Thursday, November 18
CHICAGO (6 - 3) at MIAMI (5 - 4)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Sunday, November 21
OAKLAND (5 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (6 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games against AFC North division opponents since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 81-53 ATS (+22.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON (4 - 5) at NY JETS (7 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE (6 - 3) at CAROLINA (1 - 8)
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
WASHINGTON (4 - 5) at TENNESSEE (5 - 4)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
DETROIT (2 - 7) at DALLAS (2 - 7)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) in November games since 1992.
DALLAS is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
DALLAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games against NFC North division opponents since 1992.
DALLAS is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
DETROIT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
GREEN BAY (6 - 3) at MINNESOTA (3 - 6)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO (1 - 8) at CINCINNATI (2 - 7)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
CLEVELAND (3 - 6) at JACKSONVILLE (5 - 4)
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 2-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA (3 - 6) at KANSAS CITY (5 - 4)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SEATTLE (5 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (6 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 47-74 ATS (-34.4 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 18-40 ATS (-26.0 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 45-68 ATS (-29.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ATLANTA (7 - 2) at ST LOUIS (4 - 5)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 81-110 ATS (-40.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY (6 - 3) at SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 6)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 3) at NEW ENGLAND (7 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 84-59 ATS (+19.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 133-102 ATS (+20.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-0 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS (6 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (6 - 3)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Monday, November 22
DENVER (3 - 6) at SAN DIEGO (4 - 5)
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Thursday, November 18
CHICAGO vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Miami
Chicago is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Sunday, November 21
BUFFALO vs. CINCINNATI
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Buffalo's last 21 games
Cincinnati is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Buffalo
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
CLEVELAND vs. JACKSONVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Jacksonville is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games at home
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
HOUSTON vs. NY JETS
Houston is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the NY Jets last 8 games
NY Jets are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games
WASHINGTON vs. TENNESSEE
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Washington is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games at home
Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
GREEN BAY vs. MINNESOTA
Green Bay is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
Green Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games at home
Minnesota is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
DETROIT vs. DALLAS
Detroit is 4-7-2 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
BALTIMORE vs. CAROLINA
Baltimore is 3-5-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
