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NFL Trends Week 17

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OAKLAND (7 - 8) at KANSAS CITY (10 - 5)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MIAMI (7 - 8) at NEW ENGLAND (13 - 2)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TENNESSEE (6 - 9) at INDIANAPOLIS (9 - 6)

Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 39-59 ATS (-25.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

JACKSONVILLE (8 - 7) at HOUSTON (5 - 10)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 4-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

PITTSBURGH (11 - 4) at CLEVELAND (5 - 10)

Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 83-54 ATS (+23.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CINCINNATI (4 - 11) at BALTIMORE (11 - 4)

Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 54-79 ATS (-32.9 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-2 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MINNESOTA (5 - 9) at DETROIT (5 - 10)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NY GIANTS (9 - 6) at WASHINGTON (6 - 9)

Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 5-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CHICAGO (11 - 4) at GREEN BAY (9 - 6)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 4-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

DALLAS (5 - 10) at PHILADELPHIA (10 - 4)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

BUFFALO (4 - 11) at NY JETS (10 - 5)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 4-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CAROLINA (2 - 13) at ATLANTA (12 - 3)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TAMPA BAY (9 - 6) at NEW ORLEANS (11 - 4)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ST LOUIS (7 - 8) at SEATTLE (6 - 9)

Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 83-112 ATS (-40.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
SEATTLE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 4-1 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ARIZONA (5 - 10) at SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 10)

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SAN DIEGO (8 - 7) at DENVER (4 - 11)

Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
DENVER is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 4-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : December 28, 2010 1:33 pm
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CINCINNATI vs. BALTIMORE
Cincinnati is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
Cincinnati is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games
Baltimore is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

CAROLINA vs. ATLANTA
Carolina is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Carolina is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
Atlanta is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Carolina

PITTSBURGH vs. CLEVELAND
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games

BUFFALO vs. NY JETS
Buffalo is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
NY Jets are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against Buffalo
NY Jets are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home

TAMPA BAY vs. NEW ORLEANS
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games at home

MIAMI vs. NEW ENGLAND
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England's last 9 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

OAKLAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Oakland is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oakland

CHICAGO vs. GREEN BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
Green Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

NY GIANTS vs. WASHINGTON
NY Giants are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the NY Giants last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Giants

DALLAS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia6-1-1 SU in its last 8 games

JACKSONVILLE vs. HOUSTON
Jacksonville is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville

TENNESSEE vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games at home
Indianapolis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Tennessee

SAN DIEGO vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
Denver is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home

ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
an Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

ST. LOUIS vs. SEATTLE

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of St. Louis's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

 
Posted : December 28, 2010 1:38 pm
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OAKLAND at KANSAS CITY
OAKLAND: 21-42 ATS L4 wks of the regular season
KANSAS CITY: 6-0 Under after gaining 450+ total yds last game

MIAMI at NEW ENGLAND
MIAMI: 10-0 Under revenging home loss of 14+ points
NEW ENGLAND: 20-5 ATS after gaining 175+ rushing yds last game

TENNESSEE at INDIANAPOLIS
TENNESSEE: 9-2 Under at Indianapolis
INDIANAPOLIS: 7-0 Over L4 wks of regular season

JACKSONVILLE at HOUSTON
JACKSONVILLE: 6-0 Over off home game
HOUSTON: 4-0 Over off an Under

PITTSBURGH at CLEVELAND
PITTSBURGH: 5-1 Under off win by 21+ pts
CLEVELAND: 10-3 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points

CINCINNATI at BALTIMORE
CINCINNATI: 12-24 ATS vs. conference
BALTIMORE: 12-2 ATS vs. team with losing record

MINNESOTA at DETROIT
MINNESOTA: 1-4 ATS vs. division
DETROIT: 11-3-1 ATS this season

NY GIANTS at WASHINGTON
NY GIANTS: 0-6 ATS after allowing 400+ yds last game
WASHINGTON: 0-5 ATS vs. Giants

CHICAGO at GREEN BAY
CHICAGO: 1-10 ATS off 2 straight covers as favorite
GREEN BAY: 5-0 Under off home win

DALLAS at PHILADELPHIA
DALLAS: 12-0 Over L12 games
PHILADELPHIA: N/A

BUFFALO at NY JETS
BUFFALO: 0-4 ATS off division game
NY JETS: 3-0 ATS after scoring 30+ pts last game

CAROLINA at ATLANTA
CAROLINA: 0-6 ATS off road loss
ATLANTA: 8-0 ATS after scoring 14 pts or less

TAMPA BAY at NEW ORLEANS
TAMPA BAY: 6-1 ATS in dome games
NEW ORLEANS: 4-16 ATS off road win by 3 pts or less

ST LOUIS at SEATTLE
ST LOUIS: 9-1 Over after gaining 75 or less rushing yards
SEATTLE: 5-16 ATS as an underdog

ARIZONA at SAN FRANCISCO
ARIZONA: 9-2 Under vs. division
SAN FRANCISCO: 10-2 ATS off ATS loss

SAN DIEGO at DENVER
SAN DIEGO: 4-1 ATS vs. Denver
DENVER: 15-1 Over at home after allowing 300+ yds passing

 
Posted : December 28, 2010 1:40 pm
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Posts: 318493
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NFL Tech Trends - Week 17
By Bruce Marshall

OAKLAND at KANSAS CITY...Odd series visitor dynamics were finally altered in earlier 23-20 Raiders win, which stopped Chiefs’ 9-game cover streak at Oakland. Now action switches to Arrowhead, where Raiders are 6-0-1 vs. line in last seven visits. Last four meetings at KC also "under." Raiders-back-and-forth with covers on road TY, by that pattern due for a "W" here. Tech edge-"Under" and Raiders, based on series trends.

MIAMI at NEW ENGLAND...Curiously, Miami has played very well at Foxborough lately, standing 4-0-1 vs. line last five visits in a visitor-oriented series (road team 8-2-1 vs. number last 11 meetings). Of course, Dolphins have continued their solid road play this season, now 6-1 SU and vs. number, and 17-5 vs. spread last 22 away from home under Sparano. Belichick "over" 8 of last 9 in 2010. Tech edge-Dolphins and "over," based on team and series trends.

TENNESSEE at INDIANAPOLIS...Titans broke 3-game spread losing streak vs. Indy with the backdoor of all covers Dec. 9 at Nashville. That one also went "over" after 8 of previous 9 had gone "under" in this AFC South series. Titans have also dropped last four vs. spread on road TY after covering first three as visitor in 2010. Indy needed a last-minute onside kick return TD vs. Jags to break recent 3-game spread losing streak and give Colts their first cover at Lucas Oil Stadium in last four tries in 2010. Indy "under" 4-3 at home this season. Tech edge-"Under," based on "totals" trends.

JACKSONVILLE at HOUSTON...Houston has won SU in its last four closing-week games, all victories by 7 or more. Texans also 6-2 all-time at home vs. number against Jags, although Kubiak just 2-9 vs. number last 11 TY. Jags, who won first meeting on deflected Hail Mary, now "over" 5 of last 7 vs. Houston (first meeting also "over"), and both of these teams "over" 10-5 this season. Tech edge-"Over" and slight to Texans, based on "totals" and series trends.

PITTSBURGH at CLEVELAND...Brownies have covered last two meetings vs. Steelers in Cleveland, although Mangini just 1-6 vs. spread last 7 on board in 2010. Steel just 2-3 vs. line as visitor since Big Ben returned in October, and Tomlin also "under" 5-1 last 6 TY after Dec. 23 win over Panthers. Brownies also "under" last four TY. Tech edge-"Under," based on "totals" trends.

CINCINNATI at BALTIMORE...Bengals have given Ravens fits lately, winning and covering last three meetings. Five of last six in series "under" as well. John Harbaugh just 6-7 vs. spread last 13 as host, although Cincy just 2-5 vs. line away TY, and 3-8 vs. number last 11 as visitor. Tech edge-"Under" and Ravens, based on "totals" and Bengals’ road trends.

MINNESOTA at DETROIT...Lions now 12-3 vs. line in 2010 and 6-1 vs. points at Ford Field, although Detroit lost and failed to cover at Minnesota back on Sept. 26. Meanwhile, Lions also "over" 7-1-1 last 9 at home since late ‘09. Tech edge-Lions and slight to "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

NY GIANTS at WASHINGTON...G-Men 5-0 SU, 4-0-1 vs. line last 5 in series, and 7-1-1 vs. spread last 9 vs. Skins. NY has also won and covered last four visits to FedEx Field. Tech edge-Giants, based on series and team trends.

CHICAGO at GREEN BAY...Green Bay has won its reg.-season finale seven years running, with 6-1 spread mark in those games. Pack had won and covered last 4 in series prior to bitter 20-17 loss at Chicago back on Sept. 27. Note last five "under" in series. Tech edge-"Under" and slight to Pack, based on "totals" and team trends.

DALLAS at PHILADELPHIA...Birds broke 3-game losing streak to Cowboys in win at Dallas Dec. 12, but Cowboys have still covered last four meetings. Note Dallas now "over" last 12 this season after Cards game and Andy Reid "over" 10-5 in 2010, and Birds 22-11 "over" last 33 on board. Tech edge-"Over," based on "totals" trends.

BUFFALO at NY JETS...Jets have only covered 1 of last 4 at home TY, while Bills on 6-3-1 spread run. Bills have also covered 5 of last 6 on road TY, and have surprisingly covered last 4 as series visitor. Road team 8-1 vs. line last 9 in series. Jets also "over" 11-4 TY and 15-5 last 20 since late ‘09. Tech edge-Bills and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

CAROLINA at ATLANTA...Panthers have lost and failed to cover their last two at Georgia Dome, and Carolina just 2-5 vs. line on road TY. Falcons 10-4 vs. line at home since ‘09. John Fox swan song? Tech edge-Falcons, based on team trends.

TAMPA BAY at NEW ORLEANS...Bucs very inside-out this season, poor vs. line at home but 6-1 vs. spread away, now 8-1 last 9 vs. number on road and 10-2 last 12 away since mid ‘09. Saints have covered 4 of last 5 in series, however. Raheem Morris "under" last 3 on road TY. Tech edge-Bucs, based on recent road mark.

ST. LOUIS at SEATTLE...NFC West on line! Rams broke 4-game lose and cover streak vs. Seahawks with 20-3 win back on Oct. 3. Rams 10-4 vs. line last 14 TY and 5-2 vs. spread away in 2010. Seahawks' former strong home trends fading, now 1-3 vs. line last 4 at Qwest Field. Tech edge-Rams, based on team trends.

ARIZONA at SAN FRANCISCO...49ers have won and covered last three series meetings, but SF just 2-4 vs. spread at Stick TY. Meanwhile, Cards only 1-5 vs. line last 6 on road TY. Tech edge-49ers, based on team trends.

SAN DIEGO at DENVER...Six of last nine "over" in series. Broncos "over" 10-5 TY and 16-5 last 21 dating to late ‘09. Denver 4-8 vs. line last 12 at Invesco Field since mid ‘09. Norv 6-2 SU and vs. line last 8 TY, and 24-11-1 vs. number from Week 8 of reg. season since ‘07. Tech edge-Norv and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

 
Posted : December 29, 2010 10:41 am
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