NFL Trends Week 12

TAMPA BAY vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

GREEN BAY vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 13 games at home

JACKSONVILLE vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Jacksonville is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games
Jacksonville is 2-9-2 ATS in its last 13 games
Indianapolis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Indianapolis is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

DETROIT vs. NEW ENGLAND
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games

NY JETS vs. BUFFALO
NY Jets are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games on the road
NY Jets are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets

CLEVELAND vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

CINCINNATI vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Houston
Cincinnati is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

TENNESSEE vs. PHILADELPHIA
Tennessee is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Tennessee is 3-10-2 ATS in its last 15 games
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home

ARIZONA vs. SEATTLE
Arizona is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Arizona is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
Seattle is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Arizona

ST. LOUIS vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing San Diego
St. Louis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
San Diego is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games

WASHINGTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Washington is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing San Francisco
Washington is 2-4-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
San Francisco is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Washington

MIAMI vs. DENVER
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Denver is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games

DALLAS vs. NY GIANTS
Dallas is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games on the road
NY Giants are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

BALTIMORE vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home
New Orleans is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

Cleveland at Atlanta
Cleveland: 23-9 UNDER in road games after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game
Atlanta: 2-16 ATS in home games after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games

Tennessee at Philadelphia
Tennessee: 7-18 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points
Philadelphia: 19-7 ATS after a loss by 21 or more points

Detroit at New England
Detroit: 2-10 ATS in road games after allowing 50 or less rushing yards last game
New England: 13-4 ATS off 5 or more consecutive overs

Green Bay at Minnesota
Green Bay: 17-6 ATS after gaining 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games
Minnesota: 18-6 OVER after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game

Jacksonville at Indianapolis
Jacksonville: 13-4 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss against opponent
Indianapolis: 31-54 ATS after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games

Cincinnati at Houston,
Cincinnati: 9-2 ATS after playing their last game on the road
Houston: 2-10 ATS after playing their last game on the road

NY Jets at Buffalo
NY Jets: 36-20 UNDER in road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games
Buffalo: 11-1 ATS off a road loss

Tampa Bay at Chicago
Tampa Bay: 13-4 ATS in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points
Chicago: 5-13 ATS against conference opponents

Arizona at Seattle
Arizona: 7-0 ATS against conference opponents
Seattle: 18-7 OVER after gaining 200 or more rushing yards last game

St Louis at San Diego
St Louis: 8-1 OVER off a non-conference game
San Diego: 55-34 OVER in non-conference games

Miami at Denver
Miami: 66-40 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive unders
Denver: 9-0 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game

Washington at San Francisco
Washington: 27-50 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse
San Francisco: 11-3 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders

Dallas at NY Giants
Dallas: 12-3 ATS in road games after a bye week
NY Giants: 21-8 OVER in home games after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game

Baltimore at New Orleans
Baltimore: 60-40 UNDER off a home win
New Orleans: 0-8 ATS in home games off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite

StatFox Super Situations

GREEN BAY at MINNESOTA
Play Over - Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points off 1 or more straight overs, excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game 41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units ) 3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.3 units )

TAMPA BAY at CHICAGO
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CHICAGO) off a home win against opponent off an upset win by 10 or more as a road underdog 40-17 over the last 10 seasons. ( 70.2% | 0.0 units ) 3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 0.0 units )

ARIZONA at SEATTLE
Play Against - Road underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (ARIZONA) after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread, after the first month of the season 46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

DETROIT at NEW ENGLAND
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) off a road loss, in weeks 10 through 13 54-43 over the last 10 seasons. ( 55.7% | 0.0 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )

Cleveland @ Atlanta
The Browns are 5-9 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 8-12 ATS as road dogs of 3 points or less, 4-9 ATS versus losing teams including 2-6 ATS ATS versus losing teams in the second half of the season, but they’re 16-11 ATS playing undera dome. Cleveland is 67-41 Under when the line is 3 points or less, 16-8 Under with a total of 42½ to 49 points, 18-8 Under playing under a dome, 13-2 Under versus losing teams including 8-1 Under versus losing teams in the second half of the season and 11-3 Under versus NFC South opponents. The Falcons are 10-16 ATS versus AFC North opponents, 2-4 ATS as home favorites of 3 points or less, 2-5 ATS playing on turf and 2-5 ATS after a divisional game. Atlanta is 14-9 Under when the line is 3 points or less, 16-10 Under versus AFC North opponents, 9-2 Under in November and 5-2 Under after a divisional win. In this series all 4 meetings since 1992 have gone Under the total.

