DETROIT (3 - 0) at DALLAS (1 - 1)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS (2 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (1 - 2)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (1 - 2)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON (2 - 0) at ST LOUIS (0 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 115-148 ATS (-47.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 115-148 ATS (-47.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 83-115 ATS (-43.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE (2 - 1) at CLEVELAND (2 - 1)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BUFFALO (3 - 0) at CINCINNATI (1 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 101-132 ATS (-44.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against AFC East division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) in October games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA (0 - 3) at KANSAS CITY (0 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
CAROLINA (1 - 2) at CHICAGO (1 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CAROLINA is 58-34 ATS (+20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH (2 - 1) at HOUSTON (2 - 1)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ATLANTA (1 - 2) at SEATTLE (1 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 48-77 ATS (-36.7 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 22-48 ATS (-30.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 19-41 ATS (-26.1 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS (2 - 1) at ARIZONA (1 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI (0 - 3) at SAN DIEGO (2 - 1)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
MIAMI is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DENVER (1 - 2) at GREEN BAY (3 - 0)
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) against NFC North division opponents since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NEW ENGLAND (2 - 1) at OAKLAND (2 - 1)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 138-105 ATS (+22.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NY JETS (2 - 1) at BALTIMORE (2 - 1)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 3) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 1)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SAN FRANCISCO vs. PHILADELPHIA
San Francisco is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
San Francisco is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
NEW ORLEANS vs. JACKSONVILLE
New Orleans is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
BUFFALO vs. CINCINNATI
Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing at home against Buffalo
DETROIT vs. DALLAS
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 2-6-1 SU in its last 9 games ,at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Detroit
PITTSBURGH vs. HOUSTON
Pittsburgh is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games at home
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
TENNESSEE vs. CLEVELAND
Tennessee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Tennessee is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
CAROLINA vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
Chicago is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Chicago is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
WASHINGTON vs. ST. LOUIS
Washington is 5-14-1 SU in its last 20 games ,on the road
Washington is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Washington
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
MINNESOTA vs. KANSAS CITY
Minnesota is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games at home
ATLANTA vs. SEATTLE
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games at home
NY GIANTS vs. ARIZONA
NY Giants are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games on the road
NY Giants are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
