WASHINGTON (5 - 10) at PHILADELPHIA (7 - 8)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 147-107 ATS (+29.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY (4 - 11) at ATLANTA (9 - 6)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
ATLANTA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO (12 - 3) at ST LOUIS (2 - 13)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
ST LOUIS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ST LOUIS is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
ST LOUIS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
ST LOUIS is 41-67 ATS (-32.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
ST LOUIS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO (7 - 8) at MINNESOTA (3 - 12)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT (10 - 5) at GREEN BAY (14 - 1)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 53-31 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) revenging a loss against opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS (8 - 7) at NY GIANTS (8 - 7)
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
DALLAS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 4-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 4-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA (6 - 9) at NEW ORLEANS (12 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in dome games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 21-45 ATS (-28.5 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-40 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE (8 - 7) at HOUSTON (10 - 5)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE (11 - 4) at CINCINNATI (9 - 6)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 56-82 ATS (-34.2 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-2 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH (11 - 4) at CLEVELAND (4 - 11)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 13) at JACKSONVILLE (4 - 11)
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a loss against opponent over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS (8 - 7) at MIAMI (5 - 10)
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
MIAMI is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO (6 - 9) at NEW ENGLAND (12 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 143-108 ATS (+24.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO (7 - 8) at OAKLAND (8 - 7)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
OAKLAND is 35-63 ATS (-34.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 27-59 ATS (-37.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 5-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY (6 - 9) at DENVER (8 - 7)
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 39-67 ATS (-34.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
DENVER is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE (7 - 8) at ARIZONA (7 - 8)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 50-78 ATS (-35.8 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT vs. GREEN BAY
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Detroit is 5-13-2 ATS in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 9 games
WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 16 games when playing Washington
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games
San Francisco is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-17-2 ATS in its last 24 games when playing at home against San Francisco
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
INDIANAPOLIS vs. JACKSONVILLE
Indianapolis is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 8 games when playing Indianapolis
TENNESSEE vs. HOUSTON
Tennessee is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tennessee is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tennessee
NY JETS vs. MIAMI
NY Jets are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 16 of the NY Jets last 19 games on the road
Miami is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Miami is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
