomas

Possibilities: RB D’Andre Swift, T Isaiah Wilson, QB Jake Fromm

The Dawgs could see a pair of tackles selected among the first 32 picks but seem certain land at least one of their hog mollies in Round 1. Swift is the x-factor as arguably the top running back on the board, while Fromm has his admirers.
NFL Draft Predictions
Best Bet: UNDER 5.5 Alabama First-Round Picks (-130)
Best Bet: OVER 5.5 LSU First-Round Picks (+225)
Best Bet: UNDER 2.5 Clemson First-Round Picks (-310)
Best Bet: OVER 1.5 Georgia First-Round Picks (-176)

 
Posted : April 20, 2020 12:15 pm
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2020 NFL Power Five Draft Prop Odds
April 17, 2020
By Tony Mejia

Pac-12 'under' lone 'chalk' prop worth riding
While roughly half of the NFL Draft’s first round is expected to hail from the SEC, you can still wager on props for the remaining leagues in the Power Five.

FanDuel set its odds for NFL Draft first-round picks. The total expected to hail from the Southeastern Conference was placed at 15.5 but there are also has numbers available on multiple players from the Big Ten, Big 12, ACC and Pac-12 hearing their names called on April 23.

My position on there being at least 16 players drafted out of the SEC in the first round remains unchanged as the first week of April ends but there are still a few weeks left to determine how teams will approach what promises to be the most unique draft ever.

The lack of pro days and workouts due to COVID-19 have created obstacles for teams due to travel restrictions and gathering guidelines, but it remains to be seen whether teams will find a way to get a closer look at prospects they’ve zeroed in on.

The Big Ten is expected to have the most players selected behind the SEC and have its total set at 5.5, which looks low considering three of the top six picks are likely to hail from the league. The Big 12’s number is set at 3.5 while the ACC and Pac-12 should each have at least two players taken but have to clear 2.5 first-round picks in order to prevail for ‘over’ bettors.
Big Ten
Ohio State’s Chase Young, who set the Buckeyes’ single-season sack record with 16.5, will be the first defensive player chosen. College teammate Jeff Okudah is considered the top defensive back in the draft. He’ll be the first cornerback taken and may go top-five. Iowa’s Tristan Wirfs is arguably the best offensive lineman available and is who I’m backing to emerge as the first at his position to hear his name called.

If you’re betting the ‘over’ here, half your work might be done within the draft’s first hour. The high side is a -124 ($124 to win $100) favorite, but you will likely be in for a long wait after the top seven or eight picks. Betting the ‘under’ (-102) seems to be a headier play. Penn State’s defensive end Yetur Gross-Matos has moved ahead of Iowa’s A.J. Epenesa on most draft boards despite the Hawkeyes’ standout coming into last season rated higher. Both may end up being first-rounders, but my expectation is that there will only be room for one among the first 32 picks.

Minnesota safety Antoine Winfield, Jr. is a top-10 defensive back in this draft but probably won’t hear his name in the first round. I bet he’ll end up being one of the best selections and offer terrific value in the second round but that won’t help over bettors here.

Ohio State has four more highly-rated prospects in corner Damon Arnette, linebacker Malik Harrison, RB J.K. Dobbins and guard Jonah Jackson. They’re all ranked consistently among the top 75 but are unlikely to go until the second round.

Michigan center Cesar Ruiz is the youngest interior lineman in the draft and has excellent feet, but I don’t see a team taking any non-tackles in the first round to solidify their situation up front.

Wisconsin’s Tyler Biadasz is considered a notch below Ruiz among centers and has a shot to go in the second round too. Record-setting RB Jonathan Taylor is lumped in with Georgia’s D’Andre Swift as the top options available as their position but I only see one team pulling the trigger on a running back on the draft’s opening Thursday. Due to less mileage and his ability to be more of a weapon catching passes out of the backfield, Swift is more likely to be a first-rounder than Taylor.

The Badgers’ most likely first-round pick is versatile linebacker Zack Baun, who may be one of those guys who decides props since he’ll be in the mix among the final few picks. He can move outside as an edge rusher and will play early, but there are scouts who don’t have a first-round grade on him.

Although we could see six Big Ten products selected among the first 32, I don’t believe the conference will land more than five choices.
Big 12
FanDuel NFL Draft odds for this league’s prop will require Oklahoma getting a little help from other parts of the league if ‘over’ 3.5 is to come to fruition. The high side (+134, $100 to win $134) is an underdog certainly worth a look, while the ‘under’ (-172, $172 to win $100, $100 to win $58.14) is priced at a point where it’s not exactly worth it to take the plunge.