Arizona is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
Arizona is 6-13 SU in their last 19 games when playing NY Giants
DENVER vs. GREEN BAY
Denver is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games at home
MIAMI vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
NEW ENGLAND vs. OAKLAND
New England is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 9 games when playing New England
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
NY JETS vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 12 of the NY Jets last 13 games on the road
NY Jets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
INDIANAPOLIS vs. TAMPA BAY
Indianapolis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Indianapolis
DETROIT at DALLAS
DETROIT: 8-2 ATS off division game
DALLAS: 1-6 ATS in October
NEW ORLEANS at JACKSONVILLE
NEW ORLEANS: 7-0 Over Away if the total is between 45.5 and 49 points
JACKSONVILLE: 25-12 ATS off BB road games
SAN FRANCISCO at PHILADELPHIA
SAN FRANCISCO: 0-6 ATS after covering 2 of L3
PHILADELPHIA: 14-2 Under after allowing 25+ pts BB games
WASHINGTON at ST LOUIS
WASHINGTON: 0-4 ATS in dome games
ST LOUIS: 18-33 ATS after allowing 400+ yds
TENNESSEE at CLEVELAND
TENNESSEE: 1-6 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards
CLEVELAND: 21-7 Under as home favorite of 3 pts or less
BUFFALO at CINCINNATI
BUFFALO: 30-9 ATS off win by 3 pts or less
CINCINNATI: 0-6 ATS vs. AFC East
MINNESOTA at KANSAS CITY
MINNESOTA: 23-9 Over Away off BB home games
KANSAS CITY: 25-12 ATS in non-conf home games
CAROLINA at CHICAGO
CAROLINA: 0-7 ATS as road dog of 7 pts or less
CHICAGO: 16-4 Under after allowing 375+ yds BB games
PITTSBURGH at HOUSTON
PITTSBURGH: 43-26 ATS in October
HOUSTON: 16-6 Over off BB road games
ATLANTA at SEATTLE
ATLANTA: 6-0 ATS off ATS loss
SEATTLE: 19-41 ATS off division win
NY GIANTS at ARIZONA
NY GIANTS: 23-9 ATS off outright division win as dog
ARIZONA: 37-18 ATS at home off BB SU losses
MIAMI at SAN DIEGO
MIAMI: 32-13 ATS vs. AFC West
SAN DIEGO: 10-1 Under vs. Miami
DENVER at GREEN BAY
DENVER: 5-15 ATS vs. NFC North
GREEN BAY: 6-0 ATS off BB road games
NEW ENGLAND at OAKLAND
NEW ENGLAND: 17-3 Over in all games
OAKLAND: 12-27 ATS as home dog of 7 pts or less
NY JETS at BALTIMORE
NY JETS: 11-1 Over in road games
BALTIMORE: 12-25 ATS off 2 game road trip
INDIANAPOLIS at TAMPA BAY
INDIANAPOLIS: 39-17 Over Away off SU Loss
TAMPA BAY: 11-3 ATS off home game
PLAYBOOK NFL 2 - MINUTE HANDICAP
Detroit 5-1 aft Vikings... SCHWARTZ: 8-2 off div... 5-1 O/U Game Four
DALLAS SERIES: 5-2 L7/3-1 L4 H... 8-2 favs 3 pts vs opp off DD SU loss... 1-7 w/rev vs opp off BB SU losses... 2-6 Game Four
PHILADELPHIA SERIES: 5-0 L5... 7-0 < .500 off div vs non div opp... 7-0 < .500 off BB SU losses vs non div opp... 1-3 SUATS Game Four
Washington 6-1 Game Four... 0-5 bef Bye... 2-9 dogs 3 < pts
ST. LOUIS SERIES: 4-0 L4/2-5 L7 H... 0-17 favs vs opp w/rev... 0-9 opp... 1-3 SUATS Game Four
Tennessee OCT: 9-0 vs non div opp off fav role w/rev... OCT: 8-1 vs non div opp off SU win w/rev... 1-6 Game Four
CLEVELAND 8-0 H w/rev vs non div opp off SU fav win... 7-0 Game Four... OCT: 11-2 vs .500 > opp off non div
Buffalo SERIES: 4-0 L4/4-0 L4 A... 9-0 favs < 6 pts vs A vs non div opp
CINCINNATI 0-10 off BB SU losses vs opp off SU H win... 1-15 Game Four
Minnesota 5-1 vs .333 < opp in Game 9 < (0-1 this year)... 0-6 dogs w/rev vs opp off SU loss... OCT: 1-15 A vs opp off AFC... 1-5 Game Four
KANSAS CITY 0-9 HF's vs non div opp off div w/rev... 5-1 O/U Game Four
Carolina OCT: 11-0 dogs vs opp off SUATS loss... 7-1 dogs vs .333 5 pts vs opp off dog role... 1-4 Game Four
HOUSTON 7-2 Game Four... 0-6 HF's vs opp off RG
Atlanta SERIES: 3-1 L4/4-1 L5 A... OCT: 9-1 < .500 A off SUATS loss... 5-2 Game Four... SMITH: 11-2 off one SU loss exact (1-0 this year)
SEATTLE 4-0 H off SUATS win vs .333 vs opp off div
