MNF - Broncos at Chargers
By Chris David
Monday Night Football heads to the West Coast in Week 6 as San Diego (2-2 straight up, 1-3 against the spread) hosts Denver (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS) in an AFC West clash. The Chargers were labeled one of the serious threats to win the AFC at the beginning of the season but a slow start has made most pundits question their ability, even their general manager A.J. Smith.
After getting diced up in a 35-28 loss to Pittsburgh in Week 4, Smith said, "Everything is wrong with it right now. I'm not the least bit happy in a lot of areas. I've seen us be tough and physical to soft and bewildered."
Even though some Charger players were upset, in particular linebacker Shawne Merriman, it’s hard to argue against Smith’s comments. The unit is giving up 365 yards per game, including 151 YPG on the ground. They’ve surrendered 20-plus points in three of their four games and twice allowed 30 or more.
Fortunately for San Diego, the Broncos don’t boast the best offense (19.8 PPG, 376 YPG) but they do have the league’s best defense (8.6 PPG, 252 YPG). A lot of pundits have question if the unit is that good or just putting up good numbers against average opponents. Denver did face Cleveland and Oakland, but it did hold Cincinnati (7), Dallas (10) and New England (17) under wraps.
“Of all of the impressive numbers being posted by the Denver defense, perhaps none is more eye-opening than shutting out its last four foes in the second half. Indeed, the only score in the second half vs. Denver in five games was Cincy's TD in the final minute of the opener,” noted VegasInsider.com handicapper Bruce Marshall of The Gold Sheet.”
Two big factors that help defensive teams are turnovers (11) and sacks (16) and Denver has done well with both this year.
Head coach Josh McDaniels and the Broncos’ defense will face their toughest test to date this week when they visit San Diego (25.3 PPG, 349 YPG). Quarterback Philip Rivers (1,245 yards, 6 TDs) hasn’t been the most accurate passer this year but he slings it up and down the field because the running game (54 YPG) has been obsolete. Despite the lack of success on the ground, the Chargers should have confidence for this matchup based on past history.
The Broncos have lost five of their last six games against San Diego. The only win was in Week 2 last season, when Denver benefited from referee Ed Hochuli's blown call and won 39-38 in Colorado. During the six-game stretch, San Diego has posted 52, 38, 23, 41, 48 and 35 for an average of 39.5 PPG.
Denver might have this game circled too, considering it was shellacked 52-21 in the last season’s final game at San Diego, which rewarded the Chargers with the AFC West title. After the late-season collapse, the Broncos fired head coach Mike Shanahan and parted ways with All-Pro quarterback Jay Cutler. The two replacements, McDaniels and Kyle Orton, have opened up some eyes in the Mile High City.
Orton has passed for 1,236 yards with seven touchdowns on the season and has only been picked off once all year and it came on a hail-mary attempt in the first half of last week’s 20-17 overtime victory against the Patriots. The former Purdue standout was often booed during his tenure in Chicago but you can’t knock the guy for his 26-12 record as a starter.
Prior to the start of the regular season, a lot of sportsbooks in Las Vegas and Offshore post lines on all games for the entire year, or at the very least key matchups. We spoke to Jay Kornegay, head oddsmaker at the Las Vegas Hilton Super Book, and he filled us in on the early line in this matchup. “We opened San Diego -7 and it got as high as -15. The Broncos are definitely one team that fooled us and I’m sure others behind the counter,” he said.
Kornegay and his staff at the Hilton opened the Chargers as four-point favorites this week and the wise guys jumped all over the Broncos. The number is currently sitting at 3 ½ on Sunday morning and a few places have moved it down to 3 (-120). Gamblers looking at the Chargers and their short price on the point-spread shouldn’t run to the counter so quickly. This year, home favorites of 3 to 3.5 points are 3-4 SU but only 2-5 ATS on the year.
The total has been hovering between 43 and 44 points at most shops. Denver is the only team in the league that has watch the ‘under’ cash in every one of its games. The Chargers have seen the ‘over’ go 3-1. And five of the last six in this series has gone ‘over’ the number too.
