DENVER (1 - 0) at KANSAS CITY (1 - 0) - 9/17/2015, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Sunday, September 20
HOUSTON (0 - 1) at CAROLINA (1 - 0) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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TAMPA BAY (0 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 93-66 ATS (+20.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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DETROIT (0 - 1) at MINNESOTA (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 77-105 ATS (-38.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
DETROIT is 77-105 ATS (-38.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
DETROIT is 57-83 ATS (-34.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW ENGLAND (1 - 0) at BUFFALO (1 - 0) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 85-49 ATS (+31.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 167-128 ATS (+26.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ARIZONA (1 - 0) at CHICAGO (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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TENNESSEE (1 - 0) at CLEVELAND (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 0-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN DIEGO (1 - 0) at CINCINNATI (1 - 0) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ST LOUIS (1 - 0) at WASHINGTON (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 103-142 ATS (-53.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in September games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 74-105 ATS (-41.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 74-105 ATS (-41.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 74-105 ATS (-41.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ATLANTA (1 - 0) at NY GIANTS (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BALTIMORE (0 - 1) at OAKLAND (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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MIAMI (1 - 0) at JACKSONVILLE (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DALLAS (1 - 0) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 1) - 9/20/2015, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SEATTLE (0 - 1) at GREEN BAY (1 - 0) - 9/20/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Monday, September 21
NY JETS (1 - 0) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 1) - 9/21/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
8:25 PM
DENVER vs. KANSAS CITY
Denver is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Sunday, September 20
1:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. NY GIANTS
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing NY Giants
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
NY Giants are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
1:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 8 games when playing Buffalo
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
1:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. CHICAGO
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NEW ORLEANS
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games at home
1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. CAROLINA
Houston is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
1:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Washington is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
1:00 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. CINCINNATI
San Diego is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
San Diego is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
Cincinnati is 13-4-1 ATS in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 10 games
1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
1:00 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games at home
Pittsburgh is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. CLEVELAND
Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Tennessee is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
4:05 PM
MIAMI vs. JACKSONVILLE
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 6-12-2 ATS in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
4:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. OAKLAND
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
4:25 PM
DALLAS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games on the road
Dallas is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Philadelphia is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games at home
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
8:30 PM
SEATTLE vs. GREEN BAY
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 9 games at home
8:30 PM
