NFL Trends Week 13

WASHINGTON vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Indianapolis
Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Indianapolis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indianapolis's last 8 games when playing Washington

CINCINNATI vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

OAKLAND vs. ST. LOUIS
Oakland is 1-16 SU in its last 17 games
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 9 games
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

NEW ORLEANS vs. PITTSBURGH
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games

TENNESSEE vs. HOUSTON
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games when playing at home against Tennessee

CLEVELAND vs. BUFFALO
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Cleveland is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Buffalo's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Cleveland

SAN DIEGO vs. BALTIMORE
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing San Diego

CAROLINA vs. MINNESOTA
Carolina is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina

NY GIANTS vs. JACKSONVILLE
NY Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games

ARIZONA vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
Arizona is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games

NEW ENGLAND vs. GREEN BAY
New England is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games
Green Bay is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New England

DENVER vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Denver's last 24 games on the road
Denver is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

MIAMI vs. NY JETS
Miami is 7-13-1 ATS in their last 21 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home
NY Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games at home

Washington at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
Washington: 4-13 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
Indianapolis: 17-7 ATS as a favorite

Tennessee at Houston, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 2-11 ATS versus division opponents
Houston: 16-5 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards/game

Cleveland at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Cleveland: 81-57 UNDER after playing their last game on the road
Buffalo: 30-16 UNDER as a home favorite of 3 points or less

San Diego at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
San Diego: 16-6 UNDER against conference opponents
Baltimore: 9-1 UNDER after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored

NY Giants at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
New York: 49-30 ATS in road games off a division game
Jacksonville: 4-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Cincinnati at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 9-2 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders
Tampa Bay: 19-8 UNDER against AFC North division opponents

Oakland at St Louis, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 34-19 OVER after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game
St Louis: 9-1 OVER off a non-conference game

New Orleans at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 6-19 ATS against AFC North division opponents
Pittsburgh: 44-27 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Carolina at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 9-1 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
Minnesota: 4-13 ATS off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival

Arizona at Atlanta, 4:05 ET
Arizona: 10-2 ATS after playing their last game on the road
Atlanta: 16-32 ATS in home games after playing a game at home

New England at Green Bay, 4:25 ET
New England: 15-5 OVER after gaining 375 or more total yards in 4 consecutive games
Green Bay: 10-2 ATS in home games after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better

Denver at Kansas City, 8:30 ET
Denver: 26-14 ATS as a favorite
Kansas City: 36-58 ATS after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games

Miami at New York Jets, 8:30 ET
Miami: 11-2 UNDER versus division opponents
New York: 2-10 ATS off a division game

DENVER at KANSAS CITY
Play Over - Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points off 1 or more straight overs, excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game 41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units ) 3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.3 units )

CAROLINA at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Home teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (MINNESOTA) after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, in November games 23-7 over the last 10 seasons. ( 76.7% | 0.0 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

TENNESSEE at HOUSTON
Play On - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (HOUSTON) good passing team (6.7-7.3 PYA) against a poor passing defense (6.7-7.3 PYA) after 8+ games 109-58 since 1997. ( 65.3% | 45.2 units ) 4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )

TENNESSEE at HOUSTON
Play Over - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points a poor offensive team (14 to 18 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG) after 8+ games, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored 29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

CAROLINA at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Home teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (MINNESOTA) after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, in November games 23-7 over the last 10 seasons. ( 76.7% | 0.0 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

ARIZONA at ATLANTA
Play On - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) good passing team (6.7-7.3 PYA) against a poor passing defense (6.7-7.3 PYA) after 8+ games 109-58 since 1997. ( 65.3% | 45.2 units ) 4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )

Washington @ Indianapolis
The Redskins are 68-48 ATS underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points and 3-0 ATS underdogs as road dogs of 7½ to 10 points. Washington is 55-31 Under versus winning teams in the second half of the season, 18-9 Under as road dogs of 7½ to 10 points, 11-1 Under after 2 or more consecutive losses, 71-43 Under as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, but they’re 5-0 Over playing under a dome. The Colts are 29-16 ATS overall, 17-7 ATS as favorites, 7-2 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 17-6 ATS at home, 19-12 ATS at home with a total of 49½ points or more, 18-7 ATS playing under a dome, 19-11 ATS playing on turf, 15-3 ATS against losing teams including 9-1 ATS against losing teams in the second half of the season. Indianapolis is 19-9 Over versus NFC East opponents and 8-2 ATS versus NFC overall. In this series 6 of the last 7 meetings have gone Over the total.

