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NFL Trends Week 10

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Thursday, November 11

BALTIMORE (6 - 2) at ATLANTA (6 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
ATLANTA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Sunday, November 14

CINCINNATI (2 - 6) at INDIANAPOLIS (5 - 3)

Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games off a loss against a division rival since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

HOUSTON (4 - 4) at JACKSONVILLE (4 - 4)

Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
JACKSONVILLE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TENNESSEE (5 - 3) at MIAMI (4 - 4)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MINNESOTA (3 - 5) at CHICAGO (5 - 3)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

DETROIT (2 - 6) at BUFFALO (0 - 8)

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) in November games since 1992.
DETROIT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NY JETS (6 - 2) at CLEVELAND (3 - 5)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CAROLINA (1 - 7) at TAMPA BAY (5 - 3)

Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 82-57 ATS (+19.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

KANSAS CITY (5 - 3) at DENVER (2 - 6)

Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
DENVER is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
DENVER is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
DENVER is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ST LOUIS (4 - 4) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 6)

Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 80-110 ATS (-41.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in November games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SEATTLE (4 - 4) at ARIZONA (3 - 5)

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 36-15 ATS (+19.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 4-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

DALLAS (1 - 7) at NY GIANTS (6 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
NY GIANTS are 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 4-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 4-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NEW ENGLAND (6 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (6 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 81-52 ATS (+23.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 41-20 ATS (+19.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 83-59 ATS (+18.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 75-45 ATS (+25.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Monday, November 15

PHILADELPHIA (5 - 3) at WASHINGTON (4 - 4)

Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 138-97 ATS (+31.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-28 ATS (+20.2 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : November 9, 2010 12:34 pm
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Posts: 318493
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Thursday, November 11

BALTIMORE vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

Sunday, November 14

CINCINNATI vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games at home
Indianapolis is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games at home

HOUSTON vs. JACKSONVILLE
Houston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Jacksonville is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Houston

CAROLINA vs. TAMPA BAY
Carolina is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Tampa Bay
Carolina is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Carolina

DETROIT vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games

MINNESOTA vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Minnesota

NY JETS vs. CLEVELAND
NY Jets are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the NY Jets last 7 games
Cleveland is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games

TENNESSEE vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Miami
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Tennessee
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

KANSAS CITY vs. DENVER
Kansas City is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Denver
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games

SEATTLE vs. ARIZONA
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Seattle is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

DALLAS vs. NY GIANTS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing Dallas
NY Giants are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against Dallas

ST. LOUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of St. Louis's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games at home

NEW ENGLAND vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games on the road
New England is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New England
Pittsburgh is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Monday, November 15

PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Washington is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing Philadelphia

 
Posted : November 9, 2010 12:36 pm
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Posts: 318493
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Thursday, 11/11/2010

BALTIMORE at ATLANTA
BALTIMORE: 8-1 ATS as road dog of 3 pts or less
ATLANTA: 6-19 ATS at home off BB SU wins

Sunday, 11/14/2010

CINCINNATI at INDIANAPOLIS
CINCINNATI: 9-16 ATS on turf
INDIANAPOLIS: 4-0 ATS off an Over

HOUSTON at JACKSONVILLE
HOUSTON: 28-13 ATS off BB SU Losses
JACKSONVILLE: 2-12 ATS as a favorite

TENNESSEE at MIAMI
TENNESSEE: 6-0 Over at Miami
MIAMI: 9-25 ATS after 2 game road trip

MINNESOTA at CHICAGO
MINNESOTA: 4-14 ATS Away off win by 3pts or less
CHICAGO: 11-2 Under as an underdog

DETROIT at BUFFALO
DETROIT: 12-4 Over off ATS win
BUFFALO: 7-1 ATS off loss by 6pts or less

NY JETS at CLEVELAND
NY JETS: 6-0 Over after allowing 99 or less rushing yards BB games
CLEVELAND: 10-2 ATS off ATS win

CAROLINA at TAMPA BAY
CAROLINA: 6-1 ATS off loss by 28+ points
TAMPA BAY: 6-1 Under off BB ATS wins