It does appear that the only lock first-rounder coming out of the Big 12 this season is my choice to go first among receivers, Sooners star CeeDee Lamb. The electric All-American won’t be around once the first two hours are in the books, but there’s a chance that there won’t be another player from the entire conference selected on the draft’s opening night.

OU teammate Kenneth Murray, a bulky linebacker who was a tackle machine throughout his career, has a first-round grade from some and may find a home in the 20’s.

TCU corner Jeff Gladney has ridiculous speed that may allow him to overcome concerns over being too small, especially since he’s projected to be an above-average tackler. There are enough teams who like him that it’s worth taking a shot on an ‘over’ prop.

Other names who could sneak into the first round to aid the cause is Baylor receiver Denzel Mims, who had a fantastic combine and posted a 4.38 40-time but may end up on the outside looking in due to how deep the 2020 NFL Draft receiving crop is. TCU wideout Jaelen Reagor is in that mix, while Horned Frogs defensive tackle Ross Blacklock , a 6-foot-3, 290-pounder, has an opportunity to go in the opening round as well. Take a shot with the ‘over.’

ACC
After a rough season where every Atlantic Coast Conference team except Clemson dropped at least five games and only three teams other than the finished with a conference mark above .500, it’s no surprise that there aren’t a lot of first-round prospects to count on.

The Tigers will be represented in the Top 10 by talented hybrid linebacker Isaiah Simmons, who might have the biggest impact of any defensive player in this draft considering his versatility and how ready to play he looks. Louisville will be the only team to contribute to this cause and has the only Top-50 prospect who didn’t go to Clemson in 6-foot-7, 370-pound Mekhi Becton, one of the draft’s top tackles. There’s concern that he’s too raw to beat out a few of the other best prospects up front but he’s likely to be off the board before Thursday night ends.

Unfortunately for ACC bettors willing to lay -190 on ‘over’ 2.5 ($190 to win $100, $100 to win $52.63), Clemson corner A.J. Terrell, receiver Tee Higgins and guard John Simpson will all likely be second or third-round choices. Virginia CB Bryce Hall, Syracuse DE Aldon Robinson and highly respected running backs from FSU (Cam Akers) and Boston College (A.J. Dillon) are in the top-100 mix but won’t be first-day options. I’d be worried about Terrell slipping into the first round but still believe the only way to bet this is to ride the ‘under’ (+148, $100 to win $148).
Pac-12
The biggest lock in the conference-related NFL Draft prop game involves fading the Pac-12. Oregon QB Justin Herbert looks like he’ll be the third quarterback selected as a likely Top-10 pick. After that, the Conference of Champions may not see another player taken until the second night rolls around.

‘Under’ 2.5 is a huge favorite (-210, $210 to win $100, $100 to win $47.62) as a result, although USC tackle Austin Jackson and Utah corner Jaylen Johnson could potentially play spoiler. Both would have to be selected to deliver for ‘over’ 2.5 (+162, $100 to win $162), which I just don’t see happening. Receivers Brandon Aiyuk (Arizona State) and Michael Pittman, Jr. (USC) also have a chance to contribute immediately, but figure to be available when he second round begins. Look for the heavy favorite to cash.
NFL Draft Predictions
Best Bet: UNDER 5.5 Big Ten First-Round Picks (-116)
Best Bet: OVER 3.5 Big 12 First-Round Picks (+134)
Best Bet: UNDER 2.5 ACC First-Round Picks (+200)
Best Bet: UNDER 2.5 Pac-12 First-Round Picks (-210)

 
Posted : April 20, 2020 12:25 pm
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2020 NFL Draft First-Round Odds for SEC vs. the Field
By Tony Mejia

SEC will set First-Round Pick Record
The 2019 season was a rough one for those who object to hailing the SEC as college football’s most dominant force.

The 2020 NFL Draft should continue reinforcing that point.

2020 NFL Draft Odds & Best Bet Picks

FanDuel sportsbook set its total of first-round picks expected to hail from the Southeastern Conference at 15.5. The ‘over’ opened as a -122 favorite but has now dipped to -110 and is technically now the underdog. (Bet $110 to win $100). The ‘under’ (-116) has shifted into the 'chalk' role after being available at -104 to open April.

The league is expected to set a new record for most first-rounders in a single season. Consider that a lock.