NY JETS vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
NY Jets are 4-7-2 ATS in their last 13 games on the road
Indianapolis is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Monday, September 21
8:25 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NY GIANTS
Washington is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing NY Giants
NY Giants are 1-4-1 SU in their last 6 games ,at home
NY Giants are 3-9-1 SU in their last 13 games
StatFox Super Situations
NEW ENGLAND at BUFFALO
Play Under - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points off a home win, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season 42-16 since 1997. ( 72.4% | 24.4 units )
NEW ENGLAND at BUFFALO
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (NEW ENGLAND) poor passing defense from last season - allowed 230 or more passing yards/game, versus division opponents 22-6 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.6% | 0.0 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
TAMPA BAY at NEW ORLEANS
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (TAMPA BAY) poor passing defense from last season - allowed 230 or more passing yards/game, versus division opponents 22-6 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.6% | 0.0 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
SEATTLE at GREEN BAY
Play On - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (SEATTLE) off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite 27-7 over the last 5 seasons. ( 79.4% | 19.3 units )
SAN FRANCISCO at PITTSBURGH
Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SAN FRANCISCO) off a upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road loss 105-56 since 1997. ( 65.2% | 43.4 units )
SAN FRANCISCO at PITTSBURGH
Play Against - Road underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (SAN FRANCISCO) off a upset win as an underdog 325-205 since 1997. ( 61.3% | 99.5 units )
DETROIT at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) poor passing defense from last season - allowed 230 or more passing yards/game, versus division opponents 22-6 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.6% | 0.0 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
2-Minute Handicap
Playbook.com
Thursday, Sep 17
Denver8-0 1st BB A vs div… 4-0 vs div bef Detroit… 11-1 A vs div… 6-1 Thursday… 10-3 Game Two
KANSAS CITYSER: 1-4 L5 / 1-5 L6 H… 6-1 off non-div bef NFC… 5-1 aft Houston… 1-7 Home One… 3-11 H off non-div bef BB A (0-9 favs)
Sunday, Sep 20
Houston5-1 vs NFC South… 5-1 A Game Two… 4-1 Away One… 6-1 Over w/ single rev
CAROLINA4-0 H bef New Orleans… 1-8 Home One favs… 1-5 H vs AFC South
Tampa Bay7-0 w/ rev in AFC sandwich… 11-4 1st BB A… 3-9 dogs aft AFC game
NEW ORLEANS 7SER: 1-3 L4 / 1-3 L4 H… 5-1 Home One… 0-4 Game Two vs opp w/ rev… 2-7 H aft Arizona
San Francisco 4-0 aft Minnesota… 7-2 Away One… 14-3 off non-div vs AFC… 1-4 A vs AFC North… 2-8 dogs aft MNF
PITTSBURGHSER: 2-5 L7… 7-2 Home One vs non-div… 12-3 H off non-div vs NFC West
Detroit 0-5 Away Two vs div opp w/ rev… 1-5 bef Denver… 3-10 Game Two (0-8 Away)
MINNESOTA SER: 6-2 L8 / 4-1 L5 H… 4-1 off MNF non-div opp… 0-7 Home One… 0-6 1st BB H off non-div… 0-4 bef San Diego
New England 7-2 off Thursday… 0-7 aft Pittsburgh… 0-6 RF's btwn 2 H… 1-5 A in 2nd of 3rd AFC opp
BUFFALO SER: 2-9 L11 H… 19-5 Game Two (7-1 vs div)… 1-6 vs div aft Indy… 1-5 Home Two w/ rev… 1-5 in 2nd BB H
Arizona 8-0 Away One… 6-1 A btwn 2 H… 5-1 vs non-div bef San Francisco… 1-4 A w/ rev vs NFC North
CHICAGO 5-0 bef Seattle… 1-12 HF's off div vs opp w/ single rev… 1-6 H vs non-div opp off HG… 3-14 in 2nd BB H
Tennessee 8-2 dogs < 10 pts vs AFC North… 0-5 off NFC opp… 1-8 in 2nd BB A… 2-10 Game Two off non-div
CLEVELAND SER: 1-4 L5 H… 10-1 1st BB H vs non-div… 7-2 bef Oakland… 3-12 Home One off non-div (0-5 favs)… 3-11 off AFC East (0-6 vs rev)
San Diego 5-1 Away One vs non-div opp w/ rev… 1-5 Game Two RD's < 7 pts… 2-7 off NFC vs opp w/ rev
CINCINNATI SER: 4-1 L5… 5-0 Game Two… 6-2 H btwn 2 A… 6-2 w/ rev aft Oakland… 8-2 H w/ rev vs opp off HG… 1-7 HF's in 2nd BB non-div Game 4 or less
St Louis 7-1 A btwn 2 H… 1-7 dogs vs NFC East… 2-10 dogs aft Seattle vs non-div… 3-11 Away One
WASHINGTON SER: 1-6 L7 / 1-4 L5 H… 10-2 w/ rev bef NY Giants… 0-5 Home Two… 1-9 H vs NFC West… 1-5 H off SU loss
Atlanta 7-0 A bef Dallas… 4-1 vs non-div aft Philadelphia… 8-2 off MNF game… 2-9 Away One
NY GIANTS SER: 2-6 L8 H… 6-1 bef Washington… 1-5 H aft Dallas… 2-11 1st BB H vs non-div… 2-7 vs opp w/ single rev
Baltimore 5-0 in 2nd BB A vs non-div… 5-1 A vs non-div opp off HG… 8-2 aft Denver… 1-9 Away Two
OAKLAND SER: 2-9 L11… 1-5 vs non-div bef Cleveland… 1-4 HD's w/ rev… 2-7 in 2nd BB H… 2-7 Home Two HD's