KANSAS CITY at DENVER
KANSAS CITY: 32-16 ATS at home off SU loss
DENVER: 0-7 ATS at home vs. division

ST LOUIS at SAN FRANCISCO
ST LOUIS: 3-11 ATS vs. division
SAN FRANCISCO: 6-0 Under vs. division

SEATTLE at ARIZONA
SEATTLE: 1-6 ATS off loss by 28+ points
ARIZONA: 9-2 ATS playing with revenge

DALLAS at NY GIANTS
DALLAS: 28-13 ATS off loss by 14+ points
NY GIANTS: 6-0 Over off win by 21+ points

NEW ENGLAND at PITTSBURGH
NEW ENGLAND: 5-1 Over off outright loss by 14+ points as favorite
PITTSBURGH: 6-2 Over in Weeks 10 through 13

Monday, 11/15/2010

PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON
PHILADELPHIA: 30-12 ATS revenging loss by 7 pts or less
WASHINGTON: 9-2 Under at home if total is 35.5 and 42

 
Posted : November 9, 2010 12:39 pm
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2-MINUTE HANDICAP
Playbook.com

Thursday, Nov. 11th
Baltimore SERIES: 8-0 L8/4-0 L4 A... 1-4 A Thursday... 1-5 L6 O/U Thursday
ATLANTA 4-1 Thursday... 0-13 H off BB SU wins (1-0 this year)... SMITH: 9-2 vs opp off BB SU wins (1-1 this year)

Sunday, Nov. 14th
Cincinnati 6-1 Game Nine... 0-9 aft Steelers
INDIANAPOLIS SERIES: 5-1 L6/4-1 L5 H... 1-6 off SU loss vs vs div opp off non div (0-1 this year)... 1-5-1 vs opp w/rest (0-1 this year)... 2-9-1 A w/rev vs .500 > opp (0-1-1 this year)... 2-8 1st of BB RG's...
JACKSONVILLE 7-0 .500 > vs .500 > opp off BB ATS losses... 9-1 .500 > off SU non div win vs .500 > opp (0-1 this year)... 7-1 SU Game Nine... NOV: 11-2 vs .500 > opp off H... 2-6 aft scoring 35 > pts vs div opp (1-0 this year)

Tennessee 12-1 dogs vs opp w/rev (1-0 this year)... FISHER: 11-1 dog 7 < pts vs opp w/rev (1-0 this year)... 3-1 O/U Game Nine
MIAMI 7-0 off DD ATS loss w/rev vs opp off SU loss... 1-4 vs opp w/rest (pending this week vs Balt)... SPARANO: 1-7 fav vs non div opp... 2-9 O/U Game Nine

Minnesota 0-3 Game Nine... 2-9 favs bef Packers (1-0 this year)
CHICAGO SERIES: 6-1 L7 H... 1-11 off BB fav roles vs < .500 div opp... 1-4 O/U Game Nine

Detroit SERIES: 4-1 L5... 2-14 A vs non div opp off BB SU losses... 2-9 Game Nine... SCHWARTZ: 1-5 vs < .500 opp (1-1 this year)
BUFFALO NOV: 7-1 H w/rev vs non div opp... 1-7 O/U Game Nine

NY Jets NOV: 9-2 A vs non div opp (0-1 this year)... 3-1 Game Nine... RYAN: 8-3 vs non div AFC opp (1-1 this year)
CLEVELAND SERIES: 3-1 L4... 5-0 off BB SU wins vs opp off SU win... 9-1 vs AFC East (1-0 this year)... 1-6 HD's vs opp off RG (1-0 this year)

Carolina SERIES: 3-1 L4/5-2 L7 A... 8-0 < .500 off SUATS loss vs opp off BB RG's... 14-2 vs div opp off SU NFC loss... 6-1 Game Nine
TAMPA BAY 7-0 H off SU loss vs opp off BB SU losses... 2-7 vs .333 < opp (1-0 this year)... MORRIS: 1-9-1 H (0-3-1 this year)/1-6 off div (0-2 this year)