The SEC has had 12 players taken in 2013 and ’17 and is expected to shatter that mark in 2020, extending its dominant run into another decade. Nine players were taken in the Round 1 in 2019, marking the eighth year in the past 10 that the SEC has led the nation in first-rounders.

Although a number of the top players at their position in this draft hail from a Big Ten that was arguably the country’s most competitive conference last season, the SEC has a chance at having more than half of the first round’s picks on April 23.

It now remains to be seen whether that happens in order to decide one of this NFL Draft’s most intriguing betting props.

While Alabama finally proved vulnerable in ’19, West Division rival LSU replaced it as the nation’s top team, finishing undefeated after squashing the champions of the Big 12 and ACC in January. Clemson, the only non-SEC school to win the National Championship game over the past five seasons, fell 42-25 in the battle of Tigers, giving the Southeastern Conference its 10th crown in 14 years.

Most of the country’s top recruits play in the SEC, which is one reason that the league has led all other conferences in first-round selections four years running.

More SEC players have been drafted over the course of the seven-round NFL Draft 13 years running. The streak is likely to continue in 2020. Last season, 64 players from the league’s member schools were chosen in the NFL Draft, shattering the conference’s own record from 2013.

In order to identify which way to go on these props that FanDuel is offering, you have to try and break down how the first round is likely to go. You can wager on it in two ways. If you’re not worried about the juice, you can back the SEC to reach 16 selections by simply riding the ‘over.’ You can also bet the SEC to have more first-round picks than any other conference in an SEC vs. the field prop in which the juice for both sides is -112, but they would have to get 17 since a tie voids both the ‘over’ and ‘under.’

If you’re playing contrarian on this prop, you’re likely going to want to bet the low side on the 15.5 since you’ll want to get in on +120. Taking the field does give you an extra out via push, which could come into play since this may be close.

LSU quarterback Joe Burrow will be the No. 1 pick. Alabama star Tua Tagovailoa will be the second quarterback taken and will go in the top-five. Tackle Jedrick Willis blocked for him while top targets Jerry Jeudy and Henry Ruggs III consistently made big plays, landing them in the lock category as far as Top-20 picks are concerned.

Safety Xavier McKinney and cornerback Trevon Diggs are also potential first-rounders who could bump the Crimson Tide up to six picks.

Burrow had plenty of help in bringing LSU its first title since 2007 and will be joined by top receiver Jordan Jefferson, linebacker Patrick Queen and defensive end K’Lavon Chaisson. Safety Grant Delpit is a personal favorite who I’d draft in the back-half of the first round, but he and corner Kristian Fulton could both slip out. For the sake of this column, we’ll split the difference and say the Tigers will wind up with five selections.

Considering Delpit and Fulton are in direct competition with Alabama’s McKinney and Diggs for spots in the back of the first round, it’s unlikely we see the teams combine for 12 picks. To be safe, let’s go with 11.

Auburn defensive tackle Derrick Brown, the reigning SEC Defensive Player of the Year and a unanimous All-America selection, is certain to hear his name called on opening night. Fellow DT Marlon Davidson, corner Noah Igbinoghene and tackle Prince Tega Wanogho are potential first-rounders, but I don’t see more than two Tigers being selected among the first 32 picks.

South Carolina interior lineman Javon Kinlaw is a certain top-20 pick who might be considered a slight notch below Auburn’s Brown but is certainly on that level.

Florida corner CJ Henderson has caught some shade as a questionable tackler, but he’s a legitimate cover guy who should land in the first round, so we’ll count him among our first-round locks.

Georgia tackle Andrew Thomas is no longer considered the top offensive lineman in this crop, but he certainly remains one of the best 32 prospects. Teams can always use help up front, so we’re counting on him being selected on Thursday.

If you can read and count at the same time, you’ll see we’re up to 16 first-round picks and haven’t even gotten to dissecting whether Georgia RB D’Andre Swift will extend the streak of at least one back being selected in the first round to six. Teams passed on picking a running back in the first round in 2013 and ’14 but have otherwise taken one in every other NFL draft since 1964.

Swift is viewed as a more complete back than Wisconsin counterpart Jonathan Taylor due to his pass-catching skills and has a great chance to follow in line behind Leonard Fournette, Sony Michel and Josh Jacobs in making it four straight years that an SEC back is selected in the first round.

