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NFL Sunday

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(@hightide)
Posts: 245
Reputable Member
Topic starter
 

The good news for betting on Buffalo today:
Home favorites of a touchdown or more in the playoffs are 18-9 ATS, 66%.

The bad news: with the game looking like a total mismatch plus the added excitement from the good news of Damar Hamlin, Buffalo is getting over 90% of the $$ at several sites I follow.
Thats the highest I've seen all season.
At one site alone it is Buffalo over 2 Million, Miami 200k!!

Not many books want to be holding the bag on that one. There is nothing they would want more than a late game back door cover.
Maybe alternate lines are the play?
Best of luck.

 
Posted : January 15, 2023 10:05 am
(@hightide)
Posts: 245
Reputable Member
Topic starter
 

I did find a game from 2021 that was similar, KC vs Phily on 10-3-21. KC had almost the same amount of $$. They covered but the line was only -6.5.
So it does happen.

 
Posted : January 15, 2023 10:21 am
(@hightide)
Posts: 245
Reputable Member
Topic starter
 

Buffalo is getting over 90% of the $$ at several sites I follow.
Thats the highest I've seen all season.
At one site alone it is Buffalo over 2 Million, Miami 200k!!

Not many books want to be holding the bag on that one. There is nothing they would want more than a late game back door cover.

Books win again, whoda thunk?

Cinci is at a similar clip. 2.5 mil to 725k. Not quite as lopsided.
They already cleaned up today, but they can be greedy.
Good luck.

 
Posted : January 15, 2023 6:25 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 37939
Illustrious Member
 

The lines, plus line movement dictates your play, we bet at the very beginning, and at the very end right before kickoff

 
Posted : January 15, 2023 9:59 pm
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