Kansas City SERIES: 3-1 L4/3-1 L4 A... NOV: 7-1 RD's vs opp off SUATS loss... 2-10 SU Game Nine
DENVER 4-0 .400 < favs 3 opp... 9-1 HF's < 10 pts off SU loss vs div opp (0-1 this year)... 4-16 bef Chargers... 6-1 O/U Game Nine

St. Louis 8-1 off DD SU non div win (1-0 this year)... 6-1 w/rest vs conf opp... 0-6 A aft allowing 10 < pts (0-1 this year)... 0-4 A vs A off SU win... 3-0 O/U Game Nine
SAN FRANCISCO SERIES: 9-2 L11/4-1 L5 H... 8-0 HF's )... SINGLETARY: 5-1 H vs .500 > opp (1-1 this year)

Seattle 7-0 vs ... 13-3 off BB SU losses
ARIZONA SERIES: 4-1 L5/4-0 L4 H... 8-0 H off SU loss vs div opp off BB dog roles... 0-6 off BB SU losses vs opp who allowed 35 > pts... NOV: 2-11 vs opp off BB ATS losses... 4-1 O/U Game Nine

Dallas 1-10 vs div opp off A...
NY GIANTS SERIES: 5-1 L6/5-1L6 H... 6-1 bef Eagles... 1-6 Game Nine

New England SERIES: 7-2 L9/5-1 L6 A... 1-5 O/U Game Nine
PITTSBURGH 1-10 H off Monday... NOV: 2-9 vs opp off fav role w/rev... 4-1 O/U Game Nine

Monday, Nov. 15th
Philadelphia 6-1 L7 Mondays... NOV: 10-2 A off non div w/rev... 1-7 favs off SU win but ATS loss (1-0 this year)... 4-1 O/U Game Nine
WASHINGTON SERIES: 4-1 L5/1-3 L4 H... 5-0 HF's 10 < pts off DD SU loss... 0-8 Mondays... 1-5 Game Nine... 2-7 div HD's (1-0 this year)

 
Posted : November 9, 2010 12:43 pm
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Tech Trends - Week 10
By Bruce Marshall

BALTIMORE at ATLANTA... Falcons 8-4 vs. line at home since LY. Ravens "under" 4-0 on road TY and "under" 10-1 last 11 away. Tech edge-"Under," based on "totals" trends.

CINCINNATI at INDIANAPOLIS... Cincy no covers last 5 TY and now 2-6 vs. number last 8 away. Bengals also "over" 8-4 last 12 away. Indy has covered last 5 and 7 of last 8 at Lucas Oil Stadium, the only L the throw-away game vs. Jets late last season. Colts also "over" 10-4 last 14 on board. Tech edge-Colts and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

HOUSTON at JACKSONVILLE... Jags won and covered both meetings LY as small underdog. Kubiak, however, is 10-5 his last 15 vs. line on road. Texans also "over" 7-3 last 10 since late LY. Jags "over" 7-2 last 9 since late LY but only 5-15 vs. spread last 20 as host (2-2 TY). Tech edge-"Over" and Texans, based on "totals" and team trends.

TENNESSEE at MIAMI... Sparano's extended trends at home are poor (4-12 last 16 since mid ‘08). Titans 3-1 vs. line away TY has covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 TY. Dolphins "over" 10-1 last 11 as host. Tech edge-"Over" and Titans, based on "totals" and team trends.

MINNESOTA at CHICAGO... "Overs" 6-2-1 last 9 meetings. Vikes 0-3-1 vs.. Line away TY, also "over" 5-1 last 6 away. Lovie 3-1 as dog TY but "under" 6-2 last 8 at Soldier Field. Tech edge-slight to Bears, based on recent trends.

DETROIT at BUFFALO... Resurgent Lions 7-1 vs. line TY, also "over" 9-3 last 12 since late LY. Bills no covers first 3 at Orchard Park TY. Tech edge-Lions and "over," based on recent team and "totals" trends.