ARIZONA 10-0 pts... SPARANO: 12-2 RD in Game 4 >... 3-1 O/U Game Four
SAN DIEGO 5-0 2nd BB HG's... 7-2 Game Four... 0-8 off div vs pts w/rev... 3-1 O/U Game Four
GREEN BAY SERIES: 3-0 L3 H... OCT: 9-2 vs opp off non div dog role... 1-5-1 H aft Bears... 5-1 O/U Game Four
New England SERIES: 3-1 L4 A... 9-1 off SU fav loss vs opp off SU win... 6-1 Game Four... BELICHICK: 11-1 .500 > A off SU loss vs .500 > opp
OAKLAND 7-1 H off DD SU win vs .600 > non div opp
NY Jets SERIES: 1-7 L8/1-3 L4 A... 1-6 off DD ATS loss vs .500 > opp off SUATS win
BALTIMORE 11-1 H off non conf vs non div... 8-2 favs pts... 1-4 Monday
Historically Speaking Football Trends - Sep. 29 - Oct. 3
By: Joe Nelson
Detroit is 12-70 S/U on the road since 2001
Dallas is 5-2 the last 7 vs. Detroit
New Orleans is 2-7 the last nine as road favorites
Jacksonville is 14-7 the last 21 as home underdogs
San Francisco is 5-0 vs. Philadelphia since 2005
Philadelphia is 4-8 the last 12 as home favorites
Washington is 9-14-3 the last 26 as road favorites
St. Louis is 19-31 at home since 2005
Tennessee is 7-12 the last 19 road games
Cleveland is 11-15 at home since 2008
Buffalo is 12-7-1 as road favorites since 1998
Cincinnati is 11-3 the last 14 as home underdogs
Minnesota is 25-45-2 as road favorites since 1989
Kansas City is 11-22-1 at home since 2007
Carolina is 46-30-2 as underdogs of 6 or more since 1995
Chicago is 12-16-1 as home favorites since 2006
Pittsburgh is 8-11 in the last 19 road games
Houston is 5-10-1 at home since 2009
Atlanta is 14-7-1 as road favorites since 2001
Seattle is 44-33-1 as home underdogs since 1981
NY Giants are 16-7 as road favorites since 2005
Arizona is 12-5 as home underdogs since 2006
Miami is 14-4 in the last 18 as underdogs of 7 or more
San Diego is 6-11 as favorites of 7 or more since 2009
Denver is 5-10 as underdogs of 7 or more since 2003
Green Bay is 8-13-4 the last 25 as double-digit favorites
New England is 29-15-1 as road favorites since 2003
Oakland is 19-30-1 as home underdogs since 1997
NY Jets are 1-7 vs. Baltimore since 1994
Baltimore is 47-24-2 as home favorites since 2000
Indianapolis is 6-9 as underdogs of 7 or more since 1998
Tampa Bay is 8-17 at home since 2008
Week 4 Trend Sheet
By Jeff Scott Sports
Ok here is my NFL tip sheet for week 4. It has been a crazy start to the year. We have seen three playoff teams from last year go a combined 1-8... We have see a ton of points scored, although it came down a bit last week. The Lions and Bills are 3-0, the Vikes have blown two 20 point leads in a row, Romo has played with punctured lung and the both the Steelers and Chargers were nearly upset as huge favorites, while the Bills stopped a 176 game losing streak vs the Pats.
Let's look at League Situations first:
Home Faves of 0 to 3 are 4-4 SU & 3-5 ATS... Home Faves of 3.5 to 7 are 12-2 SU & 6-7-1 ATS... Home Faves of 7.5 to 10 are 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS... Home Faves of 10.5 or higher are 2-0 SU & 1-1 ATS.
Home Dogs of 0 to 3 are 7-4 SU & 7-2-2 ATS... Home Dogs of 3.5 to 7 are 2-4 SU & 2-4 ATS... Home Dogs of 10.5 to 14 are 0-2 SU & 2-0 ATS
Number first is Over and 2nd number is Under
Through the first two weeks the Overs were the play, but last week the unders bounced back going 6-10. The over was 9-0 with a line of 39.5 to 43 after the first 2 weeks, but last week the those OU's went just 3-3.
Totals set at 43.5 to 47 have gone 6-10-1 OU on the year, while totals of 47.5 or higher have gone 5-1 OU this far.
Game by Game Trend Matchups (OU = Over/ Under)
Detroit is 11-2 ATS vs the NFC and 5-1 ATS after playing Minnesota, but just 2-5 ATS the last 7 in the series. The Over is 9-2 when they are off a SU divisional road win and 24-15-1 when they are a road dog.
Dallas is just 1-7-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 or less, but 8-2 ATS as faves of less than 10 vs the NFC North. The Over is 11-2 in their last 13 vs the NFC.