OAKLAND vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games on the road
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
ARIZONA vs. KANSAS CITY
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games
Kansas City is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
SEATTLE vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Seattle is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Seattle
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
TAMPA BAY vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
ATLANTA vs. ST. LOUIS
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
INDIANAPOLIS vs. NEW ENGLAND
Indianapolis is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indianapolis's last 8 games on the road
New England is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing Indianapolis
New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
NY GIANTS vs. PHILADELPHIA
NY Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
NY Giants are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Monday, November 22
DENVER vs. SAN DIEGO
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games
Thursday, 11/18/2010
CHICAGO at MIAMI
CHICAGO: 1-5 ATS off win by 10+ pts
MIAMI: 2-0 ATS vs. NFC North
Sunday, 11/21/2010
OAKLAND at PITTSBURGH
OAKLAND: 3-10 ATS off win as SU dog
PITTSBURGH: 13-4 Over off home game where both teams scored 24+ pts
HOUSTON at NY JETS
HOUSTON: 0-4 ATS vs. NY Jets
NY JETS: 6-0 Over playing with 6 or less days rest
BALTIMORE at CAROLINA
BALTIMORE: 9-1 Under off an Over
CAROLINA: 8-0 ATS as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
WASHINGTON at TENNESSEE
WASHINGTON: 8-2 Over vs. AFC South
TENNESSEE: 36-15 ATS vs. NFC
DETROIT at DALLAS
DETROIT: 8-1 ATS this season
DALLAS: 6-0 Over L6 games
GREEN BAY at MINNESOTA
GREEN BAY: 7-0 Under Away off home win
MINNESOTA: 8-1 Under at home off an Under
BUFFALO at CINCINNATI
BUFFALO: 28-8 ATS off home win by 3 pts or less
CINCINNATI: 0-7 ATS as home favorite
CLEVELAND at JACKSONVILLE
CLEVELAND: 8-2 Under Away if total is 38.5 to 42
JACKSONVILLE: 10-0 Under after scoring 30+ pts BB games
ARIZONA at KANSAS CITY, 1:00 PM ET
ARIZONA: 7-0 Over playing with 6 or less days rest
KANSAS CITY: 20-5 Over off 3+ ATS losses
SEATTLE at NEW ORLEANS
SEATTLE: 0-6 ATS off SU win
NEW ORLEANS: 1-10 ATS as double digit favorite
ATLANTA at ST LOUIS
ATLANTA: 17-5 Under as a road favorite of 3 points or less
ST LOUIS: 6-18 ATS at home after allowing 400+ total yds
TAMPA BAY at SAN FRANCISCO
TAMPA BAY: 35-15 Under off win by 14+ pts
SAN FRANCISCO: 8-0 ATS off ATS loss
INDIANAPOLIS at NEW ENGLAND
INDIANAPOLIS: 14-5 Over off an Under
NEW ENGLAND: 6-0 Over if 60+ total pts were scored last game
NY GIANTS at PHILADELPHIA
NY GIANTS: N/A
PHILADELPHIA: N/A
Monday, 11/22/2010
DENVER at SAN DIEGO
DENVER: 1-10 ATS off an Over
SAN DIEGO: 53-31 ATS off BB ATS wins
2-MINUTE HANDICAP
Playbook.com
Thursday, Nov. 18th
Chicago NOV: 11-0 w/rev vs non div opp off SU win... NOV: 7-1 .500 > A off DD SU win... 7-2 A off SU dog win (0-1 this year)... 8-2-1 dogs > 3 pts w/rev (1-1 this year)... 1-4 O/U Game Ten
MIAMI SPARANO: 2-7 fav vs non div opp (1-0 this year)... 0-3 O/U Game Ten
Sunday, Nov. 21st
Oakland SERIES: 3-0 L3/3-1 L4 A... 5-0 conf dogs 9 > pts... 0-7 w/rest... 1-6 off BB SU wins (1-0 this year)... CABLE: 2-7 off div (1-1 this year)... 2-6 O/U Game Ten
PITTSBURGH 6-0 w/rev vs non div opp off BB SUATS wins... 9-1 2ND BB HG's vs non div opp... NOV: 7-1 off non div HG... NOV: 0-8 favs vs .500 > opp off HG... 1-5 vs opp off SU dog win (1-1 this year)... 3-9 Game Ten
Houston 12-0 dogs > 4 pts off 3 dog roles... 12-2 2ND BB RG'S... NOV: 6-1 A vs opp off AFC... 1-5 SU Game Ten... 2-8-1 A w/rev vs .500 > opp (0-1-1 this year)
NY JETS SERIES: 4-0 L4... NOV: 8-2 .500 > off non div vs opp w/rev (0-1 this year) ... 8-2 vs AFC South... 6-2 H vs non div opp w/rev (1-1 this year)... RYAN: 5-1 vs AFC opp off div (1-0 this year)... 1-4 O/U Game Ten
Baltimore 0-3 Game Ten... HARBAUGH: 11-2 fav vs non div opp (2-1 this year)/6-1 off NFC