NY JETS at CLEVELAND... Mangini 9-2-1 vs. line last 12 as dog. Jets are "over" 7-1 last 8 as visitor. Tech edge-Browns and slight to "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

CAROLINA at TAMPA BAY... Panthers had won and covered 4 of 5 in series before bowing to Bucs in Week Two. Carolina "under" 17-8 since late ‘08 and "under" 5-1 last 6 TY. Raheem Morris 0-3-1 vs. line as host TY and 1-10-1 vs. number at home since LY. Last 4 "under" in series. Tech edge-Panthers and "under," based on Bucs home woes and "totals" trends.

KANSAS CITY at DENVER... Broncos just 4-14 SU and 5-13 vs. line last 18 since bye week in 2009. Denver no covers last 4 TY and 2-7 vs. number last 9 at Invesco Field. Josh McDaniels "over" 11-2 last 13 since late LY. Five of last six "over" in series. Tech edge-Chiefs and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

ST. LOUIS at SAN FRANCISCO... Rams have covered 6 of last 7 TY an are 5-1 last 6 as dog. Rams "under" 6-2 TY and 9-2 since late LY. Singletary 9-3-1 vs. line last 13 at Candlestick. "Unders" 7-1 last 8 in series. Tech edge-"Under" and slight to Rams, based on "totals" and recent trends.

SEATTLE at ARIZONA... Seahawks now on road, where they are 2-11 SU and vs. line last 13. Arizona had won and covered last 4 and 6 of last 7 in series prior to first meeting. Last six between these two in desert have gone "over" as well. If Cards chalk note 4-9 mark in role since LY. Tech edge-"Over" and slight to Cards, based on "totals" and Seahawk road trends.

DALLAS at NY GIANTS... Dallas disaster continues, now 1-7 SU and vs. line in 2010. Giants have now won and covered last 3 vs. Dallas since LY, with all "over" as well. Giants "over" 16-7 since LY. Tech edge-"Over" and Giants, based on "totals" and team trends.

NEW ENGLAND at PITTSBURGH... Dating back to ‘01 AFC title game, these two "over" in 6 of last 7 meetings. Steel "over" 51-28 last 79 at Heinz Field though trend not as pronounced for Tomlin (16-14). Tech edge-"Over," based on "totals" trends.

PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON... Skins have covered 4 of last 5 in series. Andy Reid "over" 9-5 last 14 away. Tech edge-slight to Skinsand "over," based on recent series and "totals" trends.

 
Posted : November 9, 2010 1:04 pm
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Posts: 318493
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Historically Speaking
By Joe Nelson

Baltimore is 20-27-2 on the road since 2005
Atlanta is 13-7 at home since 2008

Cincinnati is 4-13 vs. Indianapolis since 1982
Indianapolis is 15-8 in the last 23 as favorites

Houston is 11-5 vs. Jacksonville since 2002
Jacksonville is 5-15 at home since 2008

Tennessee is 21-11-1 as underdogs since 2006
Miami is 7-20 at home since 2007

Minnesota is 21-33 vs. Chicago since 1983
Chicago is 45-28 as home underdogs since 1980

Detroit is 3-33 S/U on the road since 2006
Buffalo is 3-10-1 in the last 14 home games

NY Jets are 7-2 in the last nine road games
Cleveland is 13-8 as home underdogs since 2006

Carolina is 13-6 vs. Tampa Bay since 1996
Tampa Bay is 3-6 in the last nine as favorites

Kansas City is 18-8 in the last 26 road games
Denver is 18-8-1 as home underdogs since 1981

St. Louis is 3-9 vs. San Francisco since 2004
San Francisco is 9-3-2 in the last 14 at home

Seattle is 2-6 in the last eight vs. Arizona
Arizona is 3-6 in the last nine as home favorites

Dallas is 3-10-1 vs. NY Giants since 2004
NY Giants are 4-8-1 at home since 2009

New England is 7-2 vs. Pittsburgh since 1998
Pittsburgh is 3-6-1 in the last ten as home favorites

Philadelphia is 3-8-1 in the last 12 vs. Washington
Washington is 6-11-1 in the last 18 at home

 
Posted : November 11, 2010 10:44 pm
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Gridiron Angles - Week 10
By Vince Akins

