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NFL Trends Week 12

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Thursday, November 25

NEW ENGLAND (8 - 2) at DETROIT (2 - 8)

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in November games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NEW ORLEANS (7 - 3) at DALLAS (3 - 7)

Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
DALLAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against NFC South division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
DALLAS is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CINCINNATI (2 - 8) at NY JETS (8 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against AFC East division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 3-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 3-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Sunday, November 28

MINNESOTA (3 - 7) at WASHINGTON (5 - 5)

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games off a loss against a division rival since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
MINNESOTA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 46-76 ATS (-37.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

PITTSBURGH (7 - 3) at BUFFALO (2 - 8)

Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 82-53 ATS (+23.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TENNESSEE (5 - 5) at HOUSTON (4 - 6)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

JACKSONVILLE (6 - 4) at NY GIANTS (6 - 4)

Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CAROLINA (1 - 9) at CLEVELAND (3 - 7)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TAMPA BAY (7 - 3) at BALTIMORE (7 - 3)

Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

PHILADELPHIA (7 - 3) at CHICAGO (7 - 3)

Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 140-97 ATS (+33.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 1-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

GREEN BAY (7 - 3) at ATLANTA (8 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MIAMI (5 - 5) at OAKLAND (5 - 5)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

KANSAS CITY (6 - 4) at SEATTLE (5 - 5)

Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ST LOUIS (4 - 6) at DENVER (3 - 7)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SAN DIEGO (5 - 5) at INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 4)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Monday, November 29

SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 7) at ARIZONA (3 - 7)

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 36-16 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-2 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : November 23, 2010 8:28 pm
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Posts: 318493
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Thursday, November 25

NEW ENGLAND vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New England's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games

NEW ORLEANS vs. DALLAS
New Orleans is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Dallas is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games

CINCINNATI vs. NY JETS
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

Sunday, November 28

TENNESSEE vs. HOUSTON
Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games when playing Houston
Houston is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Tennessee
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee

CAROLINA vs. CLEVELAND
Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Carolina's last 17 games
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games

PITTSBURGH vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Buffalo is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh

JACKSONVILLE vs. NY GIANTS
Jacksonville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Jacksonville is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
NY Giants are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games

GREEN BAY vs. ATLANTA
Green Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Green Bay

MINNESOTA vs. WASHINGTON
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Washington is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games

MIAMI vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Miami
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami

KANSAS CITY vs. SEATTLE
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

PHILADELPHIA vs. CHICAGO
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Chicago is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia

ST. LOUIS vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Denver
St. Louis is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

TAMPA BAY vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Tampa Bay's last 17 games
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

SAN DIEGO vs. INDIANAPOLIS
San Diego is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing San Diego

Monday, November 29

SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

 
Posted : November 23, 2010 8:30 pm
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Posts: 318493
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Thursday, 11/25/2010

NEW ENGLAND at DETROIT
NEW ENGLAND: 8-2 Over this season
DETROIT: 14-5 Over off road loss

NEW ORLEANS at DALLAS
NEW ORLEANS: 0-6 ATS after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play
DALLAS: 6-0 Over on turf

CINCINNATI at NY JETS
CINCINNATI: 0-6 ATS vs. AFC East
NY JETS: 8-2 Over this season

Sunday, 11/28/2010

MINNESOTA at WASHINGTON
MINNESOTA: 6-1 Under off 2 straight DD losses
WASHINGTON: 1-7 ATS after a game w/ 50+ pass attempts

PITTSBURGH at BUFFALO
PITTSBURGH: 82-53 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
BUFFALO: 2-8 ATS vs. Pittsburgh

TENNESSEE at HOUSTON
TENNESSEE: 1-5 ATS off 2 straight losses
HOUSTON: 29-14 ATS off 2 straight losses

JACKSONVILLE at NY GIANTS
JACKSONVILLE: 4-12 ATS off 2 straight home wins
NY GIANTS: 3-0 Under off double digit loss

CAROLINA at CLEVELAND
CAROLINA: 8-2 Under vs. AFC
CLEVELAND: 10-1 Under vs. NFC South

TAMPA BAY at BALTIMORE
TAMPA BAY: 36-15 Under off win by 14+ pts
BALTIMORE: 6-0 ATS at home after scoring 30+ pts