CAROLINA SERIES: 3-0 L3... 7-1 HD's 7 > pts... 2-9 non conf dogs (0-1 this year)... 1-4 Game Ten
Washington 0-8 SU Game Ten
TENNESSEE SERIES: 6-1 L7... 5-1 Game Ten
Detroit 7-0 A vs non div opp off DD ATS win (1-0 this year)... 2-15 A vs non div opp off BB SU losses (0-1 this year)... SCHWARTZ: 1-6 vs < .500 opp (1-2 this year)
DALLAS 5-0 SU Game Ten... 9-1 H vs non div opp off BB SU losses (0-1 this year)... NOV: 9-1 H off div vs opp w/rev... NOV: 17-3 HF's vs < .500 opp... 7-2 favs vs div opp off div w/rev... NOV: 2-9 .500 > A off DD SU win... MCCARTHY: 13-3 A off non div vs opp w/rev (0-1 this year)
MINNESOTA NOV: 7-0 off SU loss vs opp off BB SU wins... 5-0 H off SU loss 14 > pts... 1-9 favs vs div opp off BB SUATS wins... CHILDRESS: 8-1 vs opp off DD SU non div win
Buffalo SERIES: 8-1 L9/3-0 L3 A... 11-2 RD's 3 > pts vs < .500 opp... 5-1 O/U Game Ten
CINCINNATI 0-7 H vs non div opp off SU win... 3-9 Game Ten
Cleveland SERIES: 3-1 L4... 9-0 A off SU loss vs non div opp off SU win (1-0 this year)... NOV: 8-2 A vs opp off div... NOV: 0-7 < .500 vs opp off BB SUATS wins... MANGINI: 1-9 A vs opp off fav role w/rev (0-1 this year)... 4-0 O/U Game Ten
JACKSONVILLE 0-6 aft Texans... 0-5 vs AFC North... 1-7 favs < 10 pts vs .333 pts vs opp off BB SU losses (1-0 this year)... 4-1 Game Ten... 0-10 A off H vs .500 > opp off SU fav loss... 0-6 off BB SU losses vs opp allowed 35 > pts... NOV: 1-7 vs .500 > AFC opp
KANSAS CITY SERIES: 3-0 L3 H... 5-0 off BB RG's vs non div opp off SU fav loss... 1-5 vs non div opp off DD SU win... HALEY: 1-5 H vs opp off div... 1-5 Game Ten... CARROLL: 1-9 vs opp off BB SUATS wins
NEW ORLEANS 10-0 HF's 3 > pts vs non div opp off SU dog win... 5-2 off SU win 21 > pts (0-1 this year)... 0-8 O/U Game Ten
Atlanta 0-9 favs 5 > pts off BB SU wins (0-1 this year)... 0-6 off BB SU wins vs opp off SU div loss... 1-4 Game Ten
ST. LOUIS SERIES: 8-3 L11/3-0L3 H... 1-8 off div RG... 2-7 Game Ten
Tampa Bay NOV: 13-1 A vs opp off div... 15-3 Game Ten... NOV: 9-2 dogs vs opp w/rev (0-1 this year)... 1-5 aft Rams... SINGLETARY: 5-2 H vs .500 > opp (1-2 this year)
Indianapolis 8-0-1 vs opp off SU dog win (1-0-1 this year)... NOV: 9-2 A vs opp off DD SU win... 1-3 O/U Game Ten
NEW ENGLAND 7-0 HF's > 3 pts vs .600 > opp... 0-5 favs w/rev off SU dog win vs opp off SU win... NOV: 1-11 favs off DD SU win vs opp off SU win (0-1 this year)... 2-7 O/U Game Ten
NY Giants NOV: 0-8 dogs off DD SU loss... 1-12 A off SUATS loss w/rev vs div opp... NOV: 1-11 A off SU loss w/rev... 3-11 Game Ten... COUGHLIN: 10-1 div dog off SU loss 7 > pts
PHILADELPHIA SERIES: 4-0 L4/1-4 L5 H... 8-0 aft Redskins (1-0 this year)... 0-3 O/U Game Ten
Monday, Nov. 22nd
Denver NOV: 8-0 A off div vs opp off SUATS win... 6-0 dogs vs conf opp w/rest... 6-2 SUATS Game Ten... 1-6 dogs 7 > pts (0-1 this year)... 1-5 aft Chiefs... 1-4 L5 Monday dogs
SAN DIEGO SERIES: 6-1 L7/3-1 L4 H... NOV: 8-1 off SU win vs div opp w/rev... 8-1-1 H off BB SU wins... 5-1 Game Ten... 0-3 L3 Mondays... 2-8 DD favs
Tech Trends - Week 11
By Bruce Marshall
CHICAGO at MIAMI...Dolphins have now covered last 2 at home as they might be starting to turn around Sparano’s previous good road/bad home pattern (Miami had been 4-11 vs. line previous 15 at Sun Life Stadium). Bears "under" 6-2-1 TY, now "under" 16-8-1 in the Jay Cutler era since LY. Tech edge-slight to "under," based on "totals" trends.
OAKLAND at PITTSBURGH...Teams don’t meet every year but Raiders have covered last 3 meetings including major upset at Heinz Field LY as 15-point dog. Oakland has covered its last 3 TY, and Raiders "over" 3-1 away TY. Steel "over" 51-28 last 79 at Heinz Field. Tech edge-slight to Raiders and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
HOUSTON at NY JETS... Texans have now failed to cover last 5 TY. Houston also "over" 8-3 last 11 on board. Jets winning the close ones that Texans aren’t. Jets now "over" 7-2 TY and "over" 11-3 last 14 since late LY. Tech edge-"Over" and slight to Jets, based on "totals" and team trends.