That gets us up to 17. I don’t recommend betting the ‘under.’ Considering only 10 players from Alabama and LSU, not 11, may ultimately hear their names called, I don’t love the thought of pushing on Draft night, kissing my sister with such little action to be had in the sports world.
NFL Draft Predictions
Best Bet: OVER 15.5 SEC First-Round Picks (-110)

 
Posted : April 21, 2020 1:20 pm
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2020 NFL Draft First-Round Position Props
By Tony Mejia

Eason or Hurts to Decide QB Draft Prop
FanDuel’s sportsbook has odds out on the number of players on both sides of the ball who will be selected in the first round of the NFL Draft on April 23.

While there are also props available involving the first round that feature more of a college conference spin, you can also bet on position groups. Odds will likely be tweaked as the event approaches, but current numbers are forecasting that the race between offensive and defensive players may be something of a toss-up.

My VI mock draft projects a split with 16 players on both sides of the ball selected. Below, I’ll weigh in on the following props available at FanDuel.
Offensive Players
Total number of First-Rounders: OVER 16.5 (-148) UNDER 16.5 (+116)

We’re likely to see a larger number of offensive guys taken in the top half of draft than we’ll see in the back-half. I don’t see teams reaching for offensive linemen late in the first round, so in backing the high side here, you’re hoping that the deep receiver pool and the potential a running back in selected with of the final few picks comes to fruition. Quarterbacks could also play a major role. See below.
Defensive Players
Total number of First-Rounders: OVER 15.5 (+116) UNDER 15.5 (-148)

Viewing this as a race that could go either way, I’d back the defensive players above the offensive group since I see a split. It didn’t help the high side’s cause that Wisconsin linebacker Zach Baun, a potential late first-rounder who I had slipping out, has notified teams that he tested positive for a diluted sample at the combine. I wouldn’t lay juice to ride the ‘under’ but the ‘over’ is obviously no lock.
Quarterbacks
Total number of First-Rounders: OVER 4.5 (+380) UNDER 4.5 (-550)

It’s looking increasingly likely that three of the first six picks will be QBs, led by top selection Joe Burrow from defending champ LSU. Alabama’s Tua Tagovailoa should go ahead of Oregon’s Justin Herbert despite Dolphins’ smokescreens, but it remains to be seen how long it will take for another quarterback to hear his name called.

Utah State’s Jordan Love is probably the most polarizing prospect in this draft since he’s coming off such an inconsistent junior year. Physically, he’s as gifted as anyone, but it remains to be seen whether he can turn raw talent into competency as a pro. It’s likely that he’ll be the fourth quarterback taken, but it remains to be seen whether there will be a fifth selection among the first 32 picks. Washington’s Jacob Eason, Oklahoma’s Jalen Hurts and Georgia’s Jake Fromm each have their fans in front offices, so there’s certainly a chance one of them will wind up a surprise first-round pick. That danger alone makes riding the high side impossible, but I only have four signal-callers being chosen. Eason is most intriguing to me among the second-team trio.
Running Backs
Total number of First-Rounders: OVER 0.5 (-260) UNDER 0.5 (+198)

Over the past five years, there have been fewer running backs (19) taken over the first two rounds than in any other five-year span since 1964. There were 24 first-rounders taken from 1985-89 but just nine selected from ’15-’19. If Georgia’s D’Andre Swift or Wisconsin’s Jonathan Taylor gets this new decade on the board, an investment on the ‘no’ prop would nearly double any investment. The Raiders made Josh Jacobs the lone running back taken in the first round last season and I don’t think we’ll see more than one picked this year, but a streak that has seen at least one RB selected in all but two drafts since ’64 should be extended by Swift’s selection.
Wide Receivers
Total number of First-Rounders: OVER 6.5 (+192) UNDER 6.5 (-260)

This is the deepest position in the draft, but that might work against this prop since oddsmakers appear to have set this figure too high. Oklahoma’s CeeDee Lamb and Alabama standouts Jerry Jeudy and Henry Ruggs III could all be selected among the draft’s first 15 picks. LSU’s Justin Jefferson looks like a lock too.

Beyond those four, Baylor’s Denzel Mims, Penn State’s KJ Hamler, Clemson’s Tee Higgins, Colorado’s Laviska Shenault, TCU’s Jalen Reagor, Arizona State’s Brandon Aiyuk and USC’s Michael Pittman, Jr. are highly-regarded in their own right but seem to make up a second tier. I don’t see three of them sneaking into the first round and expect to see a run on receivers in the second round instead.
Offensive Linemen
Total number of First-Rounders: OVER 6.5 (-102) UNDER 6.5 (-124)

It’s looking increasingly likely that we’ll see at least five tackles taken among the first 32 picks. There’s a healthy debate over whether Iowa’s Tristan Wirfs, Alabama’s Jedrick Wills, Louisville’s Mekhi Becton or Georgia’s Andrew Thomas will be the first offensive linemen to go, but each should be gone by the 20th selection.

