HOUSTON (10 - 4) at INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 13)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND (7 - 7) at KANSAS CITY (6 - 8)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 34-63 ATS (-35.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 26-59 ATS (-38.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 13-33 ATS (-23.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DENVER (8 - 6) at BUFFALO (5 - 9)
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 39-66 ATS (-33.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
DENVER is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
DENVER is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BUFFALO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
JACKSONVILLE (4 - 10) at TENNESSEE (7 - 7)
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA (7 - 7) at CINCINNATI (8 - 6)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MIAMI (5 - 9) at NEW ENGLAND (11 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 143-107 ATS (+25.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND (4 - 10) at BALTIMORE (10 - 4)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 5-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS (7 - 7) at NY JETS (8 - 6)
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MINNESOTA (2 - 12) at WASHINGTON (5 - 9)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 47-77 ATS (-37.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY (4 - 10) at CAROLINA (5 - 9)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CAROLINA is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 61-36 ATS (+21.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS (2 - 12) at PITTSBURGH (10 - 4)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
ST LOUIS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
ST LOUIS is 93-123 ATS (-42.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 41-66 ATS (-31.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SAN DIEGO (7 - 7) at DETROIT (9 - 5)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in dome games since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SAN FRANCISCO (11 - 3) at SEATTLE (7 - 7)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA (6 - 8) at DALLAS (8 - 6)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 146-107 ATS (+28.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
DALLAS is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO (7 - 7) at GREEN BAY (13 - 1)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 4-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 5-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA (9 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (11 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in dome games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
ATLANTA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 20-45 ATS (-29.5 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games in December games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 8 games when playing at home against Houston
Indianapolis is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing Houston
ARIZONA vs. CINCINNATI
Arizona is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home
TAMPA BAY vs. CAROLINA
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
Carolina is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
MINNESOTA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
JACKSONVILLE vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Jacksonville's last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 9 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Tennessee is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
MIAMI vs. NEW ENGLAND
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games
New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
OAKLAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Oakland is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
ST. LOUIS vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
DENVER vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 12 games at home
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
Cleveland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Cleveland is 7-13-2 ATS in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
NY GIANTS vs. NY JETS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games on the road