BALTIMORE at CAROLINA... Carolina now no covers last 3 or 7 of 9 TY. Panthers also "under" 3-1 at home in 2010 and now "under" 20-8 at Charlotte since 2007. Note Ravens 0-1 as road chalk TY and just 1-3 in role since LY. Tech edge-"Under" and slight to Ravens, based on "totals" trends and Panther woes.
WASHINGTON at TENNESSEE... Titans bounced back with wins and covers after first two losses but fell short last week vs. Dolphins. Titans are also "over" 13-5-1 last 19 at LP Field. Tech edge-"Over," based on "totals" trends.
DETROIT at DALLAS... Not much home-field edge for Jerry’s Cowboys TY, 0-4 SU and vs. line at Arlington. Lions, however, continue amazing pointspread run with covers in 8 of first 9 TY. Jerry Jones also "over" 4-0 at home TY, and Lions "over" 5 of last 6 TY. Tech edge-Lions and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
GREEN BAY at MINNESOTA... Note that last five now "over" in this series, and Vikes "over" 5 of last 6 TY, although Pack "under" first 4 on road TY. Childress now no covers last 4 TY and 1-5 last 6 vs. number. Tech edge-Packers and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
BUFFALO at CINCINNATI... Cincy 0-2 as home chalk TY, 0-8 in role since LY. Now 5-19 overall as chalk since ‘07. Cincy also "under" 21-10 last 31 at home. For what it’s worth, Marvin Lewis 0-4 SU in career vs. Buffalo (no covers in last 3, althiugh this is first meeting since ‘07). Bills have covered last 3 as road dog TY. Tech edge-Bills and "under," based on team and series trends.
CLEVELAND at JACKSONVILLE... Brownies have won and covered by identical 23-17 scores the past two years. Cleveland 11-4-1 vs. line last 16 on board since mid ‘09, a full season’s worth of games. Browns now "over" last 4 TY, Jags "over" 7-2 in 2010 and "over" 8-2 last 10 since late ‘09. Tech edge-"Over" and Browns, based on "totals" and team trends.
ARIZONA at KANSAS CITY... Whisenhunt only 1-3 as road dog TY but still 12-4 last 16 as dog. Cards "over" 8-2 last 10 since late LY. Tech edge-"Over" and slight to Cards, based on "totals" and team trends.
SEATTLE at NEW ORLEANS... Seahawks have covered 2 of alst 3 on road after dropping 10 of previous 11 away vs. spread. Saints have won and covered last 2 and 3 of last 4 as they shake from their own extended spread doldrums. Tech edge-slight to Saints, based on Seahawks road woes.
ATLANTA at ST. LOUIS... Recalling old NFC West days pre-2002. Rams have won and covered last 4 at home TY and have covered 6 of last 7 overall prior to SF on Sunday. Falcs have covered 5 of last 7 away and have gone "over" last 4 TY. Tech edge-Rams, based on recent home marks.
TAMPA BAY at SAN FRANCISCO... Bucs have covered first 4 on road TY and have now covered 6 straight and 8 of last 9 away. Singletary, however, 9-3-2 vs. line last 14 as host. Tech edge-slight to Bucs, based on recent trends.
INDIANAPOLIS at NEW ENGLAND... Peyton Manning is now 5-1 SU last 6 vs. Belichick after losing previous 6 to Patriots. Belichick has covered the last 2 years after dropping previous 4 on line to Manning. Colts 12-6-1 vs. line last 19 on road. Tech edge-Colts, based on team and "totals" trends.
NY GIANTS at PHILADELPHIA... Recent edge to Andy Reid, who has won and covered last four vs. G-Men. But NY has won and covered big its last 3 on road TY. Coughlin "over" 8-3 last 11 on road. Birds "over" 18-9 last 27 since late ‘08. Tech edge-"Over," based on "totals" trends.
DENVER at SAN DIEGO...Broncos have actually split the last 2 years vs. SD and won a Monday nighter at Qualcomm LY, wearing the old-style unis, 34-23. Still, Bolts 6-1-1 vs. line last 8 in series, and Broncos have only covered 2 of last 12 meetings since ‘04. "Overs" 6-2 last 8 in series, and Denver "over" last 7 as visitor. Norv "over" 9-4 at home since LY. Tech edge-"Over" and slight to Bolts, based on "totals" and series trends.
