Notifications
Clear all

NFL Trends Week 15

5 Posts
1 Users
0 Reactions
1,519 Views
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

GREEN BAY (9 - 4) at CHICAGO (8 - 5) - 12/16/2012, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 148-107 ATS (+30.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 53-31 ATS (+18.9 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 50-28 ATS (+19.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 4-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 5-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NY GIANTS (8 - 5) at ATLANTA (11 - 2) - 12/16/2012, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TAMPA BAY (6 - 7) at NEW ORLEANS (5 - 8) - 12/16/2012, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 23-45 ATS (-26.5 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MINNESOTA (7 - 6) at ST LOUIS (6 - 6 - 1) - 12/16/2012, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 92-125 ATS (-45.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

WASHINGTON (7 - 6) at CLEVELAND (5 - 8) - 12/16/2012, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JACKSONVILLE (2 - 11) at MIAMI (5 - 8) - 12/16/2012, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 39-59 ATS (-25.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
MIAMI is 47-71 ATS (-31.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
MIAMI is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MIAMI is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DENVER (10 - 3) at BALTIMORE (9 - 4) - 12/16/2012, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
DENVER is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

INDIANAPOLIS (9 - 4) at HOUSTON (11 - 2) - 12/16/2012, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
INDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CAROLINA (4 - 9) at SAN DIEGO (5 - 8) - 12/16/2012, 4:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 64-38 ATS (+22.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SEATTLE (8 - 5) vs. BUFFALO (5 - 8) - 12/16/2012, 4:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 52-80 ATS (-36.0 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


DETROIT (4 - 9) at ARIZONA (4 - 9) - 12/16/2012, 4:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
ARIZONA is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

PITTSBURGH (7 - 6) at DALLAS (7 - 6) - 12/16/2012, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games this season.
DALLAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
DALLAS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
DALLAS is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KANSAS CITY (2 - 11) at OAKLAND (3 - 10) - 12/16/2012, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 36-67 ATS (-37.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
OAKLAND is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
OAKLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 4-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SAN FRANCISCO (9 - 3 - 1) at NEW ENGLAND (10 - 3) - 12/16/2012, 8:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 93-67 ATS (+19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 65-40 ATS (+21.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NY JETS (6 - 7) at TENNESSEE (4 - 9) - 12/17/2012, 8:35 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 
Posted : December 12, 2012 12:09 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

INDIANAPOLIS vs. HOUSTON
Indianapolis is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Houston
Indianapolis is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

NY GIANTS vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
NY Giants are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home

JACKSONVILLE vs. MIAMI
Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 13 games at home
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

GREEN BAY vs. CHICAGO
Green Bay is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Green Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Green Bay

TAMPA BAY vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games on the road
New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 13 of New Orleans's last 18 games

WASHINGTON vs. CLEVELAND
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games

DENVER vs. BALTIMORE
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Baltimore is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games

MINNESOTA vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing Minnesota

SEATTLE vs. BUFFALO
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Seattle

DETROIT vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Detroit is 2-9-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
Arizona is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games

CAROLINA vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games on the road
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 10 games

KANSAS CITY vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City

PITTSBURGH vs. DALLAS
Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

SAN FRANCISCO vs. NEW ENGLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing New England
San Francisco is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing New England
New England is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing San Francisco

NY JETS vs. TENNESSEE
NY Jets are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the NY Jets last 9 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Tennessee is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Jets

 
Posted : December 12, 2012 12:11 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Green Bay at Chicago
Green Bay: 9-1 ATS vs. division opponents
Chicago: 8-1 Over at home off a division game

NY Giants at Atlanta
NY Giants: 11-3 ATS off a home win
Atlanta: 30-8 Over off a division road loss

Tampa Bay at New Orleans
Tampa Bay: 2-9 ATS off BB losses
New Orleans: 9-2 ATS at home vs. conference opponents

Minnesota at St. Louis
Minnesota: 1-9 ATS off a home win
St. Louis: 7-0 Under off a SU win