PHILADELPHIA at CHICAGO
PHILADELPHIA: 15-4 Over off an Under
CHICAGO: 1-5 ATS off win by 14+ pts

GREEN BAY at ATLANTA
GREEN BAY: 16-2 Over off 4+ ATS wins
ATLANTA: 7-0 Over if total is between 42.5 and 49

MIAMI at OAKLAND
MIAMI: 0-6 ATS off Thursday game
OAKLAND: 9-2 Under in November

KANSAS CITY at SEATTLE
KANSAS CITY: 8-1 Over off an Under
SEATTLE: 6-0 ATS at home off an Over

ST LOUIS at DENVER
ST LOUIS: 7-1 Over after allowing 30 points or more last game
DENVER: N/A

SAN DIEGO at INDIANAPOLIS
SAN DIEGO: 7-1 ATS at Indianapolis
INDIANAPOLIS: 12-3 Under if 50+ pts were scored last game

Monday, 11/29/2010

SAN FRANCISCO at ARIZONA
SAN FRANCISCO: 6-0 ATS off SU loss as favorite
ARIZONA: 14-5 Over off SU loss

 
Posted : November 23, 2010 8:32 pm
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Posts: 318493
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NFL Tech Trends - Week 12
By Bruce Marshall

NEW ENGLAND at DETROIT...So much for the old "don't go against the Lions at home on Thanksgiving" theory, as Detroit has lost and failed to cover its last six as Turkey Day host. But Lions are 8-2 vs. line this season, including 4-0 at home. Belichick only 2-5 as visiting chalk since LY. Both trending "over" in 2010 (Belichick 8-2, Lions 7-3). Tech edge -"Over" and Lions, based on "totals" and team trends.

NEW ORLEANS at DALLAS...Dallas a bit different story at home on Thanksgiving than Lions, as Cowboys have won and covered last four as Turkey Day host. Saints beginning to stir with big wins and covers in their last two on road by combined 65-9 score (at Bucs and Panthers). Jerry Jones "over" 8-2 TY. Tech edge-Saints and "over," based on current trends.

CINCINNATI at NY JETS...Rematch of back-to-back games at the end of last season in which Jets dominated with pair of wins and covers. Cincy 1-6 vs. line last 7 TY. Jets only 2-3 vs. number at New Meadowlands TY but are "over" in 8 of first 10 in 2010 and "over" 12-4 last 15 since late 2009 (including both vs. Bengals late last season). Tech edge-"Over," based on "totals" trends.

MINNESOTA at WASHINGTON...Vikes no covers last 4 TY and 0-4-1 vs. line away from Metrodome. Tech edge-Skins, based on recent Viking road woes.

PITTSBURGH at BUFFALO...Teams have only met three times since 2001 (the latest in 2007), but all were Steelers wins and covers. Chan Gailey no covers first 4 at Orchard Park TY. Tomlin just 6-9 vs. points last 15 away from Heinz Field. Tech edge-Steelers, based on Chan home woes.

TENNESSEE at HOUSTON...Titans have covered 6 of last 8 in series, including 4 of last 5 at Reliant Stadium. Six of last eight also "over" in series. Titans "over" 9-4 last 13 since late 2009. Kubiak 3-9 vs. number last 12 as host. Kubiak also "over" 9-3 last 12 since late 2009. Tech edge-"Over" and Titans, based on "totals" and series trends.

JACKSONVILLE at NY GIANTS...Jags "over" 9-2 last 1 1 since late 2009, G-Men "over" 17-7 last 24 since LY. Coughlin also just 4-9-1 vs. line last 14 as host (2-3 in new stadium TY). Tech edge-"Over" and slight to Jags, based on "totals" and team trends.

CAROLINA at CLEVELAND...Panthers only 2-8 vs. line TY and now "under" 17-10 last 27 since late 2008. Tech edge-Browns and slight to "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

TAMPA BAY at BALTIMORE...Bucs have covered last 4 TY and are 5-0 vs. line away in 2010. They've covered seven straight as visitor since late 2009. Ravens 12-5 as home chalk for John Harbaugh since 2008. Tech edge-slight to Bucs, based on team trends.