Houston’s Josh Jones and USC’s Austin Jackson made my mock and there are a couple of other players like Boise State’s Ezra Cleveland, Georgia’s Isaiah “Panda” Wilson and Auburn’s Prince Tega Wanogho who could factor in. I’ve only got room for two of those five and didn’t include an offensive guard or center among my top 32. Michigan’s Cesar Ruiz and LSU’s Lloyd Cushenberry are excellent prospects but will likely slip into the second round.
NFL Draft Predictions
Best Bet: UNDER 16.5 Offensive Players selected (+116)
Best Bet: UNDER 6.5 Receivers taken in first round (-260)
Best Bet: UNDER 6.5 Offensive linemen taken in first round (-124)

 
Posted : April 22, 2020 3:34 pm
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2020 NFL Draft First-Round Mock Draft
April 23, 2020
By Tony Mejia

1. Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Burrow, QB, LSU
The good times roll on for one of the few people in the world who can say that they've truly enjoyed the past eight months. Barring injury, the rookie should start for the Bengals in Week 1.

2. Washington Redskins: Chase Young, DE, Ohio State
The Ron Rivera regime should start with taking the top defensive player in the draft, upgrading a defensive front seven that gives the 'Skins their best shot at competing immediately.

3. Detroit Lions: Jeffrey Okudah, Ohio State
Although it wouldn’t surprise me to see the evening’s first trade come in this spot, the need to move up to get your man doesn’t look to be as pressing. If the Lions stay put, selecting the top corner in the draft to help rebuild a secondary that just lost Darius Slay would be the right move.

4. New York Giants: Tristan Wirfs, T, Iowa
Although Clemson’s Isaiah Simmons is the best player on the board, upgrading the team’s talent up front to help recent top picks Daniel Jones and Saquon Barkley operate more effectively means they’ll go with the soundest option.

5. Miami Dolphins: Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Alabama
Miami should pull the trigger in getting the guy they’ve wanted all along, taking the risk that the ‘Bama star and former presumptive No. 1 pick will be able to stay healthy and be worth the gamble. He’s too talented to pass on.

6. Los Angeles Chargers: Justin Herbert, QB, Oregon
The Pac-12 star has accuracy issues but tremendous upside. With Philip Rivers gone and a QB to apprentice under in place with Tyrod Taylor set to step up, this should be a good situation for all involved.

7. Carolina Panthers: Isaiah Simmons, LB, Clemson
The Panthers have a lot of work to do on the defensive side of the ball, making this a no-brainer. With Luke Kuechly having retired, Matt Rhule lands one of the draft’s top athletes and most versatile defensive player to help usher in the new era.

8. Arizona Cardinals: Jedrick Wills, T, Alabama
The Cardinals have a number of options to consider as they look to upgrade an offensive line that needs to give Kyler Murray time to work. Most teams have Wills or Wirfs atop their draft boards.

9. Jacksonville Jaguars: C.J Henderson, CB, Florida
The Falcons are a candidate to move into this spot and covet the top available corner. If the Jags stay put, grabbing the Gators’ standout to help is a strong possibility too since they moved on from Jalen Ramsey last season and cut A.J. Bouye.

10. Cleveland Browns: Andrew Thomas, Georgia
Tackle run! Having already added former Titans standout Jack Conklin to play right tackle, the Browns will look to upgrade the left side as they seek to keep Baker Mayfield’s jersey from getting as dirty as it has over his first two seasons. Thomas gets the nod over Becton, who may have a higher ceiling but is far more raw and had a drug test flagged at the combine.

11. New York Jets: CeeDee Lamb, WR, Oklahoma
Sam Darnold should have some input considering the options New York has on the board in what is arguably the deepest receiving crop ever. Lamb may not be the fastest of the bunch, but he’s special.

12. Las Vegas Raiders: Henry Ruggs III, WR, Alabama
Although he won’t get to take a boat ride to the stage at the Bellagio as originally planned, Las Vegas’ first pick will pack plenty of sizzle. Ruggs gets the nod over Jeudy due to a lingering knee issue teams are worried about.

13. San Francisco 49ers: Derrick Brown, DT, Auburn
The reigning SEC Defensive Player of the would be a tremendous piece for a defensive line that’s already a strength but would greatly benefit by a Top-10 talent slipping to this spot to help replace DeForest Buckner, who John Lynch traded to Indianapolis.