Tennessee @ Houston
The Titans are 15-23 ATS overall, 11-17 AS playing as an underdog, 1-6 ATS on the road with a total of 42½ 45 points, 7-19 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 2-11 ATS versus divisional opponents and 12-19 ATS playing on grass. Tennessee is 10-5 Over after 2 or more consecutive losses. The Texans are 4-8 ATS favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 9-13 ATS at home, but 4-1 ATS as a favorite this season. Houston is 26-15 Under versus losing teams in the second half of the season. In this series Houston is 4-1 ATS the last 5 meetings and 8 of the last 12 meetings in Houston have gone Over the total including the last 2.

Cleveland @ Buffalo
The Browns are 3-1 ATS on the road this season and 4-1 ATS as underdogs this year. Cleveland is 20-12 Under versus AFC opponents, 7-3 Under playing in November, but 4-1 Over as an underdog this year, 5-2 Over on the road with a total of 38½ to 42 points and 6-1 Over versus winning teams in the second half of the season. The Bills are 1-4 ATS at home, 26-43 ATS after a divisional win, 1-4 ATS versus winning teams this year, but 11-6 ATS after playing on Monday night. Buffalo is 9-2 Under this year, 89-54 Under when the line is 3 points or less, 30-16 Under as home favorites of 3 or less, 8-2 Under playing in November and 10-6 Under as a favorite including 5-1 this year.

San Diego @ Baltimore
The Chargers are 7-2 ATS dogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 33-21 ATS road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, , 19-10 ATS on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points and 42-23 ATS playing on turf, but they’re just 1-8 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 and 2-4 ATS versus AFC North opponents. San Diego is 20-14 Under versus AFC opponents and 5-1 Under versus AFC North opponents. The Ravens are 26-12 ATS as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 4-1 ATS at home, 7-2 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 and 23-13 ATS versus AFC West opponents, but they’re 5-9 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins. Baltimore is 16-11 Under as favorites, 21-15 Under versus AFC West opponents, 14-7 Under playing on turf, but 12-7 Over against winning teams. In this series Baltimore has covered the last 2 in Baltimore and 6 of the last 9 meetings have gone Under the total.

NY Giants @ Jacksonville
The Giants are 1-3 ATS road favorites of 3 points or less, 1-4 ATS on the road this year, 4-10 ATS versus AFC South opponents, 31-58 ATS playing in November and 2-8 ATS versus AFC opponents. New York is 13-6 Under when the line is 3 points or less, 9-3 Under playing on grass, 13-8 Under on the road, but 10-3 Over after a divisional game, 7-1 Over off a divisional loss and 22-12 Over on the road with a total of 42½ to 45 points. The Jaguars are 13-27 ATS overall including 2-8 this year and 14-21 ATS at home with a total of 42½ to 45 points. Jacksonville is 6-1 Under when the line is 3 points or less, 4-0 Under as home dogs of 3 points or less, 13-6 Under overall at home, but 16-7 Over versus NFC East opponents, 10-1 Over versus NFC overall and 22-15 Over at home with a total of 42½ to 45 points. In this series Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS including 2-0 at Jacksonvilee and 4 of the last 5 meetings have gone Over the total.