CAROLINA vs. NEW ORLEANS
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Carolina
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
CHICAGO vs. MINNESOTA
Chicago is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
BUFFALO vs. NEW ENGLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Buffalo's last 25 games when playing New England
Buffalo is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games when playing New England
New England is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New England's last 12 games when playing at home against Buffalo
SEATTLE vs. ARIZONA
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arizona's last 15 games when playing Seattle
KANSAS CITY vs. DENVER
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 9 games when playing Kansas City
TAMPA BAY vs. ATLANTA
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
SAN DIEGO vs. OAKLAND
San Diego is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego
BALTIMORE vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home
PITTSBURGH vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 11 games
Cleveland is 2-5-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
DALLAS vs. NY GIANTS
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing Dallas
NY Giants are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Dallas
WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA
WASHINGTON: 6-1 Under after allowing 6+ yards/play last game
PHILADELPHIA: 0-4 ATS as home favorite of 7.5 to 14 pts
TAMPA BAY at ATLANTA
TAMPA BAY: 2-11 ATS off road loss
ATLANTA: 10-2 ATS vs. team w/ losing record
SAN FRANCISCO at ST LOUIS
SAN FRANCISCO: 6-0 ATS off road game
ST LOUIS: 2-12-1 ATS in all games
CHICAGO at MINNESOTA
CHICAGO: 10-27 ATS Away L4 wks of reg season
MINNESOTA: 0-6 ATS revenging road loss
DETROIT at GREEN BAY
DETROIT: 0-3 ATS off double digit win
GREEN BAY: 17-7 ATS 2nd half of season
DALLAS at NY GIANTS
DALLAS: 9-1 ATS Away off Double Digit loss
NY GIANTS: 4-13 ATS at home after 1st month of season
CAROLINA at NEW ORLEANS
CAROLINA: 25-10 ATS revenging loss where opp scored 28+
NEW ORLEANS: N/A
TENNESSEE at HOUSTON
TENNESSEE: 0-7 ATS Away revenging home loss by 14+
HOUSTON: 32-16 ATS off BB ATS losses
BALTIMORE at CINCINNATI
BALTIMORE: 33-17 ATS Away off ATS loss
CINCINNATI: 7-18 ATS at home revenging loss where opp scored 28+
PITTSBURGH at CLEVELAND
PITTSBURGH: 2-8 ATS off win by 14+
CLEVELAND: 6-0 ATS off 4+ losses
INDIANAPOLIS at JACKSONVILLE
INDIANAPOLIS: 8-0 Over Away off an Under
JACKSONVILLE: 22-9 Over off division road loss
NY JETS at MIAMI
NY JETS: 9-0 Over off an Under
MIAMI: 21-9 ATS revenging loss of 14+ points
BUFFALO at NEW ENGLAND
BUFFALO: 8-2 Over as underdog
NEW ENGLAND: 11-1 Over vs. division
SAN DIEGO at OAKLAND
SAN DIEGO: 0-5 ATS vs. Oakland
OAKLAND: 9-2 ATS vs. division
KANSAS CITY at DENVER
KANSAS CITY: 8-1 ATS as road dog of 7 pts or less
DENVER: 2-10 ATS off road loss
SEATTLE at ARIZONA
SEATTLE: 7-0 ATS off home game
ARIZONA: 55-33 Over in dome games
2 Minute Handicap
Playbook.com
Washington DIV: 9-0 away vs opp off away game... 5-0 away vs div opp off SUATS win... 4-1 Game Sixteen... 12-6-1 L19 RD's
PHILLY SERIES: 0-4 L4 H... 1-8 favs > 7 pts off BB SU wins... 1-4 O/U Game Sixteen
Tampa Bay SERIES: 7-2 L9 / 4-0 L4 A... 11-0 dogs off BB SU dog losses vs opp off DD SU loss... 6-2 away w/ rev after allow 35 > pts... currently on 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS run... 1-6 SU Game Sixteen... 2-5 RD's in 2011 after going 7-0 ATS LY
ATLANTA SMITH: 16-3-1 off SU loss / 8-0 off DD SU loss / 8-1-1 w/rev (6-0 off loss 6>) / 2-8 off BB SU wins... DIV: 9-1 vs opp off div game & BB SU losses... 6-1 after allow 35 > pts... 4-1 Game Sixteen... 13-6-1 L20 HF's... 1-5 favs vs opp off 4+ SUATS losses
S Francisco SERIES: 5-2 L7 A... DIV: 10-1 .500 > vs opp off non-div & BB SU losses... 5-1 SU Game Sixteen... 4-2-1 before Rams... 3-10 L13 RF's... 16-26 away off SU win
ST. LOUIS 0-28 SU and 4-24 ATS as div HD's of 3 > pts (1-12 ATS if +4 > pts)... 1-7-1 opp... currently on 0-6 SU and ATS run... 0-4 SU Game Sixteen... 1-9 opp... 13-27 home off DD SU loss
Chicago SERIES: 4-0 L4... 4-1 in 2nd of BB RG's after allow 35 < pts... 5-2 O/U Game Sixteen... 18-6-1 dogs off BB SU losses... 2-12-1 dogs 7 < pts vs opp w/ rev... 0-7 dogs vs opp off BB dog roles w/ rev... DIV: 1-9 pts
MINNESOTA 12-2 HF's < 4 pts vs < .500 opp... DIV: 12-2 vs opp of SUATS NFC loss... 2-9 ATS Game Sixteen
Detroit 7-2 O/U Game Sixteen... 1-8 away off non-conf game... 2-9 dogs 10 opp
GREEN BAY SERIES: 8-3 L11 / 13-5 L18 H... 7-0 favs 3 > pts vs opp off fav role w/ rev... 16-1 SU Game Sixteen... 13-4 favs after score 35 > pts... 11-4 L15 HF's... 2-5-1 home after Bears... MCCARTHY: 1-7 home vs .500 > opp w/ rev
Dallas 7-4 L11 RD's... DIV: 1-10 .500 > vs opp off away game... 1-7 ATS Game Sixteen
NY GIANTS SERIES: 4-1 L5 / 5-2 L7 H... 9-3 O/U Game Sixteen... 2-9 if >.500 vs opp off div game... 1-7 home w/ OU line 46 > pts... 5-15 L20 HF's
Carolina SERIES: 4-1 L5 / 9-1 L10A... 5-1 SU Game Sixteen... 8-2 after score 35 > pts... 12-4 all-time LRG's... 13-8 dogs off DD SU win... currently on 4-1 SUATS run... 4-9 L13 RD's
N ORLEANS PAYTON: 8-0 off BB SU wins vs opp off BB SU wins... currently on 7-0 SUATS run... 7-0 HF's this year... 0-6 SU Game Sixteen... 0-4 SUATS LHG's... DIV: 1-9 home off div game vs opp off SUATS win... 1-7 .500 > off div vs pts... 12-25 L37 home div games
Tennessee DIV: 8-0 .500 > vs opp off fav role 7 > pts... 6-1 in Last Game vs opp off SU loss... 23-13 dogs w/ rev... 0-5 RD's vs div opp off SU fav loss... 0-4 O/U Game Sixteen
HOUSTON 5-1 O/U Game Sixteen... 4-1 LHG's... 8-3 home off BB SUATS losses... 8-4 off SU fav loss... 3-9 favs vs opp w/ rev... KUBIAK: 3-10 .500 > HF
Baltimore 8-0 off 3 ATS losses vs opp off SU win... DIV: 10-2 away vs opp off NFC opp... 8-2 favs < 9 pts vs opp w/ rev... 1-4 O/U Game Sixteen... 3-8-1 div favs home vs opp scored 17 > pts LG... 4-9 home off BB SU wins
Pittsburgh 6-1 SU Game Sixteen... 28-13 away L41 vs div... 3-9 L12 RF's > 3 pts... TOMLIN: 2-10 vs < .500 opp off away game
CLEVELAND SERIES: 2-6 L8 H... 2-5 L7 HD's... 2-6 O/U Game Sixteen
Indianapolis SERIES: 3-1 L4 A... CALDWELL: 11-1-1 away off SU win... DIV: 7-1 away w/ rev off BB HG's / 0-7 off div vs < .500 opp off BB away... 12-2 w/ rev vs opp off DD SU loss... 28-18 away off BB SU wins (11-5 as dogs)... 1-8 Game Sixteen... 2-7 L9 single-digits RD's...
JACK'VILLE 9-0 off road game vs opp off SU dog win... 9-2 L11 home off BB SU losses... 4-1 L5 HF's... 0-7 HF's vs < .500 opp... 0-5 Game Sixteen... 1-7 favs < 10 pts vs .333 favs off BB non-div vs opp off SUATS loss... 2-9 favs off SU fav loss...
MIAMI 10-1 O/U Game Sixteen... 9-2 L11 10 pts vs opp off SU win
N ENGLAND SERIES: 7-3 L10... 10-0 home w/ div rev... DIV: 12-2 off BB SUATS wins vs < .500 opp / 18-3 off SU win vs opp off BB SU losses... 11-2 LHG's... 10-2 Game Sixteen... 1-6 home off SU win but ATS loss vs opp / 7-1 away off SUATS win vs opp off SU win... 7-1 SU Game Sixteen
OAKLAND SERIES: 5-0 L5 / 2-7 L9 H... 0-4 off SUATS win vs div opp w/ rev... 3-15 favs pts vs div opp... 23-13 L36 RD's... 2-11 off div HG... 2-8 O/U Game Sixteen
DENVER SERIES: 4-1 L5 / 7-3 L10 H... FOX: 7-1 off SU fav loss vs div opp / 1-7 fav vs opp off BB SU wins w/ rev... 5-1 O/U Game Sixteen... 0-3 SUATS LHG's... 2-14-1 L17 home vs div opp... 4-22-2 L28 HF's... 15-30 home and 24-45 favs vs rev
Seattle SERIES: 3-0 L3 / 1-4 L5 A... 5-0 L5 RD's after going 6-22 prior... Seahawks currently on 7-1 ATS run... 0-4 SUATS LRG's... CARROLL: 1-10-1 away off div vs opp w/ rev... 1-3 SU Game Sixteen... 5-11 away and 4-9 dogs off BB SUATS wins
ARIZONA 8-2 LHG's... 6-2 Game Sixteen... 1-10 home vs div opp off div game... 1-6 .500 > HF's < 7 pts vs div opp
Week 17 NFL Trends & Angles
We have now reached Week 17, and since this is the final week of the regular season, we advise being very careful with how you use the trends and angles in this column or any other approach you use for that matter, as many games this week will have a preseason feel with many teams that are locked into the playoffs really having nothing to play for.
Back to the matter at hand, remember last week when there was a conflict at the top of our angles, as the Seattle Seahawks fell into a system that said to fade road favorites after their 11th win of the season (in this case the 49ers) while the Niners fit the Monday Night Magic angle? Well, case solved as the game ended in a Push with San Francisco winning by two points!
The Monday Night Magic angle turns up for the sixth straight week this week after the New Orleans Saints' big win in Drew Brees' record breaking performance Monday night, but keep our aforementioned advice in mind as the Saints may sit some regulars.
We will lead off with a nice road underdog angle this week that should not be hindered by favored teams sitting players.
Play on any road underdog coming off of a road loss (168-107-7, 61.1% ATS since 2002): It used to be that teams playing consecutive road games were great fades, but as that angle became common knowledge, bookmakers started to adjust the point spreads for teams playing on the road off of a road game. Well, based on these long-term results, they may have over-adjusted the lines, especially in the case of road underdogs, and this angle also adds in the motivation off wanting to bounce back after a loss. There are three qualifying plays for this angle for Week 17: Chicago +1, San Diego +3 and Tampa Bay +12
Play on any team coming off of a Monday night win by 17 points or more with no bye week (44-23-1, 65.7% ATS since 1999): There was a time way back in the day where backing the opposite of what a team did on Monday night the following Sunday was profitable, with the theory being that the teams that lost in the national spotlight would be motivated to play better while the teams that won would be overvalued after the whole world just watched them win. Instead, just the opposite has been true since 1999, and we think that the reason is this original line of thinking became so prevalent that the contrarian actually became the mainstream, giving value to backing teams to repeat their Monday performances. The one push on the ATS record of this angle came last week, and that came after the trend won each of the previous four weeks. It gets one last chance this season with the Saints -9 vs. Carolina, but be careful as New Orleans may rest regulars.
Play against any road favorite after it has won its 11th game of the season (56-27-1, 67.5% ATS since 1989): Teams that have won 11 games are more often than not playoff teams that do not need to run up scores late in the year, and as you can see fading these teams as road chalk has been like a gold mine. This angle is still 2-0-1 ATS this season, as the Packers failed to cover at the Giants and at Kansas City (losing outright) after getting Win #11 and the 49eers pushed last week. This is a very dangerous angle to play this week, as all three qualifiers are facing teams with something to play for. For the record though, two of the qualifiers are the Rams +10½ vs. San Francisco and the Bengals +1 vs. Baltimore. The third qualifiers once the line comes out will be the Cleveland Browns hosting Pittsburgh.
Bet against any home team coming off of five or more straight up wins (56-37, 60.2% ATS since 2005): Bettors love to play hot teams, especially at home, but the oddsmakers know this and this angle looks to take advantage of teams that are becoming overvalued. This angle went a perfect 2-0 when it last turned up in Week 15 and it has two qualifiers in Week 17 that may actually benefit for the favorites resting players, those being the Carolina Panthers +9 at New Orleans and the Buffalo Bills +11 at New England.
Play on any team that failed to cover the spread by 25 points or more in its last game (101-68-6, 59.8% ATS since 2002): The reason why this angle has worked so well over the years is a combination of teams not liking to be embarrassed and the fact that bettors usually shy away from teams that just lost to the spread so badly, thus giving them inherent value the following week. There are two qualifiers in this final week of the regular season: San Diego +3 and Denver -3½.
Play against any home favorite coming off of two or more road losses (55-36-2, 60.4% ATS since 2002): Many times, teams coming off of consecutive road losses don't enjoy as much of a home field advantage as they normally do when they finally do return home, and this becomes more true as it gets later in the season, when those consecutive losses affect a team's playoff chances. As a case in point, while this angle is an already excellent 60.4 percent over all games since 2002, it has gone lights out during the month of December over this same span, going 22-10, 68.8 percent after a perfect 2-0 week in Week 13, which was the last time the angle had a play! Well, it has one for Week 17, but it is a dangerous one: the Indianapolis Colts +3½ at Jacksonville. Will the Colts "Suck for Luck"?
Bet on any team that has lost at least four straight games ATS (70-48-5, 59.5% ATS since 2005): This is a contrarian angle that looks for potentially undervalued teams that most bettors tend to avoid, as they do not like betting on teams on decided ATS losing streaks.. It has not made much difference whether or not the team is now home (32-24-4 ATS) or away (38-24-1 ATS). There is one qualifying play for this week: Tampa Bay +12 on the road.