Ravens at Falcons - The Ravens are 0-11 ATS (-7.5 ppg) since October 19, 2003 on the road the week after a straight up win in which they had at least three more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. The Ravens are 0-9 ATS (-6.4 ppg) since November 8, 2009 when they held the ball for at least 32 minutes last game. The Falcons are 10-0 ATS (12.3 ppg) since December 23, 2007 when they scored less than expected and allowed at least 21 points last game. The Falcons are 0-10-1 ATS (-9.3 ppg) since September 26, 2004 when they won with a total of 44.5 or above. The League is 0-7-3 ATS (-10.9 ppg) since November 09, 2008 within 3 of pick at home versus any team with the same record, after playing at home. The Falcons are 7-0 OU (21.0 ppg) since October 14, 2001 within 3 of pick at home after playing as a favorite.

Vikings at Bears - The Vikings are 0-8 ATS (-9.1 ppg) since September 29, 1996 on the road after a win at home in which they were losing at the end of the third quarter. The Vikings are 0-7-1 ATS (-8.2 ppg) since November 13, 1994 within 3 of pick on the road after playing at home as a TD+ favorite. The Vikings are 0-6 ATS (-8.9 ppg) since December 16, 2001 as a road favorite when they lost their last two road games. The Bears are 0-8 ATS (-8.5 ppg) since December 09, 2001 as a dog when they won by 1-3 points last week. The Bears are 0-6-1 ATS (-9.3 ppg) since September 23, 2007 within 3 of pick after a straight up win as a favorite. The Vikings are 8-0 OU (12.6 ppg) since October 30, 1994 as a road favorite the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards as a favorite. The Vikings are 7-0 OU (16.9 ppg) since November 17, 1991 as a road favorite when their rushing yards decreased in each of the last two weeks.

Lions at Bills - The Lions are 0-10-2 ATS (-7.7 ppg) since September 24, 2006 when their opponent is on a 2+ game losing streak. The Bills are 10-0-1 ATS (9.9 ppg) since October 09, 1994 within 3 of pick at home when their dps was negative in their last two games. The Bills are 7-0-2 ATS (6.4 ppg) since December 05, 2004 the week after in which they attempted at least ten more passes than their season-to-date average. The Lions are 9-0 OU (14.1 ppg) since November 04, 2007 when facing a team that has allowed more than 4.5 yards per carry season-to-date. The Lions are 7-0 OU (13.7 ppg) since December 10, 2006 after a loss in which they were winning at the end of the third quarter. The Bills are 8-0 OU (15.1 ppg) since November 25, 2007 vs a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road against a non-divisional opponent.

Chiefs at Broncos - The Chiefs are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 ppg) since December 15, 1996 the week after a straight up loss on the road when the line was within 3 of pick'em in which they had at least 3 more penalties than their season-to-date average. The Chiefs are 7-0 ATS (6.7 ppg) since December 23, 2006 on the road after playing on the road. The Broncos are 11-0 ATS (11.0 ppg) since October 04, 1992 within 3 of pick at home when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30. The Chiefs are 0-7 OU (-6.7 ppg) since October 16, 1997 as a favorite vs a divisional opponent with non-divisional opponents in each of the next two weeks.

Jets at Browns - The League is 8-0 ATS (11.5 ppg) since December 23, 2007 within 3 of pick on the road when they had a negative takeaway margin in each of their last three games. The League is 0-10-1 ATS (-10.0 ppg) since September 28, 2008 within 3 of pick at home when they are facing a team that has allowed at least 12 yards per completion season-to-date. The Browns are 9-0 ATS (7.3 ppg) since September 17, 2000 as a dog the week after as a dog in which they attempted at least ten more rushes than their season-to-date average. The Browns are 9-0 ATS (5.4 ppg) since October 28, 2007 when they punted three or fewer punts last week. The Browns are 7-0 ATS (7.4 ppg) since September 23, 2007 the week after in which they had at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average. The Jets are 0-8 OU (-9.2 ppg) since October 02, 1994 within 3 of pick on the road before playing at home in each of the next two weeks. The Browns are 0-8 OU (-13.1 ppg) since September 18, 1994 within 3 of pick at home vs a non-divisional opponent before playing against a non-divisional opponent. The Browns are 6-0 OU (11.3 ppg) since November 07, 1999 as a home dog when they covered by 10+ points last week.