New Orleans is 10-3 ATS vs the AFC and 7-0 ATS on the road off a game in which 70+ points were scored, but just 1-6-1 ATS in the 1st of BB road games. The Over is 10-1 in their road games with a total of 42.5 to 49 and 26-10 when they are off a SU win.
Jacksonville is 25-12 ATS off back-to-back road games and 9-0 ATS at home off BB SU Losses. The Over is 16-3 when the Jags play a home game vs a team that averages 350+ ypg.
San Francisco is 5-20 ATS on the road after allowing 9 points or less and 1-10 ATS vs teams that average 5 yards per carry rushing or more on the year, but 7-1 ATS as dogs of 3 or more vs an opponent off a DD SU loss. The Under is 5-11 after they were held to 90 yards rushing or less in their previous game, but the Over is 6-1 after they had an ATS win.
Philadelphia is 22-11 ATS after losing by 10 or more and 7-3 ATS as a home fav of 7 or more, but just 1-6 in their last 7 overall as a favorite. The Under is 9-27 in Philly's October home games and 6-20-1 in their last 27 home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 10.
Washington is 6-1 ATS off a loss of 3 or less and 6-1 ATS in game 4, but 0-5 ATS before their bye week. The OU is 4-10-1 when the Skins are a road favorite of 3.5 or less and the OU is 3-9-1 in their last 13 October games.
St Louis is 9-20 ATS vs a team with a winning record and 19-45-1 ATS after gaining less than 250 yards in their previous game. The OU is 14-6 when the Rams are a non-division home dog, but the OU is 1-6-1 after they allowed 30 points or more in their previous game.
Tennessee is 8-1 ATS in October vs non-divisional opponent off a SU win with revenge, but 5-12 ATS vs a team with a winning record. The OU is 36-19 in Tennessee's last 55 October games, but the Under is 3-9 after they had 250+ yards passing in their last game.
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS at home off a SU dog win and 11-2 in Oct vs a .500 or better opponent off a non-division game, but just 1-5-1 in their last 7 vs the AFC. The OU is 7-21 when the Browns are home favs of 3 or less, but the OU is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Buffalo is 13-1 ATS away off a win of 3 or less and 30-12-1 ATS vs a team with a losing record, but just 14-33 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 opponents. The OU is 3-11 when the Bills are off a SU win, but the OU is 12-4 when they are a non-division road fav.
Cincinnati is just 1-15 ATS in game 4 and 1-9 ATS vs teams that allow 5.65 yards per play or more. The OU is 7-1 after Cincy scores 15 or less in their previous game, but the OU is also 2-9 after theyu allowed less than 250 yards in their last game.
Minnesota is 1-15 ATS in October away vs an opponent that played an AFC opponent in their last game and 3-9-1 ATS away vs the AFC. The OU is 3-9 when Minnesota is a road fav, but the OU is 23-9 when they are off a 2 game home stand.
Kansas City is 25-12 ATS at home vs the NFC and 8-2 ATS off a SU loss when playing a non-division opponent, but 1-7 ATS after allowing 350+ yards in their previous game. The OU is 12-3 after they scored 17 or less in 3 games in a row, but the OU is 3-12-1 in their last 16 games as a dog of 3 or less.
Carolina is 7-1 as dogs vs .333 or worse opponent, but 1-6 ATS as dogs of 3.5 to 10. The OU is 6-1-2 in their last 9 as a dog, but the OU is 1-7 after they are off a win.
Chicago is 0-6 ATS as favs in the 2nd of BB home games and 9-25 ATS vs teams that average 6 yards per play or better. The OU is 13-5 when the Bears are a non-division fav, but the OU is 4-16 after they allowed 375 yards or more in 2 consecutive games.
Pittsburgh is 0-11 ATS off BB fave roles of 5 or more vs an opponent off a dog role, but 38-17 ATS vs teams that put up 7 yards per passing play or more. The OU is 13-3 after Pitt allowed less than 250 yards in their last game, but the OU is 7-15 in their last 22 games as a dog.