PHILADELPHIA at CHICAGO...Buddy Ryan should be honored in pregame festivities! Bears doing things right since bye week, 3-0 SU and 2-0-1 vs. line. Lovie not likely to be chalk, but in case Bears laying points note 0-3-1 spread mark in role TY. For all of the Philly hype note that Birds only 4-5 vs. line TY. Andy Reid "over" 18-9 since late 2008. Tech edge-slight to "over," based on Birds' "totals" trends.

GREEN BAY at ATLANTA...Falcs 9-5 vs. line at home since LY, also "over" 4-1 as host TY. Note, however, that Pack a surprising 4-0 "under" on road in 2010. Pack 14-3 last 17 as road dog since mid 2006 (1-0 TY). Tech edge-slight to Pack, based on extended road dog mark.

MIAMI at OAKLAND...Sparano lost his last road game at Baltimore but still 4 -1 SU and vs. line away TY and 15-5 vs. spread last 20 as visitor. Sparano also "under" first 5 away TY and and "under" 14-4 last 18 away. Prior to last two Coliseum covers vs. Seattle & KC, Al Davis's team had failed to cover previous 11 as home chalke. Tech edge-Dolphins and "under, "based on team and "totals" trends.

KANSAS CITY at SEATTLE...Pete Carroll 3-1 SU and vs. line at home TY, and Seahawks 10-4 vs. spread last 14 as host. Chiefs have dropped last 2 vs. spread away after 18-9 spread mark previous 27 in role. Chiefs als o "over" 5 of past 6 TY, Seattle "over" last 3. Tech edge-"Over" and Seahawks, based on team and "totals" trend s.

ST. LOUIS at DENVER...Josh McDaniels "over" 7-3 TY and 12-3 last 15 since late 2009. Josh also "over" 6-1 last 7 at home. Rams still winless SU away TY but have covered 3 of last 4 on road and 7 of last 9 overall. Tech edge-"Over" and Rams, based on "totals" and team trends.

SAN DIEGO at INDIANAPOLIS...Chargers have been a tough nut for Peyton Manning to crack, as Bolts are 4-2 SU and 5-1 vs. line against Indy since 2004. SD has also covered last three trips to Indy, though Colts 7-2 vs. line last 9 as host. Norv "over" 20-10 since late 2008. Bolts 13-5 as dog since 2005 for Marty and Norv. Tech edge-Chargers and "over," based on series and Norv "totals" trends.

SAN FRANCISCO at ARIZONA...49ers have covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 in series, including last four trips to desert. Cards 1-3 vs. line at home TY, and Whisenhunt "over" 10-2 last 12 since late 2009. Tech edge-49ers and "over," based on series and "totals" trends.

 
Posted : November 23, 2010 8:34 pm
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2 Minute Handicap

Thursday, Nov. 25th

New England 11-0 off BB SU wins vs opp off BB SU losses (1-0 this year)... 0-9 favs > 3 pts vs < .400 opp off non div (0-2 this year)... 3-10 Game Eleven... 3-0 O/U Thursday
DETROIT 8-0 off DD ATS & BB SUATS losses... 1-9 dogs opp (1-0 this year)

New Orleans SERIES: 6-1 L7... 6-0 Game Eleven... 7-1 RF's pts (1-0 this year)... 5-1-1 off BB SU losses, last as fav (0-1 this year)... 9-2 Game Eleven... 4-1 Thursday... NOV: 1-7 A vs .667 > opp... 2-8 RD's vs .700 > non div conf opp
NY JETS SERIES: 3-0 L3/3-0 L3 H... NOV: 8-3 .500 > off non div vs opp w/rev (0-2 this year... 6-2 H vs non div opp w/rev (1-1 this year)... 0-11 .250 > favs off BB non div vs opp off SUATS loss (0-1 this year)... 2-11 O/U Game Eleven

Sunday, Nov. 28th

Minnesota 7-0 SU Game Eleven... 9-1 off BB SU losses vs .500 > opp... 1-7 vs .500 > opp off SU dog win (0-1 this year)
WASHINGTON SERIES: 3-1 L4 H... 8-1 bef Giants... 6-1-2 non div HD's (1-0-2 this year)... 0-10 H off SU win vs pts (0-1 this year)... 2-6 RF's > 3 pts (1-0 this year)
BUFFALO 11-1 dogs off DD ATS win... NOV: 8-1 H w/rev vs non div (1-0 this year)... 0-4 aft scoring 35 > pts... 2-7 dogs opp (1-1 this year)... 4-0 O/U Game Eleven

Tennessee SERIES: 6-2 L8/4-1 L5 A... 12-1 dogs vs opp w/rev (1-0 this year)... 8-1 dogs < 8 pts vs div opp w/rev... 0-3 Game Eleven
HOUSTON 7-1 w/rev vs div opp off HG... NOV: 9-2 opp off DD ATS loss... 1-4 SU Game Eleven

Jacksonville SERIES: 3-1 L4... 7-1 .500 > vs. 500 > opp off BB ATS losses (0-1 this year)... 9-1 .500 > off SU non div win vs .500 > opp (0-1 this year)... 5-3 bef Titans (1-0 this year)... 0-7 dogs off BB SU wins vs opp w/rev... 1-3 SUATS Game Eleven
NY GIANTS 0-8 w/rev off BB SUATS losses... 1-10 SU Game Eleven... 1-6 non div favs > 3 pts bef div HG (1-0 this year)... 1-5 favs vs non conf opp off SU win

Carolina 7-1 aft allowing 35 > pts... 9-2 dogs vs .333 H off non div (1-0 this year)... HARBAUGH: 7-1 off NFC (1-0 this year)/12-2 fav vs non div opp (3-1 this year)... 4-1 O/U Game Eleven

Philadelphia 9-0 A vs non div off div (1-0 this year)... 12-2 aft Giants... NOV: 11-2 A off BB SUATS wins... 5-1 off div vs opp off BB SU wins... 4-0 O/U Game Eleven
CHICAGO NOV: 12-0 w/rev vs non div opp off SU win (1-0 this year)... 0-7-1 off BB SUATS wins, last by DD... SMITH: 11-1 w/rev vs opp off div (2-0 this year)... 1-9 O/U Game Eleven

Green Bay 9-0 off DD div ATS win w/rev vs opp off BB ATS wins... 1-6 vs NFC South... NOV: 3-9 .500 > A off DD SU win (1-0 this year)... 3-1 O/U Game Eleven
ATLANTA SERIES: 4-1 L5... 0-9 H off BB SUATS wins (0-1 this year)... 0-7 H off 3 SU wins... 1-3 Game Eleven... SMITH: 11-3 H off non div (2-1 this year)

Miami SERIES: 4-1 L5 A... 7-1 A vs AFC West... 5-1 off SU fav non conf loss... 0-3 SU Game Eleven... SPARANO: 11-1 RD Game Four > (2-1 this year)
OAKLAND 5-1 aft allowing 35 > pts vs non div opp (1-0 this year)... 6-2 Game Eleven... NOV: 0-7 favs off SUATS loss vs non div opp... 1-12 L13 favs (1-1 this year)

Kansas City SERIES: 5-1 L6... NOV: 7-1 RD's vs opp off SUATS loss... 4-1 A off non conf (0-1 this year)... 2-8 Game Eleven
SEATTLE 7-1-1 non div favs w/rev... 13-2 H vs non conf opp (1-0 this year)... NOV: 1-8 favs vs opp off DD SU win

St. Louis 1-7 Game Eleven... SPAGNUOLO: 6-2 A vs opp (1-0 this year)
INDIANAPOLIS 7-0 Game Eleven... 4-1 1ST BB HG'S vs non div opp... NOV: 3-9 HF's vs opp off div (1-0 this year)

Monday, Nov. 29th

San Francisco SERIES: 4-1 L5/5-0 L5 A... 8-0 div RD's 9 < pts (4-0 off SU fav loss)... 3-0 L3 Mondays... Visitor in Cardinals series 9-1... NOV: 8-1 A vs < .500 opp off non div... 3-1 Game Eleven
ARIZONA 7-1 favs off DD ATS loss... 0-13 favs vs div opp off SU fav loss... 0-8 SU Game Eleven... 0-7 H off DD SU loss vs opp off DD SU loss... 0-5 Monday favs

 
Posted : November 23, 2010 8:36 pm
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Nelly's Sportsline

New England is 1-5-1 as road favorites since 2009
Detroit is 5-2 in the last seven as home dogs

New Orleans is 6-1 vs. Dallas since 1994
Dallas is 3-5 in the last eight as home dogs

