Week 5 Picks Jets at Dolphins
The Monday night matchup takes place at Land Shark Stadium tonight as the Miami Dolphins host the New York Jets at 8:35PM ET.
The Jets suffered their first loss of the season in Week 4 in a 24-10 decision to the Saints. Jerricho Cotchery caught five passes for 71 yards, but rookie Mark Sanchez threw multiple interceptions and fumbled in the end zone, which led to a New Orleans’ touchdown. The Jets failed to cover as a 6.5-point underdog.
The Dolphins earned their first victory of the season after beating the Bills 38-10 in Week 4. Ronnie Brown rushed for 115 yards on 20 carries with two touchdowns as Miami covered as 1-point underdogs.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.com have made the Jets 3-point road favorites over the Dolphins tonight. The over/under total for this matchup has been established at 37 points.
If the ebb and flow of the NFL season has taught us anything it’s that the Jets should bounce back tonight. They moved the ball well last week against New Orleans but turnovers doomed them in the end. Look for Sanchez to protect the ball better tonight and hopefully get a boost from the newly acquired Braylon Edwards.
Miami looked good last week in its win over Buffalo and Chad Henne played better than expected. He’ll face a different challenge this week, however, as Rex Ryan’s defense should befuddle him. As long as the Jets stop Brown and Miami’s running game, they should earn a victory tonight.
We like the chalk and the over in this matchup.
Our NFL Week 5 Free Pick for this matchup is: NEW YORK JETS -3 and OVER 37.
Jets at Dolphins Current Odds
427 New York Jets –3 Over 37
428 Miami Dolphins +3 Under 37
NFL Week 5 Betting Trends
All games in this series since 1992
NY JETS is 23-8 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
NY JETS is 21-13 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
19 of 34 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 2-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
All games played at MIAMI since 1992
NY JETS is 13-4 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992
NY JETS is 9-8 straight up against MIAMI since 1992
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at MIAMI over the last 3 seasons.
NY JETS is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NFL Week 5 Injury Report
NY JETS
[LB] 09/27/2009 - Calvin Pace expected to miss Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Suspension )
[CB] 10/01/2009 - Lito Sheppard is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Quad )
[DB] 10/01/2009 - Donald Strickland is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs. New Orleans ( Ankle )
MIAMI
[LB] 09/07/2009 - Matt Roth expected to miss at least 6 weeks ( Groin )
[QB] 09/28/2009 - Chad Pennington IR ( Shoulder )
[LB] 10/02/2009 - Joey Porter is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs. Buffalo (Hamstring)