Tennessee @ Philadelphia
The Titans are 15-22 ATS overall, 7-18 ATS with a total of 42½ to 49 points, 3-11 ATS versus winning teams and 1-6 ATS versus winning teams in the second half of the season, but they’re 16-6 ATS versus NFC East opponents and 42-22 ATS versus NFC opponents. Tennessee is 18-12 Over as an underdog, 6-3 Over as road dogs of 10½ to 14 points, 11-5 Over versus winning teams including 6-3 Over in the second half of the season, but they’re 15-5 Under on the road when the total is 45½ to 49 points. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS at home this year, 3-0 ATS versus AFC South opponents, but 7-16 ATS at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points, but they’re 2-0 ATS in that spot this year. Philadelphia is 24-18 Over overall, 13-8 Over at home including 4-1 this year, 11-3 Over versus AFC South opponents, 7-3 Over versus AFC opponents and 10-6 Over versus losing teams. In this series Tennessee is 4-1 straight up since 1992 and the last 2 meeting in Philadelphia went Over the total.

Detroit @ New England
The Lions are 16-25 ATS overall, 21-35 ATS as road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 10-17 ATS playing on turf and 3-8 ATS versus winning teams in the second half of the season. Detroit is 8-2 Under this year and 16-11 Under versus AFC East opponents including 3-0 Under this year. The Patriots are 14-7 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 7-1 ATS as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 15-7 ATS at home, 6-2 ATS in November, 6-2 ATS on turf this year and 70-45 ATS versus winning teams the second half of the season, but they’re 12-26 ATS at home when the total is 45½ to 49 points. New England is 30-16 Over overall, 17-7 Over at home, 16-6 Over as favorires of 3½ to 9½ points, 25-10 Over playing on turf, 7-1 Over in November and 14-4 Over versus winning teams. In this series New England is 4-2 ATS versus Detroit since 1992.

Green Bay @ Minnesota
The Packers are 20-10 ATS favorites including 6-0 this year, 12-6 ATS favorites opf 3½ to 9½ points, 12-5 ATS versus divisional opponents, but they’re just 4-10 ATS on turf including 0-3 this year. Grenn Bay is 27-18 Over overall, 12-7 Over as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 15-7 Over on the road, 8-1 Over on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 7-1 Over versus NFC opponents, 77-49 Over versus losing teams and 60-38 Over playing on turf. The Vikings are 19-13 ATS underdogs, 3-0 ATS home underdogs of 7½ to 10 points, 12-6 ATS at home and 28-16 ATS at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points. Minnesota is 5-2 Under off a divisional lossand 7-3 Under this year. In this series the Over is 12-8 in Minnesota including 2-0 the last 2 times in Minneapolis.

Jacksonville @ Indianapolis.
The Jaguars are 13-26 ATS overall including 2-7 this season, 12-17 ATS versus AFC opponents, 5-9 ATS versus winning teams, 5-9 ATS revenging a loss, but they’re 2-0 ATS the last 2 games out of a bye week. Jacksonville is 14-7 Over on the road, 13-8 Over after a bye week and 5-2 Over on turf, but they’re 19-12 Under versus AFC opponents, 17-12 Under playing in a dome and 9-5 Under playing with revenge. The Colts are 28-16 ATS overall, 16-6 ATS at home, 19-12 ATS at home with a total of 49½ or more, 22-2 ATS versus AFC opponents, 12-2 ATS versus divisional opponents, 17-7 ATS under the dome, 18-11 ATS on turf, 14-3 ATS against losing teams including 8-1 in the second half of the season. Indianapolis is 7-3 Over in November and 8-2 Over this season.

Cincinnati @ Houston
The Bengals are 24-17 ATS overall, 10-6 ATs as underdogs, 5-2 ATS road dogs of 3 points or less and 7-2 ATS in weeks 10 through 13. Cincinnati is 8-1 Under in weeks 10 through 13 and 12-8 Under when the line is 3 points or less. The Texans are 4-0 ATS as favorites this year and 2-0 ATS home favorites of 3 or less. Hosuton is 44-23 Over when the line is 3 points or less, but 18-11 Under versus AFC North opponents and 8-3 Under versus winning teams the second half of the season. In this series Houston is 6-2ATS including 3-1 ATS when playing in Houston.

NY Jets @ Buffalo
The Jets are 2-7 ATS this season, 2-5 ATS road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 3-7 ATS on the road when the total is 38½ to 42 points, 9-16 ATS when the total is 35½ to 42 points and 2-6 ATS in weeks 10 through 13. New York is 9-4 Over versus divisional opponents. The Bills are 1-4 ATS at home, but 37-22 ATS at home with a total of 38½ to 42 points and 8-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. Buffalo is 8-2 Under this season, 7-2 Under in November and 6-3 Under after 2 or more losses, but they’re 52-32 Over as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points. In this series 4 of the last 5 meetings have gone Over the total.

Tampa Bay @ Chicago
The Buccaneers are 34-24 ATS road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 13-4 ATS on the road when the total is 45½ to 49 points and 55-32 ATS in November, but 12-18 ATS versus NFC opponents. Tampa Bay is 7-2 Under versus losing teams in the second half of the season. The Bears are 15-26 ATS overall, 5-14 ATs at home, 3-7 ATs at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 35-54 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 9-21 ATS versus NFC opponents, 11-20 ATS on grass and 6-10 ATS versus losing teams. Chicago is 27-15 Over overall, 14-9 Over as a favorite, 18-12 Over versus NFC opponents, 20-12 Over on grass, 11-5 Over versus losing teams, but 55-35 Under playing in November and 7-3 Under at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points.

Arizona @ Seattle
The Cardinals are 25-16 ATS overall including 8-2 this year, 18-9 ATS as underdogs, 12-7 ATS on the road, 20-11 ATS versus NFC opponents including 7-0 this year, 20-13 ATS on turf including 7-1 this year, 10-5 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins and 7-2 ATS in weeks 10 through 13. Arizona is 17-9 Under playing as underdogs, 4-1 Under as road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 18-12 Under versus NFC opponents and 20-12 Under on turf, but they’re 6-2 Over playing November. The Seahawks are 30-17 ATS overall, but 4-6 this year, 16-7 ATS at home, 7-0 ATS home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 13-6 ATS favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 23-11 ATS versus NFC opponents, 22-13 ATS on turf, 9-3 ATS versus winning teams in the second ahlf of the seson and 6-2 ATS in weeks 10 through 13. Seattle is 20-14 Under versus NFC opponents, but 7-3 Over this year, 5-1 Over on turf and 4-1 Over at home.

St Louis @ San Diego
The Rams are 31-59 ATS underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 10-125 ATS as road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 8-14 ATS versus AFC West opponents, 39-59 ATS on grass, but 6-3 ATS playing in November. St Louis is 7-2 Over playing in November. The Chargers are 4-0 ATS home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 2-0 ATS versus NFC West opponents, but 4-10 SATS off a divisional game including 0-3 this season and they’re just 1-7 ATS in weeks 10 through 13. In this series 4 of the last 5 meetings has gone Over the total and San Diego is 2-0 ATS the last 2 in San Diego.