Houston is 0-6 ATS in home games vs an opponent off a road game, but 8-1 ATS in game 4 of the season. The OU is 9-3 when they are off a SU loss and 16-6 OU after 2 straight on the road, plus 23-6 OU vs a team with a winning record.
Atlanta is 9-3 ATS as a road favorite and 17-4 ATS following a SU loss. The OU is 8-2-2 min their last 12 as a favorite, but 14-25-1 OU on the road vs a non-division opponent.
Seattle is 0-7-1 ATS after playing the Cardinals and 8-20-1 ATS after allowing 15 or less points in their previous game, plus 3-13 ATS after winning as a home dog. The OU is 10-2 in Seattle's last 12 vs the NFC and 9-0 OU as a dog of 3.5 to 9.
NY Giants are 11-2 ATS vs the NFC West and 28-13 ATS in their last 41 road games, but just 0-9 ATS if they are .500 or better and playing an opponent that's off a division game. The OU is 5-0 before they play Seattle, but 2-9 OU in game 4 of the season.
Arizona is 32-11 ATS at home vs teams that complete 61% or better of their passes, but just 3-10 ATS after scoring 10 or less. The OU is 1-6 before they play Minnesota, but 23-11 OU vs a team with a winning record.
Miami is 11-1 ATS as non-division dogs of 7 or more and 18-5 ATS as road dogs overall, but just 3-10-1 ATS after losing by 10 3 or less. The OU is 6-1 before Miami has a bye and 4-13 OU in their last 17 as a road dog.
San Diego is 23-7 ATS as a home fav of 3.5 to 10, but 0-8 off a division game vs a sub .400 non divisional opponent with revenge. The OU is 1-11 in the 2nd of BB home games and 1-6 OU vs the AFC East.
Denver is 1-6 ATS as dogs of 7 or more with revenge and 5-20 ATS vs teams that hit 64% or better of their passes. The OU is 16-3 when Denver takes on a team that averages 29 ppg or more the OU is 5-0 after they play Tennessee.
Green bay is 19-9 ATS in their last 28 on grass and 9-2 ATS in October vs an opponent that's off a non-division game. The OU is 6-0 after playing the Bears and 25-9 OU at home after allowing 99 yards or less rushing in 2 straight games.
New England is 11-1 if .500 or better on the road off a SU loss vs a .500 or better opponent and 25-11 ATS of a SU loss overall. The OU is 15-2 when they are a favorite and 11-1 OU as a favorite of 3.5 to 9, but 1-4 OU away vs the AFC West.
Oakland is 10-19 ATS at home vs non-division and 3-9 ATS after winning as a dog, but 7-1 ATS at home off a DD SU win if playing a .600 or better non-division opponent. The OU is 10-3 in their last 13 vs the AFC East and 5-0 ATS in the 2nd of BB home games.
NY Jets are 6-12 ATS off a loss as a favorite and 2-7 ATS off a loss of 7 or more. The OU is 5-0 after they play the Raiders and 10-4 OU after they off a loss as a favorite.
Baltimore is 8-2 ATS as favs of less than 9 vs an opponent with revenge and 28-10-2 ATS as a home fav off a SU win, but 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 following a win of 14 or more. The OU is 7-1 when they are non-div home favs of 4 or less, but 2-8 OU off a SU road win.
Gridiron Trends - Week 4
By Vince Akins
NFL ATS PLAY ON TREND:
The Bills are 12-0-1 ATS ( ppg) in database history after a game where they had at least 24 first downs but trailed by double digits at halftime.
NFL ATS PLAY AGAINST TREND:
The Saints are 0-12 ATS (-12.1 ppg) since September 12, 1993 when they scored at least 10 points more than expected against an AFC team last game.
NFL OU TREND OF THE WEEK:
The Vikings are 0-11 OU (-8.4 ppg) since December 14, 2003 as a favorite on grass after playing at home.
NFL BIBLE TREND OF THE WEEK:
The Lions are 0-13 ATS (-10.2) ppg since 2002 when they were a FG+ favorite last week, as long as they did not win by 14-plus points.