Cincinnati @ Tampa Bay
The Bengals are 25-17 ATS overall, 11-5 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 17-12 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 8-2 versus NFC opponents, 8-2 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 and 8-2 ATS versus losing teams in the second half of the season. Cincinnati is 11-5 Under after 2 or more consecutive wins and 9-1 Under in weeks 10 through 13. The Buccaneers are 7-13 ATS at home, 2-5 ATS at home with a total of 42½ 45 points and 0-2 ATS as home dogs of 3½ to 7 points, but they’re a dynamite 55-33 ATS playing in November. Tampa Bay is 19-8 Under versus AFC North opponents. In this series Tampa Bay is 6-0 straight up since 1992 and 4 of 6 games have gone Under the total including 2-0 Under in Tampa Bay.

Oakland @ St Louis
The Raiders are 25-13 ATS road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 4-1 ATS on the road this year, 7-2 ATS playing on turf, but they’re 50-71 ATS after a divisional game, 18-29 ATS after a divisional win and 33-70 ATS versus losing teams including 18-38 in the second half of the season. Oakland is 15-9 Under as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points and 10-3 Under after a divisional win. The Rams are 9-14 ATS versus AFC West opponents, but 7-3 ATS playing in November and 4-1 ATS versus losing teams in the second half of the season. St Louis is 43-24 Over as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 21-9 Over as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 17-9 Over playing under a dome and 8-2 Over in November. In this series Oakland is 3-1-1 ATS and 4 of the last 5 have gone Under the total since 1992.

New Orleans @ Pittsburgh
The Saints are 0-3 ATS as road underdogs of 3½ to 7 points, 9-14 ATS on the road, 6-19 ATS versus AFC North opponents and 3-8 ATS in weeks 10 through 13, but they’re 14-9 ATS after playing on Monday night. New Orleans is 16-11 Over versus AFC North opponents. The Steelers are 93-65 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points but 1-4 ATS this season, 46-26 ATS as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points but 0-2 ATS this season and 9-4 ATS versus NFC South opponents. Pittsburgh is 5-0 Over at home this year, 9-5 Over versus NFC South opponents, 21-15 Over after playing on a Monday night and 7-3 Over versus NFC opponents. In this series Pittsburgh is 2-0 ATS at Pittsburgh and both games went Over the total.

Carolina @ Minnesota
The Panthers are 20-9 ATS on the road with a total of 42½ to 45 points, 64-44 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 20-13 ATS versus NFC opponents and 4-1 ATS versus NFC North, 72-40 ATS versus a losing team including 48-23 the second half of the season, but they’re 0-3 ATS coming off a bye week. Carolina is 16-8 Under when the line is 3 points or less, 20-13 Under versus NFC opponents, 19-12 Under when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 76-41 Under after a divisional game, 15-7 Under after a bye week, but 6-3 Over playing on turf and 4-1 Over on the road this season. The Vikings are 11-6 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 13-6 ATS playing at home, 9-5 ATS after a divisional game and 8-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. Minnesota is 5-1 Under when the line is 3 points or less, 8-3 Under in all games this year, 22-12 Under as a home favorite of 3 points or less and 10-4 Under aftera divisional game. In this series 8 of the last 11 games have gone Under the total.

Arizona @ Atlanta
The Cardinals are 11-4 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 25-17 ATS overall, 14-5 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 4-1 ATS on the road when the total is 42½ to 45 points, 20-12 ATS versus NFC opponents including 7-1 this season, 10-4 ATS versus losing teams and 7-3 ATS in weeks 10 through 13. Arizona is 12-3 Under when the line is 3 points or less, 13-4 Under as road favorites of 3 points or less and 19-12 Under versus NFC opponents. The Falcons are 18-12 ATS as home dogs of 3 points or less, but 18-28 ATS at home with a total of 42½ to 45 points Atlanta is 57-37 Under playing in November, 20-14 Under versus NFC oppoents, but 19-9 Over versus NFC West opponents. In this series Atlanta is 7-1 straight up playing in Atlanta.