Miami 8-1 off NFC vs opp w/ rev… 6-1 A off SU away win vs opp off SU loss… 5-1 A vs opp off DD SU loss
JACKSONVILLE SER: 1-4 L5… 7-1 H aft score < 10 pts… 2-11 in 2nd BB H vs .500 > opp… 2-9 Home Two
Dallas 4-0 Game Two RD's vs div… 7-1 Away One… 15-4 dogs in 2nd BB div games
PHILADELPHIA SER: 1-3 L4 / 0-3 L3 H… 4-0 H vs opp off H… 1-5 off MNF game… 2-10 H bef BB A… 2-7 Home One
Seattle 6-1 < .500 dogs aft St Louis… 0-5 Away Two RD's… 0-4 aft allow 30 > pts vs .500 > opp… 1-7 vs opp w/ triple rev
GREEN BAY SER: 3-1-1 L5 H… 6-1 Home One… 6-1 w/ triple rev… 5-1 H aft Chicago… 4-1 bef Kansas City… 18-4 favs off SU away win… 7-2 aft score 30 > away… 1-5 off SU win vs opp off SU away loss
Monday, Sep 21
NY Jets 4-1 Game Two… 12-4 Away One… 7-3 aft score 30 > pts… 0-7 off SU Game One win vs < .500 opp… 1-4 L5 MNF away
INDIANAPOLIS SER: 2-6 L8… 8-0 H off SUATS loss vs opp off SU home win… 8-1 MNF favs… 12-2 favs aft allow 24 > pts… 1-7 favs aft Buffalo… 2-15 Game Two w/ rev
ABBREVIATIONS LEGEND: For the most part, results are presented in this order: Series, Good Results, Bad Results, Over/Under Totals and Coaches Results. All team and coaches results are Against The Spread and pertain to preseason - unless noted otherwise. (NOTE: * = Check earlier result this season for similar situation and/or line in this game). ATS = Against The Spread, SU = Straight Up, A = Away, H = Home, Dog = Underdog, Fav = Favorite, L = Last, N = Neutral. OVER/UNDER results in Over (first) / Under (second) sequence. Site Numbers (Home One, Home Two; Away One, Away Two) designate 1st or 2nd home or road games of preseason. Dual team or coaches results - Straight-Up and Against The Spread - are separated with a ' / '. Asterisk * = check team previous game for possible similar result.
Gridiron Angles - Week 2
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
The Chargers are 11-0-1 ATS (14.3 ppg) since December 2011 vs an opponent averaging at least 30 rushes per game.
NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:
The Lions are 0-12 ATS (-9.2 ppg) since October 2006 as a road dog after a game that went over the total by at least 10 points.
TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:
Philip Rivers is 10-0 OU (10.6 ppg) since October 2009 on the road after a win as a home favorite where he threw for at least 250 yards.
NFL O/U UNDER TREND:
The Raiders are 0-20 OU (-7.9 ppg) since December 30, 2001 as a dog when the total is at least 37 coming off a home game there they scored at least five points fewer than expected.
NFL O/U OVER TREND:
The Bills are 10-0 OU (15.0 ppg) since 2001 off a game as a dog where they allowed at least six points fewer than expected and less than 340 passing yards.
NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:
The Cowboys are 10-0 ATS as a dog when facing a team that has allowed less than 3.8 yards per carry season-to-date
NFL DFS STAT OF THE WEEK:
Drew Brees averages 308 passing yards and 2.7 touchdowns per game since November 2007 in 27 games coming off a road loss.
NFL FEATURED SYSTEM:
Teams in the first four week of the season that are road dogs of less than a TD and won less than seven games last season are 127-69-9 ATS (64.8%).
The NFL is a league of constant change where good teams fall off and bad teams improve all of the time. Early in the season, many of these lines already reflect the changes or perceived changes. However, we have found a spot where improving teams are undervalued in the early going.
Teams in the first four week of the season that are road dogs of less than a TD and won less than seven games last season are 127-69-9 ATS (64.8%). What we like about this system is how the lines fall into an area that is completely nondescript. When scanning lines during the first few weeks of the season, it would stand out if a bad team from a season ago was road favorite or a huge underdog, but seeing these teams as a small or medium road dog is exactly what would be casually expected, not alerting bettors to potential value right off the bat.
This system went just 10-9 in the 2013 and 2014 season, but you do not have to look back much further to see its massive potential. In the 2011 and 2012 seasons, the system was 15-3 ATS. And already this season, these underdogs have gone 2-0 with Tennessee and NY Giants both covering comfortably in week one.
This week, the system is currently active on three teams though we expect by kickoff there will only be one left to focus our interest on. Tennessee is an ever so slight underdog in Cleveland and is likely to be favored by game time and the Jets are 6.5-point dogs at Indianapolis in a game likely to be at 7+ points by kickoff. That leaves Atlanta, who is a nondescript 2.5-point dog traveling to the Giants this week.