We won’t take anything away from McDaniels and the Broncos but if you look at their upcoming schedule, the honeymoon in the Mile High could be over real quickly. After catching a one-week hiatus, Denver will face Baltimore on the road and then Pittsburgh at home in a pair of games that they’ll most likely be an underdog in each.
San Diego started slow last year before finishing strong and the same pattern is looming. A win on MNF would push the Chargers to 3-2 and give them a lot of confidence heading into back-to-back divisional battles against the Chiefs and Raiders.
As always, ESPN will provide national coverage of this game at 8:30 p.m. EDT.
2009 MNF Trends:
Favorites have gone 5-1 SU, but are just 3-3 ATS
The ‘over’ has gone 5-1
Home teams own a 4-2 record
Underdogs are 3-1 ATS in divisional games
The Chargers’ Philip Rivers is 4-0 on MNF in his career
vegasinsider.com
Denver Broncos vs. San Diego Chargers
The division rival Denver Broncos and San Diego Chargers are set to renew hostilities on Monday when they meet at Qualcomm Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Chargers listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Broncos, while the game's total is sitting at 44.
The Broncos defeated New England 20-17 in overtime as a 3-point underdog in Week 5. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (41.5).
Kyle Orton passed for 330 yards with two touchdowns and an interception for Denver, while Brandon Marshall caught eight passes for 64 yards and two touchdowns.
Antonio Gates hauled in nine passes for 124 yards with two scores for San Diego in its 38-28 loss to Pittsburgh in Week 4.
Pittsburgh covered as 5-point home favorites, while the teams played OVER the 41-point total listed by sportsbooks.
Current streak:
Denver has won 5 straight games.
Team records:
Denver: 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS
San Diego: 2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS
Denver most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the division are 5-5
San Diego most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the division are 9-1
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
San Diego is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Next up:
Denver at Baltimore, Sunday, November 1
San Diego at Kansas City, Sunday, October 25
Lightning Strikes
By SportsPic
Chargers (2-2, 1-3 ATS) find themselves in a MUST-WIN situation against upstart Denver Broncos (5-0, 5-0 ATS) off it's most impressive moment of the year a 20-17 overtime victory over Patriots. A loss here would deliver a fatal blow in the defense of Chargers AFC West title. The San Diego offense is scoring 25.2 points per game on 349.2 total yards but it's once-vaunted running game is last in the league at 53.8 yards per game. On the other side of the ball, Chargers are having trouble against both the pass and run giving up 365.8 total yards split between 214.8 passing, 151.0 rushing yards. Broncos head into week-six scoring 19.8 PPG with the NFL's sixth ranked total offense (376.8) behind 237.8 passing and a fifth ranked ground game recording 139.0 yards. Story for Broncos however, a revamped defense allowing a league leading 8.6 points per game on 252.8 total yards. Broncos once again underdogs are a tempting proposition. However, keep in mind Bolts have covered five of the past six meetings (5-0-1 ATS) and that Broncos have imploded the past three on this field getting out scored 123 to 44 for an average defeat of 26.3 PPG. One final tidbit, backing San Diego in October at home the past five years is akin to owning a personal ATM Machine, Bolts have covered 6 straight, 9-of-10 and 12-of-15.
Week 6 MNF
Broncos (5-0) @ Chargers (2-2)-- Huge game for San Diego, which falls three games behind surprising Denver in AFC West if they lose here. Broncos lost last three visits here, 48-20/23-3/52-21, but are on serious roll in '09, winning all five games, three in game's last minute- they were underdog in three of five wins. Banged-up Chargers have yet to be ahead at the half; they gave up 31-38 points in their losses, 20-13 in wins- they're rumored to be shopping Shawne Merriman before next week's trade deadline. Bolts are 1-2 as favorite in '09. All five Denver games stayed under total. Both San Diego wins stayed under total; their two losses both went over.
Week 6 NFL Mismatches
By DAVID JONES
Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (-3.5, 44)
Denver's rush units vs. San Diego's rush units
The ability to control the line of scrimmage is one of the most fundamental aspects of football. This concept has played a major role in Denver's perfect 5-0 start. The Broncos are in the top six in the NFL in rushing offense and defense.
Denver's running game won't be at full strength on Monday night. Correll Buckhalter is doubtful for the contest due to an ankle injury.
In contrast, the Chargers haven't been able to control things up front on either side of the ball. San Diego is 27th in the league in rushing defense while ranking dead last in the NFL in rushing offense. A banged up LaDainian Tomlinson has been limited to just 20 carries this season but his 3.5 yards per carry average is a far cry from his glory days a few years ago.
NFL Cheat Sheet: Week 6
By SHAWN HARTLEN
Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (-4)
Why Broncos cover: They’re 5-0 ATS in their last five games. WR Brandon Marshall has four scores and 222 yards receiving in his last three games after beginning the season in his coach's doghouse. Former SD sack machine Shawne Merriman has been non-existent this season and is feuding with the team's GM. Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
Why Chargers cover: Have won five of last six meetings. Philip Rivers is 4-0 all-time in Monday nighters with a 106.9 passer rating to boot. Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last five meetings. Broncos are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six meetings and 1-3-1 ATS in their last five meetings in San Diego.
Total (44): Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
What Bettors Need To Know: Broncos at Chargers
By Covers.com
Line movement
Oddsmakers opened with the Chargers giving four points to the visiting side and the total set at 43.5. The line quickly dropped to 3.5, but bookmakers seem intent on keeping this above a field goal spread.
Kyle gets the last laugh
Many people doubted (some even laughed) when newly appointed Bronco coach Josh McDaniels said in the offseason that Kyle Orton would do a great job running his offense.
Orton was considered as a thrown-in piece in the Jay Cutler trade, but where would Denver be now if the former Bears quarterback wasn’t leading this team?
Orton took home AFC player of the week honors after throwing for 330 yards and two touchdowns in the 20-17 overtime win against the Patriots.
“He’s smart; he understands what we do,” McDaniels told the San Diego Union-Tribune. “There are no limitations in terms of him running our offense. He gets better every week.”
Orton is described as a game manger rather than a playmaker, but Denver backers have to love his decision making. He owns a 138.7 quarterback rating in the fourth quarter this season as well as a 26-12 record as a starter in this league.
Defensive shakeup
The Chargers defense is the main reason the team sits at 1-3 against the spread this season. Two of their four opponents have registered season-high point totals against the Bolts defense and another topped 30.
The bye week allowed the Chargers a chance to do a little bit of house cleaning. They released starting safety Clinton Hart and re-signed defensive tackle Ian Scott.
“There are always multiple reasons why you make a move,” head coach Norv Turner told reporters. “We had a chance to help ourselves on the defensive line. We were carrying an extra safety. We feel the young guys are coming along and are ready to play.”
Scott, who was one of the team’s final cuts in the preseason, should help boost a d-line that is missing two DTs, including Pro Bowler Jamal Williams.
On a separate note, outside linebacker Shawne Merriman is telling reporters he should be much more active in Monday’s game than he has been in his previous two matches. Merriman was limited due to a groin injury, but the bye week has him feeling much better.
San Diego is allowing over 150 rushing yards per game and totals just four quarterback sacks coming into the game.
Running with the devil
Both sides are having some issues gaining yards on ground. While Denver owns a fantastic yards per carry average (4.6) and picks up over 130 yards rushing each week, the team hasn’t been able run the ball effectively in short yardage situations.
The Broncos are 0-for-3 running the ball in goal line situations inside their opponents’ 3-yard line, according to the Denver Post.
This would be a perfect week to improve on that weakness. San Diego’s run defense ranks 27th in the league, and Denver is expected to have all its running backs healthy and ready to play.
The Bolts, on the other hand, have no run game to speak off. Veteran tailback LaDainian Tomlinson has been limited this season because of a nagging ankle injury, but he did look good against the Steelers two weeks ago.
San Diego is on pace to finish the season with just 320 rushing attempts.
Tomlinson says he has to get more carries to be successful.
“The running game is all about getting in rhythm,” he told San Diego reporters. “Yeah, we haven’t had the opportunity to run it much. I’m confident when we do, we’re going to be successful doing it.”
Trends
This is a clash of two different over/under teams. San Diego goes for the big play early and often, partly because no lead is safe with the way its defense is playing.
The over is 3-1 in SD games this season.
Denver, meanwhile, is much more conservative with its game plan knowing it can rely on its defense to keep things close. The Broncos have played under the total in each of their five games.
The Mile High crew is also a perfect 5-0 against the spread, but San Diego has had Denver’s number over the years. The Bolts are 5-0-1 ATS versus the Broncos over the last three years.
Weather
It’s typical San Diego weather in the forecast for Monday night – sunny, 69 degrees with little chance (10 percent) of rain.
Tips and Trends
Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers
Broncos: Denver is 5-0 for the first time since 1998. The Broncos haven’t won six in a row in nine years. Great defense and quarterback Kyle Orton have sparked the Broncos. Denver has given up just 43 points, fewest in the NFL. The Broncos also rank No. 2 in total defense allowing 268.8 yards per game. Only seven points have been scored against Denver in the second half, none since Week 1. Orton completed 35 of 48 passes for 330 yards and two touchdowns against New England last week in winning AFC Offensive Player of the Week honors. Orton has passed for 1,236 yards with seven touchdowns and only one interception. However, the Chargers have outscored Denver, 75-24, the last two times the Broncos have visited San Diego. The straight-up winner in this series is 21-1-1 against the spread during the past 23 meetings.
Denver is 6-2 ATS the past eight times it has been an underdog.
The Over has cashed in 10 of Denver’s last 14 AFC West Division games.
Key Injuries - Running back Correll Buckhalter (ankle) is probable
PROJECTED SCORE: 20
Chargers (-3.5, O/U 44): San Diego’s season already may be on the line because a loss would put the Chargers 3 ½ games behind Denver. The Chargers have defeated the Broncos in five of the last six meetings. San Diego ranks last in the league in rushing, averaging only 53.8 yards per game. LaDainian Tomlinson ran for just 15 yards on seven carries in his return from a two-game absence because of a sprained ankle during a 38-28 road loss to Pittsburgh two weeks ago. The Chargers were idle last week. Quarterback Philip Rivers has been carrying San Diego passing for 1,245 yards and six touchdowns. Rivers has a career touchdown-to-interception ratio of 12-to-3 versus Denver. The under has cashed nine of the last 12 times the Chargers have been a home favorite against a division foe. San Diego has covered 11 of the past 16 times it has been home chalk.
The Under is 9-2 in San Diego’s last 11 Week 6 games.
The Under is 4-0 in San Diego’s last four games following a bye.
Key Injuries - Linebacker Stephen Cooper (knee) is questionable
PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (UNDER - Total of the Day)
Bolts welcome Broncos
By AllStar.com
If you were to predict which of these teams would be undefeated coming into this game, most would have said San Diego. With LaDanian Tomlinson and Shawne Merriman back in the mix, and the off season turmoil in Denver, it seemed like an easy bet. Instead you have the surprise team in the AFC Denver undefeated, and the Chargers playing like the over hyped mess they have become. Injuries have decimated the Chargers Offensive Line and the once potent running game has been non existent in the first 4 games of the 2009 campaign.
Quarterbacks
Philip Rivers has been solid for San Diego, but will face a stiff challenge Monday night. Denver is the best defense Rivers has faced, and if San Diego cannot get its running game going, it will again force Rivers to be the man. At this point of the season, Rivers has two main targets Vincent Jackson and Antonio Gates, if Denver defenders are in his face, Rivers will go to the steady Gates all night.