NY Giants are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games
NY Jets are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games
SAN DIEGO vs. DETROIT
San Diego is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
Detroit is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
PHILADELPHIA vs. DALLAS
Philadelphia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games on the road
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
SAN FRANCISCO vs. SEATTLE
San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
San Francisco is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
CHICAGO vs. GREEN BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 8 games
Green Bay is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games
ATLANTA vs. NEW ORLEANS
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-19-1 ATS in its last 25 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
HOUSTON at INDIANAPOLIS
HOUSTON: 8-1 Under as favorite
INDIANAPOLIS: 22-8 ATS revenging loss of 14+ points
OAKLAND at KANSAS CITY
OAKLAND: 8-0 ATS in division road games
KANSAS CITY: 10-2 Under L12 games
DENVER at BUFFALO
DENVER: 11-2 ATS on Saturdays
BUFFALO: 1-8 ATS off division game
JACKSONVILLE at TENNESSEE
JACKSONVILLE: 6-0 Under off road game
TENNESSEE: 6-0 Under second half of season
ARIZONA at CINCINNATI
ARIZONA: 0-6 ATS in December road games
CINCINNATI: 1-11 ATS as home favorite
MIAMI at NEW ENGLAND
MIAMI: 10-3 ATS as double digit loss
NEW ENGLAND: 26-10 ATS L2 wks of reg season
CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE
CLEVELAND: 2-8 ATS on grass
BALTIMORE: 7-0 ATS after allowing 400+ yds
NY GIANTS at NY JETS
NY GIANTS: 10-2 ATS Away vs. AFC East
NY JETS: 24-9 Over in all games
MINNESOTA at WASHINGTON
MINNESOTA: 16-4 Over after being outgained by 150+ total yards
WASHINGTON: 0-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
TAMPA BAY at CAROLINA
TAMPA BAY: 2-10 ATS on Saturday
CAROLINA: 11-1 Under as home favorite
ST LOUIS at PITTSBURGH
ST LOUIS: 2-11-1 ATS this season
PITTSBURGH: 13-3 Over on Saturday
SAN DIEGO at DETROIT
SAN DIEGO: 6-0 Over Away off home win
DETROIT: 0-4 ATS vs. San Diego
SAN FRANCISCO at SEATTLE
SAN FRANCISCO: 0-6 ATS in December road games
SEATTLE: 4-21 ATS off win by 21+
PHILADELPHIA at DALLAS
PHILADELPHIA: 13-4 Under after scoring 40+
DALLAS: 4-15 ATS as favorite
CHICAGO at GREEN BAY
CHICAGO: 1-7 ATS off SU loss by 14+ as home favorite
GREEN BAY: 6-0 Under vs. Chicago
ATLANTA at NEW ORLEANS
ATLANTA: 14-5 ATS at New Orleans
NEW ORLEANS: 9-0 Under off BB road wins
2 Minute Handicap
Playbook.com
Houston SERIES: 5-2 L7... 5-1 A vs opp off SU dog win... 8-3 off SU fav loss (0-1 this year)... 4-1 O/U Game Fifteen
INDIANAPOLIS DEC: 10-1 w/rev vs opp off SUATS loss (1-0 this year)... 7-1-1 ATS Thursdays... 11-2 w/rev vs opp off DD SU loss... 12-4 bef Jaguars (0-1 this year)... 2-6 2nd BB HG's (1-1 this year)... 5-0 O/U Game Fifteen
Oakland SERIES: 5-0 L5 A... 8-0 dogs off non-div vs div... 7-0 A off BB SU losses vs div (1-0 this year)... Visitor in Chiefs' series is 10-1 ATS (1-0 this year)... 12-2 dogs vs div opp off BB non-div... 1-7 SU Game Fifteen
KANSAS CITY DEC: 8-1 H off SU non-div win... 5-1 Game Fifteen... 1-4 H off SU dog win vs opp w/rev... 0-9 L9 as div favs (0-7 H)
Denver 1-3 SU Game Fifteen... FOX: 8-0 A off DD SU loss vs opp off DD SU loss... 10-1 off DD ATS loss vs div opp off SUATS loss... 6-1 A off DD ATS loss vs div... 9-4 dogs vs opp off SU fav loss (0-2 this year)... DEC: 1-10 A vs opp off div w/rev (0-1 this year)... 2-11 Game Fifteen
TENNESSEE SERIES: 8-4 L12 H... 5-2 bef Texans (0-1 this year)... 0-7 conf favs off div RG... 1-6 favs off SU div fav loss (1-0 this year)... 2-6 Game Fifteen... 2-5 w/rev off BB SUATS losses vs vs opp off A... 2-9 non-div RD's 5 > pts vs .500 > opp (1-0 this year)... 6-1 O/U Game Fifteen
CINCINNATI 1-5-1 favs off non-conf... LEWIS: 4-15 .500 > H vs opp who scored 17 > pts LG (2-3 this year)... 1-3 O/U Game Fifteen
Miami 0-0 DD RD's (1-0 this year)... 5-1 A vs opp off 3+ SU wins (2-0 this year)...
NEW ENGLAND SERIES: 3-0 L3 / 1-3 L4 H... 6-1 1st BB HG's (1-0 this year)... 3-11 L14 as DD favs (1-1 this year)... BELICHICK: 13-1 off BB A vs div (1-0 this year)...
Cleveland 7-0 RD's off SU A loss vs opp off SU loss... DEC: 1-10 opp off non-div (0-1 this year)...
BALTIMORE SERIES: 6-1 L7... DEC: 10-1 off SU fav loss... 4-1 Game Fifteen... 5-2-1 off SU fav loss... 1-4 H off DD SU loss vs opp off DD SU loss... 11-2 aft Redskins (1-0 this year)... 0-7 A off DD ATS loss (0-1 this year)... 1-8 dogs 10 < pts aft scoring 10 favs off SU loss w/rev... DEC: 0-8 favs off SU loss vs opp off SU loss... 2-9 HF's 9 < pts w/rev (1-2 this year)... 2-6 SU Game Fifteen... RYAN: 6-1 vs non-div opp off SUATS loss
Minnesota DEC: 10-0 < .500 RD's off SU loss (1-0 this year)... 10-0 dogs off BB SU losses vs opp off DD SU win (2-0 this year)... 10-1 vs pts (2-1 this year)... DEC: 0-7 off non-div H vs non-div... DEC: 1-11 off H vs opp w/rev... 1-7 A off DD ATS loss vs opp w/rev... 1-6 SU Game Fifteen
WASHINGTON 7-3 Game Fifteen... 6-2 non-div favs < 10 pts off SU div win (0-1 this year)... 0-14 H off SU win vs < .500 opp (0-1 this week)... 1-12 favs vs < .500 opp off DD non-div ATS loss (1-0 this year)...1-10 favs vs opp off DD SU loss (1-0 this year)... DEC: 1-8 off dog role vs opp off BB SU losses
Tampa Bay MORRIS: 2-7-1 vs opp off DD ATS win (1-2 this year)... 6-2 O/U Game Fifteen
CAROLINA SERIES: 7-3 L10 H... 11-2-1 H off SU dog win vs opp off SUATS loss... DEC: 12-2 pts... 2-8 H vs opp off DD SU loss (1-0 this year)... 1-3 SU Game Fifteen
St. Louis SERIES: 2-5 L7 / 1-4 L5 A... SPAGNUOLO: 2-9-1 off BB SU losses vs .500 > opp (1-4-1 this year)
PITTSBURGH 1-11 H off Monday... 2-6 off non-conf RG (1-0 this year)... 4-1 O/U Game Fifteen
San Diego SERIES: 4-0 L4... 13-1 dogs off BB SU wins (1-0 this year)... 14-1 dogs 2 > pts in Domes... 8-2 bef Raiders (0-1 this year)... 3-1 SUATS Game Fifteen... 0-8 .500 > dogs vs .500 > opp off SU win w/rev... DEC: 1-10 off dog role vs non-div opp off SU win... 2-9 dogs off SU dog win... TURNER: 9-2 dog off 3 > SU wins
DETROIT DEC: 7-0 favs off BB SU wins... 18-3 HF's 2 > pts off BB SU wins (1-0 this year)... 4-12 O/U Game Fifteen... 3-9 bef Packers (1-0 this year)
San Francisco 3-10 L13 as RF's (1-1 this year)... 7-3 O/U Game Fifteen
SEATTLE SERIES: 3-1 L4 H... DEC: 11-2 H w/rev off non-div (1-0 this year)... 9-3 SUATS Game Fifteen... 2-7 w/rev off BB SUATS wins (1-1 this year)
Philadelphia DEC: 12-1 RD's vs div... 11-2 dogs off BB SUATS wins... 0-3 Game Fifteen
DALLAS SERIES: 3-0 L3 H... 7-0 .500 > H off SU win 14 > pts w/rev... DEC: 8-1 H vs div opp off non-div... 10-2 H vs div opp off AFC... 0-8 .500 > off SUATS win vs opp off DD non-div ATS win... 2-10 favs vs div opp off BB SUATS wins... 1-4 Game Fifteen
Chicago 6-0 SU Game Fifteen... 5-1 w/rev off DD ATS loss (0-1 this year)... 5-1-1 off SU fav loss vs .500 > opp (0-0-1 this year)... 9-2 off DD SUATS & BB SU losses vs div opp... DEC: 2-16 RD's vs opp off SUATS loss... DEC: 1-10 off non-div vs opp off SU fav loss... 2-11 dogs vs opp off SU fav loss
GREEN BAY SERIES: 6-2 L8... 7-0 off non-div SU fav loss vs .500 > div opp... 1-9 H vs div opp off DD SU non-div loss... 2-8 vs div opp off DD ATS loss & allowed 35 > pts (1-0 this year)... MCCARTHY: 2-7 H vs .500 > opp w/rev (1-0 this year)
Atlanta SERIES: 3-1 L4 A... 8-0 RD's 9 pts (0-1 this year)... 0-5 SU L5 Mondays... DEC: 1-11 .500 > dogs off SU win... 1-4 O/U Game Fifteen
NEW ORLEANS 6-0 SU L6 Mondays...6-2 off SU win 21 > pts (1-1 this year)... 3-16 div favs 7 > pts (1-0 this year)... PAYTON: 9-1 off BB SU wins vs opp off BB SU wins (1-0 this year)... 1-8 O/U Game Fifteen
Gridiron Trends - Week 16
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
NFL ATS PLAY ON TREND:
The Buccaneers are 10-0 ATS (10.8 ppg) since December 2005 on the road after a home game last week where they held their opponent out of the end zone on at least two trips to the red zone.
NFL ATS PLAY AGAINST TREND:
The Cowboys are 0-10 ATS (-10.8 ppg) since November 15, 1992 after a game where they led by double digits after one quarter and did not punt more than three times.
NFL OU OVER TREND OF THE WEEK:
The Patriots are 14-0 OU (7.9 ppg) since 2007 as a favorite after a win as an away favorite where they scored at least four touchdowns.
NFL OU UNDER TREND OF THE WEEK:
The Seahawks are 0-11-1 OU (-9.2 ppg) since September 30, 2007 within 3 of pick vs a divisional opponent.
TOP NFL SYSTEM:
The League is 0-14 ATS (-10.2 ppg) since October 08, 2006 as a favorite the week after on the road as a TD+ favorite in which their completion percentage was at least eight points higher than their season-to-date average. Active on Dallas.
NFL BIBLE TREND OF THE WEEK:
The Titans are 0-10 ATS (-11.8 ppg) since December 2004 when they are off a game in which they had more than thirty minutes of possession time, but allowed at least five points more than expected.
Week 16 NFL Trends & Angles
We have an interesting conflict atop our Trends & Angles in Week 16.First off, the Monday Night Magic angle won for the fourth straight week when the Seahawks followed up their big win last Monday by upsetting the Bears on Sunday. Then, we had another Monday night win by at least 17 points (in this case exactly 17) by the San Francisco 49ers over the Steelers this week, putting the angle in play for the fifth straight week this Saturday.
That is where we have our conundrum, as that was the 11th win of the season for the 49ers and they are road favorites this week, which sets up a nice contrarian angle that says to play against them. We will lead off with that brand new angle before rehashing the Monday Night system.
Play against any road favorite after it has won its 11th game of the season (56-27, 67.5% ATS since 1989): Teams that have won 11 games are more often than not playoff teams that do not need to run up scores late in the year, and as you can see fading these teams as road chalk has been like a gold mine. This angle is already 2-0 ATS this season, as the Packers failed to cover at the Giants and at Kansas City (losing outright) after getting Win #11. There is one qualifier this week, and it is the Seattle Seahawks +2 at home vs. the 49ers.
Play on any team coming off of a Monday night win by 17 points or more with no bye week (44-23, 65.7% ATS since 1999): There was a time way back in the day where backing the opposite of what a team did on Monday night the following Sunday was profitable, with the theory being that the teams that lost in the national spotlight would be motivated to play better while the teams that won would be overvalued after the whole world just watched them win. Instead, just the opposite has been true since 1999, and we think that the reason is this original line of thinking became so prevalent that the contrarian actually became the mainstream, giving value to backing teams to repeat their Monday performances. This angle continues to an ATM machine this year cashing for the fourth straight week in Week 15 when the underdog Seahawks won outright. The obvious qualifier this week is the 49ers -2, which is unfortunately in conflict with our feature angle.
Play on any road underdog coming off of six or more consecutive straight up losses (82-52-1, 61.2% ATS since 1985): We went all the way back to 1985 to make this sample size as meaningful as possible, and the results are quite good. These are teams that most squares would never bet their hard earned money on but that sharps love, as they are almost always getting added line value. This angle won again with the then winless Colts in both Week 13 and Week 14, and after a week off, the trend is back with two qualifying plays in Week 16: Minnesota +6½ and Tampa Bay +7½.
Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (82-56-2, 59.4% ATS since 2008): It used to be that teams playing consecutive road games were great fades, but as that angle became common knowledge, bookmakers started to adjust the point spreads for teams playing on the road off of a road game. Well, based on the results of the last three full seasons plus this one, they may have over-adjusted the lines especially in this specific case of conference games where the visiting teams are fairly familiar with their next opponents. There are three qualifying plays under this angle for Week 16; Cleveland +12½, Jacksonville +7½ and Miami +9½.
Play on any divisional road team looking to avenge a loss of 14 points or more (75-53, 58.6% since 2002): NFL teams or all professional teams for that matter do not like getting embarrassed, and most of them have long memories. This is especially true when the big loss was to a division rival that they face twice a year. There are four big qualifiers for this angle for Week 16: Oakland +2½, Miami +9½, Cleveland +12½ and Tampa Bay +7½.
During the month of December only, play against any road underdog coming off of three or more ATS wins (62-42-6, 59.6% ATS since 1985): If a team is an underdog this late in the year after three ATS wins when logic dictates that the team is peaking, there is usually a very good reason for it. Finding something that has gone over the magical 60 percent mark with at least 100 plays is pretty special, and this angle has one play in Week 16: the Detroit Lions -2½ over the re-hot San Diego Chargers.
Play against any favorite playing a "bad team" after it played a "good team" the previous week (88-61-2, 58.5% ATS since 2002): This is one of our favorite angles, as it actually quantifies what good and bad teams are. For the purposes of our weekly angles and trends, a good team is defined as a team that has won at least 12 of its last 18 games, and a bad team is defined as a team that has lost at least 12 of its last 18 games. This is the essence of the Letdown Theory, and the fact that it is now quantified and has produced the results we expected makes this angle that much stronger. This angle went a perfect 2-0 ATS in Week 15 wining with Cleveland and Indianapolis, and the ugly qualifier for Week 16 is the St. Louis Rams +15½ at Pittsburgh.