New England @ Green Bay
The Patriots are a dynamite 84-48 ATS underdog, 10-6 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 26-14 ATS when the total is 49½ points or more, 3-0 ATS versus NFC North opponents, 7-2 ATS playing in November, 13-6 ATS versus winning teams, but just 2-7 ATS playing on grass. New England is 30-17 Over overall, 12-4 Over when the line is 3 points or less, 7-3 Over as an underdog, 12-4 Over when the total is 49½ or more, 15-8 Over after 2 or more consecutive wins, 14-5 Over versus winning teams, but 17-12 Under versus NFC North opponents. The Packers are 20-11 ATS favorites including 6-1 this year, 13-8 Over playing at home, 6-0 ATS playing on grass this year, 82-57 ATS versus winning teams including 60-36 ATS in the second half of the season, but they’re just 5-10 ATS when the line is 3 points or less. Green Bay is 27-19 Over overall, 9-2 Over this year, 7-1 Over as a favorite, 5-0 Over playing at home, 7-0 Over playing on grass and 60-44 Over against winning teams in the second half of the season.

Denver @ Kansas City
The Broncos are 27-18 ATS overall, 26-14 ATS as a favorite, 6-1 ATS on the road when the total is 45½ to 49 points, 13-6 ATs when the total is 45½ to 49 points, 19-13 ATS versus AFC opponents, 10-4 ATS versus divisional opponents and 23-9 ATS playing on grass. Denver is 153-98 Over as a favorite, 73-50 Over when the line is 3 points or less, 13-8 Over on the road, 25-13 Over on the road when the total is 45½ to 49 points, 110-61 Over when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 22-11 Over versus AFC opponents, 21-12 Over on grass, 103-51 Over versus winning teams including 62-35 Over in the second half of the season. The Chiefs are 8-3 ATS this season, 6-1 ATS as an underdog this year, 7-3 ATS on grass, 4-0 ATS versus winning teams this season, but just 6-11 ATS playing with revenge. Kansas City is 17-9 Under at home when the total is 45½ to 49 points, but 38-24 Over after a divisional loss.

Miami @ NY Jets
The Dolphins are 13-6 ATS when the total is 35½ to 42 points and 18-12 ATS versus AFC opponents, but 16-21 ATS playing on Monday night. Miami is 24-16 Under overall, 7-2 Under as a favorite of 3½ to 9½ points, 11-5 Under as a favorite overall, 13-7 Under on the road, 34-20 Under on the road with a total of 38½ to 42 points, 20-9 Under verus AFC opponents, 11-2 Under versus divisional opponents, 9-3 Under playing on turf, 8-2 Under playing in a dome, 8-2 Under versus losing teams in the second half of the season, but they’re 24-14 Over playing on Monday night. The Jets are 2-8 ATS this season, 1-5 ATS at home, 9-16 ATs when the total is 35½ to 42 points, 2-10 ATS after a divisional game, 2-6 ATS off a divisional loss and 2-7 ATS in weeks 10 through 13, but they’re 16-7 ATS playing on Monday night. New York is 14-9 Over as a home dog of 3½ to 7 points, but 7-3 Under playing in December. In this series the Jets are 26-13 ATS, but Miami is 2-0 ATS the last 2 trips to New York.

Gridiron Angles - Week 13
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

NFL USER TREND:

Underdogs coming off an away loss as at least a TD favorite are 16-1 ATS in database history. Active on Kansas City.

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

The Patriots are 16-0 ATS (9.8 ppg) since 1993 during the regular season after week 12 when they are off a game in which they committed fewer than two turnovers and held their opponent to more than ten points fewer than expected.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

The Titans are 0-11-1 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since December 6, 2009 on the road after a game in which a receiver had more than 100 receiving yards.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

The Patriots are 11-0 OU (11.0 ppg) since October 7, 2012 with less than 14 days rest after a win in which Rob Gronkowski had at least 5 receptions.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Buccaneers are 0-10 ATS as a home dog when their opponent’s season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is greater than 30.

NFL SUPER SYSTEM:

Teams coming off four straight double-digit wins are 39-55-4 ATS. Active against New England.

NFL O/U TREND:

The Browns are 0-11 OU (-13.0 ppg) since November 25, 2007 after a win versus any team with fewer wins.