14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Javon Kinlaw, DT, South Carolina
Kinlaw can really play and would be a nice fit in a Todd Bowles’ defense as a 3-4 end next to 2018 top pick Vita Vea.

15. Denver Broncos: Jerry Jeudy, WR, Alabama
Getting QB Drew Lock another young weapon to pair with No. 1 option Courtland Sutton and tight end Noah Fant would be a good idea.

16. Atlanta Falcons: K’Lavon Chaisson, DE, LSU
The Falcons will likely try and move up to address holes in the secondary, but if they stay put in this spot and the draft works out like this, improving the pass rush would also be a priority.

17. Dallas Cowboys: Grant Delpit, S, LSU
The Cowboys can use a cover corner since Byron Jones just left for Miami but are also in the market for a safety since they just added Ha Ha Clinton-Dix and have projected starter Xavier Woods entering free agency. Delpit was banged up last season but is the top safety available.

18. Miami Dolphins: Mekhi Becton, T, Louisville
The Dolphins badly need help up front. Seeing Becton slip here would make for a great night for Miami’s front office, who get great value in this spot in the most impressive physical specimen available in a solid tackle class.

19. Las Vegas Raiders: Jeff Gladney, CB, TCU
Jon Gruden knows his defense needs playmakers outside and appreciates guys who get in there and mix it up. Gladney, tough and a sound tackler despite being on the smaller side, checks a lot of boxes.

20. Jacksonville Jaguars: Yetur Gross-Matos, DE, Penn State
With the defense basically being completely rebuilt, adding the top pass-rusher on the board would be a great idea for a Jags’ squad that looks like it will be in contention for the 2021 Draft’s No. 1 pick.

21. Philadelphia Eagles: Justin Jefferson, WR, LSU
It would be criminal not to get Carson Wentz more help considering how depleted that Eagles’ receiving corps wound up last season. Following 111 catches and 18 TD’s in winning a national title last season, Jefferson comes off the board.

22. Minnesota Vikings: Denzel Mims, WR, Baylor
After a fantastic combine and a terrific career helping Baylor rise back up from the ashes, Mims will be tasked with helping replace Stefon Diggs.

23. New England Patriots: Kenneth Murray, LB, Oklahoma
Trading out of the first round is an option, but there are too many solid receivers and linebackers to pass on here. Murray has a lot of admirers and is the prototypical Pats’ LB to add to Bill Belichick’s arsenal.

24. New Orleans Saints: Patrick Queen, LB, LSU
Who dat Bayou Bengal still available here? Queen not only addresses a need at linebacker but also appeases the fan base? Queen is fast and really came on last season after serving in an apprentice role under Devin White early in his stint in Baton Rouge. The small-town kid from Ventress getting to stay in his home state would be a nice story.

25. Minnesota Vikings: Jordan Love, QB, Utah State
Teams willing to take a flier on Love’s vast potential despite his rough junior season should find a willing trade partner in moving up to select him here.

26. Miami Dolphins: Xavier McKinney, S, Alabama
The Dolphins could use safety help and spot significant value here in grabbing another Crimson Tide standout to try and groom after dealing Minkah Fitzgerald to aid last season’s tank job.

27. Seattle Seahawks: Ross Blacklock, DT, TCU
The Big 12 should continue seeing their best prospects selected as the Horned Frogs join the Sooners in seeing multiple first-rounders selected.

28. Baltimore Ravens: A.J. Epenesa, DE, Iowa
The Ravens get pass rushers with Epenesa available after slipping following a tough combine showing. Fortunately for him, Baltimore’s brain trust relies on film and have an excellent body of work to study.

29. Tennessee Titans: Josh Jones, T, Houston
Th Titans snag the best offensive tackle remaining on the board and can use a talent infusion after losing Conklin.

30. Green Bay Packers: D’Andre Swift, RB, Georgia
I don’t see the Packers making this pick, which makes this a great spot for a team to sneak into the first to select the top running back on the board.

31. San Francisco 49ers: Kristian Fulton, CB, LSU
The Niners select the decorated Tigers’ corner to help add youth to a secondary that could be in for a facelift after the season. Alabama’s Travon Diggs and Utah’s Jaylon Johnson would also be options here.

32. Kansas City Chiefs: Austin Jackson, T, USC
There are contrasting opinions on the 6-foot-6 former prep All-American, but he’s got the athleticism to fit in up front since the defending champs’ can use some depth along the offensive line.

 
Posted : April 23, 2020 10:39 am
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