Panthers at Buccaneers - The Panthers are 7-0 ATS (6.4 ppg) since November 18, 2001 as a 7+ dog the week after a game in which they got a first down on less than 25% of their offensive plays as a dog. The Panthers are 7-0-1 ATS (9.2 ppg) since December 17, 1995 when they lost by 21+ points last week against a divisional opponent. The Panthers are 6-0-1 ATS (7.8 ppg) since November 23, 1997 on the road when they got swept last week as a dog. The Buccaneers are 0-10 ATS (-12.7 ppg) since December 08, 2008 when they are facing a team that has allowed less than 10 yards per completion season-to-date.The Buccaneers are 0-10 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since September 14, 2003 as a favorite when facing a team that has averaged fewer than 275 yards offense per game season-to-date. The Buccaneers are 0-8 ATS (-14.4 ppg) since December 21, 2008 at home after a straight up loss. The Panthers are 0-8 OU (-10.9 ppg) since October 27, 2002 as a 7+ dog after a straight up loss as a dog. The Buccaneers are 0-8 OU (-10.8 ppg) since November 13, 2006 vs a divisional opponent with non-divisional opponents in each of the next two weeks. The Buccaneers are 0-7 OU (-7.7 ppg) since October 25, 2009 after a straight up loss.

Seahawks at Cardinals - The Seahawks are 0-10 ATS (-15.9 ppg) since December 28, 2008 after playing at home. The Cardinals are 8-0 ATS (12.7 ppg) since December 21, 2002 at home when they lost 1-3 points last week. The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS (16.8 ppg) since December 28, 2008 the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards. The Seahawks are 0-7 OU (-7.6 ppg) since October 15, 1989 as a road dog the week after a straight up loss at home in which they had at least three fewer minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. The Cardinals are 9-0-1 OU (6.5 ppg) since December 26, 2004 when facing a divisional opponent that has a better record.

Bengals at Colts - The Bengals are 0-9-1 ATS (-13.0 ppg) since November 4, 2007 when they trailed at the half against a divisional opponent last game. The Bengals are 0-9 ATS (-13.0 ppg) since November 29, 1992 as a 7+ dog the week after in which they had at least 3 fewer penalties than their season-to-date average. The Bengals are 0-8-1 ATS (-12.4 ppg) since October 30, 2005 after playing the Steelers. The Bengals are 0-7 OU (-8.6 ppg) since December 29, 2002 as a 7+ dog when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is greater than 35. The Colts are 8-0 OU (18.5 ppg) since November 15, 1992 as a favorite the week after a straight up loss as a dog in which they had at least three fewer minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. The Colts are 0-8 OU (-10.2 ppg) since September 13, 1992 after their opponent played the Steelers.

Titans at Dolphins - The Titans are 7-0 ATS (15.5 ppg) since September 24, 2006 on the road vs a non-divisional opponent before playing at home against a non-divisional opponent. The Dolphins are 0-8-1 ATS (-10.2 ppg) since November 16, 1992 within 3 of pick at home after playing on the road in each of the previous two weeks. The Dolphins are 6-0-1 ATS (15.7 ppg) since October 30, 2005 when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week against a non-divisional opponent. The Titans are 0-7 OU (-9.0 ppg) since November 25, 2007 within 3 of pick on the road versus any team with fewer wins. The Dolphins are 9-0 OU (8.7 ppg) since December 02, 2007 within 3 of pick at home after playing on the road. The Dolphins are 8-0 OU (13.1 ppg) since October 24, 2004 as a home dog after a straight up loss on the road as a dog..