Miami @ Denver
The Dolphins are 17-12 ATS versus AFC opponents, 38-16 ATS versus AFC West opponents and 17-10 ATS on grass, but they’re also 1-4 ATS after a divisional win, 1-4 ATS on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points and 4-8 ATS after a divisional game. Miami is 24-15 Under overall, 13-6 Under on the road, 12-3 Under on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 20-8 Under versus AFC opponents, 33-22 Under versus AFC West opponents, 57-37 Under in November, 63-38 Under versus winning teams the second half of the season and 48-23 Under after a divisional win. The Broncos are 27-17 ATS overall, 26-13 ATS as a favorite, 20-7 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 5-0 ATS as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 15-7 ATS at home, 5-1 ATS at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 13-5 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 19-12 ATS versus AFC opponents and 23-8 ATS playing on grass. Denver is 87-55 Over as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 30-15 Over overall, 27-13 Over as favorites, 113-72 Over at home, 109-61 Over when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 31-21 Over versus AFC East opponents, 20-12 Over playing on grass and 102-51 Over versus winning teams. In this series Miami is 7-2 ATS including 4-1 ATS in Denver.

Washington @ San Francisco
The Redskins are 12-17 ATS underdogs, 11-17 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points and 0-5 ATS versus NFC West opponents. Washington is 70-43 Under as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 17-9 Under as underdogs of 7½ to 10 points, 18-12 Under on road with a total of 42½ to 45 points, 54-31 Under versus winning teams in the second half of the season and 10-4 Under after 2 or more losses, but they’re 13-8 ATS Over on the road. The 49ers are 29-18 ATS overall, 24-14 ATS as favorites, 15-8 ATS favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 20-12 ATS home favorites of 7½ to 10 points, 16-9 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 4-1 ATS versus NFC East opponents and 6-3 ATS in November. San Francisco is 14-9 Under as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 34-24 Under at home with a total of 42½ to 45 points, 5-0 Under versus NFC East opponents and 14-8 Under after 2 or more consecutive wins.

Dallas @ NY Giants
The Cowboys are 8-15 ATS favorites and 3-7 ATS in NOvember, but 12-7 ATS on the road including 3-0 this season and 20-9 ATS after a bye week. Dallas is 18-12 Under on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, but 7-1 Over in weeks 10 through 13. The Giants are 17-24 ATS overall, 7-13 ATS underdogs including 1-6 this year, 8-15 ATS home dogs of 3 points or less, 11-18 ATS playing on turf, 30-58 ATS in November and 4-10 ATS versus winning teams. New York is 13-6 Under when the line is 3 points or less, 20-12 Under versus NFC opponents, 11-4 Under versus winning teams including 6-1 Under in the second half of the season. In this series Dallas is 4-1 ATS the last 5 including 2-0 at New York. 4 of the last 5 games have gone Over the total.

Baltimore @ New Orleans
The Ravens are 22-15 ATS as road dogs of 3 points or less, 12-6 ATS playing on Monday night, 7-3 ATS playing in November and 8-3 ATS versus NFC opponents. Baltimore is 4-1 Over on the road this year, but 14-7 Under after a bye week, 14-6 Under on turf and 9-4 Under versus losing teams. The Saints are 4-0 ATS home favorites of 3 points or less, 13-8 ATS at home overall, 5-2 ATS after 2 or more losses and 23-15 ATS at home with a total of 49½ or more, but they’re also just 6-18 ATS versus AFC North opponents and 3-7 ATS in weeks 10 through 13. New Orleans is 24-13 Over at home with a total of 49½ or more.

Gridiron Angles - Week 12
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

The Lions are 11-0 ATS (9.6 ppg) since October 25, 1992 as an away dog when they’ve scored fewer points than expected each of the last three games.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

The Redskins are 0-11-2 ATS (-5.3 ppg) since December 29, 2002 in Sunday games following a game where their opponent committed at least 10 penalties.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

The Cowboys are 0-11 ATS (-9.5 ppg) since December 2007 when they are not underdogs and Tony Romo completed at least 73% of his passes last game.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Lions are 0-11 ATS as a dog the week after a loss as a favorite.

NFL O/U TREND:

The Bears are 13-0 OU (+9.4 ppg) since 2006 as a favorite the week after their defense stopped their opponent more than 65% of their third downs attempts as a home favorite.

NFL SUPER SYSTEM:

Teams coming off back-to-back 25+ point wins are 20-37-1 ATS. Active against Green Bay.