Fast Fact: Rivers is 4-0 with a 107.00 QB rating on Monday Night Football
We still have questions about Kyle Orton’s decision making, as was proven by the sack he took at the end of the 4th quarter last week, but to say he has been solid is putting it lightly. Orton has thrown only one INT, and that was on a hail mary at the end of the first half against NE. San Diego has been terrible trying to stop the run, so Orton may not be asked to do much here. He should make the most of what chances he gets when Denver goes to the spread offense, as SD released SS Clinton Hart on Wednesday, meaning rookie Kevin Ellison will be tested by Orton
Fast Fact: Orton’s only INT was caught by Randy Moss. Orton is 26-12 as a starter (.684)
Running Backs:
LaDanian Tomlinson looks like a guy on his final legs. There were rumors that he would not be back with San Diego, and from what we have seen so far, that would have been the smarter decision. Tomlinson’s ability to hit the hole, catch passes out of the backfield, and block when needed has be horrible. His mind says he can do it, but his body says no. Darren Sproles was franchised, but his 2.4 yds per carry average have told the coaches he is not an every down back. If San Diego is to win, Tomlinson will have to dig down, and have a good game (80-100yds/1td)
Fast Fact: No Charger RB has over 100 yds rushing for the season. Sproles leads with 90.
We spoke to the Broncos on Thursday, and they expect Correll Buckhalter to be back Monday night. That is bad news for SD, as Buckhalter comes into the game averaging more than 7 yards a carry. That number could rise against a run defense that Charger GM AJ Smith called “soft”. Rookie Knowshon Moreno has done a nice job for the Broncos with a 4.2 yd average. If Denver can establish the run, look for them to have an easy time on 3rd down, where the Chargers are giving up the first down 50% of the time.
Fast Fact: Moreno leads all NFL Rookies with 337 rushing yards.
Wide Receivers:
Chris Chambers has been almost invisible this year with just 6 catches, but for some reason he is still in the starting lineup. You have to assume Champ Bailey will be assigned to Vincent Jackson, so outside of Antonio Gates, Chambers may finally get a chance to make a play. Jackson and Gates have been two highlights for San Diego. Gates is healthy for the first time in two years, and Jackson looks like a pro bowler with an impressive 19yd per catch avg.
Fast Fact: Since 03 Gates leads all TE’s with 53 TD catches
With only one solid starter in San Diego’s secondary (Quentin Jammer) we expect Josh McDaniels to use the spread offense as needed. Marshall, Eddie Royal, Jabar Gafney, and Brandon Stokley could have big nights against struggling DB Antonio Cromartie, rookie SS Kevin Ellison, and inconsistent FS Eric Weddle. While we still expect Denver to mostly run, but the big play should be available if needed.
Fast Fact: Marshall has caught a TD pass in 3 straight.
Defense:
We agree with Smith that his defense is soft. Gone are the days when Junior Seau or Rodney Harrison were just waiting to hit you. Instead you have Luis Castillo who doesn’t hit you, but instead gently leads you to the turf, and the two biggest disappointments Shawne Merriman, and Shaun Phillips. Merriman is coming back from knee surgery, so we can give him the benefit of the doubt, but both guys, along with Cromartie have lost their drive and focus. If they really want to be a Super Bowl team, they will have to play big on Monday.
Fast Fact: Since 07 Chargers are 2nd in the league with 49 INT’s.
Here is an amazing stat that says all you need to know about the Denver D. They have not allowed a 3rd down conversion in the 2nd half in their last 3 games. NONE and teams have only been successful 2 out of 31 times all year. Elvis Dummervil leads the league with 8 sacks, and Brian Dawkins has been great since coming over from the Eagles. Knowing LT is shot; Philip Rivers should expect plenty of blitz packages.
Fast Fact: The Broncos lead the league giving up just 8.6 points per game
INJURIES:
SD-LB Stephen Cooper-knee (questionable) C-Nick Hardwick-ankle (out)
DEN: RB Correll Buckhalter-ankle (probable)
Betting Trends:
The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 games against the Chargers
The Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog
The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games
The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 games between the two teams
Denver (5-0 SU and ATS) at San Diego (2-2, 1-3 ATS)
The surprising Broncos shoot for their sixth straight victory to begin the season while taking a commanding lead in the AFC West when they battle the Chargers at Qualcomm Stadium.