Gridiron Angles - Week 11
By Vince Akins
Bills at Bengals – The League is 11-0 ATS (6.2 ppg) since October 11, 2009 as a road dog the week after scoring fewer than 17 points and winning. The Bills are 7-0 ATS (11.9 ppg) since December 15, 1991 on the road when they won by 1-3 points last week against a non-divisional opponent. The Bills are 0-6-1 ATS (-10.7 ppg) since November 18, 2007 versus any team with more wins, after a straight up win. The Bengals are 0-7 ATS (-8.4 ppg) since September 27, 1998 the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards as a TD+ dog. The Bengals are 0-7 ATS (-8.5 ppg) since September 13, 2009 as a home favorite. The Bills are 0-8 OU (-12.2 ppg) since October 26, 2008 after a straight up win. The Bengals are 0-9 OU (-10.3 ppg) since December 10, 2006 at home vs a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road.
Cardinals at Chiefs – The Chiefs are 8-0 ATS (14.2 ppg) since January 02, 1994 as a home 7+ favorite after they allowed at least 10 points more than their season-to-date average. The Chiefs are 7-0-1 ATS (12.8 ppg) since November 05, 1989 as a home favorite the week after in which they had at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average. The Chiefs are 0-6 ATS (-7.1 ppg) since October 10, 1999 as a favorite when their rushing yards decreased in each of the last two weeks. The Cardinals are 12-0 OU (14.5 ppg) since October 27, 2002 on the road before playing at home in each of the next two weeks. The Cardinals are 12-0 OU (9.8 ppg) since November 06, 2005 as a dog when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week. The Chiefs are 0-6 OU (-9.1 ppg) since November 06, 2005 the week after a loss in which they had at least 300 yards passing.
Lions at Cowboys – The Lions are 6-0 ATS (4.9 ppg) since November 23, 2003 as a 7+ dog when their ats margin decreased over each of their past two games. The Cowboys are 8-0 ATS (8.2 ppg) since November 22, 1998 as a home favorite vs a non-divisional opponent before playing at home. The Cowboys are 7-0 ATS (6.3 ppg) since October 12, 2003 at home when facing a team that has averaged at least six punts per game season-to-date. The Cowboys are 0-6 ATS (-11.8 ppg) since December 16, 2007 as a favorite the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards on the road. The Cowboys are 6-0 ATS (9.6 ppg) since October 15, 2006 the week after a game in which they allowed at least 300 yards passing. The Lions are 8-0 OU (11.6 ppg) since November 11, 2007 vs a non-divisional opponent before playing at home against a non-divisional opponent. The Cowboys are 8-0 OU (16.4 ppg) since October 23, 2006 at home versus any team with the same record.
Giants at Eagles – The Giants are 8-0 ATS (10.4 ppg) since December 04, 2005 within 3 of pick after a game when they had more than 34 minutes of possession time. The Giants are 8-0 ATS (9.3 ppg) since October 08, 1989 within 3 of pick on the road when facing a team that has averaged at least 375 yards of offense per game season-to-date. The Giants are 6-0 ATS (9.6 ppg) since September 21, 1992 after a straight up loss at home versus the Cowboys. The Eagles are 0-7 ATS (-13.0 ppg) since October 06, 2002 within 3 of pick when facing a team that has allowed less than 55% completions season-to-date. The Giants are 8-0 OU (16.2 ppg) since October 01, 2000 the week after at home in which they allowed at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average. The Eagles are 11-0 OU (12.7 ppg) since November 14, 2005 within 3 of pick at home after playing on the road.
Buccaneers at 49ers – The Buccaneers are 0-7 ATS (-15.7 ppg) since November 30, 2008 when their opponent is on a 2+ game winning streak. The 49ers are 0-6 ATS (-10.0 ppg) since December 18, 1995 as a home favorite the week after a game in which they had at least 300 yards passing. The 49ers are 6-0-1 ATS (10.4 ppg) since December 17, 1989 as a home favorite when they won by 1-3 points last week against a divisional opponent. The 49ers are 7-0 OU (13.8 ppg) since November 26, 1995 as a home favorite the week after a game in which they had at least 300 yards passing. The 49ers are 7-0 OU (15.3 ppg) since October 14, 2002 after playing at home versus the Rams.
Browns at Jaguars – The Browns are 7-0 ATS (10.7 ppg) since November 17, 1991 as a dog the week after at home in which they allowed at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average. The Jaguars are 0-6 ATS (-6.4 ppg) since September 28, 2008 as a home favorite versus any team with fewer wins. The Browns are 6-0 OU (14.5 ppg) since October 07, 2007 on the road when their dps was positive in their last two games. The Jaguars are 10-0 OU (13.8 ppg) since December 24, 2005 as a favorite the week after in which they had at least three more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. The Jaguars are 7-0 OU (9.5 ppg) since December 24, 2006 as a home favorite the week after a game in which they had at least 150+ yards rushing.
Texans at Jets – The Texans are 7-0 ATS (10.6 ppg) since November 13, 2005 as a 7+ dog after playing on the road. The Texans are 6-0 ATS (10.3 ppg) since December 26, 2004 as a road 7+ dog after playing on the road. The Jets are 0-6 ATS (-11.2 ppg) since October 26, 2008 as a favorite when facing a team that has forced an average of fewer than four punts per game season-to-date.
Ravens at Panthers – The Panthers are 8-0 ATS (10.4 ppg) since December 06, 1998 as a home 7+ dog after playing as a dog. The League is 11-0 OU (9.4 ppg) since November 22, 2009 on the road the week after on the road as a dog in which they had at least three fewer minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. The Panthers are 0-11 OU (-10.0 ppg) since January 02, 2005 after playing the Buccaneers. The Panthers are 0-7 OU (-9.9 ppg) since September 29, 2002 as a 7+ dog after playing on the road.
Colts at Patriots – The Colts are 9-0-1 ATS (4.5 ppg) since November 09, 2008 on the road after a straight up win at home as a favorite. The Patriots are 9-0 ATS (16.8 ppg) since December 04, 2000 within 3 of pick after playing as a dog. The Patriots are 8-0 ATS (15.9 ppg) since October 20, 2008 when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is greater than 35. The Colts are 0-9 OU (-9.9 ppg) since September 13, 1992 after their opponent played the Steelers. The Patriots are 9-0 OU (5.2 ppg) since September 19, 1999 within 3 of pick when on a 1 game SU and ATS winning streak.
Falcons at Rams – The Falcons are 6-0-2 ATS (10.1 ppg) since September 15, 1991 within 3 of pick the week after in which they attempted at least ten more passes than their season-to-date average. The Rams are 8-0 ATS (5.1 ppg) since October 23, 2005 the week after in which their completion percentage was at least ten points higher than their season-to-date average. The Rams are 0-7 ATS (-14.3 ppg) since October 27, 1991 as a dog after a loss on the road in which they were winning at the end of the third quarter. The Falcons are 0-10 OU (-8.8 ppg) since December 29, 2002 as a road favorite vs a non-divisional opponent. The Rams are 6-0 OU (15.1 ppg) since November 16, 1997 at home the week after a straight up loss in which they committed 100+ yards of penalties.
Seahawks at Saints – The Seahawks are 0-11 ATS (-12.4 ppg) since November 20, 2005 on the road when they were up by at least a TD at the half and won by double-digits last week. The Seahawks are 0-10 ATS (-10.9 ppg) since December 19, 2004 on the road when they covered by 10+ points last week. The Seahawks are 0-7 ATS (-15.0 ppg) since December 28, 2008 when facing a team that has completed at least 65% of their passes season-to-date. The Saints are 0-7 ATS (-11.6 ppg) since October 11, 1992 as a home 7+ favorite when facing a team that has averaged less than 28 minutes of possession time season-to-date. The Saints are 0-6 ATS (-4.6 ppg) since December 15, 2002 at home when their ats mrgin increased over each of their past two games. The Seahawks are 12-0 OU (10.6 ppg) since November 02, 1997 as a road dog versus any team with more wins after a straight up win. The Seahawks are 9-0 OU (11.5 ppg) since December 10, 1989 as a road 7+ dog when on a 1 game SU and ATS winning streak.
Raiders at Steelers – The Raiders are 0-7 ATS (-9.1 ppg) since November 02, 2003 the week after their bye. The Steelers are 9-0 ATS (8.2 ppg) since October 29, 1995 at home the week after at home in which they had at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average. The Steelers are 0-8 ATS (-8.1 ppg) since November 11, 2007 as a favorite when facing a team that has allowed more than 4.5 yards per carry season-to-date. The Raiders are 0-6 OU (-6.2 ppg) since October 03, 1993 as a road dog the week after their bye. The Steelers are 8-0 OU (11.4 ppg) since October 29, 2001 at home when facing a team that has allowed less than 55% completions season-to-date. The Steelers are 7-0 OU (11.5 ppg) since December 15, 2002 as a 7+ favorite when their opponent is on a 2+ game winning streak.
Redskins at Titans – The Titans are 8-0 ATS (10.0 ppg) since November 17, 2002 at home the week after in which their completion percentage was at least ten points lower than their season-to-date average. The Titans are 6-0 ATS (10.2 ppg) since October 01, 2000 at home the week after on the road in which they had at least 3 fewer penalties than their season-to-date average. The Titans are 6-0 OU (14.1 ppg) since October 31, 2004 at home when facing a team that has averaged at least six punts per game season-to-date.
Packers at Vikings – The Packers are 6-0 ATS (11.0 ppg) since September 24, 2006 on the road vs a divisional opponent before playing against a non-divisional opponent. The Vikings are 8-0 ATS (10.5 ppg) since September 10, 1995 within 3 of pick at home when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week. The Vikings are 6-0 ATS (16.9 ppg) since November 15, 2009 at home when they averaged more than 24 points per game in their last three home games. The Packers are 8-0 OU (13.4 ppg) since January 04, 2004 when they won and covered their last three games. The Vikings are 8-0 OU (9.4 ppg) since December 09, 2001 as a home dog versus any team with more wins, after a straight up loss.
Broncos at Chargers – The Broncos are 0-7 ATS (-10.8 ppg) since November 23, 2003 the week after scoring 34+ points at home. The Broncos are 7-0 ATS (11.1 ppg) since December 13, 1992 as a dog after playing at home as a dog. The Chargers are 6-0 ATS (12.7 ppg) since October 28, 2007 at home when they won and covered their last two games. The Broncos are 0-8 OU (-9.6 ppg) since October 02, 2005 when their ats mrgin increased over each of their past two games. The Broncos are 7-0 OU (14.8 ppg) since December 17, 1994 as a 7+ dog when facing a team that has averaged fewer than four punts per game season-to-date.
Historically Speaking
By Joe Nelson
Chicago is 5-11 in the last 16 road games
Miami is 8-21 in the last 29 home games
Oakland is 4-1 vs. Pittsburgh since 2002
Pittsburgh is 1-5-1 in the last seven as home favorites
Houston is 11-5 in the last 16 as underdogs
NY Jets are 4-9 in the last 13 as home favorites
Baltimore is 3-11 as road favorites since 2005
Carolina is 25-18-1 in the last 44 as home dogs
Washington is 1-6 vs. Tennessee since 1985
Tennessee is 28-35-1 as home favorites since 2000
Detroit is 32-22-1 as dogs of seven or more since 2002
Dallas is 6-9 vs. Detroit since 1981
Green Bay is 17-11 at Minnesota since 1980
Minnesota is 21-11 as home dogs since 1990
Buffalo is 8-1 vs. Cincinnati since 1989
Cincinnati is 5-20 as favorites since 2007
Cleveland is 7-3 in the last ten road games
Jacksonville is 6-15 at home since 2008
Arizona is 12-4 as underdogs since 2009
Kansas City is 1-7-1 as home favorites since 2007
Seattle is 3-11 in the last 14 as double-digit dogs
New Orleans is 37-61-2 as home favorites since 1992
Atlanta is 3-8 vs. St. Louis since 1999
St. Louis is 6-3 in the last nine as home underdogs
Tampa Bay is 6-10 vs. San Francisco since 1980
San Francisco is 9-4-1 in the last 14 at home
Indianapolis is 13-30-1 vs. New England since 1985
New England is 10-14-1 in the last 25 at home
NY Giants are 0-4 S/U & ATS the last four vs. Philly
Philadelphia is 2-6 in the last 8 at home
Denver is 1-7 in the last eight vs. San Diego
San Diego is 3-7 as favorites of 7 or more since 2009