Over-Under Trends
By The Gold Sheet
Arizona - Cards were "over" almost two-thirds of the time (54-29) the previous five campaigns between 2004-08, and after some lower-scoring games early this season are "over" three of last four. Also "over" 22-10 last 32 as host.
Atlanta - Falcons trending "over" lately, 9-3 since late last season. They're also "over" 11-5 last 16 at Georgia Dome and last four vs. NFC South rival Saints.
Baltimore - Ravens have been a surprising "over" team on road since mid '07 (13-5 last 18 away), although team trending "under" lately (last 4 in '09). Note five of last six vs. upcoming foe Steelers "over" as well.
Buffalo - Bills "under" 5 of last 6 this season, also "under" 5 of last 6 at Orchard Park.
Carolina - Pronounced "under" trends in Charlotte (3-2 "under" TY at home, 22-11 last 33). Also "under" 8-2 last 10 vs. NFC South rival Saints.
Chicago - Bears definite "over" lately at Soldier Field (22-9 since late '05 prior to Eagles Sunday night), though they've been trending "under" on road (9-4 last 13 away). "Over" last three at home vs. Vikings, who visit December 28.
Cincinnati - Bengals "under" 3-1 at Paul Brown Stadium TY, now "under" 11-3 last 14 as host.
Cleveland - Punchless Browns, at least when they don't play Detroit, "under" a lot (20-8 last 28 since late '07) dating back to the Romeo Crennel regime; also "under" 10-5 last 15 as host.
Dallas - Cowboys swinging back-and-forth lately, now "under" last 3 after "over" preceding 3 this season.
Denver - Broncos have been trending "under" since early last season ("under" 16-6 last 22 since early '08, also 10-3 last 13 at home and 8-2 overall this season).
Detroit - Trending "over" a lot the past few years, especially on road (3-2 TY, but 22-8 last 30 since late '05). "Over" 36-22 since late '05, and "over" 5 of last 7 vs. both Bears and Packers from NFC North.
Green Bay - Mostly "over" the past few years (now 38-23-1 since late '05), with that trend a bit more pronounced on road (20-9 last 29).
Houston - Texans entered '09 having gone "over" 23-13-1 their previous 37, but have been "under" 5 of last 6 this season prior to last Monday's game vs. Titans. Still "over" 8 of last 9 vs this week's foe Indy (though "under" in Nov. 8 clash at Lucas Oil Stadium).
Indianapolis - Nothing too noteworthy save "under" tendencies (8-1 last 9) vs. AFC South rival Titans & and aforementioned "over" trend vs. Texans.
Jacksonville - Jags had been "over" five straight at home prior to last Sunday's game vs. Bills. Still "over" 40-26 since late in '05 season.
Kansas City - Mostly "under" on road lately (16-8 last 24), though "over" 3 of first 5 away TY and "over" 7-3 overall this season. Chiefs done with Raiders in '09, but for future reference note "under" 9 of last 10 in series.
Miami - Dolphins "over" first 5 at home this season after "under" 7-2 as host a year ago. Note that Miami also "under" 7-2 last 9 away from home.
Minnesota - Vikings continuing recent "over" pattern on road (3-2 TY, 10-4 last 14). Note "over" trends lately vs. NFC North rival Bears (5-1-1 last 7).
New England - Mostly "over" as a visitor in recent years (14-9 last 23), otherwise nothing too identifiable.
New Orleans - "Over" pattern lately (21-10 last 31 since late '07), especially at Superdome (14-4 last 18). But note aforementioned "under" trends vs. division rival Panthers (8-2 last 10; they meet again at Charlotte in regular-season finale January 3).
New York Giants - G-Men have gone "over" 7 of first 10 this season, including 4 of first 5 on road. But "under" last 3 at home vs. Eagles (who visit Meadowlands December 13).
New York Jets - After looking like an "under" team in Rex Ryan's first month in charge, Jets "under" just one of last 6 this season.
Oakland - Raiders trending "under" (12-6-1 last 18) since middle of 2008 campaign, roughly coinciding with Tom Cable's promotion to head coach.
Philadelphia - Birds have been a definite "over" team lately (8-3 last 11 since late '08), and now "over" 8-1 last 9 at the Linc.
Pittsburgh - Steelers have trended "over" at Heinz Field for much of this decade ("over" 48-25 last 73 since early in the '01 season), although that hasn't been as pronounced since HC Mike Tomlin arrived in '07 (just 13-11 since).
St. Louis - Definite "over" lately at home (4-1 TY, 13-6 last 19 at Edward Jones Dome since early '07), though "under" 4-1 on road this season.
San Diego - "Over" 12-6 last 18 away for HC Norv Turner.
San Francisco - Although "over" 4 of last 6 this season, Niners were "under" 8-4 in recent 12-game stretch. Note "unders" 6 of last 7 vs. NFC West rival Rams (on deck again in regular-season finale January 3).
Seattle - Seahawks entered this season "over" 24-10-1 their last 35 as visitor and have continued to trend that way on road (3-2 this season). But "under" 5 of last 7 vs. NFC West rival 49ers (next matchup December 6).
Tampa Bay - Bucs showing a bit more life lately, reflected in "overs" 4-2 last 6, and now "over" 12-4 last 16 as visitor dating back to mid '07. Also "over" 7-2 last 9 vs. NFC South rival Saints despite last week's "under" at Raymond James Satdium.
Tennessee - Trending "over" at home lately (10-6 last 16 at Nashville). Titans "under" 8-1, however, last 9 vs. AFC South rival Colts (on deck December 6).
Washington - Skins were "under" 17-4-1 first 22 on HC Jim Zorn's watch before recent 3-game "over" string. Back "under" again, however, last week vs. Dallas. Also "under" 9-3 last 12 vs. Eagles despite "over" at FedEx Field October 26; they meet again this Sunday at the Linc.