Denver rallied from a 17-7 halftime deficit against New England last week, earning a 20-17 overtime win as a three-point home underdog. The Broncos outgained the Patriots 424-305, and QB Kyle Orton (25-for-48, 330 yards, 2 TDs) thoroughly outplayed former league MVP Tom Brady (19-for-33, 215 yards, 2 TDs). Under first-year coach Josh McDaniels, Denver is off to a 5-0 start for the first time since winning their first 13 games of the 1998 season en route to the franchise’s second Super Bowl championship.
San Diego was off last week after a humiliating 38-28 Sunday night loss at Pittsburgh on Oct. 4. In that defeat, the Chargers fell behind 28-0 before finally getting on the scoreboard with 90 seconds remaining in the third quarter. QB Philip Rivers (21-for-36, 254 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs) had another solid game, but San Diego finished with deficits of 32-17 in first downs, 497-251 in total offense and 177-16 in rushing yards.
The Chargers have dominated this rivalry lately, winning five of the last six meetings (5-0-1 ATS), including three straight at home (3-0 ATS). Denver’s lone victory during this stretch came in Week 2 last year – a controversial last-second 39-38 win as a one-point home favorite in the infamous “Ed Hochuli Game.” However, San Diego avenged that loss in a big way with a season-ending 52-21 rout as a seven-point home favorite in a game that decided the AFC West champion.
San Diego’s last four wins against Denver have come by margins of 28, 38, 20 and 31 points. Also in the past five meetings, the favorite is 4-0-1 ATS and the host is 3-1-1 ATS.
Orton and Rivers entered this week as the ninth- and 10th-rated passers in the NFL. Orton is completing 63 percent of his passes for 247.2 ypg with seven TDs and just one INT, which came on a Hail Mary to end the first half last week. Rivers is connecting at a 58.7 percent clip for 311.3 ypg with six TDs and three INTs.
Denver brings the NFL’s top-ranked scoring defense into Qualcomm tonight, as it has given up a league-low 43 points (8.6 per game) all year, surrendering 10 points or less in the first four games and giving up just four touchdowns. The Broncos rank second in total defense (252.8 total ypg), sixth in rushing defense (81 ypg) and fifth in passing defense (171.8 ypg), and they’ve forced 12 turnovers.
Unlike the Broncos, the Chargers’ defense has been a disaster all year, giving up 25.5 points and 365.8 total yards per game, including 151 rushing yards per game, figures that rank 25th, 26th and 27th in the 32-team league. On the other side of the ball, San Diego has gotten nothing out of its running game, gaining just 215 yards on the ground through four games, for a league-low 53.8 rushing ypg.
The Broncos entered this season in ATS slumps of 14-34 overall, 6-14 on the road and 7-21-1 against the AFC, but they’ve cashed in all five games this year, including both road contests and all four battles against the AFC. Additionally, the Denver is on pointspread runs of 5-2 on the road and 6-2 as an underdog, but it is also just 1-4-1 ATS in its last six AFC West contests and 2-5 ATS in its last seven Week 6 affairs.
The Chargers are in ATS funks of 1-4 overall (all against the AFC), 1-4 in October and 3-7 as a favorite. On the other hand, Norv Turner’s club is on positive pointspread surges of 4-1 at home, 11-5 as a home favorite, 21-5 when laying between 3½ and 10 points at Qualcomm, 21-8-4 against AFC West rivals, 18-7-3 after a SU loss and 5-0 in Week 6. Also, San Diego has won and covered three straight games on Monday night, including a 23-3 home win on Dec. 24, 2007.
Denver has stayed well under the total in all five games this year and is riding additional “under” streaks of 4-0 against the AFC, 5-0-1 in October, 4-1 as an underdog, 4-1 in Week 6, 10-1 after a SU win and 8-0 after a spread-cover. However, 10 of the Broncos’ last 14 divisional contests have gone over the posted price. For San Diego, the under is on runs of 6-2-1 at home, 5-2 in October, 9-2 in Week 6 and 4-0 when coming off a bye, but the over is 4-1 in its last five overall, 4-1-1 in its last six as a favorite and 3-0-1 in its last four against AFC West rivals.
Finally, five of the last six Broncos-Chargers clashes have soared over the total, and the over is 16-5-1 in Monday Night Football dating to last season (5-1 this year).
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER