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NFL Trends Week 11

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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ATLANTA (2 - 7) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 8) - 11/17/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) in November games since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NY JETS (5 - 4) at BUFFALO (3 - 7) - 11/17/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NY JETS are 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 4-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DETROIT (6 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 6) - 11/17/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
DETROIT is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
DETROIT is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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WASHINGTON (3 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 5) - 11/17/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN DIEGO (4 - 5) at MIAMI (4 - 5) - 11/17/2013, 4:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 35-15 ATS (+18.5 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
MIAMI is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
MIAMI is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BALTIMORE (4 - 5) at CHICAGO (5 - 4) - 11/17/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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CLEVELAND (4 - 5) at CINCINNATI (6 - 4) - 11/17/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 114-148 ATS (-48.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 59-88 ATS (-37.8 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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OAKLAND (3 - 6) at HOUSTON (2 - 7) - 11/17/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 32-67 ATS (-41.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 17-36 ATS (-22.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
HOUSTON is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ARIZONA (5 - 4) at JACKSONVILLE (1 - 8) - 11/17/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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KANSAS CITY (9 - 0) at DENVER (8 - 1) - 11/17/2013, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MINNESOTA (2 - 7) at SEATTLE (9 - 1) - 11/17/2013, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN FRANCISCO (6 - 3) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 2) - 11/17/2013, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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GREEN BAY (5 - 4) at NY GIANTS (3 - 6) - 11/17/2013, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 29-54 ATS (-30.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 27-50 ATS (-28.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 2-1 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW ENGLAND (7 - 2) at CAROLINA (6 - 3) - 11/18/2013, 8:40 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 79-45 ATS (+29.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 100-72 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 100-72 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 95-69 ATS (+19.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 
Posted : November 13, 2013 11:00 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

ATLANTA vs. TAMPA BAY
Atlanta is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
Tampa Bay is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games

NY JETS vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 7 games when playing Buffalo
NY Jets are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing NY Jets
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

CLEVELAND vs. CINCINNATI
Cleveland is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

OAKLAND vs. HOUSTON
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oakland

BALTIMORE vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games

DETROIT vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Detroit's last 23 games on the road
Detroit is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit

ARIZONA vs. JACKSONVILLE
Arizona is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games

SAN DIEGO vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 16 of San Diego's last 23 games on the road
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Diego
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

SAN FRANCISCO vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of San Francisco's last 17 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Francisco's last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New Orleans's last 17 games when playing at home against San Francisco
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco

MINNESOTA vs. SEATTLE
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

GREEN BAY vs. NY GIANTS
Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Green Bay is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games on the road
NY Giants are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 6 games at home

KANSAS CITY vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver's last 10 games
Denver is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Kansas City

NEW ENGLAND vs. CAROLINA
New England is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
New England is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games at home
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

 
Posted : November 13, 2013 11:04 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Atlanta at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 10-1 ATS in road games after being outgained by 200 or more total yds in their previous game
Tampa Bay: TAMPA BAY is 8-1 OVER off 2 or more consecutive overs

NY Jets at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
NY Jets: 2-10 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
Buffalo: 8-1 ATS off a road loss

Detroit at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 7-20 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
Pittsburgh: 10-2 UNDER in home games

Washington at Philadelphia, 1:00 ET
Washington: 36-19 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Philadelphia: 0-7 ATS as a home favorite

San Diego at Miami, 4:05 ET
San Diego: 1-8 ATS in November games
Miami: 35-15 ATS against AFC West division opponents

Baltimore at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 17-6 ATS after gaining 200 or less total yards in their previous game
Chicago: 1-8 ATS in home games after the first month of the season

Cleveland at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
Cleveland: 19-9 UNDER as an underdog
Cincinnati: 7-0 UNDER after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games

Oakland at Houston, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 61-94 ATS in the second half of the season
Houston: 37-19 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses

Arizona at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
Arizona: 16-32 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Jacksonville: 19-8 ATS off a road win against a division rival

Kansas City at Denver, 8:30 ET
Kansas City: 20-9 UNDER against conference opponents
Denver: 15-5 ATS as a favorit

Minnesota at Seattle, 4:25 ET
Minnesota: 16-4 OVER after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 game
Seattle: 19-9 ATS in all games

San Francisco at New Orleans, 4:25 ET
San Francisco: 19-9 OVER in all lined games
New Orleans: 17-3 ATS as a home favorite

Green Bay at NY Giants, 4:25 ET
Green Bay: 12-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
NY Giants: 29-54 ATS in November games

Monday, November 18

New England at Carolina, 8:40 ET
New England: 58-37 ATS as a road underdog
Carolina: 7-0 UNDER in home games after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread

 
Posted : November 13, 2013 11:04 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

StatFox Super Situations

ARIZONA at JACKSONVILLE
Play Against - Any team (ARIZONA) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a terrible team (<=25%) 46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

BALTIMORE at CHICAGO
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CHICAGO) off a home loss, in November games 80-36 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.0% | 0.0 units ) 6-3 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )

ATLANTA at TAMPA BAY
Play On - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (ATLANTA) after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season 41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )

 
Posted : November 13, 2013 11:05 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

2-Minute Handicap
Playbook.com

Thursday, Nov 14

Indianapolis Series: 2-5 L7A... 1-7 as div RF's > 4 pts
TENNESSEE 10-3 Thursdays (5-0 w/revenge)... 0-7 in 2nd of BB HG's vs div opp

Sunday, November 17

Atlanta Series: 3-1 L4A... 6-0 before Saints... 2-9 off 3+ SU losses ( last by DD)
TAMPA BAY 6-0 w/revenge off SU dog win... 5-1 w/rev after Mondays... 2-8 vs .333 < opp

New York Jets Series: 4-1 L5A... 7-1 as dogs w/rest
BUFFALO 5-1 as div favs vs opp off SU dog win... 5-0 w/division revenge... 0-4 SUATS after Steelers... 1-5 before Bye Week

Detroit Series: 5-1 L6... 1-8 as RF's pts... 7-1 as div RD's < 7 pts
PHILADELPHIA Series: 1-5 L6H... 5-0-1 as div favs 3 pts
MIAMI 5-1 in 1st of BB HG's... 5-1 off SU fav non-conf loss... 28-9 SU and 27-0 ATS vs AFC West... 1-7 SU and 0-8 ATS H after Monday

Baltimore Series: 6-2 L8... 6-1 L7 vs NFC North... 8-2 after Bengals (4-0 A)
CHICAGO 3-0-1 H vs AFC North... 1-9 as favs in 2nd of BB HG's

Cleveland Series: 3-1-1 L5A... 1-4 dog off SU dog win... 2-5 SUATS w/rest vs .570 > opp
CINCINNATI 6-0 as favs off BB wins... Reid: 17-2 SU and 14-5 ATS w/rest / 12-3 div RD > 5
DENVER 8-1 as HF's > 4 pts vs .666 opp off SU win... 9-22-1 as div HF's non div conf opp

Green Bay 11-1 as conf dog off BB ATS losses... 8-1 vs < .500 opp Games 9-12... 1-8 RD's off loss vs NFC East (0-5 opp off win)
NY GIANTS 7-0 as non-div conf favs 7 < pts... 5-0 vs L5 NFC North

Monday, November 18

New England 5-0 on Mondays... 7-1 after allow 28 pts... 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS L10 vs NFC South
CAROLINA Series: 3-1 L4... 11-2 off BB SUATS wins, last as a dog... 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS L5 vs AFC East

ABBREVIATIONS LEGEND: For the most part, results are presented in this order: Series, Good Results, Bad Results, Over/Under Totals and Coaches Results. All team and coaches results are Against The Spread and pertain to preseason - unless noted otherwise. (NOTE: * = Check earlier result this season for similar situation and/or line in this game). ATS = Against The Spread, SU = Straight Up, A = Away, H = Home, Dog = Underdog, Fav = Favorite, L = Last, N = Neutral. OVER/UNDER results in Over (first) / Under (second) sequence. Site Numbers (Home One, Home Two; Away One, Away Two) designate 1st or 2nd home or road games of preseason. Dual team or coaches results - Straight-Up and Against The Spread - are separated with a ' / '. Asterisk * = check team previous game for possible similar result.

 
Posted : November 13, 2013 11:07 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Atlanta @ Tampa Bay

The Falcons are 18-23 ATS overall lately including just 2-7 this season, they’re just 1-5 ATS in November, 5-10 ATS versus divisional opponents and 2-9 ATS off 3 or more losses with the last one being by double digits. Tampa Bay is 6-0 ATS in revenge off a straight up underdog win and 53-29 ATS in November, but the Bucs are also 11-28-1 ATS at home, 12-16 ATS as an underdog, 9-18 ATS when playing on grass and 3-12 ATS versus teams with a losing record.

NY Jets @ Buffalo

The Jets are 7-11 ATS on the road, 55-62 ATS agaainst losing teams and 2-6 ATS in November. However, the Jets are 7-1 ATS as underdogs off a bye week and New york is 12-6 ATS when getting 4 points or less. The Bills are 5-0 ATS in divisional revenge games, 4-1 ATS at home this season and 24-14 ATS as home favorites of 3 points or less, but the Bills are also 3-7 ATS in November, 18-23 ATS overall, 1-5 ATS the week before a bye and 0-4 straight up and ATS after facing the Steelers. Note in this series The NY Jets are 6-2 ATS versus the Bills including 4-1 ATS in Buffalo, but the favorite is 7-1 ATS the last 8 meetings.

Detroit @ Pittsburgh

The Lions are 4-11 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less, 1-4 ATS off a divisional win, 33-54 ATS in November including 8-20-1 ATS the last 29, 1-8 ATS as road favorites of less than 6 points off a straight up win and 49-62 ATS when playing on grass. Pittsburgh is just 3-7 ATS as an underdog, 8-18 ATS versus NFC North divisional opponents, 10-21 ATS when playing grass, 16-25 ATS overall and 4-12 ATS following an ATS win. However, the Steelers are 7-2-1 ATS as a home underdog and 12-4-1 ATS at home off a home win from game 10 on.

Washington @ Philadelphia

The Redskins are 4-1 ATS as road underdogs or 3 points or less, 12-4 ATS against divisional opponents, 8-4 ATS when playing with revenge and a dynamite 10-0 ATS divisional road dog of less than 7 points playing with revenge. Washington head coach Shanahan is 19-6-1 ATS with divisional revenge verus .500 opponents or better including 10-1 ATS as an underdog of less than 7 points. The Eagles are 9-16 ATS as a favorite, 3-16 ATS the last 19 at home, 0-10 straight up and ATS at home the last 10, and 3-12-1 ATS at home versus an avenging Washington squad. Note in the series that the visitor is 14-2 ATS in Philadelphia’s last 16 games and the road team in this series is 7-2 ATS the last 9 meetings.

San Diego @ Miami

The Chargers are just 1-8 ATS in November and 3-8 ATS following 2 or more consecutive losses, but they’re also 5-0 ATS before a divisional road game, 11-3 ATS on the road off aloss versus an AFC East opponent and they’re 4-2 ATS in the underdog role. Miami comes in 5-1 ATS in the first of back to back home games, 5-1 ATS off a straight up loss as a favorite verus a non-conference opponent, 12-6 ATS when the line is 3 points or less and 35-15 ATS versus AFC West opponents. However, the Dolphins are 11-32-1 ATS at home versus losing teams, but they’re 6-2 ATS lately in that role. Note the underdog in Miami games is 45-21 ATS.

Baltimore @ Chicago

The Ravens are 6-1 ATS the last 7 versus NFC North, 8-2 ATS after facing the Bengals, 6-2 ATS in November and 15-5 ATS versus winning teams, but the Ravens are just 1-4 ATS on the road. Chicago comes in just 1-10-1 ATS as home favorite off a home game, 7-13 ATS at home overall, 18-26 ATS as a home favorite of 3½ to 7 points and 16-23 ATS in all games overall. However, the Bears are 10-4-1 ATS in November. Note the home team in Baltimore games is 10-1 ATS.

Cleveland @ Cincinnati

The Browns are 6-2 ATS as road underdogs of 3½ to 7 points and 10-5 ATS versus divisional opponents. However, the Browns are 3-16-1 ATS from game 5 out as underdogs of 7 points or fewer offa straight up underdog win including 0-8-1 ATS in divisional games. The Bengals are 7-3 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points and 5-1 ATS as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, but they’re also 4-9 ATS versus divisional opponents and 4-10 ATS when playing with revenge. Note the home team in Cincinnati games is 10-1-1 ATS the last 12, but the underdog is 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 meetings.

Oakland @ Houston

The Raiders are 24-12 ATS as road underdogs of 3½ to 7 points, 12-2 ATS in November as a dog off back to back losses, but Oakland is a dismal 32-67 ATS against losing teams. Houston is 1-4 ATS versus AFC opponents, 5-14 ATS overall and 1-8 ATS at home versus an opponent off a road loss. However, the Texans are 6-1 ATS in November and 37-19 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses.

Arizona @ Jacksonville

The Cardinals are 16-32 ATS as a favorite of 3½ to 9½ points, 1-6 ATS as a road favorite of 3½ to 7 points, 3-6 ATS at home, 6-15 ATS versus NFC West opponents and 2-8 ATS versus NFC opponents. The Jaguars are 3-12 ATS as an underdog of 3½ to 9½ points, 5-12 ATS as a home underdog of 3½ to 7 points and 8-19-1 ATS versus winning teams. Note that Jacksonville is 12-3 ATS at home off a straight up underdog win where they beat the spread by double digits.

Kansas City @ Denver

The Chiefs are 7-11 ATS as road dogs of 7½ to 10 points and 39-48 ATS in November. Chiefs coach Andy Reid is 11-4 ATS after a bye week and 12-3 ATS as a road dog of more than 5 points. Denver is 11-3 ATS as a favorite of 3½ to 9½ points, 16-9 ATS overall as a favorite, 7-1 ATS in November, 84-63 ATS versus winning teams and 9-4 ATS versus divisional opponents. However, the Broncos are 3-16-1 ATs as divisional home favorites of less than 10 points.

Minnesota @ Seattle

The Vikings are 16-10 ATS as an underdog , 4-1 ATS versus NFC West opponents, but they’re just 7-16 ATS off a straight up win. Seattle is 29-14 ATS overall, 34-16-1 ATS at home including 15-5 ATS the last 20, 4-1 ATS versus NFC North divisional opponents, 23-9 ATS versus NFC overall and 8-2 ATS versus winning teams. However, Seattle is a 1-4 ATS double digit favorite and just 2-10-1 ATS versus avenging opponents from the NFC North.

San Francisco @ New Orleans

The 49ers are 7-15 SATS road underdogs of 3 points or less and 79-90 ATS on the road overall. The Saints are 11-2 ATS at home versus .667 or greater non-divisional opponents, 22-10 ATS as a favorite, 18-4 ATS at home, 20-6 ATS when playing in a dome, 11-2 ATS in games where the line is 3 points or less coming off a double digit win. New Orleans is 14-0 ATS at home with Payton at the helm and they’re 12-4 ATS in this series with San Francisco.

Green Bay @ NY Giants

The Packers are 33-22 ATS as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 11-3 ATS following a straight up loss, 11-1 ATS as NFC underdogs off back to back ATS losses, but the Green & Gold is also just 1-8 ATS as road dogs off a loss versus an NFC East opponent. The Giants are 5-0 ATS versus NFC North opponents, 12-6 ATS versus winning teams, but 2-6 ATS as favorites of 6 or more and a lousy 18-41-2 ATS in the month of November. Note the underdog is 5-2 ATS the last 7 in this series.

New England @ Carolina

The Patriots are 79-45 ATS as an underdog, 83-61 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins and 9-3 ATS on Monday night. However, the Pats are 0-5-1 ATS off a bye week versus an opponent off back to back straight up and ATS wins. The Panthers are on a 24-17 ATS run, 36-27 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins, but they’re just 2-4 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less and 3-12-1 ATS in week 11. Note the home team in New England games is on a 5-0 run.

 
Posted : November 15, 2013 10:12 am
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Gridiron Angles - Week 11
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

The Giants are 11-0 ATS (14.23 ppg) since Dec 12, 1999 the week after a game at home in which they attempted at least ten more rushes than their season-to-date average.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

The Vikings are 0-14 ATS (-11.93 ppg) since Dec 05, 2004 on the road when their opponent’s season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

Marshawn Lynch is 10-0 ATS (14.7 ppg) since 2011 the week after a game where he ran for at least 113 yards.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Cardinals are 10-0 OU (+7.9 ppg) since 2002 on the road off a home game in which their offense had ten or fewer possessions, as long as they did not win the game by 21+ points.

NFL SUPER SYSTEM:

Teams are 33-20-2 ATS coming out of a regular season bye when on a 4+ game winning streak. Active on Kansas City.

NFL O/U TREND:

The Broncos are 11-0 OU (7.18 ppg) since Oct 29, 2006 as a favorite after a win as an away favorite.

PICK SIXTY SPORTS WEEKLY TIP:

Two of the worst records in the NFC go head to head Sunday when Atlanta flies into Tampa Bay for a divisional game against the Bucs. The Falcons have won eight of 11 meetings since 2008 (4-6-1 ATS) and seven of 11 games stayed under including four of five at Tampa but this is by far the worst defensive unit Atlanta has fielded since 2007 when the team finished 4-12 SU.

The Mike Smith-Matt Ryan era began in 2008 and when facing divisional foes whose record is below .500 the Falcs are 11-5 SU with a scoring average of 25.8 points per game. They beat Tampa 31-23 in Week 7 this year and I have little doubt the Falcs will score into the mid-20’s again Sunday but Tampa should also be able to move the ball against this porous Falcon D. The Mike Glennon-led offense has generated 20-plus points in four of the past five games and we’ll give the rookie a pass for coming up short against Carolina. The Bucs also fit this profile which is 12-5 O/U (71-percent) since 2006 looking at divisional home teams who were matched against non-division foes the past couple weeks.

Tampa is 0-3 SU vs. the division in 2013 and if they are going to win one, this will be the team’s best shot. Look for an up-tempo gameplan resulting in an OVER 43.5.

 
Posted : November 16, 2013 10:19 am
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