Afternoon games all look like unders for me. I know this post is pretty late since kickoff is in ten-twenty minutes.
Mia +4 DEN 50
I like this game to be a defensive battle. Denver's coach was humiliated last game by the Pats on national television. Expect the bye week was used to shore up his defense. Denver is also a little banged up in the RB. The weather will be nice so they will for likley to go for long kicks. The public has pushed this game toward the over along with early sharp money. (There might be a little steam move here.) Hit the OVER and wiat for the public to overreact and hammer the UNDER with triple the amount. THis will be tight to the line (within 3 points of 48).
UNDER 50 Mia 24-Den 23
Phi @ SEA +7, 43
I like the philly defense here. Seattle's offense in anemic. The only way this stays close is if the refs keep the score low. With 80% of the population and most of the early money on Philly, with no movement of the key number of 7, and with pouring rain and unpredictable winds, I like UNDER 43.
Leans all under this afternoon
OVER tonight
11-1 posted record for totals.
Pit +2 @WAS 36.5
Untill the trend is broken...bet the OVER on MNF. I think with both presidential canitates speaking at halftime, they are going to throw up a couple more scores before halftime to keep the viewers entertained. Both offensesand defenses matchup well. Washington can run while pit stops the run. Washington fumbles more, but throws no picks. Big Ben is sacked more and has less passing yards and a worse completion percentage, however Campbell has not faced the likes of a Pittsburg defense. I think the game will be won or lost with the special teams. The Steelers have not missed a field goal yet (10/10), while the Redskins have kicked twice as many and only made 76% of them (16/21). Washington also has better kick return and punt return stats, but a weak punt return protection. I think these special teams differences will come into play, giving more scoring chances form a short field. The weather will be chilly during this evening game, with 10% chance of rain from an overcast sky with light 4mph winds cross field from the east. Pit 20-Was 17
OVER 36.5