Washington at Cleveland
Washington: 6-0 ATS off a home game
Cleveland: 9-0 Under in December

Jacksonville at Miami
Jacksonville: 15-5 Over off a home game
Miami: 6-0 ATS off a non-conference game

Denver at Baltimore
Denver: 7-1 ATS as a favorite
Baltimore: 8-0 Over off a loss by 6 points or less

Indianapolis at Houston
Indianapolis: 15-4 Over as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points
Houston: 17-6 ATS vs. conference opponents

Carolina at San Diego
Carolina: 13-4 Over as an underdog
San Diego: 0-7 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

Seattle at Buffalo
Seattle: 1-14 ATS off a division win by 21+ points
Buffalo: 13-5 Over as an underdog

Detroit at Arizona
Detroit: 5-18 ATS as a road favorite
Arizona: 26-13 ATS at home off 3+ losses

Pittsburgh at Dallas
Pittsburgh: 11-2 ATS off a SU loss
Dallas: 0-6 ATS off a road win

Kansas City at Oakland
Kansas City: 17-6 ATS away off a road loss
Oakland: 6-21 ATS off 3+ games scoring 17 points or less

San Francisco at New England
San Francisco: 0-6 ATS away in December
New England: 7-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

NY Jets at Tennessee
NY Jets: 12-2 Over off an Under
Tennessee: 2-9 ATS as a favorite

 
Posted : December 14, 2012 11:28 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

2 Minute Handicap
Playbook.com

Green Bay SERIES: 4-0 L4 / 4-1 L5 A... 6-0 vs .500 > opp w/rev Games Thirteen-Sixteen... 15-2 div favs opp off DD SU loss (0-0-1 this year)... 18-4 vs .666 > opp w/rev (2-1 this year)... 1-3 Game Fourteen
ATLANTA 8-1 vs non div opp L6Y Games Thirteen-Sixteen... 4-0 SU Game Fourteen... SMITH: 10-0 off DD SU loss

Tampa Bay SERIES: 7-2 L9 A... 1-6 dogs off SU fav loss... 1-6 dogs off BB SU losses (last vs non div) vs div opp
NEW ORLEANS 4-1 O/U Game Fourteen... 0-8 H vs div opp w/rev off SU loss... 0-8 vs div opp off SU fav loss (0-1 this year)... 1-12 H off non div vs < .500 opp Games Thirteen-Sixteen... 2-12 HF's pts (0-2 this year)

Minnesota SERIES: 1-4 L5 A... 1-8 Game Fourteen
ST. LOUIS 7-1 H off SU dog win (2-0 this year)... 1-6 off 3+ ATS wins (0-1 this year)... 2-8 w/rev vs opp off DD ATS win Games Thirteen-Sixteen (1-0 this year)... 1-7 O/U Game Fourteen

Washington 7-0 vs opp w/rev off BB SU wins (1-0 this year)... 8-1 off SU win vs non div opp off BB SU wins Games Thirteen-Sixteen... 5-1 A off BB ATS wins (0-1 this year)
CLEVELAND 1-5-1 H vs non conf (1-0 this year)... Shurmur: 5-0 L5G season

Jacksonville 1-6 dogs 6 > pts Games Thirteen-Sixteen... MULARKEY: 9-0 A off SU loss (4-0 this year) ... 5-1 O/U Game Fourteen
MIAMI 0-8 HF's 7 > pts (0-1 this year)... 1-11 favs pts w/rev off SUATS win... 0-5 Game Fourteen... 2-6 2nd BB RG's (2-0 this year)... 1-8 favs off BB SUATS wins Games Thirteen-Sixteen
BALTIMORE SERIES: 7-1 L8 / 5-0 L5 H... 7-0 H vs AFC West (1-0 this year)... 7-0-1 off BB SU losses vs opp off SUATS win... 9-1 H off ATS loss vs non div opp Games Thirteen-Sixteen... 7-2 vs .500 > opp off ATS win Games Thirteen-Sixteen