Cincinnati is 6-10 vs. NY Jets since 1983
NY Jets are 4-10 in the last 14 as home favorites

Minnesota is 4-8 vs. Washington since 1983
Washington is 6-11-1 in the last 18 home games

Pittsburgh is 42-62-3 as road favorites since 1980
Buffalo is 1-7-1 in the last eight as home dogs

Tennessee is 6-2 vs. Houston since 2006
Houston is 2-9-1 at home since 2008

Jacksonville is 3-7 in the last ten as underdogs
NY Giants are 3-8 in the last eleven at home

Carolina is 2-6 in the last eight as underdogs
Cleveland is 3-6 in the last nine as favorites

Tampa Bay is 9-1 in the last ten as underdogs
Baltimore is 12-5 as home favorites since 2008

Philadelphia is 6-11 vs. Chicago since 1980
Chicago is 11-5 in the last 16 as home dogs

Green Bay is 3-9 vs. Atlanta since 1983
Atlanta is 14-7 at home since 2008

Miami is 6-3 vs. Oakland since 1997
Oakland is 2-12 in the last 14 as favorites

Kansas City is 28-16 vs. Seattle since 1980
Seattle is 10-4 in the last 16 at home

St. Louis is 6-3 in the last nine on the road
Denver is 6-15 at home since 2008

San Diego is 17-6 vs. Indianapolis since 1981
Indianapolis is 7-2 in the last nine at home

San Francisco is 15-9-1 vs. Arizona since 1982
Arizona is 12-5 as underdogs since 2009

 
Posted : November 24, 2010 10:55 am
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Gridiron Angles - Week 12
By Vince Akins

Eagles at Bears - The Eagles are 10-0 ATS (9.2 ppg) since January 13, 2007 after a divisional game which they held the ball more than their opponent. The Bears are 0-7-1 ATS (-13.9 ppg) since November 24, 1991 when they won by double digits in each of the past two weeks. The Bears are 0-6 ATS (-8.2 ppg) since January 15, 2006 when facing a team that has an average takeaway margin of at least +1 per game, season-to-date. The Eagles are 8-0-1 OU (8.2 ppg) since October 15, 2006 within 3 of pick vs a non-divisional opponent before playing against a non-divisional opponent. The Bears are 0-6 OU (-8.4 ppg) since October 28, 2007 when facing a team that has benefited from an average of at least 2.25 turnovers per game season-to-date.

Steelers at Bills - The Steelers are 0-9 ATS (-8.9 ppg) since January 2006 when they scored at least 35 points last game and covered by at least a TD. The Steelers are 7-0 ATS (13.0 ppg) since November 15, 1993 versus the Bills. The Steelers are 0-7-1 ATS (-4.9 ppg) since September 18, 2006 as a road favorite when on a 1 game SU and ATS winning streak. The Steelers are 0-6-1 ATS (-6.9 ppg) since October 22, 2006 on the road the week after scoring 34+ points. The Bills are 0-6-1 ATS (-9.0 ppg) since September 21, 2008 at home after a straight up win. The Steelers are 10-0 OU (13.4 ppg) since December 24, 1989 as a road favorite the week after at home in which they had at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average. The Steelers are 7-0 OU (9.8 ppg) since January 08, 2006 after they scored at least 10 points more than their season-to-date average at home. The Bills are 0-7 OU (-12.9 ppg) since December 16, 2007 as a dog when they covered by 10+ points last week. The Bills are 0-6 OU (-14.7 ppg) since November 30, 2008 at home after a straight up win.

Rams at Broncos - The Rams are 0-6 ATS (-19.4 ppg) since December 16, 2007 as a dog the week after a straight up loss as a dog in which they had at least three fewer minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. The Broncos are 0-8 ATS (-7.9 ppg) since October 13, 2002 as a favorite vs a non-divisional opponent between divisional opponents. The Broncos are 0-6 ATS (-21.2 ppg) since September 28, 2008 when their opponent is on a 2+ game losing streak.

Panthers at Browns -The Panthers are 6-0 ATS (13.6 ppg) since December 24, 2006 when they have had a positive dpa in each of their last three games. The Panthers are 0-6 ATS (-8.7 ppg) since December 14, 2003 as a favorite the week after a game in which they punted at least eight times. The Browns are 13-0 ATS (8.2 ppg) since November 16, 2003 after a game where the total was at least 42.5 and they gave up more points than expected. The Browns are 0-8 OU (-14.9 ppg) since November 25, 2007 versus any team with fewer wins. The Browns are 0-7 OU (-9.4 ppg) since September 15, 1991 at home when their opponent is off two 7+ losses.

Chargers at Colts - The Chargers are 7-0-2 ATS (8.1 ppg) since November 09, 2003 as a dog when facing a team that has allowed more than 4.5 yards per carry season-to-date. The Colts are 7-0-2 ATS (8.9 ppg) since September 26, 1999 within 3 of pick after they allowed at least 10 points more than their season-to-date average. The Colts are 6-0 ATS (5.3 ppg) since November 02, 2003 within 3 of pick when they get a team off a Monday Night game. The Chargers are 6-0-1 OU (6.3 ppg) since December 03, 1995 the week after playing on Monday Night Football against a divisional opponent. The Colts are 0-7-1 OU (-12.9 ppg) since December 09, 1990 at home when they lost 1-3 points last week against a non-divisional opponent.

Packers at Falcons - The Packers are 12-0 ATS (13.9 ppg) since October 14, 2001 as a dog the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards when the line was within 3 of pick'em. The Packers are 10-0 ATS (8.1 ppg) since December 24, 1989 when they swept a team last week on the road. The Packers are 8-0 ATS (12.5 ppg) since December 24, 2004 on the road when facing a team that has forced an average of fewer than four punts per game season-to-date. The Packers are 7-0 ATS (9.4 ppg) since November 13, 2005 as a dog when they have had a negative dpa in each of their last two games. The Falcons are 7-0 ATS (8.8 ppg) since November 17, 2002 as a favorite when they had a positive takeaway margin in each of their last three games. The Falcons are 6-0 ATS (8.2 ppg) since November 23, 2008 when their opponent is on a 3+ game winning streak.

Jaguars at Giants - The Jaguars are 6-0 ATS (15.6 ppg) since December 16, 2001 as a dog after a win in which they allowed at least four sacks. The Giants are 0-7 ATS (-11.4 ppg) since September 22, 1991 as a home 7+ favorite vs a non-divisional opponent before playing against a divisional opponent. The Jaguars are 7-0 OU (11.1 ppg) since November 24, 2002 on the road after a win in which they sacked the opposing quarterback at least 4 times.

Dolphins at Raiders - The Dolphins are 0-11 ATS (-8.8 ppg) since November 22, 1992 as a favorite after a loss in which they allowed at least four sacks. The Dolphins are 0-7 ATS (-8.4 ppg) since November 16, 2003 as a favorite versus any team with the same record. The Dolphins are 0-7 ATS (-6.9 ppg) since November 16, 2003 as a favorite when facing a team that has completed less than 55% of their passes season-to-date. The Raiders are 0-9 ATS (-11.5 ppg) since December 24, 1994 within 3 of pick at home when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is greater than 35. The Raiders are 8-0 ATS (11.6 ppg) since November 07, 2004 as a dog the week after a straight up loss as a dog in which they allowed at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average. The Raiders are 0-7 ATS (-13.9 ppg) since October 17, 2004 at home when facing a team that has benefited from an average of less than 1.25 turnovers per game season-to-date. The Raiders are 0-7 OU (-9.1 ppg) since November 12, 2006 at home after they scored at least 10 points fewer than their season-to-date average. The Raiders are 0-6 OU (-8.3 ppg) since November 15, 1998 as a home dog when on a 1 game SU and ATS losing streak.

Buccaneers at Ravens - The Buccaneers are 9-0 ATS (15.5 ppg) since December 06, 1999 as a dog when they covered by 10+ points last week against a non-divisional opponent. The Ravens are 0-10 ATS (-6.2 ppg) since November 8, 2009 when they controlled the ball for at least 32 minutes last game. The Ravens are 0-7 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since October 27, 1996 as a 7+ favorite versus any team with the same record. The Ravens are 7-0 ATS (12.6 ppg) since October 14, 2007 as a 7+ favorite after a straight up win. The Ravens are 6-0 ATS (12.4 ppg) since December 26, 1999 at home when they won by 21+ points last week against a non-divisional opponent. The Buccaneers are 0-8 OU (-9.1 ppg) since September 14, 2003 after a double digit win in which they did not score in the first quarter. The Ravens are 0-6 OU (-10.4 ppg) since November 26, 2006 as a favorite when their opponent is on a 2+ game winning streak.

Vikings at Redskins - The Vikings are 9-0 ATS (8.1 ppg) since November 19, 2001 after a Sunday game where they lost by at least 21 points. The Vikings are 0-7 ATS (-8.4 ppg) since November 03, 1996 within 3 of pick after playing at home when their dps was negative in their last two games. The Redskins are 0-10 ATS (-11.8 ppg) since October 03, 1999 at home versus any team with fewer wins, after a straight up win. The Redskins are 0-9 ATS (-10.1 ppg) since December 02, 2001 as a favorite after a road game when they had more than 34 minutes of possession time. The Redskins are 0-7 ATS (-10.8 ppg) since November 20, 2005 as a home favorite when their opponent is on a 2+ game losing streak. The Vikings are 8-0 OU (11.6 ppg) since September 29, 2002 as a dog after they scored at least 10 points fewer than their season-to-date average. The Redskins are 0-8 OU (-10.6 ppg) since December 30, 2007 as a home favorite. The Redskins are 7-0 OU (5.6 ppg) since December 23, 2001 within 3 of pick when they lost their last two home games.

Chiefs at Seahawks - The Chiefs are 0-9 ATS (-7.6 ppg) since September 13, 1998 on the road after a straight up win at home as a TD+ favorite. The Chiefs are 8-0-1 ATS (7.2 ppg) since October 31, 2004 within 3 of pick off a SU and ATS win last week vs a team that is off a SU and ATS loss last week. The Chiefs are 0-7 ATS (-10.9 ppg) since September 27, 1998 as a road favorite between home games. The Seahawks are 12-0 ATS (11.2 ppg) since November 22, 1992 when they were a double-digit dog last game and trailed after the first quarter. The Seahawks are 7-0 ATS (16.5 ppg) since December 17, 1989 within 3 of pick the week after as a dog in which their completion percentage was at least ten points higher than their season-to-date average. The Seahawks are 0-11-1 OU (-5.3 ppg) since November 13, 2005 when they allowed at least 100 more yards passing last week than their season-to-date average.

Titans at Texans - The Texans are 0-12-2 ATS (-7.5 ppg) since January 2006 when they scored more than expected in a game which went over by at least 10 points last game. The Titans are 7-0-1 OU (16.6 ppg) since October 29, 2001 on the road when they have had a positive dpa in each of their last three games. The Titans are 0-6 OU (-12.4 ppg) since January 03, 2004 on the road after playing at home as a TD+ favorite. The Texans are 8-0 OU (13.1 ppg) since December 24, 2006 at home after a straight up loss as a dog.

49ers at Cardinals - The 49ers are 11-0-1 ATS (6.8 ppg) since November 10, 2008 when they allowed 21+ points last game on a Sunday. The 49ers are 8-0-1 ATS (13.7 ppg) since December 17, 1990 as a favorite vs a divisional opponent on Monday Night Football. The 49ers are 0-6 ATS (-16.6 ppg) since November 14, 1999 within 3 of pick after they scored at least 10 points fewer than their season-to-date average. The Cardinals are 14-0 ATS (11.6 ppg) since October 14, 1990 within 3 of pick at home when they lost and failed to cover their last two games. The Cardinals are 8-0-1 ATS (9.8 ppg) since October 02, 2005 within 3 of pick vs a divisional opponent. The Cardinals are 7-0 ATS (9.9 ppg) since October 08, 2006 as a home dog after a straight up loss. The 49ers are 0-11 OU (-9.6 ppg) since December 04, 2005 within 3 of pick vs a divisional opponent. The 49ers are 8-0-1 OU (14.7 ppg) since October 27, 2002 as a favorite when their ats margin decreased over each of their past two games. The Cardinals are 12-0-1 OU (9.0 ppg) since November 06, 2005 as a dog when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week. The Cardinals are 0-9-1 OU (-7.6 ppg) since November 05, 2000 as a home dog the week after a loss in which they outgained their opponent.

 
Posted : November 25, 2010 1:29 pm
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