Rams at 49ers - The Rams are 10-0-1 ATS (7.4 ppg) since October 8, 2006 after a win against a non-divisional team. The Rams are 0-7 ATS (-15.8 ppg) since December 30, 2007 on the road vs a divisional opponent. The 49ers are 0-12 ATS (-11.1 ppg) since December 27, 2003 when they had at least four sacks last game in a win. The Rams are 8-0 OU (10.8 ppg) since December 27, 1998 on the road when they have had a negative dpa in each of their last three games. The 49ers are 10-0-1 OU (10.9 ppg) since December 03, 2000 the week after their bye. The 49ers are 0-8 OU (-6.4 ppg) since December 21, 2008 vs a divisional opponent.

Cowboys at Giants - The Cowboys are 0-7 ATS (-12.5 ppg) since October 14, 2007 the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards on the road. The Cowboys are 6-0 ATS (8.5 ppg) since November 22, 2001 after a straight up loss as a TD+ dog.The Giants are 11-0 ATS (10.6 ppg) since November 06, 2005 the week after a straight up win in which they attempted at least ten more rushes than their season-to-date average. The Giants are 0-7 ATS (-16.3 ppg) since December 17, 2006 as a home favorite when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is greater than 35. The League is 12-0 OU (9.3 ppg) since September 21, 2008 as a road 7+ dog after playing on the road when their dps was negative in their last two games. The Cowboys are 8-0 OU (12.9 ppg) since September 15, 2003 on the road when facing a team that has averaged at least 2.25 turnovers per game season-to-date. The Cowboys are 7-0 OU (8.0 ppg) since October 01, 1989 as a dog when they lost and failed to cover their last three games. The Giants are 9-0 OU (8.0 ppg) since November 25, 2007 as a 7+ favorite after a straight up win. The Giants are 8-0 OU (10.5 ppg) since October 21, 2007 when they won by 21+ points last week.

Texans at Jaguars - The Texans are 8-0 ATS (7.8 ppg) since October 26, 2003 as a road dog the week after a straight up loss as a dog in which they had at least three more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. The Texans are 0-6 ATS (-7.9 ppg) since October 10, 2004 when they are 500 after playing at home. The Jaguars are 0-7 ATS (-8.7 ppg) since September 28, 2003 as a favorite vs a divisional opponent before playing at home against a non-divisional opponent. The Texans are 7-0 OU (10.2 ppg) since November 19, 2006 when their dps was negative in their last two games.

Patriots at Steelers - The Patriots are 10-0 ATS (8.9 ppg) since October 22, 2000 on the road when they allowed at least 100 fewer yards passing last week than their season-to-date average. The Patriots are 7-0-1 ATS (5.2 ppg) since October 25, 1992 as a dog after they allowed at least 10 points more than their season-to-date average. The Patriots are 7-0 ATS (13.5 ppg) since September 11, 2000 as a road dog when on a 1 game SU and ATS losing streak. The Steelers are 0-7 ATS (-10.0 ppg) since November 11, 2007 as a favorite when facing a team that has allowed an average of at least 375 yards of offense per game season-to-date. The Patriots are 7-0 OU (12.9 ppg) since November 12, 1995 as a dog when they allowed at least 100 fewer yards passing last week than their season-to-date average.

Eagles at Redskins - The Eagles are 9-0 ATS (9.1 ppg) since November 10, 1991 within 3 of pick on the road the week after a game in which they committed no turnovers. The Eagles are 7-0 ATS (12.6 ppg) since November 25, 2002 on the road when they rushed for at least 50 yards more last week than their season-to-date average in a straight up win. The Eagles are 7-0 ATS (12.6 ppg) since September 15, 1997 on the road vs a divisional opponent on Monday Night Football. The Redskins are 0-9 ATS (-16.0 ppg) since September 14, 1998 at home on Monday Night Football. The Eagles are 0-11-1 OU (-11.8 ppg) since October 02, 1989 within 3 of pick on the road when they have had a positive dpa in each of their last two games. The Eagles are 0-7 OU (-9.5 ppg) since November 03, 2002 as a favorite when they rushed for at least 50 yards more last week than their season-to-date average. The Redskins are 0-8-2 OU (-9.8 ppg) since November 01, 1998 as a home dog vs a divisional opponent before playing on the road.

 
Posted : November 11, 2010 10:52 pm
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