Indianapolis SERIES: 1-5 L6 A... 8-1 vs .500 > opp Games Thirteen-Sixteen
HOUSTON 6-1 favs 4 > pts w/rev (2-1 this year)... Kubiak: 10-4 H L4G season

Carolina 9-0 vs opp off SU dog win Games Thirteen-Sixteen... 5-0 Game Fourteen... 0-7 off SU dog win vs non conf opp (0-1 this year)... 1-7 A aft scoring 28 > pts Games Thirteen-Sixteen... 1-7 dogs < 10 pts vs opp w/rev (1-1 this year)... 1-6 non conf dogs 8 < pts (0-1 this year)... 2-6 A vs 3 pts w/rev (1-0 this year)... 0-7 A aft scoring 35 > pts... 0-7 RF's off div... 0-6 RF's 2 > pts Games Thirteen-Sixteen... 0-6 non div RF's < 8 pts (0-2 this year)... 1-6 A w/rev off DD SU win... 2-6-2 aft Cardinals (1-0 this year)... CARROLL: 0-7 fav off BB SUATS wins (0-2 this year)
BUFFALO SERIES: 4-0 L4... 1-7 dogs 6 opp (1-1 this year)... 1-4 SU Game Fourteen... 2-5 non conf dogs < 7 pts (1-0 this year)

Detroit 1-6 RF's off SUATS loss (0-1 this year)... 3-17 A vs non div opp off BB SU losses (1-1 this year)... 9-1 O/U Game Fourteen... SCHWARTZ: 2-10 vs opp off BB SU losses (1-2 this year)
ARIZONA SERIES: 5-0 L5 H... 5-0 HD's vs pts vs conf opp... 6-1 aft allowing 35 > pts vs opp off BB SU losses... 0-7 Game Fourteen... 1-4 aft Seahawks (1-0 this year)

Pittsburgh SERIES: 3-1 L4... 6-1 dogs off DD SU loss... 6-2 off SU fav loss vs non conf opp (0-1 this year)... 1-4 Game Fourteen... TOMLIN: 6-1 off DD SU loss (1-0 this year)
DALLAS 4-0 SU Game Fourteen... 1-14 vs non div opp off SU loss Games Thirteen-Sixteen... *2-16 non div favs Game 13 > ... GARRETT: 0-5 fav off BB SU wins (0-1 this year)

Kansas City 14-1 off DD SU non div loss Games Thirteen-Sixteen... Visitor in Raiders series is 12-1 (1-0 this year)... 12-2 2nd BB RG's (2-0 this year)... 6-1 div dogs w/rev (0-1 this year)... CRENNEL: 9-3 A vs opp off BB SU losses (1-2 this year)
OAKLAND SERIES: 4-1 L5/1-8 L9 H... 5-0 div favs 3 > pts Games Thirteen-Sixteen... 0-10 favs < 8 pts vs .333 < opp (0-2 this year)... 1-13 favs off BB SU losses Games Thirteen-Sixteen... 4-0 O/U Game Fourteen

San Francisco SERIES: 0-3 L3 / 0-3 L3 A... 0-7 O/U Game Fourteen
NEW ENGLAND 0-1-1 non conf favs 6 opp (1-0 this year)

Monday, Dec. 17

NY Jets SERIES: 6-0 L6 / 4-0 L4 A... 8-1 2nd BB RG's vs < .500 opp... 6-1 A vs AFC South (1-0 this year)... 5-1 Monday dogs < 8 pts... 5-1 A Monday vs < .500 opp
TENNESSEE 3-0 SUATS L3 Monday... 0-8 off SU loss vs < .500 opp off SUATS win Games Thirteen-Sixteen... 0-8 conf favs off div RG... 0-4 H Monday when < .500

ABBREVIATIONS LEGEND: For the most part, results are presented in this order: Series, Good Results, Bad Results, Over/Under Totals and Coaches Results. All team and coaches results are Against The Spread and pertain to preseason - unless noted otherwise. (NOTE: * = Check earlier result this season for similar situation and/or line in this game). ATS = Against The Spread, SU = Straight Up, A = Away, H = Home, Dog = Underdog, Fav = Favorite, L = Last, N = Neutral. OVER/UNDER results in Over (first) / Under (second) sequence. Site Numbers (Home One, Home Two; Away One, Away Two) designate 1st or 2nd home or road games of preseason. Dual team or coaches results - Straight-Up and Against The Spread - are separated with a ' / '. Asterisk * = check team previous game for possible similar result.

 
Posted : December 14, 2012 11:29 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

NFL Trends & Angles - Week 15

Trends are now 29-21-2, 58.0% ATS over the last five weeks.

As those of you that have followed us in the past know, the vast majority of our angles will point you to live underdogs and live 'unders' when we have total angles. All of our season-long trends go back to 2005, as that gives us a large enough sampling without going back too far to games that may pre-date certain changes in the game that may make using older games less than ideal.

We kick things off this week with a nice contrarian angle that had last week off, followed by last week's angles with updated records and qualifiers.

Also, you will occasionally see angles that refer to Good Teams and/or Bad Teams. We are not using those terms subjectively in those contexts, but rather, Good Teams are strictly defined as teams that have won at least 10 of their last 16 games and Bad Teams are defined as teams that have lost at least 10 of their last 16 games.

Here are our NFL Trends & Angles for Week 15, with all records being for the last seven seasons since 2005 plus the first 14 weeks of this season.

Play on any team that lost its last game by 28 or more points (93-60-4, 60.8% ATS): This angle combines two concepts, as professional teams in any sport do not like to get embarrassed and oftentimes bounce back strong in their next game, and also bettors tend to shy away from these teams, often leading to added line value.
Qualifiers: Arizona +6 and Houston -9½.

Play on any Bad Team in conference road games off of two losses (117-83-5, 58.5% ATS): The very definition of being contrarian is betting on teams that the general public wants no part of, and this angle combines three things that the public likes to avoid, as these are teams that are generally bad to begin with, they are on losing streaks and they are on the road. And yet, check out this winning percentage over a very nice-sized sampling. This angle went 1-0-1 in Week 14.
Qualifiers: Detroit -6, Jacksonville +7 and Tampa Bay +3.5.

Play on any road underdog coming off of a road loss (139-75-5, 65.0% ATS): It used to be that teams playing consecutive road games were great fades, but as that angle became common knowledge, Bookmakers started to adjust the point spreads for teams playing on the road off of a road game. Well, based on these long-term results, they may have over-adjusted the lines, especially in the case of road underdogs, and this angle also adds in the motivation off wanting to bounce back after a loss. This angle is a scintillating 18-6 ATS so far in 2012! It did go just 1-2 in Week 14 however.
Qualifier: Kansas City +3.

Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (171-111-5, 60.6% ATS): The logic behind this angle is the same as the previous angle with two exceptions, as it does not matter if the team playing its second straight road game won or lost its previous game, and also it is restricted to conference games only as now facing a familiar foe lessens the travel effect since the team usually knows how to attack that foe and what to expect on defense. This angle went 1-3 in Week 14.
Qualifiers: Kansas City +3 and New York Jets +1 (Monday).

Bet against any home team coming off of five or more straight up wins (61-43-3, 58.7% ATS): Very few angles epitomize our contrarian mindset as well as this one does! Bettors love to play hot teams, especially at home, but the oddsmakers know this and this angle looks to take advantage of teams that are becoming overvalued. Yes, fading these teams may take some courage at times, but check out the winning percentage of this angle over a nice-sized sampling. This angle lost its only play in Week 14.
Qualifier: San Francisco +5 at New England.

Play on any Bad Team on the road that was an underdog in each of its last four games (101-66-2, 60.5% ATS):Playing this angle may take some courage as it often points you to the dregs of the league, and on the road no less! But that is precisely the point as these teams often offer great value with no novice bettors wanting any part of them, as evidenced by the excellent winning percentage over a nice sampling. This angle lost its only play in Week 14.
Qualifiers: Jacksonville +7 and Kansas City +3.

 
Posted : December 14, 2012 11:32 am
Share: